Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1081 | 0 | 109 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 1507 | 1553.55457067171 | -2272.36660358297 | 3732.81203291126 | 46.5545706717144 |
2 | 1992 | 1926.59610876478 | -1676.44010226322 | 3733.84399349844 | -65.4038912352185 |
3 | 2487 | 2494.97105915306 | -1255.84701323869 | 3734.87595408563 | 7.97105915306292 |
4 | 3490 | 3640.33425941756 | -395.835691500177 | 3735.50143208262 | 150.334259417558 |
5 | 4647 | 4342.36422170929 | 1215.5088682111 | 3736.12691007961 | -304.635778290708 |
6 | 5594 | 5604.85093202334 | 1847.18529572664 | 3735.96377225002 | 10.8509320233388 |
7 | 5611 | 5834.89258230742 | 1651.30678327214 | 3735.80063442044 | 223.892582307422 |
8 | 5788 | 5494.42066627599 | 2346.07567773857 | 3735.50365598544 | -293.579333724013 |
9 | 6204 | 6801.28200352264 | 1871.51131892693 | 3735.20667755044 | 597.282003522635 |
10 | 3013 | 2671.72102019377 | -380.979008438375 | 3735.25798824461 | -341.278979806234 |
11 | 1931 | 1789.04943359687 | -1662.35873253565 | 3735.30929893878 | -141.950566403131 |
12 | 2549 | 2637.71345750302 | -1287.76078071042 | 3748.04732320739 | 88.7134575030227 |
13 | 1504 | 1519.58125610696 | -2272.36660358297 | 3760.78534747601 | 15.5812561069647 |
14 | 2090 | 2079.14026602968 | -1676.44010226322 | 3777.29983623355 | -10.8597339703215 |
15 | 2702 | 2866.03268824761 | -1255.84701323869 | 3793.81432499108 | 164.032688247607 |
16 | 2939 | 2472.47281625108 | -395.835691500177 | 3801.36287524909 | -466.527183748917 |
17 | 4500 | 3975.5797062818 | 1215.5088682111 | 3808.91142550711 | -524.420293718201 |
18 | 6208 | 6760.88891575696 | 1847.18529572664 | 3807.9257885164 | 552.888915756964 |
19 | 6415 | 7371.75306520217 | 1651.30678327214 | 3806.94015152569 | 956.753065202166 |
20 | 5657 | 5158.29801132382 | 2346.07567773857 | 3809.62631093761 | -498.70198867618 |
21 | 5964 | 6244.17621072356 | 1871.51131892693 | 3812.31247034952 | 280.176210723558 |
22 | 3163 | 2894.77114494173 | -380.979008438375 | 3812.20786349665 | -268.228855058273 |
23 | 1997 | 1844.25547589187 | -1662.35873253565 | 3812.10325664378 | -152.74452410813 |
24 | 2422 | 2333.98453048565 | -1287.76078071042 | 3797.77625022477 | -88.0154695143515 |
25 | 1376 | 1240.91735977722 | -2272.36660358297 | 3783.44924380576 | -135.082640222785 |
26 | 2202 | 2293.93095587835 | -1676.44010226322 | 3786.50914638487 | 91.9309558783507 |
27 | 2683 | 2832.2779642747 | -1255.84701323869 | 3789.56904896399 | 149.2779642747 |
28 | 3303 | 3198.39650109436 | -395.835691500177 | 3803.43919040582 | -104.603498905644 |
29 | 5202 | 5371.18179994125 | 1215.5088682111 | 3817.30933184765 | 169.181799941251 |
30 | 5231 | 4797.80452771897 | 1847.18529572664 | 3817.0101765544 | -433.195472281033 |
31 | 4880 | 4291.98219546672 | 1651.30678327214 | 3816.71102126114 | -588.01780453328 |
32 | 7998 | 9844.34501116241 | 2346.07567773857 | 3805.57931109902 | 1846.34501116241 |
33 | 4977 | 4288.04108013617 | 1871.51131892693 | 3794.4476009369 | -688.958919863825 |
34 | 3531 | 3663.73276460623 | -380.979008438375 | 3779.24624383214 | 132.732764606232 |
35 | 2025 | 1948.31384580826 | -1662.35873253565 | 3764.04488672739 | -76.6861541917374 |
36 | 2205 | 1964.3438405831 | -1287.76078071042 | 3733.41694012732 | -240.656159416899 |
37 | 1442 | 1453.57761005573 | -2272.36660358297 | 3702.78899352724 | 11.5776100557282 |
38 | 2238 | 2482.56690183538 | -1676.44010226322 | 3669.87320042784 | 244.566901835379 |
39 | 2179 | 1976.88960591024 | -1255.84701323869 | 3636.95740732845 | -202.110394089756 |
40 | 3218 | 3206.49600756185 | -395.835691500177 | 3625.33968393833 | -11.5039924381531 |
41 | 5139 | 5448.76917124069 | 1215.5088682111 | 3613.72196054822 | 309.769171240689 |
42 | 4990 | 4528.8666377393 | 1847.18529572664 | 3603.94806653406 | -461.1333622607 |
43 | 4914 | 4582.51904420795 | 1651.30678327214 | 3594.17417251991 | -331.480955792051 |
44 | 6084 | 6245.88944638817 | 2346.07567773857 | 3576.03487587326 | 161.889446388167 |
45 | 5672 | 5914.59310184647 | 1871.51131892693 | 3557.89557922661 | 242.593101846467 |
46 | 3548 | 3927.72343813508 | -380.979008438375 | 3549.2555703033 | 379.723438135076 |
47 | 1793 | 1707.74317115566 | -1662.35873253565 | 3540.61556137999 | -85.2568288443413 |
48 | 2086 | 1917.65702883309 | -1287.76078071042 | 3542.10375187733 | -168.342971166909 |
49 | 1262 | 1252.77466120831 | -2272.36660358297 | 3543.59194237466 | -9.22533879168759 |
50 | 1743 | 1621.44019076116 | -1676.44010226322 | 3540.99991150207 | -121.559809238844 |
51 | 1964 | 1645.43913260921 | -1255.84701323869 | 3538.40788062948 | -318.560867390786 |
52 | 3258 | 3378.48063478486 | -395.835691500177 | 3533.35505671532 | 120.480634784858 |
53 | 4966 | 5188.18889898774 | 1215.5088682111 | 3528.30223280116 | 222.18889898774 |
54 | 4944 | 4514.16629014436 | 1847.18529572664 | 3526.648414129 | -429.833709855636 |
55 | 5907 | 6637.69862127103 | 1651.30678327214 | 3524.99459545683 | 730.698621271025 |
56 | 5561 | 5258.5234026698 | 2346.07567773857 | 3517.40091959163 | -302.476597330205 |
57 | 5321 | 5260.68143734665 | 1871.51131892693 | 3509.80724372643 | -60.3185626533514 |
58 | 3582 | 4046.8847767972 | -380.979008438375 | 3498.09423164117 | 464.884776797204 |
59 | 1757 | 1689.97751297973 | -1662.35873253565 | 3486.38121955592 | -67.0224870202669 |
60 | 1894 | 1597.6006587657 | -1287.76078071042 | 3478.16012194472 | -296.399341234299 |
61 | 1192 | 1186.42757924946 | -2272.36660358297 | 3469.93902433352 | -5.57242075054273 |
62 | 1658 | 1535.19183739715 | -1676.44010226322 | 3457.24826486607 | -122.808162602847 |
63 | 1919 | 1649.28950784006 | -1255.84701323869 | 3444.55750539863 | -269.710492159937 |
64 | 3354 | 3669.36590605993 | -395.835691500177 | 3434.46978544025 | 315.365906059932 |
65 | 4529 | 4418.10906630704 | 1215.5088682111 | 3424.38206548187 | -110.890933692961 |
66 | 5233 | 5194.38913166541 | 1847.18529572664 | 3424.42557260795 | -38.6108683345883 |
67 | 5910 | 6744.22413699382 | 1651.30678327214 | 3424.46907973404 | 834.224136993822 |
68 | 5164 | 4549.80500642281 | 2346.07567773857 | 3432.11931583862 | -614.19499357719 |
69 | 5152 | 4992.71912912988 | 1871.51131892693 | 3439.76955194319 | -159.280870870119 |
70 | 3057 | 3043.99880140873 | -380.979008438375 | 3450.98020702964 | -13.0011985912688 |
71 | 1855 | 1910.16787041955 | -1662.35873253565 | 3462.1908621161 | 55.1678704195542 |
72 | 1978 | 1775.76086093496 | -1287.76078071042 | 3467.99991977545 | -202.239139065038 |
73 | 1255 | 1308.55762614816 | -2272.36660358297 | 3473.80897743481 | 53.5576261481583 |
74 | 1693 | 1592.45615930637 | -1676.44010226322 | 3469.98394295685 | -100.543840693628 |
75 | 2449 | 2687.6881047598 | -1255.84701323869 | 3466.15890847889 | 238.688104759799 |
76 | 3178 | 3284.72853319352 | -395.835691500177 | 3467.10715830665 | 106.728533193524 |
77 | 4831 | 4978.43572365449 | 1215.5088682111 | 3468.05540813442 | 147.435723654487 |
78 | 6025 | 6729.76495482521 | 1847.18529572664 | 3473.04974944815 | 704.76495482521 |
79 | 4492 | 3854.64912596597 | 1651.30678327214 | 3478.04409076189 | -637.350874034028 |
80 | 5174 | 4533.72635942399 | 2346.07567773857 | 3468.19796283743 | -640.273640576008 |
81 | 5600 | 5870.1368461601 | 1871.51131892693 | 3458.35183491298 | 270.136846160096 |
82 | 2752 | 2454.52463940092 | -380.979008438375 | 3430.45436903745 | -297.475360599079 |
83 | 1925 | 2109.80182937372 | -1662.35873253565 | 3402.55690316193 | 184.80182937372 |
84 | 2824 | 3565.32557403661 | -1287.76078071042 | 3370.43520667381 | 741.325574036606 |
85 | 1041 | 1016.05309339728 | -2272.36660358297 | 3338.31351018569 | -24.9469066027204 |
86 | 1476 | 1319.76583675746 | -1676.44010226322 | 3308.67426550576 | -156.234163242536 |
87 | 2239 | 2454.81199241286 | -1255.84701323869 | 3279.03502082583 | 215.811992412863 |
88 | 2727 | 2608.01013227021 | -395.835691500177 | 3241.82555922997 | -118.989867729793 |
89 | 4303 | 4185.87503415479 | 1215.5088682111 | 3204.61609763411 | -117.12496584521 |
90 | 5160 | 5294.25822519802 | 1847.18529572664 | 3178.55647907534 | 134.258225198025 |
91 | 4103 | 3402.1963562113 | 1651.30678327214 | 3152.49686051656 | -700.803643788702 |
92 | 5554 | 5609.60048495584 | 2346.07567773857 | 3152.32383730559 | 55.6004849558394 |
93 | 4906 | 4788.33786697846 | 1871.51131892693 | 3152.15081409461 | -117.662133021536 |
94 | 2677 | 2564.60162181472 | -380.979008438375 | 3170.37738662366 | -112.398378185285 |
95 | 1677 | 1827.75477338294 | -1662.35873253565 | 3188.60395915271 | 150.75477338294 |
96 | 1991 | 2057.49737044845 | -1287.76078071042 | 3212.26341026196 | 66.4973704484541 |
97 | 993 | 1022.44374221176 | -2272.36660358297 | 3235.92286137122 | 29.4437422117567 |
98 | 1800 | 2022.04580224993 | -1676.44010226322 | 3254.39430001329 | 222.045802249932 |
99 | 2012 | 2006.98127458332 | -1255.84701323869 | 3272.86573865537 | -5.01872541667808 |
100 | 2880 | 2872.21210475392 | -395.835691500177 | 3283.62358674626 | -7.78789524607964 |
101 | 4705 | 4900.10969695176 | 1215.5088682111 | 3294.38143483715 | 195.109696951758 |
102 | 5107 | 5059.16959023067 | 1847.18529572664 | 3307.64511404269 | -47.8304097693267 |
103 | 4482 | 3991.78442347963 | 1651.30678327214 | 3320.90879324823 | -490.215576520374 |
104 | 5966 | 6253.35955600348 | 2346.07567773857 | 3332.56476625795 | 287.359556003476 |
105 | 4858 | 4500.26794180541 | 1871.51131892693 | 3344.22073926767 | -357.732058194593 |
106 | 3036 | 3097.23680868441 | -380.979008438375 | 3355.74219975397 | 61.2368086844072 |
107 | 1844 | 1983.09507229538 | -1662.35873253565 | 3367.26366024027 | 139.09507229538 |
108 | 2196 | 2299.9448085849 | -1287.76078071042 | 3379.81597212551 | 103.944808584905 |