Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[360])
348702.2-------
349784.8-------
350810.9-------
351755.6-------
352656.8-------
353615.1-------
354745.3-------
355694.1-------
356675.7-------
357643.7-------
358622.1-------
359634.6-------
360588-------
361689.7681.369627.6601737.28240.38510.99951e-040.9995
362673.9680.176601.1864764.03970.44170.41190.00110.9844
363647.9637.1722536.1433746.91650.4240.25590.01720.8101
364568.8570.0923453.4934700.01670.49220.12020.09540.3935
365545.7531.2292399.9718681.08090.42490.31160.13630.2289
366632.6648.2231482.6982838.10590.43590.8550.15820.7329
367643.8616.3527437.7032825.50180.39850.43950.23310.6048
368593.1584.6282395.3083810.87180.47070.30410.21510.4883
369579.7567.5684366.9867811.7080.46120.41880.27050.4349
370546545.6735336.4402805.25450.4990.39860.28190.3746
371562.9563.7748338.3257846.47550.49760.5490.31170.4333
372572.5551.2949317.2756849.5540.44460.46960.40470.4047


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPEsMAPESq.EMSERMSEScaledEMASE
3610.04190.01210.01210.012269.4056000.25010.2501
3620.0629-0.00930.01070.010739.388654.39717.3754-0.18840.2193
3630.08790.01660.01260.0127115.08574.62648.63870.32210.2535
3640.1163-0.00230.01010.01011.670156.38737.5091-0.03880.1998
3650.14390.02650.01330.0135209.40386.99049.32690.43440.2468
3660.1495-0.02470.01520.0153244.0813113.172210.6382-0.4690.2838
3670.17310.04260.01920.0193753.3531204.626714.30480.8240.361
3680.19740.01430.01850.018771.7712188.019713.7120.25430.3477
3690.21950.02090.01880.019147.1763183.481613.54550.36420.3495
3700.24276e-040.0170.01710.1066165.144112.85080.00980.3155
3710.2558-0.00160.01560.01570.7652150.200512.2556-0.02630.2892
3720.2760.0370.01740.0176449.6547175.155113.23460.63660.3182