Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 97.7 | NA | NA | 1.13227 | NA |
2 | 88.9 | NA | NA | 1.04733 | NA |
3 | 96.5 | NA | NA | 1.05192 | NA |
4 | 89.5 | NA | NA | 0.959752 | NA |
5 | 85.4 | NA | NA | 0.950152 | NA |
6 | 84.3 | NA | NA | 0.926773 | NA |
7 | 83.7 | 85.5415 | 90.9125 | 0.940921 | 0.978473 |
8 | 86.2 | 85.7598 | 90.7958 | 0.944534 | 1.00513 |
9 | 90.7 | 84.6319 | 90.3625 | 0.936583 | 1.0717 |
10 | 95.7 | 89.5065 | 89.6875 | 0.997982 | 1.0692 |
11 | 95.6 | 91.6606 | 89.4125 | 1.02514 | 1.04298 |
12 | 97 | 97.2542 | 89.5 | 1.08664 | 0.997386 |
13 | 97.2 | 101.366 | 89.525 | 1.13227 | 0.958897 |
14 | 86.6 | 93.7887 | 89.55 | 1.04733 | 0.923352 |
15 | 88.4 | 94.1204 | 89.475 | 1.05192 | 0.939222 |
16 | 81.4 | 85.6499 | 89.2417 | 0.959752 | 0.950381 |
17 | 86.9 | 84.6308 | 89.0708 | 0.950152 | 1.02681 |
18 | 84.9 | 82.4171 | 88.9292 | 0.926773 | 1.03013 |
19 | 83.7 | 83.6361 | 88.8875 | 0.940921 | 1.00076 |
20 | 86.8 | 84.095 | 89.0333 | 0.944534 | 1.03217 |
21 | 88.3 | 83.7305 | 89.4 | 0.936583 | 1.05457 |
22 | 92.5 | 89.914 | 90.0958 | 0.997982 | 1.02876 |
23 | 94.7 | 92.9891 | 90.7083 | 1.02514 | 1.0184 |
24 | 94.5 | 98.9838 | 91.0917 | 1.08664 | 0.954702 |
25 | 98.7 | 103.584 | 91.4833 | 1.13227 | 0.952851 |
26 | 88.6 | 96.2237 | 91.875 | 1.04733 | 0.920771 |
27 | 95.2 | 96.851 | 92.0708 | 1.05192 | 0.982953 |
28 | 91.3 | 88.4611 | 92.1708 | 0.959752 | 1.03209 |
29 | 91.7 | 87.7109 | 92.3125 | 0.950152 | 1.04548 |
30 | 89.3 | 85.5952 | 92.3583 | 0.926773 | 1.04328 |
31 | 88.7 | 87.0234 | 92.4875 | 0.940921 | 1.01927 |
32 | 91.2 | 87.6764 | 92.825 | 0.944534 | 1.04019 |
33 | 88.6 | 87.1841 | 93.0875 | 0.936583 | 1.01624 |
34 | 94.6 | 93.0618 | 93.25 | 0.997982 | 1.01653 |
35 | 96 | 95.6929 | 93.3458 | 1.02514 | 1.00321 |
36 | 94.3 | 101.442 | 93.3542 | 1.08664 | 0.929593 |
37 | 102 | 105.914 | 93.5417 | 1.13227 | 0.963042 |
38 | 93.4 | 98.2791 | 93.8375 | 1.04733 | 0.950355 |
39 | 96.7 | 98.9856 | 94.1 | 1.05192 | 0.97691 |
40 | 93.7 | 90.5646 | 94.3625 | 0.959752 | 1.03462 |
41 | 91.6 | 89.6428 | 94.3458 | 0.950152 | 1.02183 |
42 | 89.6 | 87.5569 | 94.475 | 0.926773 | 1.02333 |
43 | 92.9 | 89.2973 | 94.9042 | 0.940921 | 1.04034 |
44 | 94.1 | 89.8685 | 95.1458 | 0.944534 | 1.04709 |
45 | 92 | 89.307 | 95.3542 | 0.936583 | 1.03015 |
46 | 97.5 | 95.1908 | 95.3833 | 0.997982 | 1.02426 |
47 | 92.7 | 97.6449 | 95.25 | 1.02514 | 0.949358 |
48 | 100.7 | 103.353 | 95.1125 | 1.08664 | 0.974331 |
49 | 105.9 | 107.504 | 94.9458 | 1.13227 | 0.985077 |
50 | 95.3 | 99.0253 | 94.55 | 1.04733 | 0.96238 |
51 | 99.8 | 98.8935 | 94.0125 | 1.05192 | 1.00917 |
52 | 91.3 | 89.8368 | 93.6042 | 0.959752 | 1.01629 |
53 | 90.8 | 88.8986 | 93.5625 | 0.950152 | 1.02139 |
54 | 87.1 | 87.0394 | 93.9167 | 0.926773 | 1.0007 |
55 | 91.4 | 88.4113 | 93.9625 | 0.940921 | 1.0338 |
56 | 86.1 | 88.7272 | 93.9375 | 0.944534 | 0.97039 |
57 | 87.1 | 88.0466 | 94.0083 | 0.936583 | 0.989249 |
58 | 92.6 | 93.8228 | 94.0125 | 0.997982 | 0.986967 |
59 | 96.6 | 96.308 | 93.9458 | 1.02514 | 1.00303 |
60 | 105.3 | 101.818 | 93.7 | 1.08664 | 1.0342 |
61 | 102.4 | 105.73 | 93.3792 | 1.13227 | 0.968501 |
62 | 98.2 | 97.5198 | 93.1125 | 1.04733 | 1.00698 |
63 | 98.6 | 97.8241 | 92.9958 | 1.05192 | 1.00793 |
64 | 92.6 | 89.121 | 92.8583 | 0.959752 | 1.03904 |
65 | 87.9 | 87.9959 | 92.6125 | 0.950152 | 0.99891 |
66 | 84.1 | 85.7072 | 92.4792 | 0.926773 | 0.981248 |
67 | 86.7 | 87.1763 | 92.65 | 0.940921 | 0.994536 |
68 | 84.4 | 87.6882 | 92.8375 | 0.944534 | 0.962501 |
69 | 86 | 87.0358 | 92.9292 | 0.936583 | 0.988099 |
70 | 90.4 | 92.6085 | 92.7958 | 0.997982 | 0.976152 |
71 | 92.9 | 94.9326 | 92.6042 | 1.02514 | 0.978589 |
72 | 105.8 | 100.759 | 92.725 | 1.08664 | 1.05003 |
73 | 106 | 105.094 | 92.8167 | 1.13227 | 1.00863 |
74 | 99.1 | 97.2667 | 92.8708 | 1.04733 | 1.01885 |
75 | 99.9 | 97.7013 | 92.8792 | 1.05192 | 1.0225 |
76 | 88.1 | 89.133 | 92.8708 | 0.959752 | 0.988411 |
77 | 87.8 | 88.3245 | 92.9583 | 0.950152 | 0.994062 |
78 | 87.1 | 85.9003 | 92.6875 | 0.926773 | 1.01397 |
79 | 85.9 | 86.8235 | 92.275 | 0.940921 | 0.989364 |
80 | 86.5 | 87.0113 | 92.1208 | 0.944534 | 0.994124 |
81 | 84.1 | 86.2827 | 92.125 | 0.936583 | 0.974703 |
82 | 92.1 | 92.147 | 92.3333 | 0.997982 | 0.99949 |
83 | 93.3 | 94.8856 | 92.5583 | 1.02514 | 0.98329 |
84 | 98.9 | 100.713 | 92.6833 | 1.08664 | 0.981995 |
85 | 103 | 105.009 | 92.7417 | 1.13227 | 0.980872 |
86 | 98.4 | 97.2711 | 92.875 | 1.04733 | 1.01161 |
87 | 100.7 | 97.9818 | 93.1458 | 1.05192 | 1.02774 |
88 | 92.3 | 89.7128 | 93.475 | 0.959752 | 1.02884 |
89 | 89 | 89.338 | 94.025 | 0.950152 | 0.996217 |
90 | 88.9 | 87.6148 | 94.5375 | 0.926773 | 1.01467 |
91 | 85.5 | 89.2346 | 94.8375 | 0.940921 | 0.958148 |
92 | 90.1 | 89.6087 | 94.8708 | 0.944534 | 1.00548 |
93 | 87 | 88.511 | 94.5042 | 0.936583 | 0.982929 |
94 | 97.1 | 93.9101 | 94.1 | 0.997982 | 1.03397 |
95 | 101.5 | 96.167 | 93.8083 | 1.02514 | 1.05546 |
96 | 103 | 101.655 | 93.55 | 1.08664 | 1.01323 |
97 | 106.1 | 105.929 | 93.5542 | 1.13227 | 1.00162 |
98 | 96.1 | 98.0173 | 93.5875 | 1.04733 | 0.980439 |
99 | 94.2 | 98.4114 | 93.5542 | 1.05192 | 0.957206 |
100 | 89.1 | 89.7688 | 93.5333 | 0.959752 | 0.99255 |
101 | 85.2 | 88.5502 | 93.1958 | 0.950152 | 0.962167 |
102 | 86.5 | 86.1976 | 93.0083 | 0.926773 | 1.00351 |
103 | 88 | 87.7017 | 93.2083 | 0.940921 | 1.0034 |
104 | 88.4 | 88.1408 | 93.3167 | 0.944534 | 1.00294 |
105 | 87.9 | 87.5588 | 93.4875 | 0.936583 | 1.0039 |
106 | 95.7 | 93.4485 | 93.6375 | 0.997982 | 1.02409 |
107 | 94.8 | 96.2097 | 93.85 | 1.02514 | 0.985347 |
108 | 105.2 | 102.307 | 94.15 | 1.08664 | 1.02828 |
109 | 108.7 | 106.863 | 94.3792 | 1.13227 | 1.01719 |
110 | 96.1 | 99.4574 | 94.9625 | 1.04733 | 0.966243 |
111 | 98.3 | 100.804 | 95.8292 | 1.05192 | 0.975155 |
112 | 88.6 | 92.5841 | 96.4667 | 0.959752 | 0.956968 |
113 | 90.8 | 91.9945 | 96.8208 | 0.950152 | 0.987016 |
114 | 88.1 | 90.0939 | 97.2125 | 0.926773 | 0.977869 |
115 | 91.9 | 91.9476 | 97.7208 | 0.940921 | 0.999482 |
116 | 98.5 | 92.9304 | 98.3875 | 0.944534 | 1.05993 |
117 | 98.6 | 92.8895 | 99.1792 | 0.936583 | 1.06148 |
118 | 100.3 | 99.6277 | 99.8292 | 0.997982 | 1.00675 |
119 | 98.7 | 102.835 | 100.312 | 1.02514 | 0.959793 |
120 | 110.7 | 109.393 | 100.671 | 1.08664 | 1.01195 |
121 | 115.4 | 114.227 | 100.883 | 1.13227 | 1.01027 |
122 | 105.4 | 105.663 | 100.888 | 1.04733 | 0.997513 |
123 | 108 | 105.792 | 100.571 | 1.05192 | 1.02087 |
124 | 94.5 | 96.1911 | 100.225 | 0.959752 | 0.982419 |
125 | 96.5 | 95.2685 | 100.267 | 0.950152 | 1.01293 |
126 | 91 | 92.8781 | 100.217 | 0.926773 | 0.979779 |
127 | 94.1 | 93.853 | 99.7458 | 0.940921 | 1.00263 |
128 | 96.4 | 93.6427 | 99.1417 | 0.944534 | 1.02945 |
129 | 93.1 | 92.2339 | 98.4792 | 0.936583 | 1.00939 |
130 | 97.5 | 97.8272 | 98.025 | 0.997982 | 0.996656 |
131 | 102.5 | 100.259 | 97.8 | 1.02514 | 1.02235 |
132 | 105.7 | 106.106 | 97.6458 | 1.08664 | 0.996176 |
133 | 109.1 | 110.264 | 97.3833 | 1.13227 | 0.989442 |
134 | 97.2 | 101.652 | 97.0583 | 1.04733 | 0.9562 |
135 | 100.3 | 101.913 | 96.8833 | 1.05192 | 0.984169 |
136 | 91.3 | 92.752 | 96.6417 | 0.959752 | 0.984345 |
137 | 94.3 | 91.2937 | 96.0833 | 0.950152 | 1.03293 |
138 | 89.5 | 88.4914 | 95.4833 | 0.926773 | 1.0114 |
139 | 89.3 | 89.4816 | 95.1 | 0.940921 | 0.997971 |
140 | 93.4 | 90.2069 | 95.5042 | 0.944534 | 1.0354 |
141 | 91.9 | 89.5451 | 95.6083 | 0.936583 | 1.0263 |
142 | 92.9 | 94.9289 | 95.1208 | 0.997982 | 0.978628 |
143 | 93.7 | 97.2861 | 94.9 | 1.02514 | 0.963138 |
144 | 100.1 | 102.701 | 94.5125 | 1.08664 | 0.974674 |
145 | 105.5 | 106.636 | 94.1792 | 1.13227 | 0.989345 |
146 | 110.5 | 98.0653 | 93.6333 | 1.04733 | 1.1268 |
147 | 89.5 | 97.6619 | 92.8417 | 1.05192 | 0.916427 |
148 | 90.4 | 88.3012 | 92.0042 | 0.959752 | 1.02377 |
149 | 89.9 | 86.737 | 91.2875 | 0.950152 | 1.03647 |
150 | 84.6 | 84.1548 | 90.8042 | 0.926773 | 1.00529 |
151 | 86.2 | 84.9926 | 90.3292 | 0.940921 | 1.01421 |
152 | 83.4 | 84.5437 | 89.5083 | 0.944534 | 0.986472 |
153 | 82.9 | 83.6954 | 89.3625 | 0.936583 | 0.990497 |
154 | 81.8 | 89.336 | 89.5167 | 0.997982 | 0.915644 |
155 | 87.6 | 91.1652 | 88.9292 | 1.02514 | 0.960893 |
156 | 94.6 | 96.3939 | 88.7083 | 1.08664 | 0.98139 |
157 | 99.6 | 100.772 | 89 | 1.13227 | 0.98837 |
158 | 96.7 | 93.505 | 89.2792 | 1.04733 | 1.03417 |
159 | 99.8 | 94.0284 | 89.3875 | 1.05192 | 1.06138 |
160 | 83.8 | 86.3057 | 89.925 | 0.959752 | 0.970967 |
161 | 82.4 | 86.4282 | 90.9625 | 0.950152 | 0.953393 |
162 | 86.8 | 85.2747 | 92.0125 | 0.926773 | 1.01789 |
163 | 91 | 87.1097 | 92.5792 | 0.940921 | 1.04466 |
164 | 85.3 | 87.4402 | 92.575 | 0.944534 | 0.975523 |
165 | 83.6 | 86.388 | 92.2375 | 0.936583 | 0.967727 |
166 | 94 | 91.5731 | 91.7583 | 0.997982 | 1.0265 |
167 | 100.3 | 93.8519 | 91.55 | 1.02514 | 1.06871 |
168 | 107.1 | 99.1241 | 91.2208 | 1.08664 | 1.08046 |
169 | 100.7 | 102.485 | 90.5125 | 1.13227 | 0.982587 |
170 | 95.5 | 93.9763 | 89.7292 | 1.04733 | 1.01621 |
171 | 92.9 | 93.52 | 88.9042 | 1.05192 | 0.993371 |
172 | 79.2 | 84.3622 | 87.9 | 0.959752 | 0.938809 |
173 | 82 | 82.2594 | 86.575 | 0.950152 | 0.996847 |
174 | 79.3 | 78.8915 | 85.125 | 0.926773 | 1.00518 |
175 | 81.5 | 79.3432 | 84.325 | 0.940921 | 1.02718 |
176 | 76 | 79.3094 | 83.9667 | 0.944534 | 0.958272 |
177 | 73.1 | 78.1578 | 83.45 | 0.936583 | 0.935287 |
178 | 80.4 | 82.924 | 83.0917 | 0.997982 | 0.969563 |
179 | 82.1 | 84.7751 | 82.6958 | 1.02514 | 0.968445 |
180 | 90.5 | 89.2629 | 82.1458 | 1.08664 | 1.01386 |
181 | 98.1 | 92.3083 | 81.525 | 1.13227 | 1.06274 |
182 | 89.5 | 84.6987 | 80.8708 | 1.04733 | 1.05669 |
183 | 86.5 | 84.8679 | 80.6792 | 1.05192 | 1.01923 |
184 | 77 | 77.6399 | 80.8958 | 0.959752 | 0.991758 |
185 | 74.7 | 77.3186 | 81.375 | 0.950152 | 0.966133 |
186 | 73.4 | 75.8062 | 81.7958 | 0.926773 | 0.968259 |
187 | 72.5 | 77.5162 | 82.3833 | 0.940921 | 0.935288 |
188 | 69.3 | 78.786 | 83.4125 | 0.944534 | 0.879598 |
189 | 75.2 | 79.4183 | 84.7958 | 0.936583 | 0.946885 |
190 | 83.5 | 86.263 | 86.4375 | 0.997982 | 0.96797 |
191 | 90.5 | 89.8197 | 87.6167 | 1.02514 | 1.00757 |
192 | 92.2 | 96 | 88.3458 | 1.08664 | 0.960416 |
193 | 110.5 | 101.041 | 89.2375 | 1.13227 | 1.09362 |
194 | 101.8 | 95.028 | 90.7333 | 1.04733 | 1.07126 |
195 | 107.4 | 96.8335 | 92.0542 | 1.05192 | 1.10912 |
196 | 95.5 | 89.077 | 92.8125 | 0.959752 | 1.07211 |
197 | 84.5 | 88.8748 | 93.5375 | 0.950152 | 0.950776 |
198 | 81.1 | 87.4989 | 94.4125 | 0.926773 | 0.926868 |
199 | 86.2 | 89.4149 | 95.0292 | 0.940921 | 0.964045 |
200 | 91.5 | 89.8016 | 95.075 | 0.944534 | 1.01891 |
201 | 84.7 | 88.7412 | 94.75 | 0.936583 | 0.954461 |
202 | 92.2 | 93.8477 | 94.0375 | 0.997982 | 0.982443 |
203 | 99.2 | 96.0303 | 93.675 | 1.02514 | 1.03301 |
204 | 104.5 | 102.361 | 94.2 | 1.08664 | 1.02089 |
205 | 113 | 107.566 | 95 | 1.13227 | 1.05052 |
206 | 100.4 | 100.025 | 95.5042 | 1.04733 | 1.00375 |
207 | 101 | NA | NA | 1.05192 | NA |
208 | 84.8 | NA | NA | 0.959752 | NA |
209 | 86.5 | NA | NA | 0.950152 | NA |
210 | 91.7 | NA | NA | 0.926773 | NA |
211 | 94.8 | NA | NA | 0.940921 | NA |
212 | 95 | NA | NA | 0.944534 | NA |