Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 97.7 | NA | NA | 12.1891 | NA |
2 | 88.9 | NA | NA | 4.31091 | NA |
3 | 96.5 | NA | NA | 4.76588 | NA |
4 | 89.5 | NA | NA | -3.71564 | NA |
5 | 85.4 | NA | NA | -4.59715 | NA |
6 | 84.3 | NA | NA | -6.7948 | NA |
7 | 83.7 | 85.4575 | 90.9125 | -5.45502 | -1.75748 |
8 | 86.2 | 85.7692 | 90.7958 | -5.02659 | 0.430755 |
9 | 90.7 | 84.5438 | 90.3625 | -5.81874 | 6.15624 |
10 | 95.7 | 89.5163 | 89.6875 | -0.171196 | 6.1837 |
11 | 95.6 | 91.7148 | 89.4125 | 2.30233 | 3.88517 |
12 | 97 | 97.5109 | 89.5 | 8.01091 | -0.510912 |
13 | 97.2 | 101.714 | 89.525 | 12.1891 | -4.5141 |
14 | 86.6 | 93.8609 | 89.55 | 4.31091 | -7.26091 |
15 | 88.4 | 94.2409 | 89.475 | 4.76588 | -5.84088 |
16 | 81.4 | 85.526 | 89.2417 | -3.71564 | -4.12603 |
17 | 86.9 | 84.4737 | 89.0708 | -4.59715 | 2.42631 |
18 | 84.9 | 82.1344 | 88.9292 | -6.7948 | 2.76564 |
19 | 83.7 | 83.4325 | 88.8875 | -5.45502 | 0.267519 |
20 | 86.8 | 84.0067 | 89.0333 | -5.02659 | 2.79325 |
21 | 88.3 | 83.5813 | 89.4 | -5.81874 | 4.71874 |
22 | 92.5 | 89.9246 | 90.0958 | -0.171196 | 2.57536 |
23 | 94.7 | 93.0107 | 90.7083 | 2.30233 | 1.68933 |
24 | 94.5 | 99.1026 | 91.0917 | 8.01091 | -4.60258 |
25 | 98.7 | 103.672 | 91.4833 | 12.1891 | -4.97243 |
26 | 88.6 | 96.1859 | 91.875 | 4.31091 | -7.58591 |
27 | 95.2 | 96.8367 | 92.0708 | 4.76588 | -1.63671 |
28 | 91.3 | 88.4552 | 92.1708 | -3.71564 | 2.8448 |
29 | 91.7 | 87.7154 | 92.3125 | -4.59715 | 3.98465 |
30 | 89.3 | 85.5635 | 92.3583 | -6.7948 | 3.73647 |
31 | 88.7 | 87.0325 | 92.4875 | -5.45502 | 1.66752 |
32 | 91.2 | 87.7984 | 92.825 | -5.02659 | 3.40159 |
33 | 88.6 | 87.2688 | 93.0875 | -5.81874 | 1.33124 |
34 | 94.6 | 93.0788 | 93.25 | -0.171196 | 1.5212 |
35 | 96 | 95.6482 | 93.3458 | 2.30233 | 0.351833 |
36 | 94.3 | 101.365 | 93.3542 | 8.01091 | -7.06508 |
37 | 102 | 105.731 | 93.5417 | 12.1891 | -3.73076 |
38 | 93.4 | 98.1484 | 93.8375 | 4.31091 | -4.74841 |
39 | 96.7 | 98.8659 | 94.1 | 4.76588 | -2.16588 |
40 | 93.7 | 90.6469 | 94.3625 | -3.71564 | 3.05314 |
41 | 91.6 | 89.7487 | 94.3458 | -4.59715 | 1.85131 |
42 | 89.6 | 87.6802 | 94.475 | -6.7948 | 1.9198 |
43 | 92.9 | 89.4491 | 94.9042 | -5.45502 | 3.45085 |
44 | 94.1 | 90.1192 | 95.1458 | -5.02659 | 3.98075 |
45 | 92 | 89.5354 | 95.3542 | -5.81874 | 2.46458 |
46 | 97.5 | 95.2121 | 95.3833 | -0.171196 | 2.28786 |
47 | 92.7 | 97.5523 | 95.25 | 2.30233 | -4.85233 |
48 | 100.7 | 103.123 | 95.1125 | 8.01091 | -2.42341 |
49 | 105.9 | 107.135 | 94.9458 | 12.1891 | -1.23493 |
50 | 95.3 | 98.8609 | 94.55 | 4.31091 | -3.56091 |
51 | 99.8 | 98.7784 | 94.0125 | 4.76588 | 1.02162 |
52 | 91.3 | 89.8885 | 93.6042 | -3.71564 | 1.41147 |
53 | 90.8 | 88.9654 | 93.5625 | -4.59715 | 1.83465 |
54 | 87.1 | 87.1219 | 93.9167 | -6.7948 | -0.0218648 |
55 | 91.4 | 88.5075 | 93.9625 | -5.45502 | 2.89252 |
56 | 86.1 | 88.9109 | 93.9375 | -5.02659 | -2.81091 |
57 | 87.1 | 88.1896 | 94.0083 | -5.81874 | -1.08959 |
58 | 92.6 | 93.8413 | 94.0125 | -0.171196 | -1.2413 |
59 | 96.6 | 96.2482 | 93.9458 | 2.30233 | 0.351833 |
60 | 105.3 | 101.711 | 93.7 | 8.01091 | 3.58909 |
61 | 102.4 | 105.568 | 93.3792 | 12.1891 | -3.16826 |
62 | 98.2 | 97.4234 | 93.1125 | 4.31091 | 0.776588 |
63 | 98.6 | 97.7617 | 92.9958 | 4.76588 | 0.838291 |
64 | 92.6 | 89.1427 | 92.8583 | -3.71564 | 3.4573 |
65 | 87.9 | 88.0154 | 92.6125 | -4.59715 | -0.115354 |
66 | 84.1 | 85.6844 | 92.4792 | -6.7948 | -1.58436 |
67 | 86.7 | 87.195 | 92.65 | -5.45502 | -0.494981 |
68 | 84.4 | 87.8109 | 92.8375 | -5.02659 | -3.41091 |
69 | 86 | 87.1104 | 92.9292 | -5.81874 | -1.11042 |
70 | 90.4 | 92.6246 | 92.7958 | -0.171196 | -2.22464 |
71 | 92.9 | 94.9065 | 92.6042 | 2.30233 | -2.0065 |
72 | 105.8 | 100.736 | 92.725 | 8.01091 | 5.06409 |
73 | 106 | 105.006 | 92.8167 | 12.1891 | 0.994235 |
74 | 99.1 | 97.1817 | 92.8708 | 4.31091 | 1.91825 |
75 | 99.9 | 97.645 | 92.8792 | 4.76588 | 2.25496 |
76 | 88.1 | 89.1552 | 92.8708 | -3.71564 | -1.0552 |
77 | 87.8 | 88.3612 | 92.9583 | -4.59715 | -0.561188 |
78 | 87.1 | 85.8927 | 92.6875 | -6.7948 | 1.2073 |
79 | 85.9 | 86.82 | 92.275 | -5.45502 | -0.919981 |
80 | 86.5 | 87.0942 | 92.1208 | -5.02659 | -0.594245 |
81 | 84.1 | 86.3063 | 92.125 | -5.81874 | -2.20626 |
82 | 92.1 | 92.1621 | 92.3333 | -0.171196 | -0.0621375 |
83 | 93.3 | 94.8607 | 92.5583 | 2.30233 | -1.56067 |
84 | 98.9 | 100.694 | 92.6833 | 8.01091 | -1.79425 |
85 | 103 | 104.931 | 92.7417 | 12.1891 | -1.93076 |
86 | 98.4 | 97.1859 | 92.875 | 4.31091 | 1.21409 |
87 | 100.7 | 97.9117 | 93.1458 | 4.76588 | 2.78829 |
88 | 92.3 | 89.7594 | 93.475 | -3.71564 | 2.54064 |
89 | 89 | 89.4279 | 94.025 | -4.59715 | -0.427854 |
90 | 88.9 | 87.7427 | 94.5375 | -6.7948 | 1.1573 |
91 | 85.5 | 89.3825 | 94.8375 | -5.45502 | -3.88248 |
92 | 90.1 | 89.8442 | 94.8708 | -5.02659 | 0.255755 |
93 | 87 | 88.6854 | 94.5042 | -5.81874 | -1.68542 |
94 | 97.1 | 93.9288 | 94.1 | -0.171196 | 3.1712 |
95 | 101.5 | 96.1107 | 93.8083 | 2.30233 | 5.38933 |
96 | 103 | 101.561 | 93.55 | 8.01091 | 1.43909 |
97 | 106.1 | 105.743 | 93.5542 | 12.1891 | 0.356735 |
98 | 96.1 | 97.8984 | 93.5875 | 4.31091 | -1.79841 |
99 | 94.2 | 98.32 | 93.5542 | 4.76588 | -4.12004 |
100 | 89.1 | 89.8177 | 93.5333 | -3.71564 | -0.717698 |
101 | 85.2 | 88.5987 | 93.1958 | -4.59715 | -3.39869 |
102 | 86.5 | 86.2135 | 93.0083 | -6.7948 | 0.286469 |
103 | 88 | 87.7533 | 93.2083 | -5.45502 | 0.246686 |
104 | 88.4 | 88.2901 | 93.3167 | -5.02659 | 0.109921 |
105 | 87.9 | 87.6688 | 93.4875 | -5.81874 | 0.231245 |
106 | 95.7 | 93.4663 | 93.6375 | -0.171196 | 2.2337 |
107 | 94.8 | 96.1523 | 93.85 | 2.30233 | -1.35233 |
108 | 105.2 | 102.161 | 94.15 | 8.01091 | 3.03909 |
109 | 108.7 | 106.568 | 94.3792 | 12.1891 | 2.13174 |
110 | 96.1 | 99.2734 | 94.9625 | 4.31091 | -3.17341 |
111 | 98.3 | 100.595 | 95.8292 | 4.76588 | -2.29504 |
112 | 88.6 | 92.751 | 96.4667 | -3.71564 | -4.15103 |
113 | 90.8 | 92.2237 | 96.8208 | -4.59715 | -1.42369 |
114 | 88.1 | 90.4177 | 97.2125 | -6.7948 | -2.3177 |
115 | 91.9 | 92.2658 | 97.7208 | -5.45502 | -0.365814 |
116 | 98.5 | 93.3609 | 98.3875 | -5.02659 | 5.13909 |
117 | 98.6 | 93.3604 | 99.1792 | -5.81874 | 5.23958 |
118 | 100.3 | 99.658 | 99.8292 | -0.171196 | 0.642029 |
119 | 98.7 | 102.615 | 100.312 | 2.30233 | -3.91483 |
120 | 110.7 | 108.682 | 100.671 | 8.01091 | 2.01825 |
121 | 115.4 | 113.072 | 100.883 | 12.1891 | 2.32757 |
122 | 105.4 | 105.198 | 100.888 | 4.31091 | 0.201588 |
123 | 108 | 105.337 | 100.571 | 4.76588 | 2.66329 |
124 | 94.5 | 96.5094 | 100.225 | -3.71564 | -2.00936 |
125 | 96.5 | 95.6695 | 100.267 | -4.59715 | 0.830479 |
126 | 91 | 93.4219 | 100.217 | -6.7948 | -2.42186 |
127 | 94.1 | 94.2908 | 99.7458 | -5.45502 | -0.190814 |
128 | 96.4 | 94.1151 | 99.1417 | -5.02659 | 2.28492 |
129 | 93.1 | 92.6604 | 98.4792 | -5.81874 | 0.439578 |
130 | 97.5 | 97.8538 | 98.025 | -0.171196 | -0.353804 |
131 | 102.5 | 100.102 | 97.8 | 2.30233 | 2.39767 |
132 | 105.7 | 105.657 | 97.6458 | 8.01091 | 0.0432547 |
133 | 109.1 | 109.572 | 97.3833 | 12.1891 | -0.472432 |
134 | 97.2 | 101.369 | 97.0583 | 4.31091 | -4.16925 |
135 | 100.3 | 101.649 | 96.8833 | 4.76588 | -1.34921 |
136 | 91.3 | 92.926 | 96.6417 | -3.71564 | -1.62603 |
137 | 94.3 | 91.4862 | 96.0833 | -4.59715 | 2.81381 |
138 | 89.5 | 88.6885 | 95.4833 | -6.7948 | 0.811469 |
139 | 89.3 | 89.645 | 95.1 | -5.45502 | -0.344981 |
140 | 93.4 | 90.4776 | 95.5042 | -5.02659 | 2.92242 |
141 | 91.9 | 89.7896 | 95.6083 | -5.81874 | 2.11041 |
142 | 92.9 | 94.9496 | 95.1208 | -0.171196 | -2.04964 |
143 | 93.7 | 97.2023 | 94.9 | 2.30233 | -3.50233 |
144 | 100.1 | 102.523 | 94.5125 | 8.01091 | -2.42341 |
145 | 105.5 | 106.368 | 94.1792 | 12.1891 | -0.868265 |
146 | 110.5 | 97.9442 | 93.6333 | 4.31091 | 12.5558 |
147 | 89.5 | 97.6075 | 92.8417 | 4.76588 | -8.10754 |
148 | 90.4 | 88.2885 | 92.0042 | -3.71564 | 2.11147 |
149 | 89.9 | 86.6904 | 91.2875 | -4.59715 | 3.20965 |
150 | 84.6 | 84.0094 | 90.8042 | -6.7948 | 0.590635 |
151 | 86.2 | 84.8741 | 90.3292 | -5.45502 | 1.32585 |
152 | 83.4 | 84.4817 | 89.5083 | -5.02659 | -1.08175 |
153 | 82.9 | 83.5438 | 89.3625 | -5.81874 | -0.643755 |
154 | 81.8 | 89.3455 | 89.5167 | -0.171196 | -7.54547 |
155 | 87.6 | 91.2315 | 88.9292 | 2.30233 | -3.6315 |
156 | 94.6 | 96.7192 | 88.7083 | 8.01091 | -2.11925 |
157 | 99.6 | 101.189 | 89 | 12.1891 | -1.5891 |
158 | 96.7 | 93.5901 | 89.2792 | 4.31091 | 3.10992 |
159 | 99.8 | 94.1534 | 89.3875 | 4.76588 | 5.64662 |
160 | 83.8 | 86.2094 | 89.925 | -3.71564 | -2.40936 |
161 | 82.4 | 86.3654 | 90.9625 | -4.59715 | -3.96535 |
162 | 86.8 | 85.2177 | 92.0125 | -6.7948 | 1.5823 |
163 | 91 | 87.1241 | 92.5792 | -5.45502 | 3.87585 |
164 | 85.3 | 87.5484 | 92.575 | -5.02659 | -2.24841 |
165 | 83.6 | 86.4188 | 92.2375 | -5.81874 | -2.81876 |
166 | 94 | 91.5871 | 91.7583 | -0.171196 | 2.41286 |
167 | 100.3 | 93.8523 | 91.55 | 2.30233 | 6.44767 |
168 | 107.1 | 99.2317 | 91.2208 | 8.01091 | 7.86825 |
169 | 100.7 | 102.702 | 90.5125 | 12.1891 | -2.0016 |
170 | 95.5 | 94.0401 | 89.7292 | 4.31091 | 1.45992 |
171 | 92.9 | 93.67 | 88.9042 | 4.76588 | -0.770042 |
172 | 79.2 | 84.1844 | 87.9 | -3.71564 | -4.98436 |
173 | 82 | 81.9779 | 86.575 | -4.59715 | 0.0221456 |
174 | 79.3 | 78.3302 | 85.125 | -6.7948 | 0.969802 |
175 | 81.5 | 78.87 | 84.325 | -5.45502 | 2.63002 |
176 | 76 | 78.9401 | 83.9667 | -5.02659 | -2.94008 |
177 | 73.1 | 77.6313 | 83.45 | -5.81874 | -4.53126 |
178 | 80.4 | 82.9205 | 83.0917 | -0.171196 | -2.52047 |
179 | 82.1 | 84.9982 | 82.6958 | 2.30233 | -2.89817 |
180 | 90.5 | 90.1567 | 82.1458 | 8.01091 | 0.343255 |
181 | 98.1 | 93.7141 | 81.525 | 12.1891 | 4.3859 |
182 | 89.5 | 85.1817 | 80.8708 | 4.31091 | 4.31825 |
183 | 86.5 | 85.445 | 80.6792 | 4.76588 | 1.05496 |
184 | 77 | 77.1802 | 80.8958 | -3.71564 | -0.180198 |
185 | 74.7 | 76.7779 | 81.375 | -4.59715 | -2.07785 |
186 | 73.4 | 75.001 | 81.7958 | -6.7948 | -1.60103 |
187 | 72.5 | 76.9283 | 82.3833 | -5.45502 | -4.42831 |
188 | 69.3 | 78.3859 | 83.4125 | -5.02659 | -9.08591 |
189 | 75.2 | 78.9771 | 84.7958 | -5.81874 | -3.77709 |
190 | 83.5 | 86.2663 | 86.4375 | -0.171196 | -2.7663 |
191 | 90.5 | 89.919 | 87.6167 | 2.30233 | 0.581 |
192 | 92.2 | 96.3567 | 88.3458 | 8.01091 | -4.15675 |
193 | 110.5 | 101.427 | 89.2375 | 12.1891 | 9.0734 |
194 | 101.8 | 95.0442 | 90.7333 | 4.31091 | 6.75575 |
195 | 107.4 | 96.82 | 92.0542 | 4.76588 | 10.58 |
196 | 95.5 | 89.0969 | 92.8125 | -3.71564 | 6.40314 |
197 | 84.5 | 88.9404 | 93.5375 | -4.59715 | -4.44035 |
198 | 81.1 | 87.6177 | 94.4125 | -6.7948 | -6.5177 |
199 | 86.2 | 89.5741 | 95.0292 | -5.45502 | -3.37415 |
200 | 91.5 | 90.0484 | 95.075 | -5.02659 | 1.45159 |
201 | 84.7 | 88.9313 | 94.75 | -5.81874 | -4.23126 |
202 | 92.2 | 93.8663 | 94.0375 | -0.171196 | -1.6663 |
203 | 99.2 | 95.9773 | 93.675 | 2.30233 | 3.22267 |
204 | 104.5 | 102.211 | 94.2 | 8.01091 | 2.28909 |
205 | 113 | 107.189 | 95 | 12.1891 | 5.8109 |
206 | 100.4 | 99.8151 | 95.5042 | 4.31091 | 0.584921 |
207 | 101 | NA | NA | 4.76588 | NA |
208 | 84.8 | NA | NA | -3.71564 | NA |
209 | 86.5 | NA | NA | -4.59715 | NA |
210 | 91.7 | NA | NA | -6.7948 | NA |
211 | 94.8 | NA | NA | -5.45502 | NA |
212 | 95 | NA | NA | -5.02659 | NA |