| Structural Time Series Model -- Interpolation | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 97.7 | 97.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 88.9 | 90.4282183213433 | -0.377730066736938 | -1.3097193216517 | -1.57157056719273 |
| 3 | 96.5 | 94.2773110024736 | -0.216710645053353 | 2.0136493777236 | 1.29304514073951 |
| 4 | 89.5 | 91.5366507145849 | -0.258555153372621 | -1.89035190550657 | -0.841628460368533 |
| 5 | 85.4 | 87.2202409158618 | -0.295944827317998 | -1.58159100818728 | -1.35870530030053 |
| 6 | 84.3 | 84.9070155338697 | -0.313176050328065 | -0.488390348536978 | -0.674876341641226 |
| 7 | 83.7 | 83.9762701839123 | -0.31885703903393 | -0.239997594579399 | -0.206466155924331 |
| 8 | 86.2 | 85.5151098768754 | -0.300826603548763 | 0.575865678137971 | 0.620815594227688 |
| 9 | 90.7 | 89.3185530634208 | -0.259775910576064 | 1.14068597845905 | 1.37121507413587 |
| 10 | 95.7 | 94.1666769200234 | -0.207567318626245 | 1.23379517502157 | 1.70610321348558 |
| 11 | 95.6 | 95.774081963521 | -0.188642479385821 | -0.280475105543264 | 0.606073615407613 |
| 12 | 97 | 96.8806938511234 | -0.174870670382227 | 0.0434054314463851 | 0.432416391574176 |
| 13 | 97.2 | 95.4575267023042 | -0.132540509741071 | 1.81654449714557 | -0.470649691281165 |
| 14 | 86.6 | 91.3707709765787 | -0.191338592170757 | -4.56820590489461 | -1.24211734525045 |
| 15 | 88.4 | 87.1661056582674 | -0.290600527565181 | 1.43072559866163 | -1.25073684965359 |
| 16 | 81.4 | 83.4448096248969 | -0.354319616969032 | -1.86329957333684 | -1.12770597211379 |
| 17 | 86.9 | 85.6550574219213 | -0.32240629055817 | 1.10571176052966 | 0.854268284726092 |
| 18 | 84.9 | 85.3701730695492 | -0.322030428403063 | -0.472217406609155 | 0.0125058087861115 |
| 19 | 83.7 | 84.6226690230154 | -0.326191388669455 | -0.899495383087281 | -0.141716050930518 |
| 20 | 86.8 | 86.2227064744155 | -0.306475214563755 | 0.472471259276244 | 0.641245080790913 |
| 21 | 88.3 | 87.8711242387165 | -0.285380329954358 | 0.322567076436524 | 0.650632809332223 |
| 22 | 92.5 | 90.5938027473168 | -0.251761646998339 | 1.74266291416426 | 1.00116241755679 |
| 23 | 94.7 | 93.9892295150014 | -0.213680830807783 | 0.512463496414208 | 1.21311081819933 |
| 24 | 94.5 | 94.3580297908726 | -0.210126230350206 | 0.11027357580483 | 0.193758187079237 |
| 25 | 98.7 | 94.7631403184024 | -0.21200491878794 | 3.90276807114347 | 0.211427120478679 |
| 26 | 88.6 | 92.6739292734926 | -0.232740832909381 | -3.974743449242 | -0.613276502761162 |
| 27 | 95.2 | 92.4498534963165 | -0.23257366069106 | 2.7497082655833 | 0.00276407671062547 |
| 28 | 91.3 | 93.2670337183337 | -0.213027992253189 | -2.02154680322213 | 0.342934620377379 |
| 29 | 91.7 | 91.488251672115 | -0.236845515547695 | 0.294885171140398 | -0.518789978180625 |
| 30 | 89.3 | 90.0450128853341 | -0.252365119247866 | -0.680558717772298 | -0.400755138281916 |
| 31 | 88.7 | 89.897407390654 | -0.251100221411354 | -1.20300852191583 | 0.0347935867239537 |
| 32 | 91.2 | 90.7368275874503 | -0.237813380366071 | 0.404888349341083 | 0.362064980873532 |
| 33 | 88.6 | 89.9380724228501 | -0.24483627461295 | -1.30810571457295 | -0.186202943559849 |
| 34 | 94.6 | 92.4296624580982 | -0.210796612294868 | 2.02418746426051 | 0.907991939292438 |
| 35 | 96 | 94.682876344024 | -0.183323955980802 | 1.18556091006996 | 0.816683395067468 |
| 36 | 94.3 | 94.6437480188418 | -0.182124575758185 | -0.351457570031397 | 0.0478864283472906 |
| 37 | 102 | 96.3983872764646 | -0.169610789429683 | 5.49728389876532 | 0.649347713876197 |
| 38 | 93.4 | 97.2315034697607 | -0.157332838567035 | -3.88439660315284 | 0.329367328027473 |
| 39 | 96.7 | 95.3959683235156 | -0.186445792210471 | 1.39028754401766 | -0.542368567183561 |
| 40 | 93.7 | 95.0171296208825 | -0.189948026390797 | -1.30716450949289 | -0.0627926131084503 |
| 41 | 91.6 | 92.3437295842584 | -0.231288268807147 | -0.613145572206095 | -0.819567896132297 |
| 42 | 89.6 | 90.783775081507 | -0.251194348960278 | -1.11343949358757 | -0.440100457078259 |
| 43 | 92.9 | 92.7722123575835 | -0.219598188360094 | 0.00904244564624879 | 0.742123600597628 |
| 44 | 94.1 | 93.3817856062409 | -0.208079231527145 | 0.674248756510188 | 0.274693043640555 |
| 45 | 92 | 94.0064639563391 | -0.196541103347889 | -2.05060804478581 | 0.275783590213774 |
| 46 | 97.5 | 95.4823383067552 | -0.174009306372612 | 1.9290480565285 | 0.55341637246757 |
| 47 | 92.7 | 93.2548604626023 | -0.199453592032641 | -0.446107755212965 | -0.678950325269674 |
| 48 | 100.7 | 98.3490244571817 | -0.141401233741568 | 2.07024299042639 | 1.75363739547966 |
| 49 | 105.9 | 100.139202694108 | -0.12037787131433 | 5.6581152042223 | 0.641578132151002 |
| 50 | 95.3 | 99.2850143773332 | -0.130522919294711 | -3.94644623799 | -0.241159233275733 |
| 51 | 99.8 | 98.4867740117291 | -0.141790157142645 | 1.34779182871199 | -0.21723821588592 |
| 52 | 91.3 | 94.1182859026371 | -0.217547093807424 | -2.59916848393485 | -1.38062636791015 |
| 53 | 90.8 | 91.8355063631419 | -0.253351666644254 | -0.927426284158025 | -0.679895746293296 |
| 54 | 87.1 | 89.8196420532036 | -0.282078793143056 | -2.62684758601278 | -0.582480390113313 |
| 55 | 91.4 | 90.7143385665806 | -0.263791314193132 | 0.623582768172493 | 0.389211489824835 |
| 56 | 86.1 | 87.6137192895462 | -0.30677165979038 | -1.36402523044765 | -0.938065555814774 |
| 57 | 87.1 | 88.495228538868 | -0.289093407552834 | -1.45791327400181 | 0.39270746341423 |
| 58 | 92.6 | 89.6580554533894 | -0.268165204929651 | 2.86539900557646 | 0.479408382345292 |
| 59 | 96.6 | 95.5437674212636 | -0.184071347924795 | 0.731916336057166 | 2.03113320340147 |
| 60 | 105.3 | 101.156061814036 | -0.108604374840755 | 3.83812794767123 | 1.91595172504554 |
| 61 | 102.4 | 98.6727205549767 | -0.140296871247027 | 3.85263310779431 | -0.78533779859928 |
| 62 | 98.2 | 100.304704842784 | -0.113616780795798 | -2.19760640435917 | 0.582364749323037 |
| 63 | 98.6 | 97.5066264556121 | -0.159030783040637 | 1.23278507960154 | -0.8764592494403 |
| 64 | 92.6 | 95.2935099345308 | -0.19559295947829 | -2.58688930158345 | -0.671710950266289 |
| 65 | 87.9 | 90.6710356473612 | -0.273751832291412 | -2.53990137535432 | -1.45546163453842 |
| 66 | 84.1 | 87.8255734028265 | -0.317587603223442 | -3.5906395055446 | -0.848482493292844 |
| 67 | 86.7 | 85.7629457090705 | -0.346296201613885 | 1.02879946786984 | -0.576300608713082 |
| 68 | 84.4 | 85.7737693143606 | -0.340574834866789 | -1.39255070828421 | 0.117909099131001 |
| 69 | 86 | 87.3353624896845 | -0.310788946307751 | -1.43535885779291 | 0.627572035813855 |
| 70 | 90.4 | 89.1195946510826 | -0.278885159394177 | 1.17034239025173 | 0.690634984256957 |
| 71 | 92.9 | 92.278580980635 | -0.228207808301374 | 0.440841460300208 | 1.13322289340223 |
| 72 | 105.8 | 98.0745034426534 | -0.141015733208366 | 7.40879909254289 | 1.98789953821498 |
| 73 | 106 | 101.303768385344 | -0.0909936258316259 | 4.51906765416687 | 1.11197035840089 |
| 74 | 99.1 | 100.863622401463 | -0.0965500535660825 | -1.74535299565809 | -0.114714904794948 |
| 75 | 99.9 | 98.8022983704092 | -0.130131021348652 | 1.19988868257387 | -0.642778046232416 |
| 76 | 88.1 | 92.4669079169235 | -0.240325819945037 | -4.04449177343534 | -2.03124644394121 |
| 77 | 87.8 | 89.9213858989503 | -0.281336905265648 | -2.00116763105893 | -0.757401782418198 |
| 78 | 87.1 | 89.6930781854713 | -0.280412042862043 | -2.59585435353526 | 0.0174748540590914 |
| 79 | 85.9 | 86.6883576317237 | -0.326722807978934 | -0.645471486524875 | -0.89863132397646 |
| 80 | 86.5 | 87.5719829990377 | -0.306627584352044 | -1.13548022659453 | 0.399123862250884 |
| 81 | 84.1 | 86.925313593549 | -0.312151420890998 | -2.80748338050589 | -0.112042760804927 |
| 82 | 92.1 | 90.3628412763176 | -0.252585728565428 | 1.5406636516536 | 1.23466801518226 |
| 83 | 93.3 | 93.6290230743304 | -0.197791521622771 | -0.513412488642996 | 1.15877032538752 |
| 84 | 98.9 | 93.2425847024225 | -0.200711243944329 | 5.66730771183892 | -0.0621756767011992 |
| 85 | 103 | 96.2138024854426 | -0.150617296758425 | 6.61990538015914 | 1.04509291472595 |
| 86 | 98.4 | 98.0946227245324 | -0.117106473825227 | 0.19921375843879 | 0.667387209020089 |
| 87 | 100.7 | 97.6129924945418 | -0.123399260890453 | 3.10597963813765 | -0.119402537698726 |
| 88 | 92.3 | 96.240408306684 | -0.14556870160499 | -3.87545705307944 | -0.409245500625687 |
| 89 | 89 | 92.7136750316436 | -0.205873241762423 | -3.53744940812407 | -1.11059347857545 |
| 90 | 88.9 | 91.0672265260847 | -0.231278328697322 | -2.09192242989541 | -0.474310544796055 |
| 91 | 85.5 | 88.0579647101221 | -0.279381093704929 | -2.41251977580355 | -0.915469867366067 |
| 92 | 90.1 | 89.8140659932566 | -0.244809719857663 | 0.179345343949582 | 0.670573016031121 |
| 93 | 87 | 90.8289153941619 | -0.223808342858974 | -3.89484147233627 | 0.414660110689262 |
| 94 | 97.1 | 94.5377952984115 | -0.159355406058008 | 2.35649367871502 | 1.29387746078247 |
| 95 | 101.5 | 99.5532855514092 | -0.0755993173742745 | 1.67600888399378 | 1.70292738849609 |
| 96 | 103 | 99.3577530186182 | -0.0775379313974035 | 3.64852466118289 | -0.0394938314121267 |
| 97 | 106.1 | 99.8536503710075 | -0.0681270773484294 | 6.21634102349772 | 0.18877340456561 |
| 98 | 96.1 | 97.2768265918415 | -0.110486699040407 | -1.04583677918177 | -0.824157690451382 |
| 99 | 94.2 | 92.7446324883999 | -0.187409050380434 | 1.68558033892094 | -1.44954720893416 |
| 100 | 89.1 | 91.6269237256812 | -0.203914771465794 | -2.47852999399868 | -0.304969797209424 |
| 101 | 85.2 | 89.1950256069068 | -0.243654279048249 | -3.87894119069307 | -0.731729764115598 |
| 102 | 86.5 | 88.017357997103 | -0.260206145242915 | -1.46858395263732 | -0.307336773479297 |
| 103 | 88 | 89.8414105811581 | -0.223746301369828 | -1.95039130452992 | 0.68634683958782 |
| 104 | 88.4 | 89.4174580388007 | -0.227196061440291 | -1.00698873359262 | -0.0659077321834949 |
| 105 | 87.9 | 91.9420863725444 | -0.180476623810272 | -4.18590775064118 | 0.905247871770657 |
| 106 | 95.7 | 94.1193116841796 | -0.140958753544143 | 1.45752264032328 | 0.77526698581358 |
| 107 | 94.8 | 93.6414223303569 | -0.146560617822621 | 1.17618107029671 | -0.110819268339561 |
| 108 | 105.2 | 98.4541840235681 | -0.0640700607673723 | 6.48657602034963 | 1.63206064219274 |
| 109 | 108.7 | 100.51630705599 | -0.028309150125131 | 8.07256848541849 | 0.699536028392107 |
| 110 | 96.1 | 97.527419194846 | -0.0790643428169092 | -1.2729343493521 | -0.972602556967325 |
| 111 | 98.3 | 96.3851488514874 | -0.0976604982423807 | 1.97021526670591 | -0.348741654591102 |
| 112 | 88.6 | 92.4447900074658 | -0.165815066740686 | -3.64483124020063 | -1.26032820255082 |
| 113 | 90.8 | 93.3692500707875 | -0.146388321813413 | -2.62604596169006 | 0.358066540931296 |
| 114 | 88.1 | 91.4794116716666 | -0.17733570070995 | -3.28843531161183 | -0.573429566708153 |
| 115 | 91.9 | 92.8444069354143 | -0.150208023178383 | -1.02497168276684 | 0.507596971327221 |
| 116 | 98.5 | 97.7412914582513 | -0.0624446313363888 | 0.495059400687324 | 1.6605775914136 |
| 117 | 98.6 | 101.756417829779 | 0.00765608571379184 | -3.36931290662008 | 1.34074246238986 |
| 118 | 100.3 | 100.46741095058 | -0.0144256248176521 | -0.0997369113192189 | -0.426213842642338 |
| 119 | 98.7 | 99.7484379922221 | -0.026359485078444 | -1.01166157124884 | -0.23164553433879 |
| 120 | 110.7 | 102.787302920054 | 0.025608627095362 | 7.75262557685645 | 1.00826595777838 |
| 121 | 115.4 | 105.10367189641 | 0.0647590718744119 | 10.176713190929 | 0.753381040793205 |
| 122 | 105.4 | 105.825867278347 | 0.0761426726343338 | -0.46015616139332 | 0.215979440225969 |
| 123 | 108 | 105.20687080065 | 0.06394057260657 | 2.82932970439613 | -0.22810308127628 |
| 124 | 94.5 | 100.942242915152 | -0.0127931852978537 | -6.21695321493879 | -1.42021905286504 |
| 125 | 96.5 | 99.2308466580591 | -0.0430164008106609 | -2.64237126576906 | -0.557860937036513 |
| 126 | 91 | 96.6592585405404 | -0.0879050969860082 | -5.52738280265734 | -0.831394834557262 |
| 127 | 94.1 | 96.7894045617844 | -0.0840590808146463 | -2.70078605236534 | 0.0717309486779478 |
| 128 | 96.4 | 97.0364380057805 | -0.0782685596955694 | -0.653719900587582 | 0.108889958692146 |
| 129 | 93.1 | 96.3763856877184 | -0.0883566868170391 | -3.24603231398507 | -0.19123471166856 |
| 130 | 97.5 | 97.0887366248291 | -0.0745683951688112 | 0.369501532945042 | 0.263128378231636 |
| 131 | 102.5 | 101.911259271852 | 0.00945218709267862 | 0.333289519771446 | 1.60967079444458 |
| 132 | 105.7 | 100.346633689141 | -0.0175800486698906 | 5.43550741720907 | -0.517596425891468 |
| 133 | 109.1 | 99.4145516392134 | -0.0333755963537298 | 9.73316771256877 | -0.300674414418163 |
| 134 | 97.2 | 97.8588391381817 | -0.0599080513762989 | -0.579470096512832 | -0.500115095783435 |
| 135 | 100.3 | 96.4229429051805 | -0.0841170602521089 | 3.94871581774707 | -0.451646888822093 |
| 136 | 91.3 | 96.4631895785082 | -0.081913720817518 | -5.16966329457281 | 0.040815952117053 |
| 137 | 94.3 | 96.1880220112201 | -0.0853473004964809 | -1.87795674242684 | -0.0634709961408085 |
| 138 | 89.5 | 95.4711471916071 | -0.0965521839608851 | -5.9382231783128 | -0.207597898355973 |
| 139 | 89.3 | 93.2881013857602 | -0.13340325945875 | -3.87925617684544 | -0.686147210633168 |
| 140 | 93.4 | 93.5262818929464 | -0.126881096795407 | -0.145665752904144 | 0.122169379299197 |
| 141 | 91.9 | 94.9399714409695 | -0.100011118824494 | -3.1203047738295 | 0.506282659270282 |
| 142 | 92.9 | 94.5061092467948 | -0.105804697085557 | -1.58870510406914 | -0.109692645415088 |
| 143 | 93.7 | 93.3289430691529 | -0.124349780647453 | 0.426916137677472 | -0.352089901289517 |
| 144 | 100.1 | 93.7447992759864 | -0.114991513737915 | 6.32702614801943 | 0.177588676136785 |
| 145 | 105.5 | 94.5923139217358 | -0.0982491414863812 | 10.8574873629632 | 0.316391673671195 |
| 146 | 110.5 | 104.554153549839 | 0.0778435379931261 | 5.42149816820903 | 3.3049195191742 |
| 147 | 89.5 | 93.5188351026458 | -0.117961809573011 | -3.44008248114413 | -3.64848993717573 |
| 148 | 90.4 | 93.8457155244017 | -0.110085320343057 | -3.46887392518898 | 0.146028497460623 |
| 149 | 89.9 | 92.3375216318525 | -0.134893067586669 | -2.36470769736749 | -0.459200771513574 |
| 150 | 84.6 | 90.6463928148974 | -0.162482601859379 | -5.96528372525607 | -0.511483126052794 |
| 151 | 86.2 | 90.2789701900942 | -0.166104176635675 | -4.06828383608552 | -0.0673773829440581 |
| 152 | 83.4 | 86.3345204402356 | -0.232572567186899 | -2.73750938379051 | -1.24196506180864 |
| 153 | 82.9 | 85.6541966743732 | -0.24041301122738 | -2.7308576250209 | -0.147124657240784 |
| 154 | 81.8 | 83.9455400195275 | -0.266029218242106 | -2.06902412465246 | -0.482368785199584 |
| 155 | 87.6 | 85.9980008842953 | -0.225650889938395 | 1.48115926179299 | 0.761843065539181 |
| 156 | 94.6 | 88.1339156592077 | -0.184497188484759 | 6.34296635892486 | 0.776202043506478 |
| 157 | 99.6 | 90.2279916191541 | -0.144674185178048 | 9.25321675725555 | 0.748888432533664 |
| 158 | 96.7 | 88.553158024568 | -0.171534699093517 | 8.22657901395215 | -0.502683689323622 |
| 159 | 99.8 | 97.5061161465131 | -0.0106270436863401 | 1.81870203866684 | 2.9960649566795 |
| 160 | 83.8 | 91.4168989415902 | -0.118195535577421 | -7.30042760113338 | -1.99575432445678 |
| 161 | 82.4 | 86.4159437810699 | -0.204736909101248 | -3.7616584415144 | -1.60376464847051 |
| 162 | 86.8 | 89.6947595578162 | -0.143029061742887 | -3.07627819440933 | 1.14478210370618 |
| 163 | 91 | 92.3581548281945 | -0.093428699670576 | -1.50444377918959 | 0.922475578059907 |
| 164 | 85.3 | 89.6706879809803 | -0.13912675524603 | -4.23547489450787 | -0.852534553241359 |
| 165 | 83.6 | 87.172213749233 | -0.180551118294605 | -3.44926718108205 | -0.775173544964882 |
| 166 | 94 | 93.1099611850046 | -0.0734117562395934 | 0.571266834547002 | 2.0099479380123 |
| 167 | 100.3 | 97.6930773630707 | 0.00802718302751075 | 2.36428672018631 | 1.52996811351217 |
| 168 | 107.1 | 100.409549981378 | 0.0554171736227773 | 6.54929074456346 | 0.89009089047417 |
| 169 | 100.7 | 95.1418694935408 | -0.0379136105985607 | 5.8355655656076 | -1.74931337885144 |
| 170 | 95.5 | 91.5048328719759 | -0.101212341964009 | 4.18268669019881 | -1.1823691941027 |
| 171 | 92.9 | 89.398971486026 | -0.136582187690672 | 3.60542427051854 | -0.658309630455968 |
| 172 | 79.2 | 86.5454068031067 | -0.184638870223135 | -7.20394539322377 | -0.892167090695017 |
| 173 | 82 | 86.678018300098 | -0.179021135394352 | -4.69453960971209 | 0.104205139224395 |
| 174 | 79.3 | 84.4243507821873 | -0.215744931834645 | -5.0162645122162 | -0.681715448395138 |
| 175 | 81.5 | 82.6813272013566 | -0.242736357093491 | -1.10173581841883 | -0.501943352085184 |
| 176 | 76 | 80.8320063427422 | -0.271063318665313 | -4.74828513106455 | -0.527941971741586 |
| 177 | 73.1 | 79.5891210540317 | -0.288156861897866 | -6.43848936287793 | -0.319275993634664 |
| 178 | 80.4 | 80.6884240958559 | -0.263798882426091 | -0.360700382089572 | 0.455783447570843 |
| 179 | 82.1 | 80.3814435239823 | -0.264556289069047 | 1.72080610441729 | -0.0141870411659363 |
| 180 | 90.5 | 81.10960767147 | -0.247138305430375 | 9.33866533909726 | 0.326209034327985 |
| 181 | 98.1 | 87.0808663803777 | -0.137873246282213 | 10.6951078599192 | 2.04334977706602 |
| 182 | 89.5 | 85.7892799102622 | -0.158189400614164 | 3.77082229698915 | -0.379011225698765 |
| 183 | 86.5 | 83.2389948871295 | -0.200408076259684 | 3.38557574958002 | -0.785609694532253 |
| 184 | 77 | 83.5418044981297 | -0.191511121018397 | -6.56800564154165 | 0.165255934965335 |
| 185 | 74.7 | 80.3875143211801 | -0.243936381345392 | -5.53322680659479 | -0.973186181180506 |
| 186 | 73.4 | 78.4333863726856 | -0.274190470027616 | -4.94429904365318 | -0.561917789840082 |
| 187 | 72.5 | 74.8273981396908 | -0.333064940564262 | -2.15380121794837 | -1.09487793216848 |
| 188 | 69.3 | 73.8468504430706 | -0.344487255101656 | -4.51311574425657 | -0.21275109414891 |
| 189 | 75.2 | 78.8275596006482 | -0.250708022626882 | -3.90495962994639 | 1.74943250297484 |
| 190 | 83.5 | 82.3321096948203 | -0.184666273501573 | 0.972293239190816 | 1.23358428290505 |
| 191 | 90.5 | 87.0470057134449 | -0.0985558532092828 | 3.19777776073662 | 1.6096448384265 |
| 192 | 92.2 | 86.0338218435406 | -0.114634250782745 | 6.21382787283851 | -0.300524304086149 |
| 193 | 110.5 | 94.0729481224257 | 0.0288493605404421 | 16.0022505021431 | 2.6791208738403 |
| 194 | 101.8 | 96.5824101626127 | 0.0725679183683869 | 5.08837669015551 | 0.814911930253968 |
| 195 | 107.4 | 101.299689361045 | 0.15455737763059 | 5.85843696304676 | 1.5255060545102 |
| 196 | 95.5 | 101.370481540064 | 0.153076902686684 | -5.86612003107708 | -0.0275103710778055 |
| 197 | 84.5 | 93.8180643783185 | 0.0168088494667739 | -8.91680675093704 | -2.53107441101438 |
| 198 | 81.1 | 87.7453088211007 | -0.0908655009658891 | -6.32812205906874 | -2.00074111706642 |
| 199 | 86.2 | 87.8570787044627 | -0.0872854018197949 | -1.66763506320179 | 0.0665832443558498 |
| 200 | 91.5 | 94.3191816333401 | 0.0282900500638125 | -3.16036390535626 | 2.15186774095632 |
| 201 | 84.7 | 92.3248321318593 | -0.00735857884427438 | -7.51948035914344 | -0.664459285523951 |
| 202 | 92.2 | 92.5858844849298 | -0.00263251231961295 | -0.399863770042709 | 0.0881707470015554 |
| 203 | 99.2 | 94.9903345405194 | 0.0397307380859362 | 4.08429393655704 | 0.790770269447949 |
| 204 | 104.5 | 99.189954010321 | 0.11295408042766 | 5.09335464954913 | 1.3667570691627 |
| 205 | 113 | 98.945835602489 | 0.106664252431241 | 14.0727650597916 | -0.117318809576022 |
| 206 | 100.4 | 97.6303908363854 | 0.0815868645705761 | 2.84367971492731 | -0.467177638278144 |
| 207 | 101 | 95.5266914698237 | 0.04300826932997 | 5.58710569918986 | -0.71776689154186 |
| 208 | 84.8 | 90.3671688001742 | -0.0489168475957827 | -5.29627840511494 | -1.7087221319084 |
| 209 | 86.5 | 91.8514903018207 | -0.0218141195715747 | -5.43133120210808 | 0.503639993985251 |
| 210 | 91.7 | 96.1653107383299 | 0.0548180268000589 | -4.69112374487242 | 1.42442539717206 |
| 211 | 94.8 | 98.006992856129 | 0.0863830172571979 | -3.30006955907844 | 0.587101025638019 |
| 212 | 95 | 97.8451401186617 | 0.0820016244497379 | -2.83221000142779 | -0.0815563772810101 |
| Structural Time Series Model -- Extrapolation | |||
| t | Observed | Level | Seasonal |
| 1 | 90.7292016090582 | 99.0142805869381 | -8.28507897787992 |
| 2 | 97.6824940645382 | 99.1471958919436 | -1.46470182740536 |
| 3 | 102.632929578085 | 99.280111196949 | 3.35281838113619 |
| 4 | 105.839405696192 | 99.4130265019545 | 6.42637919423759 |
| 5 | 115.500819050551 | 99.5459418069599 | 15.9548772435907 |
| 6 | 104.598370585918 | 99.6788571119654 | 4.91951347395295 |
| 7 | 107.468305251927 | 99.8117724169708 | 7.65653283495611 |
| 8 | 93.5758585005357 | 99.9446877219763 | -6.36882922144062 |
| 9 | 92.3201104739271 | 100.077603026982 | -7.75749255305469 |
| 10 | 93.9305822810005 | 100.210518331987 | -6.27993605098672 |
| 11 | 96.050500450098 | 100.343433636993 | -4.2929331868947 |
| 12 | 96.6151996317866 | 100.476348941998 | -3.86114931021152 |
