| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.937912320689768 |
| beta | FALSE |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 2 | 48.29 | 43.28 | 5.01 |
| 3 | 60.7 | 47.9789407266557 | 12.7210592733443 |
| 4 | 65.51 | 59.9101789513501 | 5.59982104864986 |
| 5 | 63.6 | 65.1623201065367 | -1.56232010653674 |
| 6 | 61.2 | 63.6970008297546 | -2.49700082975458 |
| 7 | 63.72 | 61.3550329867552 | 2.36496701324481 |
| 8 | 67.15 | 63.5731646865024 | 3.57683531349763 |
| 9 | 62.9 | 66.9279225961101 | -4.02792259611005 |
| 10 | 77.65 | 63.1500843664337 | 14.4999156335663 |
| 11 | 75.61 | 76.7497338881177 | -1.13973388811772 |
| 12 | 82.91 | 75.6807634321445 | 7.22923656785554 |
| 13 | 76.78 | 82.4611534783172 | -5.68115347831719 |
| 14 | 74.4 | 77.132729635274 | -2.73272963527396 |
| 15 | 88.16 | 74.5696688412365 | 13.5903311587635 |
| 16 | 91.82 | 87.3162078772948 | 4.50379212270515 |
| 17 | 100.72 | 91.5403699990055 | 9.17963000099448 |
| 18 | 109.91 | 100.150058076312 | 9.75994192368832 |
| 19 | 105.02 | 109.304027855756 | -4.28402785575555 |
| 20 | 111.31 | 105.285985347664 | 6.02401465233577 |
| 21 | 108.23 | 110.935982910106 | -2.70598291010565 |
| 22 | 109.33 | 108.398008199142 | 0.931991800858384 |
| 23 | 113.54 | 109.272134791949 | 4.26786520805146 |
| 24 | 130.13 | 113.275018153623 | 16.8549818463768 |
| 25 | 129.77 | 129.083513292342 | 0.68648670765765 |
| 26 | 149.64 | 129.727377633444 | 19.9126223665558 |
| 27 | 146.96 | 148.40367148828 | -1.44367148827951 |
| 28 | 145.54 | 147.049634212394 | -1.50963421239365 |
| 29 | 158.9 | 145.633729684855 | 13.2662703151452 |
| 30 | 172.74 | 158.07632806303 | 14.6636719369696 |
| 31 | 186.23 | 171.829566639267 | 14.400433360733 |
| 32 | 177.4 | 185.33591051157 | -7.93591051157043 |
| 33 | 196.72 | 177.892722266877 | 18.8272777331229 |
| 34 | 207.36 | 195.551058017821 | 11.8089419821788 |
| 35 | 216.17 | 206.626810197217 | 9.54318980278262 |
| 36 | 241.35 | 215.577485491928 | 25.7725145080719 |
| 37 | 247.08 | 239.749844384205 | 7.33015561579549 |
| 38 | 265.11 | 246.624887648832 | 18.4851123511676 |
| 39 | 247.16 | 263.962302272327 | -16.8023022723271 |
| 40 | 299.56 | 248.203215955158 | 51.3567840448422 |
| 41 | 292.99 | 296.371376461819 | -3.381376461819 |
| 42 | 308.52 | 293.199941817389 | 15.3200581826114 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 43 | 307.568813140544 | 285.111494727704 | 330.026131553383 |
| 44 | 307.568813140544 | 276.779514103942 | 338.358112177145 |
| 45 | 307.568813140544 | 270.264246127444 | 344.873380153644 |
