| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 10 | NA | NA | -1.39932 | NA |
| 2 | 15 | NA | NA | -0.649325 | NA |
| 3 | 14 | NA | NA | -0.57492 | NA |
| 4 | 14 | NA | NA | 1.12151 | NA |
| 5 | 8 | NA | NA | 0.904247 | NA |
| 6 | 19 | NA | NA | -1.17588 | NA |
| 7 | 17 | 15.2227 | 14.125 | 1.0977 | 1.7773 |
| 8 | 18 | 13.2197 | 14.0417 | -0.821944 | 4.78028 |
| 9 | 10 | 14.0144 | 13.8333 | 0.181033 | -4.01437 |
| 10 | 15 | 13.8298 | 13.875 | -0.045158 | 1.17016 |
| 11 | 16 | 15.4221 | 14.4167 | 1.00544 | 0.577896 |
| 12 | 12 | 14.8566 | 14.5 | 0.356628 | -2.85663 |
| 13 | 13 | 12.4757 | 13.875 | -1.39932 | 0.524325 |
| 14 | 10 | 12.809 | 13.4583 | -0.649325 | -2.80901 |
| 15 | 14 | 12.9251 | 13.5 | -0.57492 | 1.07492 |
| 16 | 15 | 14.7465 | 13.625 | 1.12151 | 0.253491 |
| 17 | 20 | 14.3209 | 13.4167 | 0.904247 | 5.67909 |
| 18 | 9 | 12.2825 | 13.4583 | -1.17588 | -3.28245 |
| 19 | 12 | 14.931 | 13.8333 | 1.0977 | -2.93103 |
| 20 | 13 | 13.5114 | 14.3333 | -0.821944 | -0.51139 |
| 21 | 16 | 14.8477 | 14.6667 | 0.181033 | 1.1523 |
| 22 | 12 | 14.6632 | 14.7083 | -0.045158 | -2.66318 |
| 23 | 14 | 15.4221 | 14.4167 | 1.00544 | -1.4221 |
| 24 | 15 | 14.7316 | 14.375 | 0.356628 | 0.268372 |
| 25 | 19 | 13.2257 | 14.625 | -1.39932 | 5.77432 |
| 26 | 16 | 14.2257 | 14.875 | -0.649325 | 1.77432 |
| 27 | 16 | 14.4667 | 15.0417 | -0.57492 | 1.53325 |
| 28 | 14 | 16.2465 | 15.125 | 1.12151 | -2.24651 |
| 29 | 14 | 16.1959 | 15.2917 | 0.904247 | -2.19591 |
| 30 | 14 | 14.0741 | 15.25 | -1.17588 | -0.0741186 |
| 31 | 13 | 16.056 | 14.9583 | 1.0977 | -3.05603 |
| 32 | 18 | 13.8864 | 14.7083 | -0.821944 | 4.11361 |
| 33 | 15 | 14.7644 | 14.5833 | 0.181033 | 0.235634 |
| 34 | 15 | 14.6632 | 14.7083 | -0.045158 | 0.336825 |
| 35 | 15 | 16.0054 | 15 | 1.00544 | -1.00544 |
| 36 | 13 | 15.5233 | 15.1667 | 0.356628 | -2.52329 |
| 37 | 14 | 13.809 | 15.2083 | -1.39932 | 0.190991 |
| 38 | 15 | 14.184 | 14.8333 | -0.649325 | 0.815991 |
| 39 | 14 | 13.7584 | 14.3333 | -0.57492 | 0.241587 |
| 40 | 19 | 15.2048 | 14.0833 | 1.12151 | 3.79516 |
| 41 | 16 | 14.8626 | 13.9583 | 0.904247 | 1.13742 |
| 42 | 16 | 12.6575 | 13.8333 | -1.17588 | 3.34255 |
| 43 | 12 | 14.7227 | 13.625 | 1.0977 | -2.7227 |
| 44 | 10 | 12.7197 | 13.5417 | -0.821944 | -2.71972 |
| 45 | 11 | 13.556 | 13.375 | 0.181033 | -2.55603 |
| 46 | 13 | 12.9965 | 13.0417 | -0.045158 | 0.0034913 |
| 47 | 14 | 14.0471 | 13.0417 | 1.00544 | -0.0471039 |
| 48 | 11 | 13.3983 | 13.0417 | 0.356628 | -2.39829 |
| 49 | 11 | 11.6423 | 13.0417 | -1.39932 | -0.642342 |
| 50 | 16 | 12.684 | 13.3333 | -0.649325 | 3.31599 |
| 51 | 9 | 13.0917 | 13.6667 | -0.57492 | -4.09175 |
| 52 | 16 | 14.8715 | 13.75 | 1.12151 | 1.12849 |
| 53 | 19 | 14.5709 | 13.6667 | 0.904247 | 4.42909 |
| 54 | 13 | 12.6575 | 13.8333 | -1.17588 | 0.342548 |
| 55 | 15 | 15.3477 | 14.25 | 1.0977 | -0.347699 |
| 56 | 14 | 13.6781 | 14.5 | -0.821944 | 0.321944 |
| 57 | 15 | 14.8477 | 14.6667 | 0.181033 | 0.152301 |
| 58 | 11 | 14.7465 | 14.7917 | -0.045158 | -3.74651 |
| 59 | 14 | 15.5471 | 14.5417 | 1.00544 | -1.5471 |
| 60 | 15 | 14.7733 | 14.4167 | 0.356628 | 0.226706 |
| 61 | 17 | 13.059 | 14.4583 | -1.39932 | 3.94099 |
| 62 | 16 | 13.684 | 14.3333 | -0.649325 | 2.31599 |
| 63 | 13 | 13.5501 | 14.125 | -0.57492 | -0.55008 |
| 64 | 15 | 15.2882 | 14.1667 | 1.12151 | -0.288175 |
| 65 | 14 | 15.3626 | 14.4583 | 0.904247 | -1.36258 |
| 66 | 15 | 13.3241 | 14.5 | -1.17588 | 1.67588 |
| 67 | 14 | 15.0144 | 13.9167 | 1.0977 | -1.01437 |
| 68 | 12 | 12.2197 | 13.0417 | -0.821944 | -0.219723 |
| 69 | 12 | 12.7227 | 12.5417 | 0.181033 | -0.722699 |
| 70 | 15 | 12.3715 | 12.4167 | -0.045158 | 2.62849 |
| 71 | 17 | 13.2138 | 12.2083 | 1.00544 | 3.78623 |
| 72 | 13 | 12.1066 | 11.75 | 0.356628 | 0.893372 |
| 73 | 5 | 10.1423 | 11.5417 | -1.39932 | -5.14234 |
| 74 | 7 | 11.0173 | 11.6667 | -0.649325 | -4.01734 |
| 75 | 10 | 11.1334 | 11.7083 | -0.57492 | -1.13341 |
| 76 | 15 | 12.9132 | 11.7917 | 1.12151 | 2.08682 |
| 77 | 9 | 12.9459 | 12.0417 | 0.904247 | -3.94591 |
| 78 | 9 | 11.2825 | 12.4583 | -1.17588 | -2.28245 |
| 79 | 15 | 14.306 | 13.2083 | 1.0977 | 0.693967 |
| 80 | 14 | 13.1781 | 14 | -0.821944 | 0.821944 |
| 81 | 11 | 14.681 | 14.5 | 0.181033 | -3.68103 |
| 82 | 18 | 14.5382 | 14.5833 | -0.045158 | 3.46182 |
| 83 | 20 | 15.8804 | 14.875 | 1.00544 | 4.11956 |
| 84 | 20 | 15.815 | 15.4583 | 0.356628 | 4.18504 |
| 85 | 16 | 14.1423 | 15.5417 | -1.39932 | 1.85766 |
| 86 | 15 | 14.559 | 15.2083 | -0.649325 | 0.440991 |
| 87 | 14 | 14.7584 | 15.3333 | -0.57492 | -0.758413 |
| 88 | 13 | 16.5798 | 15.4583 | 1.12151 | -3.57984 |
| 89 | 18 | 15.8209 | 14.9167 | 0.904247 | 2.17909 |
| 90 | 14 | 13.1575 | 14.3333 | -1.17588 | 0.842548 |
| 91 | 12 | 14.7644 | 13.6667 | 1.0977 | -2.76437 |
| 92 | 9 | 12.3864 | 13.2083 | -0.821944 | -3.38639 |
| 93 | 19 | 13.2227 | 13.0417 | 0.181033 | 5.7773 |
| 94 | 13 | 12.7882 | 12.8333 | -0.045158 | 0.211825 |
| 95 | 12 | 13.5888 | 12.5833 | 1.00544 | -1.58877 |
| 96 | 14 | 12.69 | 12.3333 | 0.356628 | 1.31004 |
| 97 | 6 | 11.1423 | 12.5417 | -1.39932 | -5.14234 |
| 98 | 14 | 12.3507 | 13 | -0.649325 | 1.64932 |
| 99 | 11 | 12.3834 | 12.9583 | -0.57492 | -1.38341 |
| 100 | 11 | 14.0382 | 12.9167 | 1.12151 | -3.03818 |
| 101 | 14 | 13.9876 | 13.0833 | 0.904247 | 0.0124199 |
| 102 | 12 | 11.9908 | 13.1667 | -1.17588 | 0.00921474 |
| 103 | 19 | 14.7227 | 13.625 | 1.0977 | 4.2773 |
| 104 | 13 | 13.2197 | 14.0417 | -0.821944 | -0.219723 |
| 105 | 14 | 14.431 | 14.25 | 0.181033 | -0.431033 |
| 106 | 17 | 14.5798 | 14.625 | -0.045158 | 2.42016 |
| 107 | 12 | 15.8804 | 14.875 | 1.00544 | -3.88044 |
| 108 | 16 | 15.2733 | 14.9167 | 0.356628 | 0.726706 |
| 109 | 15 | 13.2673 | 14.6667 | -1.39932 | 1.73266 |
| 110 | 15 | 13.809 | 14.4583 | -0.649325 | 1.19099 |
| 111 | 15 | 14.0501 | 14.625 | -0.57492 | 0.94992 |
| 112 | 16 | 15.7465 | 14.625 | 1.12151 | 0.253491 |
| 113 | 15 | 15.4876 | 14.5833 | 0.904247 | -0.48758 |
| 114 | 12 | 13.4075 | 14.5833 | -1.17588 | -1.40745 |
| 115 | 13 | 15.5977 | 14.5 | 1.0977 | -2.5977 |
| 116 | 14 | 13.5114 | 14.3333 | -0.821944 | 0.48861 |
| 117 | 17 | 14.181 | 14 | 0.181033 | 2.81897 |
| 118 | 14 | 13.7882 | 13.8333 | -0.045158 | 0.211825 |
| 119 | 14 | 14.7138 | 13.7083 | 1.00544 | -0.713771 |
| 120 | 14 | 13.94 | 13.5833 | 0.356628 | 0.0600389 |
| 121 | 15 | 12.434 | 13.8333 | -1.39932 | 2.56599 |
| 122 | 11 | 13.6007 | 14.25 | -0.649325 | -2.60068 |
| 123 | 11 | 13.8001 | 14.375 | -0.57492 | -2.80008 |
| 124 | 16 | 15.5382 | 14.4167 | 1.12151 | 0.461825 |
| 125 | 12 | 15.3626 | 14.4583 | 0.904247 | -3.36258 |
| 126 | 12 | 13.1158 | 14.2917 | -1.17588 | -1.11579 |
| 127 | 19 | 15.056 | 13.9583 | 1.0977 | 3.94397 |
| 128 | 18 | 13.0531 | 13.875 | -0.821944 | 4.94694 |
| 129 | 16 | 14.306 | 14.125 | 0.181033 | 1.69397 |
| 130 | 16 | 14.1215 | 14.1667 | -0.045158 | 1.87849 |
| 131 | 13 | 15.2554 | 14.25 | 1.00544 | -2.25544 |
| 132 | 11 | 14.69 | 14.3333 | 0.356628 | -3.68996 |
| 133 | 10 | 12.7257 | 14.125 | -1.39932 | -2.72568 |
| 134 | 14 | 12.8923 | 13.5417 | -0.649325 | 1.10766 |
| 135 | 14 | 12.5084 | 13.0833 | -0.57492 | 1.49159 |
| 136 | 14 | 14.1632 | 13.0417 | 1.12151 | -0.163175 |
| 137 | 16 | 14.0709 | 13.1667 | 0.904247 | 1.92909 |
| 138 | 10 | 12.1575 | 13.3333 | -1.17588 | -2.15745 |
| 139 | 16 | 14.4727 | 13.375 | 1.0977 | 1.5273 |
| 140 | 7 | 12.4281 | 13.25 | -0.821944 | -5.42806 |
| 141 | 16 | 13.2227 | 13.0417 | 0.181033 | 2.7773 |
| 142 | 15 | 12.9548 | 13 | -0.045158 | 2.04516 |
| 143 | 17 | 13.8804 | 12.875 | 1.00544 | 3.11956 |
| 144 | 11 | 13.2316 | 12.875 | 0.356628 | -2.23163 |
| 145 | 11 | 11.434 | 12.8333 | -1.39932 | -0.434009 |
| 146 | 10 | 12.1423 | 12.7917 | -0.649325 | -2.14234 |
| 147 | 13 | 12.3001 | 12.875 | -0.57492 | 0.69992 |
| 148 | 14 | 13.5798 | 12.4583 | 1.12151 | 0.420158 |
| 149 | 13 | 12.9042 | 12 | 0.904247 | 0.0957532 |
| 150 | 13 | 10.9075 | 12.0833 | -1.17588 | 2.09255 |
| 151 | 12 | 13.3477 | 12.25 | 1.0977 | -1.3477 |
| 152 | 10 | 11.5947 | 12.4167 | -0.821944 | -1.59472 |
| 153 | 15 | 12.806 | 12.625 | 0.181033 | 2.19397 |
| 154 | 6 | 12.7048 | 12.75 | -0.045158 | -6.70484 |
| 155 | 15 | 13.7971 | 12.7917 | 1.00544 | 1.2029 |
| 156 | 15 | 13.19 | 12.8333 | 0.356628 | 1.81004 |
| 157 | 11 | 11.8507 | 13.25 | -1.39932 | -0.850675 |
| 158 | 14 | 13.0173 | 13.6667 | -0.649325 | 0.982658 |
| 159 | 14 | 12.9251 | 13.5 | -0.57492 | 1.07492 |
| 160 | 16 | 14.6632 | 13.5417 | 1.12151 | 1.33682 |
| 161 | 12 | 14.7376 | 13.8333 | 0.904247 | -2.73758 |
| 162 | 15 | 12.8241 | 14 | -1.17588 | 2.17588 |
| 163 | 20 | 15.2644 | 14.1667 | 1.0977 | 4.73563 |
| 164 | 12 | 13.2197 | 14.0417 | -0.821944 | -1.21972 |
| 165 | 9 | 14.2227 | 14.0417 | 0.181033 | -5.2227 |
| 166 | 13 | 14.0798 | 14.125 | -0.045158 | -1.07984 |
| 167 | 15 | 15.1721 | 14.1667 | 1.00544 | -0.172104 |
| 168 | 19 | 14.6066 | 14.25 | 0.356628 | 4.39337 |
| 169 | 11 | 12.4757 | 13.875 | -1.39932 | -1.47568 |
| 170 | 11 | 12.8507 | 13.5 | -0.649325 | -1.85068 |
| 171 | 17 | 13.1751 | 13.75 | -0.57492 | 3.82492 |
| 172 | 15 | 15.2465 | 14.125 | 1.12151 | -0.246509 |
| 173 | 14 | 15.1959 | 14.2917 | 0.904247 | -1.19591 |
| 174 | 15 | NA | NA | -1.17588 | NA |
| 175 | 11 | NA | NA | 1.0977 | NA |
| 176 | 12 | NA | NA | -0.821944 | NA |
| 177 | 15 | NA | NA | 0.181033 | NA |
| 178 | 16 | NA | NA | -0.045158 | NA |
| 179 | 16 | NA | NA | 1.00544 | NA |
