Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 2570 | NA | NA | -171.506 | NA |
2 | 2669 | NA | NA | -125.6 | NA |
3 | 2450 | NA | NA | -361.141 | NA |
4 | 2842 | NA | NA | -163.772 | NA |
5 | 3440 | NA | NA | 99.7441 | NA |
6 | 2678 | NA | NA | 26.4472 | NA |
7 | 2981 | 3039.99 | 2661.29 | 378.702 | -58.9935 |
8 | 2260 | 2866.52 | 2645.08 | 221.433 | -606.517 |
9 | 2844 | 2638.63 | 2620.46 | 18.1741 | 205.368 |
10 | 2546 | 2790.33 | 2580.67 | 209.665 | -244.332 |
11 | 2456 | 2512.11 | 2511.88 | 0.238908 | -56.1139 |
12 | 2295 | 2317.36 | 2449.75 | -132.386 | -22.3639 |
13 | 2379 | 2243.45 | 2414.96 | -171.506 | 135.548 |
14 | 2471 | 2273.44 | 2399.04 | -125.6 | 197.558 |
15 | 2057 | 2013.23 | 2374.38 | -361.141 | 43.7663 |
16 | 2280 | 2191.27 | 2355.04 | -163.772 | 88.7298 |
17 | 2351 | 2460.24 | 2360.5 | 99.7441 | -109.244 |
18 | 2276 | 2378.45 | 2352 | 26.4472 | -102.447 |
19 | 2548 | 2704.16 | 2325.46 | 378.702 | -156.16 |
20 | 2311 | 2529.68 | 2308.25 | 221.433 | -218.683 |
21 | 2201 | 2329.8 | 2311.63 | 18.1741 | -128.799 |
22 | 2725 | 2512.79 | 2303.12 | 209.665 | 212.21 |
23 | 2408 | 2303.24 | 2303 | 0.238908 | 104.761 |
24 | 2139 | 2186.49 | 2318.88 | -132.386 | -47.4889 |
25 | 1898 | 2139.66 | 2311.17 | -171.506 | -241.661 |
26 | 2539 | 2191.23 | 2316.83 | -125.6 | 347.766 |
27 | 2070 | 1970.82 | 2331.96 | -361.141 | 99.183 |
28 | 2063 | 2158.94 | 2322.71 | -163.772 | -95.9368 |
29 | 2565 | 2413.58 | 2313.83 | 99.7441 | 151.423 |
30 | 2443 | 2336.11 | 2309.67 | 26.4472 | 106.886 |
31 | 2196 | 2713.12 | 2334.42 | 378.702 | -517.119 |
32 | 2799 | 2563.23 | 2341.79 | 221.433 | 235.775 |
33 | 2076 | 2334.26 | 2316.08 | 18.1741 | -258.257 |
34 | 2628 | 2517.5 | 2307.83 | 209.665 | 110.502 |
35 | 2292 | 2276.74 | 2276.5 | 0.238908 | 15.2611 |
36 | 2155 | 2083.41 | 2215.79 | -132.386 | 71.5944 |
37 | 2476 | 2017.37 | 2188.88 | -171.506 | 458.631 |
38 | 2138 | 2030.03 | 2155.62 | -125.6 | 107.975 |
39 | 1854 | 1749.23 | 2110.38 | -361.141 | 104.766 |
40 | 2081 | 1931.98 | 2095.75 | -163.772 | 149.022 |
41 | 1795 | 2182.2 | 2082.46 | 99.7441 | -387.202 |
42 | 1756 | 2108.74 | 2082.29 | 26.4472 | -352.739 |
43 | 2237 | 2457.66 | 2078.96 | 378.702 | -220.66 |
44 | 1960 | 2286.6 | 2065.17 | 221.433 | -326.6 |
45 | 1829 | 2080.92 | 2062.75 | 18.1741 | -251.924 |
46 | 2524 | 2262.58 | 2052.92 | 209.665 | 261.418 |
47 | 2077 | 2054.45 | 2054.21 | 0.238908 | 22.5528 |
48 | 2366 | 1948.03 | 2080.42 | -132.386 | 417.969 |
49 | 2185 | 1953.66 | 2125.17 | -171.506 | 231.339 |
50 | 2098 | 2082.78 | 2208.37 | -125.6 | 15.2246 |
51 | 1836 | 1963.98 | 2325.12 | -361.141 | -127.984 |
52 | 1863 | 2267.4 | 2431.17 | -163.772 | -404.395 |
53 | 2044 | 2584.33 | 2484.58 | 99.7441 | -540.327 |
54 | 2136 | 2489.91 | 2463.46 | 26.4472 | -353.906 |
55 | 2931 | 2774.99 | 2396.29 | 378.702 | 156.006 |
56 | 3263 | 2556.89 | 2335.46 | 221.433 | 706.108 |
57 | 3328 | 2311.63 | 2293.46 | 18.1741 | 1016.37 |
58 | 3570 | 2477.29 | 2267.62 | 209.665 | 1092.71 |
59 | 2313 | 2248.82 | 2248.58 | 0.238908 | 64.1778 |
60 | 1623 | 2088.82 | 2221.21 | -132.386 | -465.822 |
61 | 1316 | 1997.7 | 2169.21 | -171.506 | -681.702 |
62 | 1507 | 1948.03 | 2073.62 | -125.6 | -441.025 |
63 | 1419 | 1606.82 | 1967.96 | -361.141 | -187.817 |
64 | 1660 | 1691.1 | 1854.87 | -163.772 | -31.1035 |
65 | 1790 | 1864.33 | 1764.58 | 99.7441 | -74.3274 |
66 | 1733 | 1790.2 | 1763.75 | 26.4472 | -57.1972 |
67 | 2086 | 2196.24 | 1817.54 | 378.702 | -110.244 |
68 | 1814 | 2083.52 | 1862.08 | 221.433 | -269.517 |
69 | 2241 | 1913.26 | 1895.08 | 18.1741 | 327.743 |
70 | 1943 | 2151.83 | 1942.17 | 209.665 | -208.832 |
71 | 1773 | 1998.49 | 1998.25 | 0.238908 | -225.489 |
72 | 2143 | 1915.32 | 2047.71 | -132.386 | 227.678 |
73 | 2087 | 1914.41 | 2085.92 | -171.506 | 172.589 |
74 | 1805 | 1996.78 | 2122.38 | -125.6 | -191.775 |
75 | 1913 | 1770.32 | 2131.46 | -361.141 | 142.683 |
76 | 2296 | 1964.81 | 2128.58 | -163.772 | 331.188 |
77 | 2500 | 2245.83 | 2146.08 | 99.7441 | 254.173 |
78 | 2210 | 2172.99 | 2146.54 | 26.4472 | 37.0111 |
79 | 2526 | 2503.7 | 2125 | 378.702 | 22.2981 |
80 | 2249 | 2342.39 | 2120.96 | 221.433 | -93.3917 |
81 | 2024 | 2139.51 | 2121.33 | 18.1741 | -115.507 |
82 | 2091 | 2299.41 | 2089.75 | 209.665 | -208.415 |
83 | 2045 | 2050.03 | 2049.79 | 0.238908 | -5.03057 |
84 | 1882 | 1886.66 | 2019.04 | -132.386 | -4.65557 |
85 | 1831 | 1813.41 | 1984.92 | -171.506 | 17.5892 |
86 | 1964 | 1836.98 | 1962.58 | -125.6 | 127.016 |
87 | 1763 | 1587.4 | 1948.54 | -361.141 | 175.6 |
88 | 1688 | 1771.1 | 1934.88 | -163.772 | -83.1035 |
89 | 2149 | 2032.83 | 1933.08 | 99.7441 | 116.173 |
90 | 1823 | 1958.11 | 1931.67 | 26.4472 | -135.114 |
91 | 2094 | 2312.29 | 1933.58 | 378.702 | -218.285 |
92 | 2145 | 2163.77 | 1942.33 | 221.433 | -18.7667 |
93 | 1791 | 1963.05 | 1944.88 | 18.1741 | -172.049 |
94 | 1996 | 2175.58 | 1965.92 | 209.665 | -179.582 |
95 | 2097 | 2022.03 | 2021.79 | 0.238908 | 74.9694 |
96 | 1796 | 1977.82 | 2110.21 | -132.386 | -181.822 |
97 | 1963 | 2060.24 | 2231.75 | -171.506 | -97.2441 |
98 | 2042 | 2209.65 | 2335.25 | -125.6 | -167.65 |
99 | 1746 | 2001.11 | 2362.25 | -361.141 | -255.109 |
100 | 2210 | 2169.31 | 2333.08 | -163.772 | 40.6882 |
101 | 2968 | 2383.58 | 2283.83 | 99.7441 | 584.423 |
102 | 3126 | 2273.41 | 2246.96 | 26.4472 | 852.594 |
103 | 3708 | 2610.37 | 2231.67 | 378.702 | 1097.63 |
104 | 3015 | 2428.93 | 2207.5 | 221.433 | 586.067 |
105 | 1569 | 2197.47 | 2179.29 | 18.1741 | -628.466 |
106 | 1518 | 2359.21 | 2149.54 | 209.665 | -841.207 |
107 | 1393 | NA | NA | 0.238908 | NA |
108 | 1615 | NA | NA | -132.386 | NA |
109 | 1777 | NA | NA | -171.506 | NA |
110 | 1648 | NA | NA | -125.6 | NA |
111 | 1463 | NA | NA | -361.141 | NA |
112 | 1779 | NA | NA | -163.772 | NA |