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Author's title

Author*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Modulerwasp_exponentialsmoothing.wasp
Title produced by softwareExponential Smoothing
Date of computationSun, 17 Dec 2017 16:58:40 +0100
Cite this page as followsStatistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2017/Dec/17/t1513526338g13aqw7l3ge9rav.htm/, Retrieved Thu, 16 May 2024 00:35:56 +0000
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=310014, Retrieved Thu, 16 May 2024 00:35:56 +0000
QR Codes:

Original text written by user:
IsPrivate?No (this computation is public)
User-defined keywords
Estimated Impact53
Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)
-       [Exponential Smoothing] [] [2017-12-17 15:58:40] [1fb90e819e5b19aec9e872ea972cd63e] [Current]
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Dataseries X:
58,4
64,8
73,8
65
73
71,1
58,2
64
75
74,9
75
68,3
72,5
72,4
79,6
70,7
76,4
79,7
64,2
67,9
74,1
78,5
73,4
65,4
69,9
69,6
76,8
75,6
74
76
68,1
65,5
76,9
81,7
73,6
68,7
73,3
71,5
78,3
76,5
71,8
77,6
70
64
81,3
82,5
73,1
78,1
70,7
74,9
88
81,3
75,7
89,8
74,6
74,9
90
88,1
84,9
87,7
80,5
79
89,9
86,3
81,1
92,4
71,8
76,1
92,5
87
89,5
88,7
83,8
84,9
99
84,6
92,7
97,6
78
81,9
96,5
99,9
96,2
90,5
91,4
89,7
102,7
91,5
96,2
104,5
90,3
90,3
100,4
111,3
101,3
94,4
100,4
102
104,3
108,8
101,3
108,9
98,5
88,8
111,8
109,6
92,5
94,5
80,8
83,7
94,2
86,2
89
94,7
81,9
80,2
96,5
95,6
91,9
89,9
86,3
94
108
96,3
94,6
111,7
92
91,9
109,2
106,8
105,8
103,6
97,6
102,8
124,8
103,9
112,2
108,5
92,4
101,1
114,9
106,4
104
101,6
99,4
102,3
121,3
99,3
102,9
111,4
98,5
98,5
108,5
112,1
105,3
95,2
98,2
96,6
109,6
108
106,7
111,5
104,5
94,3
109,6
116,4
106,5
100,5
101,7
104,1
112,3
111,2
108,2
115,1
102,3
93,6
120,6
118,4
106,6
105,3
101,5
100,1
119,5
111,2
103,7
117,8
101,7
97,4
120
117
110,6
105,3
100,9
108,1
119,3
113
108,6
123,3
101,4
103,5
119,4
113,1
112
115,8
105,4
110,9
128,5
109
117,2
124,4
104,7
108,6




Summary of computational transaction
Raw Input view raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time3 seconds
R ServerBig Analytics Cloud Computing Center

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time3 seconds \tabularnewline
R ServerBig Analytics Cloud Computing Center \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=310014&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW]
Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW] [ROW]Raw Input[/C] view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW] [ROW]Raw Output[/C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW] [ROW]Computing time[/C]3 seconds[/C][/ROW] [ROW]R Server[/C]Big Analytics Cloud Computing Center[/C][/ROW] [/TABLE] Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=310014&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=310014&T=0

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Input view raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time3 seconds
R ServerBig Analytics Cloud Computing Center







Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.20320813841277
betaFALSE
gammaFALSE

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing \tabularnewline
Parameter & Value \tabularnewline
alpha & 0.20320813841277 \tabularnewline
beta & FALSE \tabularnewline
gamma & FALSE \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=310014&T=1

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Parameter[/C][C]Value[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]alpha[/C][C]0.20320813841277[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]beta[/C][C]FALSE[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]gamma[/C][C]FALSE[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=310014&T=1

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=310014&T=1

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.20320813841277
betaFALSE
gammaFALSE







Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
264.858.46.4
373.859.700532085841714.0994679141583
46562.56565871328842.43434128671159
57363.06033667442249.93966332557758
671.165.08015715526276.01984284473727
758.266.3034382132792-8.10343821327922
86464.6567536192158-0.656753619215849
97564.523295938859110.4767040611409
1074.966.65224746782518.24775253217491
117568.32825790597766.67174209402243
1268.369.684010196874-1.38401019687399
1372.569.40276806122293.09723193877707
1472.470.03215079773442.36784920226562
1579.670.51331702616899.08668297383105
1670.772.3598049576282-1.65980495762817
1776.472.02251908206034.37748091793974
1879.772.91205883033226.78794116966777
1964.274.2914237190758-10.0914237190758
2067.972.240764291188-4.34076429118795
2174.171.3586856602872.74131433971296
2278.571.91574304406436.58425695593566
2373.473.25371764291140.146282357088637
2465.473.283443408378-7.88344340837799
2569.971.6814635490791-1.78146354907908
2669.671.3194556576205-1.71945565762053
2776.870.97004827435225.82995172564785
2875.672.15474191155743.44525808844263
297472.85484639406131.14515360593867
307673.08755092652082.91244907347919
3168.173.6793842809645-5.57938428096452
3265.572.5456079877403-7.04560798774025
3376.971.11388310456545.78611689543459
3481.772.28966914752549.41033085247464
3573.674.201924961905-0.601924961904999
3668.774.0796089109321-5.37960891093209
3773.372.98642859875280.31357140124716
3871.573.0501488594598-1.55014885945975
3978.372.73514599546635.56485400453374
4076.573.86596961826642.6340303817336
4171.874.4012260286612-2.60122602866117
4277.673.87263572978613.7273642702139
437074.6300664843225-4.63006648432254
446473.689199293316-9.68919929331599
4581.371.72027514221099.57972485778907
4682.573.66695319706888.83304680293122
4773.175.4619001944053-2.36190019440531
4878.174.98194285278343.11805714721655
4970.775.615557441134-4.91555744113396
5074.974.61667616426010.283323835739921
518874.674249873488813.3257501265112
5281.377.38215074965083.91784925034915
5375.778.1782896023962-2.47828960239616
5489.877.674680985845512.1253190141545
5574.680.1386444903728-5.53864449037282
5674.979.013146854154-4.113146854154
579078.17732193890311.822678061097
5888.180.5797863387527.52021366124795
5984.982.10795495732052.79204504267949
6087.782.6753212328085.02467876719199
6180.583.6963768512113-3.19637685121128
627983.046847061611-4.04684706161098
6389.982.22449480377987.67550519622017
6486.383.78421992608132.51578007391872
6581.184.2954469115582-3.19544691155825
6692.483.64610609326378.75389390673635
6771.885.4249685779144-13.6249685779144
6876.182.656264077264-6.55626407726396
6992.581.323977859180611.1760221408194
708783.59503651327643.40496348672357
7189.584.2869528047775.21304719522303
7288.785.34628642077623.35371357922385
7383.886.0277883139799-2.22778831397987
7484.985.5750835979183-0.675083597918288
759985.437901116712313.5620988832877
7684.688.1938299837551-3.59382998375511
7792.787.46353448298425.23646551701576
7897.688.52762689255979.07237310744031
797890.3712069427087-12.3712069427087
8081.987.8572770099617-5.95727700996173
8196.586.64670983875829.85329016124177
8299.988.64897858966511.251021410335
8396.290.93527770570145.26472229429858
8490.592.005112122386-1.50511212238604
8591.491.6992610898935-0.299261089893463
8689.791.6384488009168-1.93844880091683
87102.791.244540228674111.4554597713259
8891.593.5723828834676-2.07238288346758
8996.293.15125781563973.04874218436035
90104.593.77078703942410.729212960576
9190.395.9510504317768-5.65105043177681
9290.394.8027109934588-4.50271099345876
93100.493.88772347466736.51227652533271
94111.395.211071064209316.0889289357907
95101.398.48047236230672.8195276376933
9694.499.0534233247657-4.65342332476571
97100.498.10780983369352.29219016630648
9810298.57360153027673.42639846972328
99104.399.26987358476965.03012641523044
100108.8100.2920362095898.50796379041056
101101.3102.020923693122-0.720923693122032
102108.9101.8744261315057.02557386849496
10398.5103.302079918603-4.80207991860331
10488.8102.326258197835-13.5262581978346
105111.899.577612449762112.2223875502379
106109.6102.0613010708057.5386989291946
10792.5103.593226046261-11.0932260462614
10894.5101.338992232409-6.83899223240854
10980.899.9492533522414-19.1492533522414
11083.796.0579692265379-12.3579692265379
11194.293.54672930545090.653270694549136
11286.293.6794792271698-7.47947922716982
1138992.1595881771197-3.15958817711966
11494.791.51753414549623.18246585450383
11581.992.1642371073521-10.2642371073521
11680.290.0784605925398-9.87846059253981
11796.588.07107700514598.4289229948541
11895.689.78390275575485.8160972442452
11991.990.96578104958550.934218950414504
12089.991.1556219433692-1.25562194336916
12186.390.9004693457069-4.6004693457069
1229489.96561653414084.03438346585921
12310890.785436087881317.2145639121187
12496.394.28357557405062.01642442594941
12594.694.6933294278978-0.0933294278978138
126111.794.674364128595617.0256358714044
1279298.1341118993173-6.13411189931733
12891.996.8876104394414-4.98761043944144
129109.295.874087406914513.3259125930855
130106.898.58202129760678.21797870239332
131105.8100.2519814512365.54801854876419
132103.6101.379383972412.2206160275903
13397.6101.830631221506-4.23063122150589
134102.8100.9709325266731.82906747332727
135124.8101.34261392295923.4573860770411
136103.9106.109345679704-2.20934567970404
137112.2105.6603886570216.53961134297892
138108.5106.9892909039711.51070909602913
13992.4107.296279287058-14.8962792870582
140101.1104.269234103858-3.1692341038584
141114.9103.62521994141911.2747800585809
142106.4105.9163470081370.483652991863295
143104106.014629232251-2.01462923225102
144101.6105.605240176373-4.00524017637335
14599.4104.791342776236-5.39134277623647
146102.3103.695778047132-1.39577804713234
147121.3103.41214458853717.8878554114628
14899.3107.047102386897-7.74710238689732
149102.9105.472828132763-2.57282813276279
150111.4104.9500085174486.44999148255194
15198.5106.260699279396-7.76069927939567
15298.5104.683662026048-6.18366202604835
153108.5103.4270915771615.07290842283867
154112.1104.4579478541057.64205214589515
155105.3106.010875044326-0.710875044325519
15695.2105.866419449924-10.666419449924
15798.2103.698916209975-5.49891620997522
15896.6102.581491683658-5.98149168365836
159109.6101.3660038936918.23399610630932
160108103.0392189141524.9607810858482
161106.7104.047290003682.6527099963197
162111.5104.5863422637816.91365773621862
163104.5105.991253781981-1.49125378198141
16494.3105.688218877044-11.388218877044
165109.6103.3740401192036.22595988079729
166116.4104.63920583641211.7607941635879
167106.5107.029094924651-0.529094924650579
168100.5106.921578529969-6.42157852996868
169101.7105.616661511222-3.91666151122234
170104.1104.820764016734-0.720764016733924
171112.3104.6742989026597.62570109734149
172111.2106.2239034267414.97609657325852
173108.2107.2350867479560.964913252044497
174115.1107.4311649736337.66883502636671
175102.3108.989534663136-6.68953466313592
17693.6107.630166777392-14.0301667773924
177120.6104.77912270493815.8208772950622
178118.4107.99405372812410.4059462718758
179106.6110.108626698455-3.50862669845542
180105.3109.395645198677-4.09564519867695
181101.5108.563376762255-7.06337676225461
182100.1107.128041119489-7.02804111948885
183119.5105.69988596690913.8001140330909
184111.2108.5041814494572.69581855054254
185103.7109.051993718612-5.35199371861181
186117.8107.9644250382569.83557496174413
187101.7109.963093916451-8.26309391645114
18897.4108.283965984159-10.8839659841592
189120106.0722555179713.9277444820297
190117108.9024865464528.09751345354769
191110.6110.547967181120.0520328188798942
192105.3110.558540673381-5.25854067338106
193100.9109.489962412375-8.58996241237546
194108.1107.7444121415210.355587858479012
195119.3107.81667048828511.4833295117153
196113110.1501765011412.84982349885922
197108.6110.729283829149-2.12928382914893
198123.3110.29659602607513.0034039739248
199101.4112.938993540646-11.5389935406456
200103.5110.594176144094-7.09417614409408
201119.4109.1525818162810.2474181837196
202113.1111.2349405889311.86505941106873
203112111.6139358398840.386064160116234
204115.8111.6923872191694.10761278083113
205105.4112.527087565682-7.12708756568206
206110.9111.078805369155-0.178805369155015
207128.5111.04247066295117.4575293370492
208109114.589982700819-5.58998270081891
209117.2113.4540527224263.74594727757409
210124.4114.21525969529410.1847403047059
211104.7116.284881812831-11.5848818128309
212108.6113.930739545914-5.33073954591359

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing \tabularnewline
t & Observed & Fitted & Residuals \tabularnewline
2 & 64.8 & 58.4 & 6.4 \tabularnewline
3 & 73.8 & 59.7005320858417 & 14.0994679141583 \tabularnewline
4 & 65 & 62.5656587132884 & 2.43434128671159 \tabularnewline
5 & 73 & 63.0603366744224 & 9.93966332557758 \tabularnewline
6 & 71.1 & 65.0801571552627 & 6.01984284473727 \tabularnewline
7 & 58.2 & 66.3034382132792 & -8.10343821327922 \tabularnewline
8 & 64 & 64.6567536192158 & -0.656753619215849 \tabularnewline
9 & 75 & 64.5232959388591 & 10.4767040611409 \tabularnewline
10 & 74.9 & 66.6522474678251 & 8.24775253217491 \tabularnewline
11 & 75 & 68.3282579059776 & 6.67174209402243 \tabularnewline
12 & 68.3 & 69.684010196874 & -1.38401019687399 \tabularnewline
13 & 72.5 & 69.4027680612229 & 3.09723193877707 \tabularnewline
14 & 72.4 & 70.0321507977344 & 2.36784920226562 \tabularnewline
15 & 79.6 & 70.5133170261689 & 9.08668297383105 \tabularnewline
16 & 70.7 & 72.3598049576282 & -1.65980495762817 \tabularnewline
17 & 76.4 & 72.0225190820603 & 4.37748091793974 \tabularnewline
18 & 79.7 & 72.9120588303322 & 6.78794116966777 \tabularnewline
19 & 64.2 & 74.2914237190758 & -10.0914237190758 \tabularnewline
20 & 67.9 & 72.240764291188 & -4.34076429118795 \tabularnewline
21 & 74.1 & 71.358685660287 & 2.74131433971296 \tabularnewline
22 & 78.5 & 71.9157430440643 & 6.58425695593566 \tabularnewline
23 & 73.4 & 73.2537176429114 & 0.146282357088637 \tabularnewline
24 & 65.4 & 73.283443408378 & -7.88344340837799 \tabularnewline
25 & 69.9 & 71.6814635490791 & -1.78146354907908 \tabularnewline
26 & 69.6 & 71.3194556576205 & -1.71945565762053 \tabularnewline
27 & 76.8 & 70.9700482743522 & 5.82995172564785 \tabularnewline
28 & 75.6 & 72.1547419115574 & 3.44525808844263 \tabularnewline
29 & 74 & 72.8548463940613 & 1.14515360593867 \tabularnewline
30 & 76 & 73.0875509265208 & 2.91244907347919 \tabularnewline
31 & 68.1 & 73.6793842809645 & -5.57938428096452 \tabularnewline
32 & 65.5 & 72.5456079877403 & -7.04560798774025 \tabularnewline
33 & 76.9 & 71.1138831045654 & 5.78611689543459 \tabularnewline
34 & 81.7 & 72.2896691475254 & 9.41033085247464 \tabularnewline
35 & 73.6 & 74.201924961905 & -0.601924961904999 \tabularnewline
36 & 68.7 & 74.0796089109321 & -5.37960891093209 \tabularnewline
37 & 73.3 & 72.9864285987528 & 0.31357140124716 \tabularnewline
38 & 71.5 & 73.0501488594598 & -1.55014885945975 \tabularnewline
39 & 78.3 & 72.7351459954663 & 5.56485400453374 \tabularnewline
40 & 76.5 & 73.8659696182664 & 2.6340303817336 \tabularnewline
41 & 71.8 & 74.4012260286612 & -2.60122602866117 \tabularnewline
42 & 77.6 & 73.8726357297861 & 3.7273642702139 \tabularnewline
43 & 70 & 74.6300664843225 & -4.63006648432254 \tabularnewline
44 & 64 & 73.689199293316 & -9.68919929331599 \tabularnewline
45 & 81.3 & 71.7202751422109 & 9.57972485778907 \tabularnewline
46 & 82.5 & 73.6669531970688 & 8.83304680293122 \tabularnewline
47 & 73.1 & 75.4619001944053 & -2.36190019440531 \tabularnewline
48 & 78.1 & 74.9819428527834 & 3.11805714721655 \tabularnewline
49 & 70.7 & 75.615557441134 & -4.91555744113396 \tabularnewline
50 & 74.9 & 74.6166761642601 & 0.283323835739921 \tabularnewline
51 & 88 & 74.6742498734888 & 13.3257501265112 \tabularnewline
52 & 81.3 & 77.3821507496508 & 3.91784925034915 \tabularnewline
53 & 75.7 & 78.1782896023962 & -2.47828960239616 \tabularnewline
54 & 89.8 & 77.6746809858455 & 12.1253190141545 \tabularnewline
55 & 74.6 & 80.1386444903728 & -5.53864449037282 \tabularnewline
56 & 74.9 & 79.013146854154 & -4.113146854154 \tabularnewline
57 & 90 & 78.177321938903 & 11.822678061097 \tabularnewline
58 & 88.1 & 80.579786338752 & 7.52021366124795 \tabularnewline
59 & 84.9 & 82.1079549573205 & 2.79204504267949 \tabularnewline
60 & 87.7 & 82.675321232808 & 5.02467876719199 \tabularnewline
61 & 80.5 & 83.6963768512113 & -3.19637685121128 \tabularnewline
62 & 79 & 83.046847061611 & -4.04684706161098 \tabularnewline
63 & 89.9 & 82.2244948037798 & 7.67550519622017 \tabularnewline
64 & 86.3 & 83.7842199260813 & 2.51578007391872 \tabularnewline
65 & 81.1 & 84.2954469115582 & -3.19544691155825 \tabularnewline
66 & 92.4 & 83.6461060932637 & 8.75389390673635 \tabularnewline
67 & 71.8 & 85.4249685779144 & -13.6249685779144 \tabularnewline
68 & 76.1 & 82.656264077264 & -6.55626407726396 \tabularnewline
69 & 92.5 & 81.3239778591806 & 11.1760221408194 \tabularnewline
70 & 87 & 83.5950365132764 & 3.40496348672357 \tabularnewline
71 & 89.5 & 84.286952804777 & 5.21304719522303 \tabularnewline
72 & 88.7 & 85.3462864207762 & 3.35371357922385 \tabularnewline
73 & 83.8 & 86.0277883139799 & -2.22778831397987 \tabularnewline
74 & 84.9 & 85.5750835979183 & -0.675083597918288 \tabularnewline
75 & 99 & 85.4379011167123 & 13.5620988832877 \tabularnewline
76 & 84.6 & 88.1938299837551 & -3.59382998375511 \tabularnewline
77 & 92.7 & 87.4635344829842 & 5.23646551701576 \tabularnewline
78 & 97.6 & 88.5276268925597 & 9.07237310744031 \tabularnewline
79 & 78 & 90.3712069427087 & -12.3712069427087 \tabularnewline
80 & 81.9 & 87.8572770099617 & -5.95727700996173 \tabularnewline
81 & 96.5 & 86.6467098387582 & 9.85329016124177 \tabularnewline
82 & 99.9 & 88.648978589665 & 11.251021410335 \tabularnewline
83 & 96.2 & 90.9352777057014 & 5.26472229429858 \tabularnewline
84 & 90.5 & 92.005112122386 & -1.50511212238604 \tabularnewline
85 & 91.4 & 91.6992610898935 & -0.299261089893463 \tabularnewline
86 & 89.7 & 91.6384488009168 & -1.93844880091683 \tabularnewline
87 & 102.7 & 91.2445402286741 & 11.4554597713259 \tabularnewline
88 & 91.5 & 93.5723828834676 & -2.07238288346758 \tabularnewline
89 & 96.2 & 93.1512578156397 & 3.04874218436035 \tabularnewline
90 & 104.5 & 93.770787039424 & 10.729212960576 \tabularnewline
91 & 90.3 & 95.9510504317768 & -5.65105043177681 \tabularnewline
92 & 90.3 & 94.8027109934588 & -4.50271099345876 \tabularnewline
93 & 100.4 & 93.8877234746673 & 6.51227652533271 \tabularnewline
94 & 111.3 & 95.2110710642093 & 16.0889289357907 \tabularnewline
95 & 101.3 & 98.4804723623067 & 2.8195276376933 \tabularnewline
96 & 94.4 & 99.0534233247657 & -4.65342332476571 \tabularnewline
97 & 100.4 & 98.1078098336935 & 2.29219016630648 \tabularnewline
98 & 102 & 98.5736015302767 & 3.42639846972328 \tabularnewline
99 & 104.3 & 99.2698735847696 & 5.03012641523044 \tabularnewline
100 & 108.8 & 100.292036209589 & 8.50796379041056 \tabularnewline
101 & 101.3 & 102.020923693122 & -0.720923693122032 \tabularnewline
102 & 108.9 & 101.874426131505 & 7.02557386849496 \tabularnewline
103 & 98.5 & 103.302079918603 & -4.80207991860331 \tabularnewline
104 & 88.8 & 102.326258197835 & -13.5262581978346 \tabularnewline
105 & 111.8 & 99.5776124497621 & 12.2223875502379 \tabularnewline
106 & 109.6 & 102.061301070805 & 7.5386989291946 \tabularnewline
107 & 92.5 & 103.593226046261 & -11.0932260462614 \tabularnewline
108 & 94.5 & 101.338992232409 & -6.83899223240854 \tabularnewline
109 & 80.8 & 99.9492533522414 & -19.1492533522414 \tabularnewline
110 & 83.7 & 96.0579692265379 & -12.3579692265379 \tabularnewline
111 & 94.2 & 93.5467293054509 & 0.653270694549136 \tabularnewline
112 & 86.2 & 93.6794792271698 & -7.47947922716982 \tabularnewline
113 & 89 & 92.1595881771197 & -3.15958817711966 \tabularnewline
114 & 94.7 & 91.5175341454962 & 3.18246585450383 \tabularnewline
115 & 81.9 & 92.1642371073521 & -10.2642371073521 \tabularnewline
116 & 80.2 & 90.0784605925398 & -9.87846059253981 \tabularnewline
117 & 96.5 & 88.0710770051459 & 8.4289229948541 \tabularnewline
118 & 95.6 & 89.7839027557548 & 5.8160972442452 \tabularnewline
119 & 91.9 & 90.9657810495855 & 0.934218950414504 \tabularnewline
120 & 89.9 & 91.1556219433692 & -1.25562194336916 \tabularnewline
121 & 86.3 & 90.9004693457069 & -4.6004693457069 \tabularnewline
122 & 94 & 89.9656165341408 & 4.03438346585921 \tabularnewline
123 & 108 & 90.7854360878813 & 17.2145639121187 \tabularnewline
124 & 96.3 & 94.2835755740506 & 2.01642442594941 \tabularnewline
125 & 94.6 & 94.6933294278978 & -0.0933294278978138 \tabularnewline
126 & 111.7 & 94.6743641285956 & 17.0256358714044 \tabularnewline
127 & 92 & 98.1341118993173 & -6.13411189931733 \tabularnewline
128 & 91.9 & 96.8876104394414 & -4.98761043944144 \tabularnewline
129 & 109.2 & 95.8740874069145 & 13.3259125930855 \tabularnewline
130 & 106.8 & 98.5820212976067 & 8.21797870239332 \tabularnewline
131 & 105.8 & 100.251981451236 & 5.54801854876419 \tabularnewline
132 & 103.6 & 101.37938397241 & 2.2206160275903 \tabularnewline
133 & 97.6 & 101.830631221506 & -4.23063122150589 \tabularnewline
134 & 102.8 & 100.970932526673 & 1.82906747332727 \tabularnewline
135 & 124.8 & 101.342613922959 & 23.4573860770411 \tabularnewline
136 & 103.9 & 106.109345679704 & -2.20934567970404 \tabularnewline
137 & 112.2 & 105.660388657021 & 6.53961134297892 \tabularnewline
138 & 108.5 & 106.989290903971 & 1.51070909602913 \tabularnewline
139 & 92.4 & 107.296279287058 & -14.8962792870582 \tabularnewline
140 & 101.1 & 104.269234103858 & -3.1692341038584 \tabularnewline
141 & 114.9 & 103.625219941419 & 11.2747800585809 \tabularnewline
142 & 106.4 & 105.916347008137 & 0.483652991863295 \tabularnewline
143 & 104 & 106.014629232251 & -2.01462923225102 \tabularnewline
144 & 101.6 & 105.605240176373 & -4.00524017637335 \tabularnewline
145 & 99.4 & 104.791342776236 & -5.39134277623647 \tabularnewline
146 & 102.3 & 103.695778047132 & -1.39577804713234 \tabularnewline
147 & 121.3 & 103.412144588537 & 17.8878554114628 \tabularnewline
148 & 99.3 & 107.047102386897 & -7.74710238689732 \tabularnewline
149 & 102.9 & 105.472828132763 & -2.57282813276279 \tabularnewline
150 & 111.4 & 104.950008517448 & 6.44999148255194 \tabularnewline
151 & 98.5 & 106.260699279396 & -7.76069927939567 \tabularnewline
152 & 98.5 & 104.683662026048 & -6.18366202604835 \tabularnewline
153 & 108.5 & 103.427091577161 & 5.07290842283867 \tabularnewline
154 & 112.1 & 104.457947854105 & 7.64205214589515 \tabularnewline
155 & 105.3 & 106.010875044326 & -0.710875044325519 \tabularnewline
156 & 95.2 & 105.866419449924 & -10.666419449924 \tabularnewline
157 & 98.2 & 103.698916209975 & -5.49891620997522 \tabularnewline
158 & 96.6 & 102.581491683658 & -5.98149168365836 \tabularnewline
159 & 109.6 & 101.366003893691 & 8.23399610630932 \tabularnewline
160 & 108 & 103.039218914152 & 4.9607810858482 \tabularnewline
161 & 106.7 & 104.04729000368 & 2.6527099963197 \tabularnewline
162 & 111.5 & 104.586342263781 & 6.91365773621862 \tabularnewline
163 & 104.5 & 105.991253781981 & -1.49125378198141 \tabularnewline
164 & 94.3 & 105.688218877044 & -11.388218877044 \tabularnewline
165 & 109.6 & 103.374040119203 & 6.22595988079729 \tabularnewline
166 & 116.4 & 104.639205836412 & 11.7607941635879 \tabularnewline
167 & 106.5 & 107.029094924651 & -0.529094924650579 \tabularnewline
168 & 100.5 & 106.921578529969 & -6.42157852996868 \tabularnewline
169 & 101.7 & 105.616661511222 & -3.91666151122234 \tabularnewline
170 & 104.1 & 104.820764016734 & -0.720764016733924 \tabularnewline
171 & 112.3 & 104.674298902659 & 7.62570109734149 \tabularnewline
172 & 111.2 & 106.223903426741 & 4.97609657325852 \tabularnewline
173 & 108.2 & 107.235086747956 & 0.964913252044497 \tabularnewline
174 & 115.1 & 107.431164973633 & 7.66883502636671 \tabularnewline
175 & 102.3 & 108.989534663136 & -6.68953466313592 \tabularnewline
176 & 93.6 & 107.630166777392 & -14.0301667773924 \tabularnewline
177 & 120.6 & 104.779122704938 & 15.8208772950622 \tabularnewline
178 & 118.4 & 107.994053728124 & 10.4059462718758 \tabularnewline
179 & 106.6 & 110.108626698455 & -3.50862669845542 \tabularnewline
180 & 105.3 & 109.395645198677 & -4.09564519867695 \tabularnewline
181 & 101.5 & 108.563376762255 & -7.06337676225461 \tabularnewline
182 & 100.1 & 107.128041119489 & -7.02804111948885 \tabularnewline
183 & 119.5 & 105.699885966909 & 13.8001140330909 \tabularnewline
184 & 111.2 & 108.504181449457 & 2.69581855054254 \tabularnewline
185 & 103.7 & 109.051993718612 & -5.35199371861181 \tabularnewline
186 & 117.8 & 107.964425038256 & 9.83557496174413 \tabularnewline
187 & 101.7 & 109.963093916451 & -8.26309391645114 \tabularnewline
188 & 97.4 & 108.283965984159 & -10.8839659841592 \tabularnewline
189 & 120 & 106.07225551797 & 13.9277444820297 \tabularnewline
190 & 117 & 108.902486546452 & 8.09751345354769 \tabularnewline
191 & 110.6 & 110.54796718112 & 0.0520328188798942 \tabularnewline
192 & 105.3 & 110.558540673381 & -5.25854067338106 \tabularnewline
193 & 100.9 & 109.489962412375 & -8.58996241237546 \tabularnewline
194 & 108.1 & 107.744412141521 & 0.355587858479012 \tabularnewline
195 & 119.3 & 107.816670488285 & 11.4833295117153 \tabularnewline
196 & 113 & 110.150176501141 & 2.84982349885922 \tabularnewline
197 & 108.6 & 110.729283829149 & -2.12928382914893 \tabularnewline
198 & 123.3 & 110.296596026075 & 13.0034039739248 \tabularnewline
199 & 101.4 & 112.938993540646 & -11.5389935406456 \tabularnewline
200 & 103.5 & 110.594176144094 & -7.09417614409408 \tabularnewline
201 & 119.4 & 109.15258181628 & 10.2474181837196 \tabularnewline
202 & 113.1 & 111.234940588931 & 1.86505941106873 \tabularnewline
203 & 112 & 111.613935839884 & 0.386064160116234 \tabularnewline
204 & 115.8 & 111.692387219169 & 4.10761278083113 \tabularnewline
205 & 105.4 & 112.527087565682 & -7.12708756568206 \tabularnewline
206 & 110.9 & 111.078805369155 & -0.178805369155015 \tabularnewline
207 & 128.5 & 111.042470662951 & 17.4575293370492 \tabularnewline
208 & 109 & 114.589982700819 & -5.58998270081891 \tabularnewline
209 & 117.2 & 113.454052722426 & 3.74594727757409 \tabularnewline
210 & 124.4 & 114.215259695294 & 10.1847403047059 \tabularnewline
211 & 104.7 & 116.284881812831 & -11.5848818128309 \tabularnewline
212 & 108.6 & 113.930739545914 & -5.33073954591359 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=310014&T=2

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]t[/C][C]Observed[/C][C]Fitted[/C][C]Residuals[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]2[/C][C]64.8[/C][C]58.4[/C][C]6.4[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]3[/C][C]73.8[/C][C]59.7005320858417[/C][C]14.0994679141583[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]4[/C][C]65[/C][C]62.5656587132884[/C][C]2.43434128671159[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]5[/C][C]73[/C][C]63.0603366744224[/C][C]9.93966332557758[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]6[/C][C]71.1[/C][C]65.0801571552627[/C][C]6.01984284473727[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]7[/C][C]58.2[/C][C]66.3034382132792[/C][C]-8.10343821327922[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]8[/C][C]64[/C][C]64.6567536192158[/C][C]-0.656753619215849[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]9[/C][C]75[/C][C]64.5232959388591[/C][C]10.4767040611409[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]10[/C][C]74.9[/C][C]66.6522474678251[/C][C]8.24775253217491[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]11[/C][C]75[/C][C]68.3282579059776[/C][C]6.67174209402243[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]12[/C][C]68.3[/C][C]69.684010196874[/C][C]-1.38401019687399[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]13[/C][C]72.5[/C][C]69.4027680612229[/C][C]3.09723193877707[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]14[/C][C]72.4[/C][C]70.0321507977344[/C][C]2.36784920226562[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]15[/C][C]79.6[/C][C]70.5133170261689[/C][C]9.08668297383105[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]16[/C][C]70.7[/C][C]72.3598049576282[/C][C]-1.65980495762817[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]17[/C][C]76.4[/C][C]72.0225190820603[/C][C]4.37748091793974[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]18[/C][C]79.7[/C][C]72.9120588303322[/C][C]6.78794116966777[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]19[/C][C]64.2[/C][C]74.2914237190758[/C][C]-10.0914237190758[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]20[/C][C]67.9[/C][C]72.240764291188[/C][C]-4.34076429118795[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]21[/C][C]74.1[/C][C]71.358685660287[/C][C]2.74131433971296[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]22[/C][C]78.5[/C][C]71.9157430440643[/C][C]6.58425695593566[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]23[/C][C]73.4[/C][C]73.2537176429114[/C][C]0.146282357088637[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]24[/C][C]65.4[/C][C]73.283443408378[/C][C]-7.88344340837799[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]25[/C][C]69.9[/C][C]71.6814635490791[/C][C]-1.78146354907908[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]26[/C][C]69.6[/C][C]71.3194556576205[/C][C]-1.71945565762053[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]27[/C][C]76.8[/C][C]70.9700482743522[/C][C]5.82995172564785[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]28[/C][C]75.6[/C][C]72.1547419115574[/C][C]3.44525808844263[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]29[/C][C]74[/C][C]72.8548463940613[/C][C]1.14515360593867[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]30[/C][C]76[/C][C]73.0875509265208[/C][C]2.91244907347919[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]31[/C][C]68.1[/C][C]73.6793842809645[/C][C]-5.57938428096452[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]32[/C][C]65.5[/C][C]72.5456079877403[/C][C]-7.04560798774025[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]33[/C][C]76.9[/C][C]71.1138831045654[/C][C]5.78611689543459[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]34[/C][C]81.7[/C][C]72.2896691475254[/C][C]9.41033085247464[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]35[/C][C]73.6[/C][C]74.201924961905[/C][C]-0.601924961904999[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]36[/C][C]68.7[/C][C]74.0796089109321[/C][C]-5.37960891093209[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]37[/C][C]73.3[/C][C]72.9864285987528[/C][C]0.31357140124716[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]38[/C][C]71.5[/C][C]73.0501488594598[/C][C]-1.55014885945975[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]39[/C][C]78.3[/C][C]72.7351459954663[/C][C]5.56485400453374[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]40[/C][C]76.5[/C][C]73.8659696182664[/C][C]2.6340303817336[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]41[/C][C]71.8[/C][C]74.4012260286612[/C][C]-2.60122602866117[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]42[/C][C]77.6[/C][C]73.8726357297861[/C][C]3.7273642702139[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]43[/C][C]70[/C][C]74.6300664843225[/C][C]-4.63006648432254[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]44[/C][C]64[/C][C]73.689199293316[/C][C]-9.68919929331599[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]45[/C][C]81.3[/C][C]71.7202751422109[/C][C]9.57972485778907[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]46[/C][C]82.5[/C][C]73.6669531970688[/C][C]8.83304680293122[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]47[/C][C]73.1[/C][C]75.4619001944053[/C][C]-2.36190019440531[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]48[/C][C]78.1[/C][C]74.9819428527834[/C][C]3.11805714721655[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]49[/C][C]70.7[/C][C]75.615557441134[/C][C]-4.91555744113396[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]50[/C][C]74.9[/C][C]74.6166761642601[/C][C]0.283323835739921[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]51[/C][C]88[/C][C]74.6742498734888[/C][C]13.3257501265112[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]52[/C][C]81.3[/C][C]77.3821507496508[/C][C]3.91784925034915[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]53[/C][C]75.7[/C][C]78.1782896023962[/C][C]-2.47828960239616[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]54[/C][C]89.8[/C][C]77.6746809858455[/C][C]12.1253190141545[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]55[/C][C]74.6[/C][C]80.1386444903728[/C][C]-5.53864449037282[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]56[/C][C]74.9[/C][C]79.013146854154[/C][C]-4.113146854154[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]57[/C][C]90[/C][C]78.177321938903[/C][C]11.822678061097[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]58[/C][C]88.1[/C][C]80.579786338752[/C][C]7.52021366124795[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]59[/C][C]84.9[/C][C]82.1079549573205[/C][C]2.79204504267949[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]60[/C][C]87.7[/C][C]82.675321232808[/C][C]5.02467876719199[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]61[/C][C]80.5[/C][C]83.6963768512113[/C][C]-3.19637685121128[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]62[/C][C]79[/C][C]83.046847061611[/C][C]-4.04684706161098[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]63[/C][C]89.9[/C][C]82.2244948037798[/C][C]7.67550519622017[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]64[/C][C]86.3[/C][C]83.7842199260813[/C][C]2.51578007391872[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]65[/C][C]81.1[/C][C]84.2954469115582[/C][C]-3.19544691155825[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]66[/C][C]92.4[/C][C]83.6461060932637[/C][C]8.75389390673635[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]67[/C][C]71.8[/C][C]85.4249685779144[/C][C]-13.6249685779144[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]68[/C][C]76.1[/C][C]82.656264077264[/C][C]-6.55626407726396[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]69[/C][C]92.5[/C][C]81.3239778591806[/C][C]11.1760221408194[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]70[/C][C]87[/C][C]83.5950365132764[/C][C]3.40496348672357[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]71[/C][C]89.5[/C][C]84.286952804777[/C][C]5.21304719522303[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]72[/C][C]88.7[/C][C]85.3462864207762[/C][C]3.35371357922385[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]73[/C][C]83.8[/C][C]86.0277883139799[/C][C]-2.22778831397987[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]74[/C][C]84.9[/C][C]85.5750835979183[/C][C]-0.675083597918288[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]75[/C][C]99[/C][C]85.4379011167123[/C][C]13.5620988832877[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]76[/C][C]84.6[/C][C]88.1938299837551[/C][C]-3.59382998375511[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]77[/C][C]92.7[/C][C]87.4635344829842[/C][C]5.23646551701576[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]78[/C][C]97.6[/C][C]88.5276268925597[/C][C]9.07237310744031[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]79[/C][C]78[/C][C]90.3712069427087[/C][C]-12.3712069427087[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]80[/C][C]81.9[/C][C]87.8572770099617[/C][C]-5.95727700996173[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]81[/C][C]96.5[/C][C]86.6467098387582[/C][C]9.85329016124177[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]82[/C][C]99.9[/C][C]88.648978589665[/C][C]11.251021410335[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]83[/C][C]96.2[/C][C]90.9352777057014[/C][C]5.26472229429858[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]84[/C][C]90.5[/C][C]92.005112122386[/C][C]-1.50511212238604[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]85[/C][C]91.4[/C][C]91.6992610898935[/C][C]-0.299261089893463[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]86[/C][C]89.7[/C][C]91.6384488009168[/C][C]-1.93844880091683[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]87[/C][C]102.7[/C][C]91.2445402286741[/C][C]11.4554597713259[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]88[/C][C]91.5[/C][C]93.5723828834676[/C][C]-2.07238288346758[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]89[/C][C]96.2[/C][C]93.1512578156397[/C][C]3.04874218436035[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]90[/C][C]104.5[/C][C]93.770787039424[/C][C]10.729212960576[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]91[/C][C]90.3[/C][C]95.9510504317768[/C][C]-5.65105043177681[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]92[/C][C]90.3[/C][C]94.8027109934588[/C][C]-4.50271099345876[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]93[/C][C]100.4[/C][C]93.8877234746673[/C][C]6.51227652533271[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]94[/C][C]111.3[/C][C]95.2110710642093[/C][C]16.0889289357907[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]95[/C][C]101.3[/C][C]98.4804723623067[/C][C]2.8195276376933[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]96[/C][C]94.4[/C][C]99.0534233247657[/C][C]-4.65342332476571[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]97[/C][C]100.4[/C][C]98.1078098336935[/C][C]2.29219016630648[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]98[/C][C]102[/C][C]98.5736015302767[/C][C]3.42639846972328[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]99[/C][C]104.3[/C][C]99.2698735847696[/C][C]5.03012641523044[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]100[/C][C]108.8[/C][C]100.292036209589[/C][C]8.50796379041056[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]101[/C][C]101.3[/C][C]102.020923693122[/C][C]-0.720923693122032[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]102[/C][C]108.9[/C][C]101.874426131505[/C][C]7.02557386849496[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]103[/C][C]98.5[/C][C]103.302079918603[/C][C]-4.80207991860331[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]104[/C][C]88.8[/C][C]102.326258197835[/C][C]-13.5262581978346[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]105[/C][C]111.8[/C][C]99.5776124497621[/C][C]12.2223875502379[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]106[/C][C]109.6[/C][C]102.061301070805[/C][C]7.5386989291946[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]107[/C][C]92.5[/C][C]103.593226046261[/C][C]-11.0932260462614[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]108[/C][C]94.5[/C][C]101.338992232409[/C][C]-6.83899223240854[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]109[/C][C]80.8[/C][C]99.9492533522414[/C][C]-19.1492533522414[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]110[/C][C]83.7[/C][C]96.0579692265379[/C][C]-12.3579692265379[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]111[/C][C]94.2[/C][C]93.5467293054509[/C][C]0.653270694549136[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]112[/C][C]86.2[/C][C]93.6794792271698[/C][C]-7.47947922716982[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]113[/C][C]89[/C][C]92.1595881771197[/C][C]-3.15958817711966[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]114[/C][C]94.7[/C][C]91.5175341454962[/C][C]3.18246585450383[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]115[/C][C]81.9[/C][C]92.1642371073521[/C][C]-10.2642371073521[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]116[/C][C]80.2[/C][C]90.0784605925398[/C][C]-9.87846059253981[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]117[/C][C]96.5[/C][C]88.0710770051459[/C][C]8.4289229948541[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]118[/C][C]95.6[/C][C]89.7839027557548[/C][C]5.8160972442452[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]119[/C][C]91.9[/C][C]90.9657810495855[/C][C]0.934218950414504[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]120[/C][C]89.9[/C][C]91.1556219433692[/C][C]-1.25562194336916[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]121[/C][C]86.3[/C][C]90.9004693457069[/C][C]-4.6004693457069[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]122[/C][C]94[/C][C]89.9656165341408[/C][C]4.03438346585921[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]123[/C][C]108[/C][C]90.7854360878813[/C][C]17.2145639121187[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]124[/C][C]96.3[/C][C]94.2835755740506[/C][C]2.01642442594941[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]125[/C][C]94.6[/C][C]94.6933294278978[/C][C]-0.0933294278978138[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]126[/C][C]111.7[/C][C]94.6743641285956[/C][C]17.0256358714044[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]127[/C][C]92[/C][C]98.1341118993173[/C][C]-6.13411189931733[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]128[/C][C]91.9[/C][C]96.8876104394414[/C][C]-4.98761043944144[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]129[/C][C]109.2[/C][C]95.8740874069145[/C][C]13.3259125930855[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]130[/C][C]106.8[/C][C]98.5820212976067[/C][C]8.21797870239332[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]131[/C][C]105.8[/C][C]100.251981451236[/C][C]5.54801854876419[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]132[/C][C]103.6[/C][C]101.37938397241[/C][C]2.2206160275903[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]133[/C][C]97.6[/C][C]101.830631221506[/C][C]-4.23063122150589[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]134[/C][C]102.8[/C][C]100.970932526673[/C][C]1.82906747332727[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]135[/C][C]124.8[/C][C]101.342613922959[/C][C]23.4573860770411[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]136[/C][C]103.9[/C][C]106.109345679704[/C][C]-2.20934567970404[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]137[/C][C]112.2[/C][C]105.660388657021[/C][C]6.53961134297892[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]138[/C][C]108.5[/C][C]106.989290903971[/C][C]1.51070909602913[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]139[/C][C]92.4[/C][C]107.296279287058[/C][C]-14.8962792870582[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]140[/C][C]101.1[/C][C]104.269234103858[/C][C]-3.1692341038584[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]141[/C][C]114.9[/C][C]103.625219941419[/C][C]11.2747800585809[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]142[/C][C]106.4[/C][C]105.916347008137[/C][C]0.483652991863295[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]143[/C][C]104[/C][C]106.014629232251[/C][C]-2.01462923225102[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]144[/C][C]101.6[/C][C]105.605240176373[/C][C]-4.00524017637335[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]145[/C][C]99.4[/C][C]104.791342776236[/C][C]-5.39134277623647[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]146[/C][C]102.3[/C][C]103.695778047132[/C][C]-1.39577804713234[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]147[/C][C]121.3[/C][C]103.412144588537[/C][C]17.8878554114628[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]148[/C][C]99.3[/C][C]107.047102386897[/C][C]-7.74710238689732[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]149[/C][C]102.9[/C][C]105.472828132763[/C][C]-2.57282813276279[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]150[/C][C]111.4[/C][C]104.950008517448[/C][C]6.44999148255194[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]151[/C][C]98.5[/C][C]106.260699279396[/C][C]-7.76069927939567[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]152[/C][C]98.5[/C][C]104.683662026048[/C][C]-6.18366202604835[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]153[/C][C]108.5[/C][C]103.427091577161[/C][C]5.07290842283867[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]154[/C][C]112.1[/C][C]104.457947854105[/C][C]7.64205214589515[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]155[/C][C]105.3[/C][C]106.010875044326[/C][C]-0.710875044325519[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]156[/C][C]95.2[/C][C]105.866419449924[/C][C]-10.666419449924[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]157[/C][C]98.2[/C][C]103.698916209975[/C][C]-5.49891620997522[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]158[/C][C]96.6[/C][C]102.581491683658[/C][C]-5.98149168365836[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]159[/C][C]109.6[/C][C]101.366003893691[/C][C]8.23399610630932[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]160[/C][C]108[/C][C]103.039218914152[/C][C]4.9607810858482[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]161[/C][C]106.7[/C][C]104.04729000368[/C][C]2.6527099963197[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]162[/C][C]111.5[/C][C]104.586342263781[/C][C]6.91365773621862[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]163[/C][C]104.5[/C][C]105.991253781981[/C][C]-1.49125378198141[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]164[/C][C]94.3[/C][C]105.688218877044[/C][C]-11.388218877044[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]165[/C][C]109.6[/C][C]103.374040119203[/C][C]6.22595988079729[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]166[/C][C]116.4[/C][C]104.639205836412[/C][C]11.7607941635879[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]167[/C][C]106.5[/C][C]107.029094924651[/C][C]-0.529094924650579[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]168[/C][C]100.5[/C][C]106.921578529969[/C][C]-6.42157852996868[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]169[/C][C]101.7[/C][C]105.616661511222[/C][C]-3.91666151122234[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]170[/C][C]104.1[/C][C]104.820764016734[/C][C]-0.720764016733924[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]171[/C][C]112.3[/C][C]104.674298902659[/C][C]7.62570109734149[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]172[/C][C]111.2[/C][C]106.223903426741[/C][C]4.97609657325852[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]173[/C][C]108.2[/C][C]107.235086747956[/C][C]0.964913252044497[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]174[/C][C]115.1[/C][C]107.431164973633[/C][C]7.66883502636671[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]175[/C][C]102.3[/C][C]108.989534663136[/C][C]-6.68953466313592[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]176[/C][C]93.6[/C][C]107.630166777392[/C][C]-14.0301667773924[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]177[/C][C]120.6[/C][C]104.779122704938[/C][C]15.8208772950622[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]178[/C][C]118.4[/C][C]107.994053728124[/C][C]10.4059462718758[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]179[/C][C]106.6[/C][C]110.108626698455[/C][C]-3.50862669845542[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]180[/C][C]105.3[/C][C]109.395645198677[/C][C]-4.09564519867695[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]181[/C][C]101.5[/C][C]108.563376762255[/C][C]-7.06337676225461[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]182[/C][C]100.1[/C][C]107.128041119489[/C][C]-7.02804111948885[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]183[/C][C]119.5[/C][C]105.699885966909[/C][C]13.8001140330909[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]184[/C][C]111.2[/C][C]108.504181449457[/C][C]2.69581855054254[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]185[/C][C]103.7[/C][C]109.051993718612[/C][C]-5.35199371861181[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]186[/C][C]117.8[/C][C]107.964425038256[/C][C]9.83557496174413[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]187[/C][C]101.7[/C][C]109.963093916451[/C][C]-8.26309391645114[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]188[/C][C]97.4[/C][C]108.283965984159[/C][C]-10.8839659841592[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]189[/C][C]120[/C][C]106.07225551797[/C][C]13.9277444820297[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]190[/C][C]117[/C][C]108.902486546452[/C][C]8.09751345354769[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]191[/C][C]110.6[/C][C]110.54796718112[/C][C]0.0520328188798942[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]192[/C][C]105.3[/C][C]110.558540673381[/C][C]-5.25854067338106[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]193[/C][C]100.9[/C][C]109.489962412375[/C][C]-8.58996241237546[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]194[/C][C]108.1[/C][C]107.744412141521[/C][C]0.355587858479012[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]195[/C][C]119.3[/C][C]107.816670488285[/C][C]11.4833295117153[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]196[/C][C]113[/C][C]110.150176501141[/C][C]2.84982349885922[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]197[/C][C]108.6[/C][C]110.729283829149[/C][C]-2.12928382914893[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]198[/C][C]123.3[/C][C]110.296596026075[/C][C]13.0034039739248[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]199[/C][C]101.4[/C][C]112.938993540646[/C][C]-11.5389935406456[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]200[/C][C]103.5[/C][C]110.594176144094[/C][C]-7.09417614409408[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]201[/C][C]119.4[/C][C]109.15258181628[/C][C]10.2474181837196[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]202[/C][C]113.1[/C][C]111.234940588931[/C][C]1.86505941106873[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]203[/C][C]112[/C][C]111.613935839884[/C][C]0.386064160116234[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]204[/C][C]115.8[/C][C]111.692387219169[/C][C]4.10761278083113[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]205[/C][C]105.4[/C][C]112.527087565682[/C][C]-7.12708756568206[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]206[/C][C]110.9[/C][C]111.078805369155[/C][C]-0.178805369155015[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]207[/C][C]128.5[/C][C]111.042470662951[/C][C]17.4575293370492[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]208[/C][C]109[/C][C]114.589982700819[/C][C]-5.58998270081891[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]209[/C][C]117.2[/C][C]113.454052722426[/C][C]3.74594727757409[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]210[/C][C]124.4[/C][C]114.215259695294[/C][C]10.1847403047059[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]211[/C][C]104.7[/C][C]116.284881812831[/C][C]-11.5848818128309[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]212[/C][C]108.6[/C][C]113.930739545914[/C][C]-5.33073954591359[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=310014&T=2

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=310014&T=2

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
264.858.46.4
373.859.700532085841714.0994679141583
46562.56565871328842.43434128671159
57363.06033667442249.93966332557758
671.165.08015715526276.01984284473727
758.266.3034382132792-8.10343821327922
86464.6567536192158-0.656753619215849
97564.523295938859110.4767040611409
1074.966.65224746782518.24775253217491
117568.32825790597766.67174209402243
1268.369.684010196874-1.38401019687399
1372.569.40276806122293.09723193877707
1472.470.03215079773442.36784920226562
1579.670.51331702616899.08668297383105
1670.772.3598049576282-1.65980495762817
1776.472.02251908206034.37748091793974
1879.772.91205883033226.78794116966777
1964.274.2914237190758-10.0914237190758
2067.972.240764291188-4.34076429118795
2174.171.3586856602872.74131433971296
2278.571.91574304406436.58425695593566
2373.473.25371764291140.146282357088637
2465.473.283443408378-7.88344340837799
2569.971.6814635490791-1.78146354907908
2669.671.3194556576205-1.71945565762053
2776.870.97004827435225.82995172564785
2875.672.15474191155743.44525808844263
297472.85484639406131.14515360593867
307673.08755092652082.91244907347919
3168.173.6793842809645-5.57938428096452
3265.572.5456079877403-7.04560798774025
3376.971.11388310456545.78611689543459
3481.772.28966914752549.41033085247464
3573.674.201924961905-0.601924961904999
3668.774.0796089109321-5.37960891093209
3773.372.98642859875280.31357140124716
3871.573.0501488594598-1.55014885945975
3978.372.73514599546635.56485400453374
4076.573.86596961826642.6340303817336
4171.874.4012260286612-2.60122602866117
4277.673.87263572978613.7273642702139
437074.6300664843225-4.63006648432254
446473.689199293316-9.68919929331599
4581.371.72027514221099.57972485778907
4682.573.66695319706888.83304680293122
4773.175.4619001944053-2.36190019440531
4878.174.98194285278343.11805714721655
4970.775.615557441134-4.91555744113396
5074.974.61667616426010.283323835739921
518874.674249873488813.3257501265112
5281.377.38215074965083.91784925034915
5375.778.1782896023962-2.47828960239616
5489.877.674680985845512.1253190141545
5574.680.1386444903728-5.53864449037282
5674.979.013146854154-4.113146854154
579078.17732193890311.822678061097
5888.180.5797863387527.52021366124795
5984.982.10795495732052.79204504267949
6087.782.6753212328085.02467876719199
6180.583.6963768512113-3.19637685121128
627983.046847061611-4.04684706161098
6389.982.22449480377987.67550519622017
6486.383.78421992608132.51578007391872
6581.184.2954469115582-3.19544691155825
6692.483.64610609326378.75389390673635
6771.885.4249685779144-13.6249685779144
6876.182.656264077264-6.55626407726396
6992.581.323977859180611.1760221408194
708783.59503651327643.40496348672357
7189.584.2869528047775.21304719522303
7288.785.34628642077623.35371357922385
7383.886.0277883139799-2.22778831397987
7484.985.5750835979183-0.675083597918288
759985.437901116712313.5620988832877
7684.688.1938299837551-3.59382998375511
7792.787.46353448298425.23646551701576
7897.688.52762689255979.07237310744031
797890.3712069427087-12.3712069427087
8081.987.8572770099617-5.95727700996173
8196.586.64670983875829.85329016124177
8299.988.64897858966511.251021410335
8396.290.93527770570145.26472229429858
8490.592.005112122386-1.50511212238604
8591.491.6992610898935-0.299261089893463
8689.791.6384488009168-1.93844880091683
87102.791.244540228674111.4554597713259
8891.593.5723828834676-2.07238288346758
8996.293.15125781563973.04874218436035
90104.593.77078703942410.729212960576
9190.395.9510504317768-5.65105043177681
9290.394.8027109934588-4.50271099345876
93100.493.88772347466736.51227652533271
94111.395.211071064209316.0889289357907
95101.398.48047236230672.8195276376933
9694.499.0534233247657-4.65342332476571
97100.498.10780983369352.29219016630648
9810298.57360153027673.42639846972328
99104.399.26987358476965.03012641523044
100108.8100.2920362095898.50796379041056
101101.3102.020923693122-0.720923693122032
102108.9101.8744261315057.02557386849496
10398.5103.302079918603-4.80207991860331
10488.8102.326258197835-13.5262581978346
105111.899.577612449762112.2223875502379
106109.6102.0613010708057.5386989291946
10792.5103.593226046261-11.0932260462614
10894.5101.338992232409-6.83899223240854
10980.899.9492533522414-19.1492533522414
11083.796.0579692265379-12.3579692265379
11194.293.54672930545090.653270694549136
11286.293.6794792271698-7.47947922716982
1138992.1595881771197-3.15958817711966
11494.791.51753414549623.18246585450383
11581.992.1642371073521-10.2642371073521
11680.290.0784605925398-9.87846059253981
11796.588.07107700514598.4289229948541
11895.689.78390275575485.8160972442452
11991.990.96578104958550.934218950414504
12089.991.1556219433692-1.25562194336916
12186.390.9004693457069-4.6004693457069
1229489.96561653414084.03438346585921
12310890.785436087881317.2145639121187
12496.394.28357557405062.01642442594941
12594.694.6933294278978-0.0933294278978138
126111.794.674364128595617.0256358714044
1279298.1341118993173-6.13411189931733
12891.996.8876104394414-4.98761043944144
129109.295.874087406914513.3259125930855
130106.898.58202129760678.21797870239332
131105.8100.2519814512365.54801854876419
132103.6101.379383972412.2206160275903
13397.6101.830631221506-4.23063122150589
134102.8100.9709325266731.82906747332727
135124.8101.34261392295923.4573860770411
136103.9106.109345679704-2.20934567970404
137112.2105.6603886570216.53961134297892
138108.5106.9892909039711.51070909602913
13992.4107.296279287058-14.8962792870582
140101.1104.269234103858-3.1692341038584
141114.9103.62521994141911.2747800585809
142106.4105.9163470081370.483652991863295
143104106.014629232251-2.01462923225102
144101.6105.605240176373-4.00524017637335
14599.4104.791342776236-5.39134277623647
146102.3103.695778047132-1.39577804713234
147121.3103.41214458853717.8878554114628
14899.3107.047102386897-7.74710238689732
149102.9105.472828132763-2.57282813276279
150111.4104.9500085174486.44999148255194
15198.5106.260699279396-7.76069927939567
15298.5104.683662026048-6.18366202604835
153108.5103.4270915771615.07290842283867
154112.1104.4579478541057.64205214589515
155105.3106.010875044326-0.710875044325519
15695.2105.866419449924-10.666419449924
15798.2103.698916209975-5.49891620997522
15896.6102.581491683658-5.98149168365836
159109.6101.3660038936918.23399610630932
160108103.0392189141524.9607810858482
161106.7104.047290003682.6527099963197
162111.5104.5863422637816.91365773621862
163104.5105.991253781981-1.49125378198141
16494.3105.688218877044-11.388218877044
165109.6103.3740401192036.22595988079729
166116.4104.63920583641211.7607941635879
167106.5107.029094924651-0.529094924650579
168100.5106.921578529969-6.42157852996868
169101.7105.616661511222-3.91666151122234
170104.1104.820764016734-0.720764016733924
171112.3104.6742989026597.62570109734149
172111.2106.2239034267414.97609657325852
173108.2107.2350867479560.964913252044497
174115.1107.4311649736337.66883502636671
175102.3108.989534663136-6.68953466313592
17693.6107.630166777392-14.0301667773924
177120.6104.77912270493815.8208772950622
178118.4107.99405372812410.4059462718758
179106.6110.108626698455-3.50862669845542
180105.3109.395645198677-4.09564519867695
181101.5108.563376762255-7.06337676225461
182100.1107.128041119489-7.02804111948885
183119.5105.69988596690913.8001140330909
184111.2108.5041814494572.69581855054254
185103.7109.051993718612-5.35199371861181
186117.8107.9644250382569.83557496174413
187101.7109.963093916451-8.26309391645114
18897.4108.283965984159-10.8839659841592
189120106.0722555179713.9277444820297
190117108.9024865464528.09751345354769
191110.6110.547967181120.0520328188798942
192105.3110.558540673381-5.25854067338106
193100.9109.489962412375-8.58996241237546
194108.1107.7444121415210.355587858479012
195119.3107.81667048828511.4833295117153
196113110.1501765011412.84982349885922
197108.6110.729283829149-2.12928382914893
198123.3110.29659602607513.0034039739248
199101.4112.938993540646-11.5389935406456
200103.5110.594176144094-7.09417614409408
201119.4109.1525818162810.2474181837196
202113.1111.2349405889311.86505941106873
203112111.6139358398840.386064160116234
204115.8111.6923872191694.10761278083113
205105.4112.527087565682-7.12708756568206
206110.9111.078805369155-0.178805369155015
207128.5111.04247066295117.4575293370492
208109114.589982700819-5.58998270081891
209117.2113.4540527224263.74594727757409
210124.4114.21525969529410.1847403047059
211104.7116.284881812831-11.5848818128309
212108.6113.930739545914-5.33073954591359







Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
213112.84748988642598.0262601219417127.668719650909
214112.84748988642597.7233450213878127.971634751463
215112.84748988642597.4263788996752128.268600873175
216112.84748988642597.1350244454867128.559955327364
217112.84748988642596.8489750678644128.846004704986
218112.84748988642596.5679511163391129.127028656511
219112.84748988642596.2916966787967129.403283094054
220112.84748988642596.0199768526824129.675002920168
221112.84748988642595.7525754067383129.942404366112
222112.84748988642595.4892927670573130.205687005793
223112.84748988642595.2299442741142130.465035498736
224112.84748988642594.974358667501130.720621105349

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing \tabularnewline
t & Forecast & 95% Lower Bound & 95% Upper Bound \tabularnewline
213 & 112.847489886425 & 98.0262601219417 & 127.668719650909 \tabularnewline
214 & 112.847489886425 & 97.7233450213878 & 127.971634751463 \tabularnewline
215 & 112.847489886425 & 97.4263788996752 & 128.268600873175 \tabularnewline
216 & 112.847489886425 & 97.1350244454867 & 128.559955327364 \tabularnewline
217 & 112.847489886425 & 96.8489750678644 & 128.846004704986 \tabularnewline
218 & 112.847489886425 & 96.5679511163391 & 129.127028656511 \tabularnewline
219 & 112.847489886425 & 96.2916966787967 & 129.403283094054 \tabularnewline
220 & 112.847489886425 & 96.0199768526824 & 129.675002920168 \tabularnewline
221 & 112.847489886425 & 95.7525754067383 & 129.942404366112 \tabularnewline
222 & 112.847489886425 & 95.4892927670573 & 130.205687005793 \tabularnewline
223 & 112.847489886425 & 95.2299442741142 & 130.465035498736 \tabularnewline
224 & 112.847489886425 & 94.974358667501 & 130.720621105349 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=310014&T=3

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]t[/C][C]Forecast[/C][C]95% Lower Bound[/C][C]95% Upper Bound[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]213[/C][C]112.847489886425[/C][C]98.0262601219417[/C][C]127.668719650909[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]214[/C][C]112.847489886425[/C][C]97.7233450213878[/C][C]127.971634751463[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]215[/C][C]112.847489886425[/C][C]97.4263788996752[/C][C]128.268600873175[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]216[/C][C]112.847489886425[/C][C]97.1350244454867[/C][C]128.559955327364[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]217[/C][C]112.847489886425[/C][C]96.8489750678644[/C][C]128.846004704986[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]218[/C][C]112.847489886425[/C][C]96.5679511163391[/C][C]129.127028656511[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]219[/C][C]112.847489886425[/C][C]96.2916966787967[/C][C]129.403283094054[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]220[/C][C]112.847489886425[/C][C]96.0199768526824[/C][C]129.675002920168[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]221[/C][C]112.847489886425[/C][C]95.7525754067383[/C][C]129.942404366112[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]222[/C][C]112.847489886425[/C][C]95.4892927670573[/C][C]130.205687005793[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]223[/C][C]112.847489886425[/C][C]95.2299442741142[/C][C]130.465035498736[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]224[/C][C]112.847489886425[/C][C]94.974358667501[/C][C]130.720621105349[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=310014&T=3

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=310014&T=3

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
213112.84748988642598.0262601219417127.668719650909
214112.84748988642597.7233450213878127.971634751463
215112.84748988642597.4263788996752128.268600873175
216112.84748988642597.1350244454867128.559955327364
217112.84748988642596.8489750678644128.846004704986
218112.84748988642596.5679511163391129.127028656511
219112.84748988642596.2916966787967129.403283094054
220112.84748988642596.0199768526824129.675002920168
221112.84748988642595.7525754067383129.942404366112
222112.84748988642595.4892927670573130.205687005793
223112.84748988642595.2299442741142130.465035498736
224112.84748988642594.974358667501130.720621105349



Parameters (Session):
par1 = 12 ; par2 = Single ; par3 = multiplicative ; par4 = 12 ;
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 12 ; par2 = Single ; par3 = multiplicative ; par4 = 12 ;
R code (references can be found in the software module):
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
par4 <- as.numeric(par4)
if (par2 == 'Single') K <- 1
if (par2 == 'Double') K <- 2
if (par2 == 'Triple') K <- par1
nx <- length(x)
nxmK <- nx - K
x <- ts(x, frequency = par1)
if (par2 == 'Single') fit <- HoltWinters(x, gamma=F, beta=F)
if (par2 == 'Double') fit <- HoltWinters(x, gamma=F)
if (par2 == 'Triple') fit <- HoltWinters(x, seasonal=par3)
fit
myresid <- x - fit$fitted[,'xhat']
bitmap(file='test1.png')
op <- par(mfrow=c(2,1))
plot(fit,ylab='Observed (black) / Fitted (red)',main='Interpolation Fit of Exponential Smoothing')
plot(myresid,ylab='Residuals',main='Interpolation Prediction Errors')
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test2.png')
p <- predict(fit, par4, prediction.interval=TRUE)
np <- length(p[,1])
plot(fit,p,ylab='Observed (black) / Fitted (red)',main='Extrapolation Fit of Exponential Smoothing')
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
acf(as.numeric(myresid),lag.max = nx/2,main='Residual ACF')
spectrum(myresid,main='Residals Periodogram')
cpgram(myresid,main='Residal Cumulative Periodogram')
qqnorm(myresid,main='Residual Normal QQ Plot')
qqline(myresid)
par(op)
dev.off()
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing',2,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'alpha',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$alpha)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'beta',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$beta)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'gamma',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$gamma)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'t',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Observed',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Fitted',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Residuals',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:nxmK) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i+K,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i+K])
a<-table.element(a,fit$fitted[i,'xhat'])
a<-table.element(a,myresid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'t',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Forecast',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'95% Lower Bound',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'95% Upper Bound',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:np) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,nx+i,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'fit'])
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'lwr'])
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'upr'])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')