Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 1507 | NA | NA | -2284.14 | NA |
2 | 1992 | NA | NA | -1674.82 | NA |
3 | 2487 | NA | NA | -1262.86 | NA |
4 | 3490 | NA | NA | -417.217 | NA |
5 | 4647 | NA | NA | 1247.87 | NA |
6 | 5594 | NA | NA | 1840.53 | NA |
7 | 5611 | 5444.69 | 3734.29 | 1710.4 | 166.306 |
8 | 5788 | 6045.83 | 3738.25 | 2307.58 | -257.83 |
9 | 6204 | 5664.35 | 3751.29 | 1913.05 | 539.655 |
10 | 3013 | 3346.87 | 3737.29 | -390.42 | -333.872 |
11 | 1931 | 2025.29 | 3708.21 | -1682.92 | -94.2882 |
12 | 2549 | 2420.61 | 3727.67 | -1307.06 | 128.394 |
13 | 1504 | 1502.61 | 3786.75 | -2284.14 | 1.3941 |
14 | 2090 | 2139.98 | 3814.79 | -1674.82 | -49.9757 |
15 | 2702 | 2536.48 | 3799.33 | -1262.86 | 165.524 |
16 | 2939 | 3378.37 | 3795.58 | -417.217 | -439.366 |
17 | 4500 | 5052.45 | 3804.58 | 1247.87 | -552.45 |
18 | 6208 | 5642.57 | 3802.04 | 1840.53 | 565.425 |
19 | 6415 | 5501.82 | 3791.42 | 1710.4 | 913.181 |
20 | 5657 | 6098.33 | 3790.75 | 2307.58 | -441.33 |
21 | 5964 | 5707.68 | 3794.62 | 1913.05 | 256.321 |
22 | 3163 | 3418.58 | 3809 | -390.42 | -255.58 |
23 | 1997 | 2170.5 | 3853.42 | -1682.92 | -173.497 |
24 | 2422 | 2534.9 | 3841.96 | -1307.06 | -112.898 |
25 | 1376 | 1453.15 | 3737.29 | -2284.14 | -77.1476 |
26 | 2202 | 2096.06 | 3770.88 | -1674.82 | 105.941 |
27 | 2683 | 2564.43 | 3827.29 | -1262.86 | 118.566 |
28 | 3303 | 3384.28 | 3801.5 | -417.217 | -81.283 |
29 | 5202 | 5065.87 | 3818 | 1247.87 | 136.134 |
30 | 5231 | 5650.66 | 3810.12 | 1840.53 | -419.658 |
31 | 4880 | 5514.24 | 3803.83 | 1710.4 | -634.236 |
32 | 7998 | 6115.66 | 3808.08 | 2307.58 | 1882.34 |
33 | 4977 | 5701.64 | 3788.58 | 1913.05 | -724.637 |
34 | 3531 | 3373.62 | 3764.04 | -390.42 | 157.378 |
35 | 2025 | 2074.95 | 3757.87 | -1682.92 | -49.9549 |
36 | 2205 | 2438.15 | 3745.21 | -1307.06 | -233.148 |
37 | 1442 | 1452.44 | 3736.58 | -2284.14 | -10.4392 |
38 | 2238 | 1983.43 | 3658.25 | -1674.82 | 254.566 |
39 | 2179 | 2344.6 | 3607.46 | -1262.86 | -165.601 |
40 | 3218 | 3219.91 | 3637.12 | -417.217 | -1.90799 |
41 | 5139 | 4876.03 | 3628.17 | 1247.87 | 262.967 |
42 | 4990 | 5454.07 | 3613.54 | 1840.53 | -464.075 |
43 | 4914 | 5311.49 | 3601.08 | 1710.4 | -397.486 |
44 | 6084 | 5880.54 | 3572.96 | 2307.58 | 203.462 |
45 | 5672 | 5456.43 | 3543.37 | 1913.05 | 215.571 |
46 | 3548 | 3145.66 | 3536.08 | -390.42 | 402.337 |
47 | 1793 | 1847.62 | 3530.54 | -1682.92 | -54.6215 |
48 | 2086 | 2214.36 | 3521.42 | -1307.06 | -128.356 |
49 | 1262 | 1276.73 | 3560.87 | -2284.14 | -14.7309 |
50 | 1743 | 1905.64 | 3580.46 | -1674.82 | -162.642 |
51 | 1964 | 2281.18 | 3544.04 | -1262.86 | -317.184 |
52 | 3258 | 3113.62 | 3530.83 | -417.217 | 144.384 |
53 | 4966 | 4778.62 | 3530.75 | 1247.87 | 187.384 |
54 | 4944 | 5361.78 | 3521.25 | 1840.53 | -417.783 |
55 | 5907 | 5220.74 | 3510.33 | 1710.4 | 686.264 |
56 | 5561 | 5811.45 | 3503.88 | 2307.58 | -250.455 |
57 | 5321 | 5411.51 | 3498.46 | 1913.05 | -90.5122 |
58 | 3582 | 3110.16 | 3500.58 | -390.42 | 471.837 |
59 | 1757 | 1803.45 | 3486.37 | -1682.92 | -46.4549 |
60 | 1894 | 2173.15 | 3480.21 | -1307.06 | -279.148 |
61 | 1192 | 1208.23 | 3492.38 | -2284.14 | -16.2309 |
62 | 1658 | 1801.14 | 3475.96 | -1674.82 | -143.142 |
63 | 1919 | 2189.52 | 3452.38 | -1262.86 | -270.517 |
64 | 3354 | 3006.24 | 3423.46 | -417.217 | 347.759 |
65 | 4529 | 4653.53 | 3405.67 | 1247.87 | -124.533 |
66 | 5233 | 5253.78 | 3413.25 | 1840.53 | -20.783 |
67 | 5910 | 5129.78 | 3419.37 | 1710.4 | 780.222 |
68 | 5164 | 5731.04 | 3423.46 | 2307.58 | -567.038 |
69 | 5152 | 5360.05 | 3447 | 1913.05 | -208.054 |
70 | 3057 | 3071.33 | 3461.75 | -390.42 | -14.3299 |
71 | 1855 | 1784.08 | 3467 | -1682.92 | 70.9201 |
72 | 1978 | 2205.52 | 3512.58 | -1307.06 | -227.523 |
73 | 1255 | 1202.36 | 3486.5 | -2284.14 | 52.6441 |
74 | 1693 | 1753.02 | 3427.83 | -1674.82 | -60.0174 |
75 | 2449 | 2184.06 | 3446.92 | -1262.86 | 264.941 |
76 | 3178 | 3035.66 | 3452.88 | -417.217 | 142.342 |
77 | 4831 | 4690.95 | 3443.08 | 1247.87 | 140.05 |
78 | 6025 | 5321.78 | 3481.25 | 1840.53 | 703.217 |
79 | 4492 | 5217.99 | 3507.58 | 1710.4 | -725.986 |
80 | 5174 | 5797.2 | 3489.62 | 2307.58 | -623.205 |
81 | 5600 | 5384.89 | 3471.83 | 1913.05 | 215.113 |
82 | 2752 | 3053.87 | 3444.29 | -390.42 | -301.872 |
83 | 1925 | 1720.58 | 3403.5 | -1682.92 | 204.42 |
84 | 2824 | 2038.4 | 3345.46 | -1307.06 | 785.602 |
85 | 1041 | 1009.06 | 3293.21 | -2284.14 | 31.9358 |
86 | 1476 | 1618.02 | 3292.83 | -1674.82 | -142.017 |
87 | 2239 | 2016.89 | 3279.75 | -1262.86 | 222.108 |
88 | 2727 | 2830.49 | 3247.71 | -417.217 | -103.491 |
89 | 4303 | 4482.12 | 3234.25 | 1247.87 | -179.116 |
90 | 5160 | 5029.74 | 3189.21 | 1840.53 | 130.259 |
91 | 4103 | 4862.9 | 3152.5 | 1710.4 | -759.903 |
92 | 5554 | 5471.58 | 3164 | 2307.58 | 82.4201 |
93 | 4906 | 5081.1 | 3168.04 | 1913.05 | -175.095 |
94 | 2677 | 2774.54 | 3164.96 | -390.42 | -97.5382 |
95 | 1677 | 1505.16 | 3188.08 | -1682.92 | 171.837 |
96 | 1991 | 1895.56 | 3202.62 | -1307.06 | 95.4358 |
97 | 993 | 932.064 | 3216.21 | -2284.14 | 60.9358 |
98 | 1800 | 1574.35 | 3249.17 | -1674.82 | 225.649 |
99 | 2012 | 2001.48 | 3264.33 | -1262.86 | 10.5243 |
100 | 2880 | 2860.07 | 3277.29 | -417.217 | 19.9253 |
101 | 4705 | 4547.07 | 3299.21 | 1247.87 | 157.925 |
102 | 5107 | 5155.24 | 3314.71 | 1840.53 | -48.2413 |
103 | 4482 | NA | NA | 1710.4 | NA |
104 | 5966 | NA | NA | 2307.58 | NA |
105 | 4858 | NA | NA | 1913.05 | NA |
106 | 3036 | NA | NA | -390.42 | NA |
107 | 1844 | NA | NA | -1682.92 | NA |
108 | 2196 | NA | NA | -1307.06 | NA |