| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.668776065119062 |
| beta | 1 |
| gamma | 1 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 5 | 0.406 | 0.41686875 | -0.01086875 |
| 6 | 0.344 | 0.352918730284474 | -0.00891873028447437 |
| 7 | 0.327 | 0.331308203735694 | -0.00430820373569352 |
| 8 | 0.288 | 0.332774863448245 | -0.0447748634482449 |
| 9 | 0.269 | 0.233384042574326 | 0.0356159574256735 |
| 10 | 0.256 | 0.186196661764257 | 0.0698033382357425 |
| 11 | 0.286 | 0.256437008388637 | 0.0295629916113633 |
| 12 | 0.298 | 0.327480952534692 | -0.0294809525346924 |
| 13 | 0.329 | 0.335502464750936 | -0.0065024647509358 |
| 14 | 0.318 | 0.313859944942405 | 0.00414005505759463 |
| 15 | 0.381 | 0.325332636182175 | 0.0556673638178254 |
| 16 | 0.381 | 0.410210714182536 | -0.0292107141825358 |
| 17 | 0.47 | 0.442137631462339 | 0.0278623685376609 |
| 18 | 0.443 | 0.48609857589269 | -0.0430985758926897 |
| 19 | 0.386 | 0.490550242602393 | -0.104550242602393 |
| 20 | 0.342 | 0.340519232090415 | 0.00148076790958479 |
| 21 | 0.319 | 0.332755840509648 | -0.0137558405096485 |
| 22 | 0.307 | 0.218426289013807 | 0.0885737109861929 |
| 23 | 0.284 | 0.271688970073964 | 0.012311029926036 |
| 24 | 0.326 | 0.29419201539485 | 0.0318079846051503 |
| 25 | 0.309 | 0.381206153019886 | -0.0722061530198864 |
| 26 | 0.359 | 0.302132400166935 | 0.0568675998330652 |
| 27 | 0.376 | 0.328178451354756 | 0.0478215486452441 |
| 28 | 0.416 | 0.423884208371587 | -0.00788420837158654 |
| 29 | 0.437 | 0.466352265448919 | -0.0293522654489185 |
| 30 | 0.548 | 0.50380121754994 | 0.0441987824500596 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 31 | 0.555016530729363 | 0.467274706236172 | 0.642758355222554 |
| 32 | 0.604945525950109 | 0.458412851527385 | 0.751478200372833 |
| 33 | 0.655504613760113 | 0.426459819633155 | 0.884549407887071 |
| 34 | 0.766504613760113 | 0.438549883120366 | 1.09445934439986 |
| 35 | 0.773521144489476 | 0.313591818813494 | 1.23345047016546 |
| 36 | 0.823450139710222 | 0.244231910724374 | 1.40266836869607 |
| 37 | 0.874009227520226 | 0.163927951247216 | 1.58409050379324 |
| 38 | 0.985009227520226 | 0.133782718626841 | 1.83623573641361 |
| 39 | 0.992025758249589 | -0.0253408794369587 | 2.00939239593614 |
| 40 | 1.04195475347034 | -0.132508868009565 | 2.21641837495024 |
| 41 | 1.09251384128034 | -0.247636898244572 | 2.43266458080525 |
| 42 | 1.20351384128034 | -0.310368285353078 | 2.71739596791376 |
