Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[88])
82	2091	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
83	2045	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
84	1882	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	1831	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
86	1964	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
87	1763	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
88	1688	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
89	2149	1963.0077	1338.5028	2587.5127	0.2797	0.806	0.3985	0.806
90	1823	1989.1111	1249.6637	2728.5586	0.3299	0.3359	0.6118	0.7876
91	2094	2140.7403	1355.6818	2925.7988	0.4536	0.7862	0.7803	0.8708
92	2145	2100.7301	1293.2585	2908.2016	0.4572	0.5065	0.63	0.8418
93	1791	2185.9965	1365.5269	3006.4661	0.1727	0.539	0.8439	0.8829
94	1996	2195.1317	1365.8764	3024.387	0.3189	0.8303	0.8847	0.8847
95	2097	2007.4105	1174.5892	2840.2319	0.4165	0.5107	0.3695	0.7739
96	1796	2031.3577	1194.8588	2867.8565	0.2907	0.4389	0.6873	0.7895
97	1963	1908.7129	1068.654	2748.7718	0.4496	0.6037	0.3328	0.6967
98	2042	1965.231	1121.1881	2809.2738	0.4293	0.5021	0.3382	0.7401
99	1746	1889.6091	1041.5728	2737.6454	0.37	0.3623	0.5901	0.6794
100	2210	1885.9702	1033.951	2737.9895	0.228	0.6263	0.4001	0.6756
101	2968	2076.5951	1217.4033	2935.7868	0.021	0.3804	0.4814	0.8123
102	3126	2054.4959	1189.54	2919.4519	0.0076	0.0192	0.721	0.7969
103	3708	2178.021	1308.227	3047.8151	3e-04	0.0163	0.686	0.8653
104	3015	2122.1801	1247.6309	2996.7294	0.0227	2e-04	0.5713	0.8347
105	1569	2198.0465	1318.9666	3077.1264	0.0804	0.0343	0.8432	0.8723
106	1518	2201.8796	1318.4116	3085.3476	0.0646	0.9198	0.4928	0.8729
107	1393	2011.6252	1126.2391	2897.0114	0.0854	0.8627	0.0171	0.7631
108	1615	2033.7606	1145.8081	2921.7131	0.1777	0.9214	0.008	0.7773
109	1777	1910.4393	1019.6677	2801.2108	0.3845	0.7422	0	0.6877
110	1648	1966.2271	1072.0143	2860.4398	0.2427	0.6608	0.0108	0.729
111	1463	1890.4751	992.6759	2788.2743	0.1754	0.7017	0.7586	0.6708
112	1779	1886.6544	985.1979	2788.1108	0.4075	0.8215	0.7886	0.6671

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	sMAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE	ScaledE	MASE
89	0.1623	0.0865	0.0865	0.0905	34593.1181	0	0	0.5748	0.5748
90	0.1897	-0.0911	0.0888	0.0888	27592.9138	31093.016	176.3321	-0.5134	0.5441
91	0.1871	-0.0223	0.0667	0.0666	2184.6558	21456.8959	146.4817	-0.1445	0.4109
92	0.1961	0.0206	0.0552	0.0551	1959.8281	16582.6289	128.7736	0.1368	0.3424
93	0.1915	-0.2205	0.0882	0.0838	156022.2454	44470.5522	210.8804	-1.2208	0.518
94	0.1927	-0.0998	0.0902	0.0857	39653.4225	43667.6973	208.9682	-0.6154	0.5343
95	0.2117	0.0427	0.0834	0.0797	8026.2741	38576.0654	196.4079	0.2769	0.4975
96	0.2101	-0.131	0.0893	0.0851	55393.2461	40678.213	201.6884	-0.7274	0.5262
97	0.2245	0.0277	0.0825	0.0788	2947.0893	36485.8659	191.0127	0.1678	0.4864
98	0.2191	0.0376	0.078	0.0747	5893.4814	33426.6275	182.8295	0.2373	0.4615
99	0.229	-0.0823	0.0784	0.0751	20623.5807	32262.7141	179.6182	-0.4438	0.4599
100	0.2305	0.1466	0.0841	0.082	104995.2952	38323.7625	195.7646	1.0014	0.505
101	0.2111	0.3003	0.1007	0.1029	794602.7488	96499.0692	310.643	2.7549	0.6781
102	0.2148	0.3428	0.118	0.1251	1148120.9331	171614.9166	414.2643	3.3116	0.8662
103	0.2038	0.4126	0.1376	0.1514	2340835.5933	316229.6284	562.343	4.7285	1.1237
104	0.2103	0.2961	0.1475	0.1637	797127.3238	346285.7343	588.4605	2.7593	1.2259
105	0.204	-0.4009	0.1624	0.1737	395699.4791	349192.4252	590.9251	-1.9441	1.2682
106	0.2047	-0.4505	0.1785	0.1845	467691.3147	355775.6968	596.4694	-2.1136	1.3151
107	0.2246	-0.4441	0.1924	0.1939	382697.1733	357192.6167	597.6559	-1.9119	1.3465
108	0.2228	-0.2593	0.1958	0.1957	175360.4522	348101.0084	590.0009	-1.2942	1.3439
109	0.2379	-0.0751	0.19	0.1898	17806.0396	332372.6766	576.5177	-0.4124	1.2996
110	0.232	-0.1931	0.1902	0.1892	101268.464	321867.9397	567.3341	-0.9835	1.2852
111	0.2423	-0.2922	0.1946	0.192	182734.9723	315818.6802	561.9775	-1.3211	1.2868
112	0.2438	-0.0605	0.189	0.1865	11589.4626	303142.4628	550.5837	-0.3327	1.247