Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[120])
119	2.059	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
120	1.511	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
121	2.359	1.431	0.8831	2.5165	0.0469	0.4426	0.4426	0.4426
122	1.741	1.2393	0.6583	2.7074	0.2515	0.0675	0.0675	0.3584
123	2.917	1.1819	0.5059	3.6992	0.0884	0.3317	0.3317	0.3989
124	6.249	1.146	0.4045	5.2558	0.0075	0.1992	0.1992	0.4309
125	5.76	1.1051	0.3353	7.206	0.0674	0.0492	0.0492	0.4481
126	6.25	1.1006	0.2862	10.9441	0.1526	0.1768	0.1768	0.4674
127	5.134	1.0856	0.2489	16.2162	0.3	0.2518	0.2518	0.478
128	4.831	1.0809	0.2204	25.1974	0.3803	0.3709	0.3709	0.4861
129	3.695	1.079	0.1978	40.7303	0.4486	0.4264	0.4264	0.4915
130	2.462	1.0751	0.1793	67.7515	0.4837	0.4693	0.4693	0.4949
131	2.146	1.0753	0.164	121.4358	0.493	0.491	0.491	0.4972
132	1.579	1.0741	0.1511	233.764	0.4983	0.4964	0.4964	0.4985

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	sMAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE	ScaledE	MASE
121	0.387	0.3934	0.3934	0.4897	0.8612	0	0	0.9473	0.9473
122	0.6044	0.2882	0.3408	0.4132	0.2517	0.5565	0.746	0.5122	0.7297
123	1.0867	0.5948	0.4255	0.5577	3.0106	1.3745	1.1724	1.7712	1.0769
124	1.8296	0.8166	0.5233	0.7633	26.0402	7.5409	2.7461	5.209	2.1099
125	2.8167	0.8081	0.5802	0.8819	21.6681	10.3664	3.2197	4.7517	2.6383
126	4.563	0.8239	0.6208	0.9684	26.516	13.058	3.6136	5.2564	3.0746
127	7.1108	0.7885	0.6448	1.016	16.3894	13.5339	3.6788	4.1325	3.2258
128	11.3837	0.7763	0.6612	1.0476	14.0635	13.6001	3.6878	3.8281	3.301
129	18.7488	0.708	0.6664	1.053	6.8434	12.8493	3.5846	2.6704	3.231
130	31.6408	0.5633	0.6561	1.0261	1.9234	11.7567	3.4288	1.4157	3.0494
131	57.1065	0.4989	0.6418	0.9932	1.1463	10.7922	3.2851	1.0929	2.8716
132	110.5295	0.3198	0.615	0.9422	0.2549	9.9141	3.1487	0.5154	2.6752