Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1121 | 0 | 113 |
Trend | 19 | 0 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 2570 | 2630.29360380822 | -177.867757062839 | 2687.57415325462 | 60.2936038082157 |
2 | 2669 | 2788.95603340559 | -132.634465835204 | 2681.67843242961 | 119.95603340559 |
3 | 2450 | 2582.51836918338 | -358.301080787989 | 2675.7827116046 | 132.518369183384 |
4 | 2842 | 3145.31842716847 | -130.599099791317 | 2669.28067262285 | 303.318427168469 |
5 | 3440 | 4034.80901585495 | 182.41235050396 | 2662.77863364109 | 594.809015854951 |
6 | 2678 | 2670.61180337995 | 31.6056494844578 | 2653.78254713559 | -7.38819662004653 |
7 | 2981 | 2931.19247705487 | 386.021062315043 | 2644.78646063009 | -49.8075229451306 |
8 | 2260 | 1670.28671721433 | 228.001680995452 | 2621.71160179022 | -589.713282785667 |
9 | 2844 | 3066.26995534079 | 23.0933017088681 | 2598.63674295034 | 222.269955340789 |
10 | 2546 | 2328.02307563898 | 209.387700098903 | 2554.58922426212 | -217.976924361019 |
11 | 2456 | 2486.33214065021 | -84.8738462241003 | 2510.54170557389 | 30.3321406502109 |
12 | 2295 | 2293.12117890993 | -176.245604890543 | 2473.12442598061 | -1.87882109007069 |
13 | 2379 | 2500.1606106755 | -177.867757062839 | 2435.70714638734 | 121.160610675502 |
14 | 2471 | 2664.91728889739 | -132.634465835204 | 2409.71717693782 | 193.917288897387 |
15 | 2057 | 2088.57387329969 | -358.301080787989 | 2383.7272074883 | 31.5738732996924 |
16 | 2280 | 2326.27992103559 | -130.599099791317 | 2364.31917875573 | 46.2799210355879 |
17 | 2351 | 2174.67649947288 | 182.41235050396 | 2344.91115002316 | -176.32350052712 |
18 | 2276 | 2190.5665869475 | 31.6056494844578 | 2329.82776356804 | -85.4334130524994 |
19 | 2548 | 2395.23456057203 | 386.021062315043 | 2314.74437711292 | -152.765439427965 |
20 | 2311 | 2085.61494561812 | 228.001680995452 | 2308.38337338643 | -225.38505438188 |
21 | 2201 | 2076.8843286312 | 23.0933017088681 | 2302.02236965993 | -124.115671368802 |
22 | 2725 | 2933.24250642253 | 209.387700098903 | 2307.36979347857 | 208.24250642253 |
23 | 2408 | 2588.1566289269 | -84.8738462241003 | 2312.7172172972 | 180.1566289269 |
24 | 2139 | 2134.32563540706 | -176.245604890543 | 2319.91996948349 | -4.67436459294322 |
25 | 1898 | 1646.74503539307 | -177.867757062839 | 2327.12272166977 | -251.254964606933 |
26 | 2539 | 2883.87411140516 | -132.634465835204 | 2326.76035443005 | 344.874111405158 |
27 | 2070 | 2171.90309359767 | -358.301080787989 | 2326.39798719032 | 101.903093597671 |
28 | 2063 | 1935.39909644865 | -130.599099791317 | 2321.20000334267 | -127.600903551353 |
29 | 2565 | 2631.58563000102 | 182.41235050396 | 2316.00201949502 | 66.5856300010187 |
30 | 2443 | 2538.07218713143 | 31.6056494844578 | 2316.32216338412 | 95.0721871314254 |
31 | 2196 | 1689.33663041175 | 386.021062315043 | 2316.64230727321 | -506.663369588255 |
32 | 2799 | 3054.2441309499 | 228.001680995452 | 2315.75418805465 | 255.244130949903 |
33 | 2076 | 1814.04062945505 | 23.0933017088681 | 2314.86606883608 | -261.959370544947 |
34 | 2628 | 2748.81651388385 | 209.387700098903 | 2297.79578601725 | 120.816513883847 |
35 | 2292 | 2388.14834302568 | -84.8738462241003 | 2280.72550319842 | 96.1483430256785 |
36 | 2155 | 2239.86957136907 | -176.245604890543 | 2246.37603352147 | 84.8695713690736 |
37 | 2476 | 2917.84119321832 | -177.867757062839 | 2212.02656384452 | 441.841193218323 |
38 | 2138 | 2238.28211485733 | -132.634465835204 | 2170.35235097787 | 100.282114857333 |
39 | 1854 | 1937.62294267676 | -358.301080787989 | 2128.67813811123 | 83.6229426767636 |
40 | 2081 | 2196.08963363202 | -130.599099791317 | 2096.5094661593 | 115.089633632019 |
41 | 1795 | 1343.24685528867 | 182.41235050396 | 2064.34079420737 | -451.75314471133 |
42 | 1756 | 1428.24971565823 | 31.6056494844578 | 2052.14463485731 | -327.750284341771 |
43 | 2237 | 2048.0304621777 | 386.021062315043 | 2039.94847550726 | -188.969537822299 |
44 | 1960 | 1646.5670409596 | 228.001680995452 | 2045.43127804495 | -313.4329590404 |
45 | 1829 | 1583.99261770849 | 23.0933017088681 | 2050.91408058264 | -245.007382291508 |
46 | 2524 | 2769.81577863057 | 209.387700098903 | 2068.79652127053 | 245.815778630568 |
47 | 2077 | 2152.19488426568 | -84.8738462241003 | 2086.67896195842 | 75.1948842656811 |
48 | 2366 | 2784.1639676794 | -176.245604890543 | 2124.08163721114 | 418.163967679403 |
49 | 2185 | 2386.38344459898 | -177.867757062839 | 2161.48431246386 | 201.383444598977 |
50 | 2098 | 2100.40135482225 | -132.634465835204 | 2228.23311101296 | 2.40135482224741 |
51 | 1836 | 1735.31917122594 | -358.301080787989 | 2294.98190956205 | -100.680828774062 |
52 | 1863 | 1500.45095701964 | -130.599099791317 | 2356.14814277168 | -362.549042980361 |
53 | 2044 | 1488.27327351474 | 182.41235050396 | 2417.3143759813 | -555.726726485264 |
54 | 2136 | 1817.64719024225 | 31.6056494844578 | 2422.74716027329 | -318.35280975775 |
55 | 2931 | 3047.79899311968 | 386.021062315043 | 2428.17994456528 | 116.798993119678 |
56 | 3263 | 3900.92873904288 | 228.001680995452 | 2397.06957996167 | 637.928739042882 |
57 | 3328 | 4266.94748293308 | 23.0933017088681 | 2365.95921535805 | 938.947482933078 |
58 | 3570 | 4609.36765531023 | 209.387700098903 | 2321.24464459087 | 1039.36765531023 |
59 | 2313 | 2434.34377240041 | -84.8738462241003 | 2276.53007382369 | 121.343772400413 |
60 | 1623 | 1222.26671524005 | -176.245604890543 | 2199.97888965049 | -400.733284759945 |
61 | 1316 | 686.44005158555 | -177.867757062839 | 2123.42770547729 | -629.55994841445 |
62 | 1507 | 1125.11621781449 | -132.634465835204 | 2021.51824802071 | -381.883782185506 |
63 | 1419 | 1276.69229022386 | -358.301080787989 | 1919.60879056413 | -142.307709776142 |
64 | 1660 | 1596.41729252615 | -130.599099791317 | 1854.18180726517 | -63.582707473849 |
65 | 1790 | 1608.83282552984 | 182.41235050396 | 1788.7548239662 | -181.16717447016 |
66 | 1733 | 1636.47470457702 | 31.6056494844578 | 1797.91964593852 | -96.5252954229807 |
67 | 2086 | 1978.89446977411 | 386.021062315043 | 1807.08446791085 | -107.105530225889 |
68 | 1814 | 1549.19800207445 | 228.001680995452 | 1850.8003169301 | -264.80199792555 |
69 | 2241 | 2564.39053234178 | 23.0933017088681 | 1894.51616594935 | 323.39053234178 |
70 | 1943 | 1730.77847572175 | 209.387700098903 | 1945.83382417935 | -212.22152427825 |
71 | 1773 | 1633.72236381476 | -84.8738462241003 | 1997.15148240934 | -139.277636185243 |
72 | 2143 | 2417.87505143368 | -176.245604890543 | 2044.37055345687 | 274.875051433678 |
73 | 2087 | 2260.27813255845 | -177.867757062839 | 2091.58962450439 | 173.278132558452 |
74 | 1805 | 1625.14234864937 | -132.634465835204 | 2117.49211718583 | -179.85765135063 |
75 | 1913 | 2040.90647092071 | -358.301080787989 | 2143.39460986728 | 127.90647092071 |
76 | 2296 | 2575.63223122833 | -130.599099791317 | 2146.96686856299 | 279.632231228331 |
77 | 2500 | 2667.04852223735 | 182.41235050396 | 2150.53912725869 | 167.048522237348 |
78 | 2210 | 2246.84191179621 | 31.6056494844578 | 2141.55243871933 | 36.8419117962094 |
79 | 2526 | 2533.41318750498 | 386.021062315043 | 2132.56575017997 | 7.41318750498431 |
80 | 2249 | 2154.34265696973 | 228.001680995452 | 2115.65566203482 | -94.657343030271 |
81 | 2024 | 1926.16112440147 | 23.0933017088681 | 2098.74557388967 | -97.8388755985336 |
82 | 2091 | 1898.66213325915 | 209.387700098903 | 2073.95016664195 | -192.337866740851 |
83 | 2045 | 2125.71908682987 | -84.8738462241003 | 2049.15475939423 | 80.719086829869 |
84 | 1882 | 1917.08609272738 | -176.245604890543 | 2023.15951216317 | 35.0860927273766 |
85 | 1831 | 1842.70349213074 | -177.867757062839 | 1997.1642649321 | 11.7034921307381 |
86 | 1964 | 2084.10666780539 | -132.634465835204 | 1976.52779802981 | 120.106667805391 |
87 | 1763 | 1928.40974966047 | -358.301080787989 | 1955.89133112752 | 165.409749660466 |
88 | 1688 | 1564.26644633442 | -130.599099791317 | 1942.33265345689 | -123.733553665577 |
89 | 2149 | 2186.81367370978 | 182.41235050396 | 1928.77397578626 | 37.8136737097755 |
90 | 1823 | 1689.83449162413 | 31.6056494844578 | 1924.55985889141 | -133.165508375871 |
91 | 2094 | 1881.63319568839 | 386.021062315043 | 1920.34574199656 | -212.366804311606 |
92 | 2145 | 2130.75962854478 | 228.001680995452 | 1931.23869045977 | -14.240371455224 |
93 | 1791 | 1616.77505936815 | 23.0933017088681 | 1942.13163892298 | -174.22494063185 |
94 | 1996 | 1796.97182344392 | 209.387700098903 | 1985.64047645717 | -199.028176556076 |
95 | 2097 | 2249.72453223273 | -84.8738462241003 | 2029.14931399137 | 152.724532232735 |
96 | 1796 | 1652.61822395726 | -176.245604890543 | 2115.62738093328 | -143.381776042741 |
97 | 1963 | 1901.76230918764 | -177.867757062839 | 2202.1054478752 | -61.237690812362 |
98 | 2042 | 1944.74858040303 | -132.634465835204 | 2271.88588543218 | -97.2514195969729 |
99 | 1746 | 1508.63475779884 | -358.301080787989 | 2341.66632298915 | -237.365242201163 |
100 | 2210 | 2206.07653045431 | -130.599099791317 | 2344.522569337 | -3.92346954568529 |
101 | 2968 | 3406.20883381119 | 182.41235050396 | 2347.37881568485 | 438.208833811188 |
102 | 3126 | 3909.24230920246 | 31.6056494844578 | 2311.15204131308 | 783.242309202465 |
103 | 3708 | 4755.05367074365 | 386.021062315043 | 2274.9252669413 | 1047.05367074365 |
104 | 3015 | 3583.31614801489 | 228.001680995452 | 2218.68217098966 | 568.31614801489 |
105 | 1569 | 952.467623253118 | 23.0933017088681 | 2162.43907503801 | -616.532376746882 |
106 | 1518 | 689.480510523065 | 209.387700098903 | 2137.13178937803 | -828.519489476935 |
107 | 1393 | 759.04934250605 | -84.8738462241003 | 2111.82450371805 | -633.95065749395 |
108 | 1615 | 1311.02873472596 | -176.245604890543 | 2095.21687016458 | -303.971265274042 |
109 | 1777 | 1653.25852045172 | -177.867757062839 | 2078.60923661112 | -123.741479548279 |
110 | 1648 | 1363.68916189418 | -132.634465835204 | 2064.94530394103 | -284.310838105823 |
111 | 1463 | 1233.01970951706 | -358.301080787989 | 2051.28137127093 | -229.980290482945 |
112 | 1779 | 1649.40288849166 | -130.599099791317 | 2039.19621129965 | -129.597111508336 |