| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 56 | NA | NA | 3.88272 | NA |
| 2 | 55 | NA | NA | -9.50154 | NA |
| 3 | 54 | NA | NA | -9.94599 | NA |
| 4 | 52 | NA | NA | -8.98765 | NA |
| 5 | 72 | NA | NA | 7.25309 | NA |
| 6 | 71 | NA | NA | 12.2901 | NA |
| 7 | 56 | 55.4985 | 54 | 1.49846 | 0.501543 |
| 8 | 46 | 50.7948 | 52.7917 | -1.99691 | -4.79475 |
| 9 | 47 | 49.8272 | 51.2083 | -1.38117 | -2.82716 |
| 10 | 47 | 43.6836 | 49.5417 | -5.85802 | 3.31636 |
| 11 | 48 | 53.1698 | 47.9167 | 5.25309 | -5.16975 |
| 12 | 50 | 53.8688 | 46.375 | 7.49383 | -3.86883 |
| 13 | 44 | 48.841 | 44.9583 | 3.88272 | -4.84105 |
| 14 | 38 | 33.7485 | 43.25 | -9.50154 | 4.25154 |
| 15 | 33 | 31.6373 | 41.5833 | -9.94599 | 1.36265 |
| 16 | 33 | 31.2623 | 40.25 | -8.98765 | 1.73765 |
| 17 | 52 | 46.4198 | 39.1667 | 7.25309 | 5.58025 |
| 18 | 54 | 50.7068 | 38.4167 | 12.2901 | 3.29321 |
| 19 | 39 | 39.4568 | 37.9583 | 1.49846 | -0.45679 |
| 20 | 22 | 35.5448 | 37.5417 | -1.99691 | -13.5448 |
| 21 | 31 | 35.9938 | 37.375 | -1.38117 | -4.99383 |
| 22 | 31 | 31.6836 | 37.5417 | -5.85802 | -0.683642 |
| 23 | 38 | 42.7948 | 37.5417 | 5.25309 | -4.79475 |
| 24 | 42 | 44.7022 | 37.2083 | 7.49383 | -2.70216 |
| 25 | 41 | 40.466 | 36.5833 | 3.88272 | 0.533951 |
| 26 | 31 | 26.6235 | 36.125 | -9.50154 | 4.37654 |
| 27 | 36 | 26.0123 | 35.9583 | -9.94599 | 9.98765 |
| 28 | 34 | 27.0123 | 36 | -8.98765 | 6.98765 |
| 29 | 51 | 43.2531 | 36 | 7.25309 | 7.74691 |
| 30 | 47 | 48.1235 | 35.8333 | 12.2901 | -1.12346 |
| 31 | 31 | 36.8735 | 35.375 | 1.49846 | -5.87346 |
| 32 | 19 | 32.7531 | 34.75 | -1.99691 | -13.7531 |
| 33 | 30 | 32.7855 | 34.1667 | -1.38117 | -2.78549 |
| 34 | 33 | 27.767 | 33.625 | -5.85802 | 5.23302 |
| 35 | 36 | 38.8364 | 33.5833 | 5.25309 | -2.83642 |
| 36 | 40 | 41.5772 | 34.0833 | 7.49383 | -1.57716 |
| 37 | 32 | 38.6744 | 34.7917 | 3.88272 | -6.67438 |
| 38 | 25 | 26.4568 | 35.9583 | -9.50154 | -1.45679 |
| 39 | 28 | 27.3873 | 37.3333 | -9.94599 | 0.612654 |
| 40 | 29 | 29.2623 | 38.25 | -8.98765 | -0.262346 |
| 41 | 55 | 46.3781 | 39.125 | 7.25309 | 8.62191 |
| 42 | 55 | 52.7485 | 40.4583 | 12.2901 | 2.25154 |
| 43 | 40 | 43.9568 | 42.4583 | 1.49846 | -3.95679 |
| 44 | 38 | 42.5864 | 44.5833 | -1.99691 | -4.58642 |
| 45 | 44 | 44.7438 | 46.125 | -1.38117 | -0.743827 |
| 46 | 41 | 41.3086 | 47.1667 | -5.85802 | -0.308642 |
| 47 | 49 | 53.2948 | 48.0417 | 5.25309 | -4.29475 |
| 48 | 59 | 56.5355 | 49.0417 | 7.49383 | 2.46451 |
| 49 | 61 | 54.4244 | 50.5417 | 3.88272 | 6.57562 |
| 50 | 47 | 43.2485 | 52.75 | -9.50154 | 3.75154 |
| 51 | 43 | 45.0123 | 54.9583 | -9.94599 | -2.01235 |
| 52 | 39 | 47.679 | 56.6667 | -8.98765 | -8.67901 |
| 53 | 66 | 65.4614 | 58.2083 | 7.25309 | 0.53858 |
| 54 | 68 | 72.0818 | 59.7917 | 12.2901 | -4.08179 |
| 55 | 63 | 62.9568 | 61.4583 | 1.49846 | 0.0432099 |
| 56 | 68 | 61.2948 | 63.2917 | -1.99691 | 6.70525 |
| 57 | 67 | 63.6605 | 65.0417 | -1.38117 | 3.33951 |
| 58 | 59 | 61.1836 | 67.0417 | -5.85802 | -2.18364 |
| 59 | 68 | 74.6698 | 69.4167 | 5.25309 | -6.66975 |
| 60 | 78 | 79.4938 | 72 | 7.49383 | -1.49383 |
| 61 | 82 | 78.841 | 74.9583 | 3.88272 | 3.15895 |
| 62 | 70 | 68.4985 | 78 | -9.50154 | 1.50154 |
| 63 | 62 | 71.054 | 81 | -9.94599 | -9.05401 |
| 64 | 68 | 74.929 | 83.9167 | -8.98765 | -6.92901 |
| 65 | 94 | 94.3364 | 87.0833 | 7.25309 | -0.33642 |
| 66 | 102 | 102.623 | 90.3333 | 12.2901 | -0.623457 |
| 67 | 100 | 94.9151 | 93.4167 | 1.49846 | 5.08488 |
| 68 | 104 | 94.3364 | 96.3333 | -1.99691 | 9.66358 |
| 69 | 103 | 97.6605 | 99.0417 | -1.38117 | 5.33951 |
| 70 | 93 | 96.017 | 101.875 | -5.85802 | -3.01698 |
| 71 | 110 | 109.753 | 104.5 | 5.25309 | 0.246914 |
| 72 | 114 | 114.702 | 107.208 | 7.49383 | -0.70216 |
| 73 | 120 | 114.091 | 110.208 | 3.88272 | 5.90895 |
| 74 | 102 | 103.457 | 112.958 | -9.50154 | -1.45679 |
| 75 | 95 | 105.721 | 115.667 | -9.94599 | -10.7207 |
| 76 | 103 | 109.637 | 118.625 | -8.98765 | -6.63735 |
| 77 | 122 | 129.003 | 121.75 | 7.25309 | -7.00309 |
| 78 | 139 | 137.04 | 124.75 | 12.2901 | 1.95988 |
| 79 | 135 | 128.707 | 127.208 | 1.49846 | 6.29321 |
| 80 | 135 | 127.336 | 129.333 | -1.99691 | 7.66358 |
| 81 | 137 | 130.535 | 131.917 | -1.38117 | 6.46451 |
| 82 | 130 | 128.809 | 134.667 | -5.85802 | 1.19136 |
| 83 | 148 | 142.17 | 136.917 | 5.25309 | 5.83025 |
| 84 | 148 | 146.41 | 138.917 | 7.49383 | 1.58951 |
| 85 | 145 | 144.466 | 140.583 | 3.88272 | 0.533951 |
| 86 | 128 | 132.665 | 142.167 | -9.50154 | -4.66512 |
| 87 | 131 | 133.762 | 143.708 | -9.94599 | -2.76235 |
| 88 | 133 | 136.137 | 145.125 | -8.98765 | -3.13735 |
| 89 | 146 | 154.17 | 146.917 | 7.25309 | -8.16975 |
| 90 | 163 | 160.998 | 148.708 | 12.2901 | 2.00154 |
| 91 | 151 | 151.623 | 150.125 | 1.49846 | -0.623457 |
| 92 | 157 | 149.67 | 151.667 | -1.99691 | 7.33025 |
| 93 | 152 | 152.41 | 153.792 | -1.38117 | -0.410494 |
| 94 | 149 | 150.475 | 156.333 | -5.85802 | -1.47531 |
| 95 | 172 | 163.961 | 158.708 | 5.25309 | 8.03858 |
| 96 | 167 | 167.91 | 160.417 | 7.49383 | -0.910494 |
| 97 | 160 | 165.799 | 161.917 | 3.88272 | -5.79938 |
| 98 | 150 | 154.04 | 163.542 | -9.50154 | -4.04012 |
| 99 | 160 | 155.137 | 165.083 | -9.94599 | 4.86265 |
| 100 | 165 | 157.679 | 166.667 | -8.98765 | 7.32099 |
| 101 | 171 | 175.67 | 168.417 | 7.25309 | -4.66975 |
| 102 | 179 | 182.832 | 170.542 | 12.2901 | -3.83179 |
| 103 | 171 | 174.415 | 172.917 | 1.49846 | -3.41512 |
| 104 | 176 | 173.086 | 175.083 | -1.99691 | 2.91358 |
| 105 | 170 | 175.785 | 177.167 | -1.38117 | -5.78549 |
| 106 | 169 | 173.475 | 179.333 | -5.85802 | -4.47531 |
| 107 | 194 | 186.753 | 181.5 | 5.25309 | 7.24691 |
| 108 | 196 | 191.202 | 183.708 | 7.49383 | 4.79784 |
| 109 | 188 | 189.799 | 185.917 | 3.88272 | -1.79938 |
| 110 | 174 | 178.665 | 188.167 | -9.50154 | -4.66512 |
| 111 | 186 | 180.679 | 190.625 | -9.94599 | 5.32099 |
| 112 | 191 | 183.804 | 192.792 | -8.98765 | 7.19599 |
| 113 | 197 | 201.711 | 194.458 | 7.25309 | -4.71142 |
| 114 | 206 | 208.248 | 195.958 | 12.2901 | -2.24846 |
| 115 | 197 | NA | NA | 1.49846 | NA |
| 116 | 204 | NA | NA | -1.99691 | NA |
| 117 | 201 | NA | NA | -1.38117 | NA |
| 118 | 190 | NA | NA | -5.85802 | NA |
| 119 | 213 | NA | NA | 5.25309 | NA |
| 120 | 213 | NA | NA | 7.49383 | NA |
