| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 57.8 | NA | NA | -5.56264 | NA |
| 2 | 65.2 | NA | NA | -2.86852 | NA |
| 3 | 74.5 | NA | NA | 9.48201 | NA |
| 4 | 64.5 | NA | NA | 0.489565 | NA |
| 5 | 73.1 | NA | NA | -0.661476 | NA |
| 6 | 71.3 | NA | NA | 8.21847 | NA |
| 7 | 56.7 | 59.6011 | 68.6542 | -9.05308 | -2.90109 |
| 8 | 62.5 | 59.1026 | 69.6125 | -10.5099 | 3.39744 |
| 9 | 75.3 | 77.581 | 70.2167 | 7.36432 | -2.28099 |
| 10 | 73.9 | 77.3048 | 70.75 | 6.55476 | -3.40476 |
| 11 | 74.6 | 71.3418 | 71.1375 | 0.204271 | 3.25823 |
| 12 | 67.1 | 67.9756 | 71.6333 | -3.65774 | -0.875595 |
| 13 | 72.5 | 66.6749 | 72.2375 | -5.56264 | 5.82514 |
| 14 | 73.5 | 69.719 | 72.5875 | -2.86852 | 3.78102 |
| 15 | 80.7 | 82.1237 | 72.6417 | 9.48201 | -1.42368 |
| 16 | 71.1 | 73.2104 | 72.7208 | 0.489565 | -2.1104 |
| 17 | 75.8 | 72.1094 | 72.7708 | -0.661476 | 3.69064 |
| 18 | 80.5 | 80.7185 | 72.5 | 8.21847 | -0.218472 |
| 19 | 62 | 63.1261 | 72.1792 | -9.05308 | -1.12609 |
| 20 | 65.6 | 61.3442 | 71.8542 | -10.5099 | 4.25578 |
| 21 | 73.5 | 78.881 | 71.5167 | 7.36432 | -5.38099 |
| 22 | 77.6 | 78.0756 | 71.5208 | 6.55476 | -0.475595 |
| 23 | 72.1 | 71.7751 | 71.5708 | 0.204271 | 0.324895 |
| 24 | 63.1 | 67.5839 | 71.2417 | -3.65774 | -4.48393 |
| 25 | 68.8 | 65.629 | 71.1917 | -5.56264 | 3.17097 |
| 26 | 69.4 | 68.3648 | 71.2333 | -2.86852 | 1.03519 |
| 27 | 76.7 | 80.7112 | 71.2292 | 9.48201 | -4.01118 |
| 28 | 75.2 | 71.9646 | 71.475 | 0.489565 | 3.23543 |
| 29 | 72.9 | 70.951 | 71.6125 | -0.661476 | 1.94898 |
| 30 | 75.5 | 79.9518 | 71.7333 | 8.21847 | -4.45181 |
| 31 | 65.8 | 62.9303 | 71.9833 | -9.05308 | 2.86975 |
| 32 | 62.8 | 61.6776 | 72.1875 | -10.5099 | 1.12244 |
| 33 | 76.2 | 79.6685 | 72.3042 | 7.36432 | -3.46849 |
| 34 | 80.8 | 78.9131 | 72.3583 | 6.55476 | 1.88691 |
| 35 | 72.2 | 72.4668 | 72.2625 | 0.204271 | -0.266771 |
| 36 | 65.9 | 68.5631 | 72.2208 | -3.65774 | -2.66309 |
| 37 | 72 | 66.7915 | 72.3542 | -5.56264 | 5.20847 |
| 38 | 71.1 | 69.494 | 72.3625 | -2.86852 | 1.60602 |
| 39 | 77.8 | 81.9903 | 72.5083 | 9.48201 | -4.19035 |
| 40 | 75.4 | 73.2354 | 72.7458 | 0.489565 | 2.1646 |
| 41 | 70.4 | 72.1052 | 72.7667 | -0.661476 | -1.70519 |
| 42 | 77 | 81.4351 | 73.2167 | 8.21847 | -4.43514 |
| 43 | 67.5 | 64.5053 | 73.5583 | -9.05308 | 2.99475 |
| 44 | 61.3 | 63.0817 | 73.5917 | -10.5099 | -1.78172 |
| 45 | 81.2 | 81.5393 | 74.175 | 7.36432 | -0.33932 |
| 46 | 81.5 | 81.3964 | 74.8417 | 6.55476 | 0.103572 |
| 47 | 72 | 75.4584 | 75.2542 | 0.204271 | -3.45844 |
| 48 | 76.9 | 72.3298 | 75.9875 | -3.65774 | 4.57024 |
| 49 | 69.2 | 71.2124 | 76.775 | -5.56264 | -2.01236 |
| 50 | 74.7 | 74.6398 | 77.5083 | -2.86852 | 0.0601894 |
| 51 | 88.2 | 87.882 | 78.4 | 9.48201 | 0.317987 |
| 52 | 81 | 79.5646 | 79.075 | 0.489565 | 1.43543 |
| 53 | 74.7 | 79.2344 | 79.8958 | -0.661476 | -4.53436 |
| 54 | 90.3 | 89.0935 | 80.875 | 8.21847 | 1.20653 |
| 55 | 73.1 | 72.7469 | 81.8 | -9.05308 | 0.353082 |
| 56 | 73.3 | 71.9942 | 82.5042 | -10.5099 | 1.30578 |
| 57 | 90.6 | 90.1977 | 82.8333 | 7.36432 | 0.402346 |
| 58 | 88.3 | 89.7423 | 83.1875 | 6.55476 | -1.44226 |
| 59 | 84.9 | 83.9084 | 83.7042 | 0.204271 | 0.991562 |
| 60 | 87.5 | 80.4839 | 84.1417 | -3.65774 | 7.01607 |
| 61 | 80.8 | 78.6499 | 84.2125 | -5.56264 | 2.15014 |
| 62 | 80 | 81.2856 | 84.1542 | -2.86852 | -1.28564 |
| 63 | 90.8 | 93.782 | 84.3 | 9.48201 | -2.98201 |
| 64 | 86.9 | 84.8562 | 84.3667 | 0.489565 | 2.04377 |
| 65 | 81.2 | 83.876 | 84.5375 | -0.661476 | -2.67602 |
| 66 | 94.3 | 93.0226 | 84.8042 | 8.21847 | 1.27736 |
| 67 | 70.8 | 75.9511 | 85.0042 | -9.05308 | -5.15109 |
| 68 | 74.2 | 74.9151 | 85.425 | -10.5099 | -0.715056 |
| 69 | 93.2 | 93.5102 | 86.1458 | 7.36432 | -0.310154 |
| 70 | 87.3 | 93.0756 | 86.5208 | 6.55476 | -5.77559 |
| 71 | 90 | 87.1668 | 86.9625 | 0.204271 | 2.83323 |
| 72 | 88.8 | 84.0298 | 87.6875 | -3.65774 | 4.77024 |
| 73 | 84.3 | 82.579 | 88.1417 | -5.56264 | 1.72097 |
| 74 | 86.6 | 85.7606 | 88.6292 | -2.86852 | 0.839356 |
| 75 | 101.5 | 98.5653 | 89.0833 | 9.48201 | 2.93465 |
| 76 | 85.2 | 90.3687 | 89.8792 | 0.489565 | -5.16873 |
| 77 | 93.5 | 90.1052 | 90.7667 | -0.661476 | 3.39481 |
| 78 | 99.4 | 99.406 | 91.1875 | 8.21847 | -0.00597171 |
| 79 | 76.6 | 82.5844 | 91.6375 | -9.05308 | -5.98442 |
| 80 | 80.1 | 81.6526 | 92.1625 | -10.5099 | -1.55256 |
| 81 | 98.2 | 99.8643 | 92.5 | 7.36432 | -1.66432 |
| 82 | 101.4 | 99.5298 | 92.975 | 6.55476 | 1.87024 |
| 83 | 97.2 | 93.6918 | 93.4875 | 0.204271 | 3.50823 |
| 84 | 91.7 | 90.3423 | 94 | -3.65774 | 1.35774 |
| 85 | 92.2 | 89.3415 | 94.9042 | -5.56264 | 2.85847 |
| 86 | 91.3 | 92.994 | 95.8625 | -2.86852 | -1.69398 |
| 87 | 104.9 | 105.89 | 96.4083 | 9.48201 | -0.990347 |
| 88 | 93.2 | 97.5354 | 97.0458 | 0.489565 | -4.3354 |
| 89 | 97.8 | 97.0469 | 97.7083 | -0.661476 | 0.753143 |
| 90 | 107.4 | 106.218 | 98 | 8.21847 | 1.18153 |
| 91 | 90.3 | 89.4178 | 98.4708 | -9.05308 | 0.882248 |
| 92 | 89.4 | 88.8609 | 99.3708 | -10.5099 | 0.539111 |
| 93 | 102 | 107.339 | 99.975 | 7.36432 | -5.33932 |
| 94 | 112.9 | 107.321 | 100.767 | 6.55476 | 5.57857 |
| 95 | 101.6 | 101.875 | 101.671 | 0.204271 | -0.275105 |
| 96 | 94.3 | 98.3839 | 102.042 | -3.65774 | -4.08393 |
| 97 | 100.9 | 97.004 | 102.567 | -5.56264 | 3.89597 |
| 98 | 104.2 | 99.9481 | 102.817 | -2.86852 | 4.25186 |
| 99 | 106.5 | 112.715 | 103.233 | 9.48201 | -6.21535 |
| 100 | 110.6 | 104.115 | 103.625 | 0.489565 | 6.48543 |
| 101 | 102.1 | 102.451 | 103.112 | -0.661476 | -0.351024 |
| 102 | 112 | 110.873 | 102.654 | 8.21847 | 1.12736 |
| 103 | 98.3 | 92.6219 | 101.675 | -9.05308 | 5.67808 |
| 104 | 87.4 | 89.3401 | 99.85 | -10.5099 | -1.94006 |
| 105 | 114 | 105.768 | 98.4042 | 7.36432 | 8.23151 |
| 106 | 110.3 | 103.296 | 96.7417 | 6.55476 | 7.00357 |
| 107 | 91.9 | 95.2376 | 95.0333 | 0.204271 | -3.3376 |
| 108 | 93 | 90.0173 | 93.675 | -3.65774 | 2.98274 |
| 109 | 78.7 | 86.529 | 92.0917 | -5.56264 | -7.82903 |
| 110 | 82.6 | 87.9815 | 90.85 | -2.86852 | -5.38148 |
| 111 | 93.4 | 99.1528 | 89.6708 | 9.48201 | -5.75285 |
| 112 | 83.8 | 88.7479 | 88.2583 | 0.489565 | -4.9479 |
| 113 | 87.9 | 86.8969 | 87.5583 | -0.661476 | 1.00314 |
| 114 | 93.6 | 95.4976 | 87.2792 | 8.21847 | -1.89764 |
| 115 | 78.7 | 78.2553 | 87.3083 | -9.05308 | 0.444748 |
| 116 | 77.2 | 77.5484 | 88.0583 | -10.5099 | -0.348389 |
| 117 | 95.9 | 96.5477 | 89.1833 | 7.36432 | -0.647654 |
| 118 | 94.5 | 96.8964 | 90.3417 | 6.55476 | -2.39643 |
| 119 | 90.9 | 91.3501 | 91.1458 | 0.204271 | -0.450105 |
| 120 | 87.3 | 88.5923 | 92.25 | -3.65774 | -1.29226 |
| 121 | 85.1 | 87.9999 | 93.5625 | -5.56264 | -2.89986 |
| 122 | 94.2 | 91.7356 | 94.6042 | -2.86852 | 2.46436 |
| 123 | 108.8 | 105.236 | 95.7542 | 9.48201 | 3.56382 |
| 124 | 96.2 | 97.3812 | 96.8917 | 0.489565 | -1.18123 |
| 125 | 94.8 | 97.3885 | 98.05 | -0.661476 | -2.58852 |
| 126 | 113.2 | 107.556 | 99.3375 | 8.21847 | 5.64403 |
| 127 | 90.6 | 91.4553 | 100.508 | -9.05308 | -0.855252 |
| 128 | 90.3 | 90.9401 | 101.45 | -10.5099 | -0.640056 |
| 129 | 110.4 | 110.064 | 102.7 | 7.36432 | 0.33568 |
| 130 | 107.3 | 110.426 | 103.871 | 6.55476 | -3.12559 |
| 131 | 105.9 | 105.213 | 105.008 | 0.204271 | 0.687395 |
| 132 | 103.2 | 102.001 | 105.658 | -3.65774 | 1.19941 |
| 133 | 97.3 | 100.008 | 105.571 | -5.56264 | -2.70819 |
| 134 | 104.6 | 103.177 | 106.046 | -2.86852 | 1.42269 |
| 135 | 128.4 | 116.203 | 106.721 | 9.48201 | 12.1972 |
| 136 | 104.7 | 107.444 | 106.954 | 0.489565 | -2.74373 |
| 137 | 113.6 | 106.218 | 106.879 | -0.661476 | 7.38231 |
| 138 | 110 | 114.952 | 106.733 | 8.21847 | -4.95181 |
| 139 | 91.7 | 97.6719 | 106.725 | -9.05308 | -5.97192 |
| 140 | 100.6 | 96.2067 | 106.717 | -10.5099 | 4.39328 |
| 141 | 116.3 | 113.827 | 106.462 | 7.36432 | 2.47318 |
| 142 | 107 | 112.605 | 106.05 | 6.55476 | -5.60476 |
| 143 | 104.4 | 105.517 | 105.313 | 0.204271 | -1.11677 |
| 144 | 101.2 | 101.234 | 104.892 | -3.65774 | -0.0339282 |
| 145 | 99.1 | 99.6332 | 105.196 | -5.56264 | -0.533193 |
| 146 | 102.6 | 102.386 | 105.254 | -2.86852 | 0.214356 |
| 147 | 124.3 | 114.274 | 104.792 | 9.48201 | 10.0263 |
| 148 | 98.9 | 105.185 | 104.696 | 0.489565 | -6.2854 |
| 149 | 101.7 | 104.226 | 104.887 | -0.661476 | -2.52602 |
| 150 | 111.8 | 112.756 | 104.538 | 8.21847 | -0.955972 |
| 151 | 97.2 | 95.0553 | 104.108 | -9.05308 | 2.14475 |
| 152 | 96.5 | 93.2609 | 103.771 | -10.5099 | 3.23911 |
| 153 | 109.3 | 110.298 | 102.933 | 7.36432 | -0.997654 |
| 154 | 111.7 | 109.301 | 102.746 | 6.55476 | 2.39941 |
| 155 | 104.3 | 103.525 | 103.321 | 0.204271 | 0.774895 |
| 156 | 92.9 | 99.8714 | 103.529 | -3.65774 | -6.97143 |
| 157 | 97.1 | 98.2332 | 103.796 | -5.56264 | -1.13319 |
| 158 | 96.5 | 100.99 | 103.858 | -2.86852 | -4.48981 |
| 159 | 110.3 | 113.211 | 103.729 | 9.48201 | -2.91118 |
| 160 | 108.4 | 104.502 | 104.012 | 0.489565 | 3.89793 |
| 161 | 106 | 103.689 | 104.35 | -0.661476 | 2.31148 |
| 162 | 112.5 | 112.927 | 104.708 | 8.21847 | -0.426805 |
| 163 | 102.9 | 96.1136 | 105.167 | -9.05308 | 6.78641 |
| 164 | 92.3 | 95.2234 | 105.733 | -10.5099 | -2.92339 |
| 165 | 110.4 | 113.602 | 106.237 | 7.36432 | -3.20182 |
| 166 | 117.4 | 113.059 | 106.504 | 6.55476 | 4.34107 |
| 167 | 106.7 | 106.921 | 106.717 | 0.204271 | -0.220938 |
| 168 | 99.1 | 103.28 | 106.938 | -3.65774 | -4.17976 |
| 169 | 101.9 | 101.417 | 106.979 | -5.56264 | 0.483474 |
| 170 | 105.3 | 103.977 | 106.846 | -2.86852 | 1.32269 |
| 171 | 113.6 | 116.786 | 107.304 | 9.48201 | -3.18618 |
| 172 | 111.5 | 108.36 | 107.871 | 0.489565 | 3.1396 |
| 173 | 108 | 107.272 | 107.933 | -0.661476 | 0.728143 |
| 174 | 115.8 | 116.339 | 108.121 | 8.21847 | -0.539305 |
| 175 | 100.6 | 99.2678 | 108.321 | -9.05308 | 1.33225 |
| 176 | 91.4 | 97.6192 | 108.129 | -10.5099 | -6.21922 |
| 177 | 122.3 | 115.631 | 108.267 | 7.36432 | 6.66901 |
| 178 | 119.1 | 115.159 | 108.604 | 6.55476 | 3.94107 |
| 179 | 106.5 | 108.625 | 108.421 | 0.204271 | -2.1251 |
| 180 | 103.8 | 104.696 | 108.354 | -3.65774 | -0.896428 |
| 181 | 102 | 102.896 | 108.458 | -5.56264 | -0.895693 |
| 182 | 100.6 | 105.756 | 108.625 | -2.86852 | -5.15648 |
| 183 | 121.6 | 118.257 | 108.775 | 9.48201 | 3.34299 |
| 184 | 111.6 | 109.16 | 108.671 | 0.489565 | 2.4396 |
| 185 | 103.5 | 108.109 | 108.771 | -0.661476 | -4.60936 |
| 186 | 118.7 | 117.16 | 108.942 | 8.21847 | 1.53986 |
| 187 | 100.2 | 99.8219 | 108.875 | -9.05308 | 0.378082 |
| 188 | 95.8 | 98.6026 | 109.112 | -10.5099 | -2.80256 |
| 189 | 121.5 | 116.685 | 109.321 | 7.36432 | 4.81485 |
| 190 | 117.4 | 115.826 | 109.271 | 6.55476 | 1.57441 |
| 191 | 110.6 | 109.675 | 109.471 | 0.204271 | 0.924895 |
| 192 | 103.8 | 106.217 | 109.875 | -3.65774 | -2.41726 |
| 193 | 100.4 | 104.567 | 110.129 | -5.56264 | -4.16653 |
| 194 | 107.9 | 107.511 | 110.379 | -2.86852 | 0.389356 |
| 195 | 119.3 | 120.053 | 110.571 | 9.48201 | -0.752847 |
| 196 | 112.7 | 110.802 | 110.313 | 0.489565 | 1.89793 |
| 197 | 107.2 | 109.455 | 110.117 | -0.661476 | -2.25519 |
| 198 | 124.7 | 118.827 | 110.608 | 8.21847 | 5.87319 |
| 199 | 100.3 | 102.209 | 111.262 | -9.05308 | -1.90942 |
| 200 | 101.7 | 101.065 | 111.575 | -10.5099 | 0.634944 |
| 201 | 120.2 | 119.531 | 112.167 | 7.36432 | 0.669013 |
| 202 | 112.5 | 119.009 | 112.454 | 6.55476 | -6.50893 |
| 203 | 110.8 | 112.888 | 112.683 | 0.204271 | -2.0876 |
| 204 | 115.4 | 109.434 | 113.092 | -3.65774 | 5.96607 |
| 205 | 104.5 | 107.671 | 113.233 | -5.56264 | -3.17069 |
| 206 | 111.3 | 110.715 | 113.583 | -2.86852 | 0.585189 |
| 207 | 130.1 | NA | NA | 9.48201 | NA |
| 208 | 108.8 | NA | NA | 0.489565 | NA |
| 209 | 116.6 | NA | NA | -0.661476 | NA |
| 210 | 125.1 | NA | NA | 8.21847 | NA |
| 211 | 103.3 | NA | NA | -9.05308 | NA |
| 212 | 107.1 | NA | NA | -10.5099 | NA |
