Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
barrels_purchased[t] = + 75150 -1307.99cpi[t] -52.1466unit_price[t] + 145.537US_IND_PROD[t] + 0.322095`barrels_purchased(t-1)`[t] + 0.278952`barrels_purchased(t-2)`[t] + 0.235297`barrels_purchased(t-3)`[t] + 5950.23M1[t] + 11752.8M2[t] + 6724.72M3[t] + 5415.77M4[t] + 6896.75M5[t] -8440.23M6[t] -2351.05M7[t] -11217.9M8[t] -8735.48M9[t] + 1040.14M10[t] -23997.9M11[t] + 569.901t + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)+7.515e+04 3.059e+04+2.4560e+00 0.01446 0.00723
cpi-1308 469.3-2.7870e+00 0.00557 0.002785
unit_price-52.15 85.8-6.0780e-01 0.5437 0.2718
US_IND_PROD+145.5 300.9+4.8360e-01 0.6289 0.3145
`barrels_purchased(t-1)`+0.3221 0.04879+6.6020e+00 1.299e-10 6.494e-11
`barrels_purchased(t-2)`+0.2789 0.04924+5.6650e+00 2.83e-08 1.415e-08
`barrels_purchased(t-3)`+0.2353 0.04807+4.8950e+00 1.433e-06 7.164e-07
M1+5950 4457+1.3350e+00 0.1826 0.09131
M2+1.175e+04 4418+2.6600e+00 0.008127 0.004063
M3+6725 4335+1.5510e+00 0.1216 0.0608
M4+5416 4296+1.2610e+00 0.2081 0.1041
M5+6897 4295+1.6060e+00 0.1091 0.05456
M6-8440 4347-1.9420e+00 0.05289 0.02644
M7-2351 4156-5.6580e-01 0.5719 0.2859
M8-1.122e+04 4287-2.6170e+00 0.009212 0.004606
M9-8736 4132-2.1140e+00 0.03512 0.01756
M10+1040 4219+2.4650e-01 0.8054 0.4027
M11-2.4e+04 4323-5.5510e+00 5.2e-08 2.6e-08
t+569.9 218.1+2.6130e+00 0.009305 0.004653


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9726
R-squared 0.9459
Adjusted R-squared 0.9435
F-TEST (value) 386.7
F-TEST (DF numerator)18
F-TEST (DF denominator)398
p-value 0
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation 1.685e+04
Sum Squared Residuals 1.13e+11


Menu of Residual Diagnostics
DescriptionLink
HistogramCompute
Central TendencyCompute
QQ PlotCompute
Kernel Density PlotCompute
Skewness/Kurtosis TestCompute
Skewness-Kurtosis PlotCompute
Harrell-Davis PlotCompute
Bootstrap Plot -- Central TendencyCompute
Blocked Bootstrap Plot -- Central TendencyCompute
(Partial) Autocorrelation PlotCompute
Spectral AnalysisCompute
Tukey lambda PPCC PlotCompute
Box-Cox Normality PlotCompute
Summary StatisticsCompute


Ramsey RESET F-Test for powers (2 and 3) of fitted values
> reset_test_fitted
	RESET test
data:  mylm
RESET = 2.2267, df1 = 2, df2 = 396, p-value = 0.1092
Ramsey RESET F-Test for powers (2 and 3) of regressors
> reset_test_regressors
	RESET test
data:  mylm
RESET = 0.99915, df1 = 36, df2 = 362, p-value = 0.4744
Ramsey RESET F-Test for powers (2 and 3) of principal components
> reset_test_principal_components
	RESET test
data:  mylm
RESET = 7.7095, df1 = 2, df2 = 396, p-value = 0.0005192


Variance Inflation Factors (Multicollinearity)
> vif
                     cpi               unit_price              US_IND_PROD 
              713.791625                 1.865501                48.707837 
`barrels_purchased(t-1)` `barrels_purchased(t-2)` `barrels_purchased(t-3)` 
               17.512974                17.866306                17.009943 
                      M1                       M2                       M3 
                2.242697                 2.203886                 2.121380 
                      M4                       M5                       M6 
                2.083521                 2.082724                 2.133470 
                      M7                       M8                       M9 
                1.949679                 2.074807                 1.927435 
                     M10                      M11                        t 
                1.957260                 2.055328              1011.902399