Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[200])
199	86.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
200	91.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
201	84.7	0	-181.6637	181.6637	0.1804	0.1618	0.1618	0.1618
202	92.2	0	-181.6637	181.6637	0.1599	0.1804	0.1804	0.1618
203	99.2	0	-181.6637	181.6637	0.1422	0.1599	0.1599	0.1618
204	104.5	0	-181.6637	181.6637	0.1298	0.1422	0.1422	0.1618
205	113	0	-181.6637	181.6637	0.1114	0.1298	0.1298	0.1618
206	100.4	0	-181.6637	181.6637	0.1394	0.1114	0.1114	0.1618
207	101	0	-181.6637	181.6637	0.1379	0.1394	0.1394	0.1618
208	84.8	0	-181.6637	181.6637	0.1801	0.1379	0.1379	0.1618
209	86.5	0	-181.6637	181.6637	0.1753	0.1801	0.1801	0.1618
210	91.7	0	-181.6637	181.6637	0.1612	0.1753	0.1753	0.1618
211	94.8	0	-181.6637	181.6637	0.1532	0.1612	0.1612	0.1618
212	95	0	-181.6637	181.6637	0.1527	0.1532	0.1532	0.1618

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	sMAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE	ScaledE	MASE
201	Inf	1	1	2	7174.09	0	0	13.7216	13.7216
202	Inf	1	1	2	8500.84	7837.465	88.5295	14.9367	14.3292
203	Inf	1	1	2	9840.64	8505.19	92.2236	16.0707	14.9097
204	Inf	1	1	2	10920.25	9108.955	95.4408	16.9293	15.4146
205	Inf	1	1	2	12769	9840.964	99.2016	18.3063	15.9929
206	Inf	1	1	2	10080.16	9880.83	99.4024	16.2651	16.0383
207	Inf	1	1	2	10201	9926.5686	99.6322	16.3623	16.0846
208	Inf	1	1	2	7191.04	9584.6275	97.9011	13.7378	15.7912
209	Inf	1	1	2	7482.25	9351.03	96.7007	14.0133	15.5937
210	Inf	1	1	2	8408.89	9256.816	96.2123	14.8557	15.5199
211	Inf	1	1	2	8987.04	9232.2909	96.0848	15.3579	15.5052
212	Inf	1	1	2	9025	9215.0167	95.9949	15.3903	15.4956