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of Irreproducible Research!

Author's title

Author*Unverified author*
R Software Modulerwasp_exponentialsmoothing.wasp
Title produced by softwareExponential Smoothing
Date of computationTue, 15 Aug 2017 21:48:51 +0200
Cite this page as followsStatistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2017/Aug/15/t150282654720t9u25egxigym4.htm/, Retrieved Sun, 19 May 2024 23:29:23 +0000
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=307326, Retrieved Sun, 19 May 2024 23:29:23 +0000
QR Codes:

Original text written by user:
IsPrivate?No (this computation is public)
User-defined keywords
Estimated Impact51
Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)
-       [Exponential Smoothing] [] [2017-08-15 19:48:51] [1a8cec710a8245ea2c14b5d40c333c7c] [Current]
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Dataseries X:
247832,00
246909,00
245973,00
244036,00
263198,00
262184,00
247832,00
238290,00
239213,00
239213,00
240240,00
242086,00
244959,00
244959,00
243113,00
238290,00
263198,00
266994,00
261261,00
247832,00
253578,00
244959,00
248846,00
250705,00
252642,00
247832,00
248846,00
242086,00
263198,00
269867,00
264134,00
253578,00
265057,00
252642,00
264134,00
263198,00
266071,00
255515,00
266994,00
266071,00
283296,00
279409,00
264134,00
256438,00
266994,00
252642,00
263198,00
265057,00
268944,00
260338,00
265057,00
267930,00
278486,00
269867,00
258388,00
245973,00
257465,00
225875,00
241163,00
249769,00
258388,00
245973,00
245973,00
245973,00
252642,00
243113,00
230607,00
220142,00
227734,00
198094,00
216255,00
226811,00
228748,00
218192,00
219115,00
216255,00
225875,00
219115,00
205790,00
196157,00
212446,00
177073,00
200044,00
210509,00
210509,00
198094,00
186615,00
185692,00
196157,00
186615,00
168467,00
155961,00
169390,00
137813,00
166517,00
181792,00
186615,00
176059,00
162721,00
172263,00
176059,00
173186,00
144469,00
131144,00
140673,00
111969,00
141609,00
152165,00
160771,00
146419,00
132990,00
140673,00
144469,00
136877,00
108173,00
95667,00
107146,00
75569,00
110019,00
131144,00




Summary of computational transaction
Raw Input view raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time1 seconds
R ServerBig Analytics Cloud Computing Center

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time1 seconds \tabularnewline
R ServerBig Analytics Cloud Computing Center \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=307326&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW]
Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW] [ROW]Raw Input[/C] view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW] [ROW]Raw Output[/C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW] [ROW]Computing time[/C]1 seconds[/C][/ROW] [ROW]R Server[/C]Big Analytics Cloud Computing Center[/C][/ROW] [/TABLE] Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=307326&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=307326&T=0

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Input view raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time1 seconds
R ServerBig Analytics Cloud Computing Center







Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.659004759562144
beta0
gammaFALSE

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing \tabularnewline
Parameter & Value \tabularnewline
alpha & 0.659004759562144 \tabularnewline
beta & 0 \tabularnewline
gamma & FALSE \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=307326&T=1

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Parameter[/C][C]Value[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]alpha[/C][C]0.659004759562144[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]beta[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]gamma[/C][C]FALSE[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=307326&T=1

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=307326&T=1

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.659004759562144
beta0
gammaFALSE







Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
3245973245986-13
4244036245054.432938126-1018.43293812568
5263198243460.28078460619737.719215394
6262184255544.5316904526639.46830954819
7247832258996.972907406-11164.9729074061
8238290250716.202621043-12426.2026210431
9239213241604.275950492-2391.27595049213
10239213239105.413717691107.586282308679
11240240238253.3135897961986.68641020363
12242086238639.5493898783446.450610122
13244959239987.7767455444971.22325445575
14244959242340.8365310772618.16346892339
15243113243143.218718409-30.2187184088689
16238290242200.30443915-3910.30443914956
17263198238700.39520241324497.604797587
18266994253921.43336189513072.5666381048
19261261261613.3169961-352.316996099544
20247832260458.138418795-12626.1384187953
21253578251214.4531059192363.54689408126
22244959251849.041758567-6890.04175856663
23248846246385.4714460892460.5285539107
24250705247083.9714741553621.02852584497
25252642248547.2465071974094.75349280285
26247832250322.708548188-2490.70854818792
27248846247758.319760251087.68023975004
28242086247552.106215127-5466.10621512693
29263198243026.91620308620171.0837969139
30269867255396.75643077914470.2435692208
31264134264009.715814919124.284185080789
32253578263168.619684426-9590.61968442576
33265057255925.3556652399131.64433476119
34252642261020.152744475-8378.15274447514
35264134254575.9102095279558.08979047264
36263198259951.7368737713246.26312622882
37266071261168.0397247474902.96027525296
38255515263476.113882083-7961.11388208286
39266994257306.7019423749687.298057626
40266071262767.6774696473303.32253035333
41283296264021.58273951819274.4172604816
42279409275800.5154519623608.48454803752
43264134277255.523943926-13121.5239439256
44256438267685.37721217-11247.37721217
45266994259350.3020967597643.6979032408
46252642263464.53539565-10822.5353956501
47263198255409.4330593877788.56694061309
48265057259619.1357434195437.86425658071
49268944262279.7141703596664.28582964116
50260338265748.510251175-5410.51025117491
51265057261259.9582439913797.04175600916
52267930262839.2268334575090.77316654287
53278486265271.0705800613214.9294199399
54269867273056.771965078-3189.77196507831
55258388270031.697058174-11643.6970581738
56245973261435.445277938-15462.4452779376
57257465250322.6202453087142.37975469249
58225875254106.48249825-28231.4824982501
59241163234578.8011624086584.19883759203
60249769237994.81953428511774.1804657154
61258388244831.06050113513556.9394988653
62245973252842.148155983-6869.14815598296
63245973247392.346827053-1419.34682705265
64245973245533.990512556439.009487444477
65252642244900.2998542747741.70014572563
66243113249079.11709741-5966.11709741049
67230607244224.417534112-13617.4175341119
68220142234327.474566187-14185.4745661872
69227734224056.1793104223677.8206895779
70198094225556.88064967-27462.8806496701
71216255206535.711590259719.2884097496
72226811212017.76891183314793.2310881674
73228748220843.5786082387904.42139176244
74218192225129.629926994-6937.6299269938
75219115219634.698785024-519.698785024113
76216255218369.214812155-2114.21481215456
77225875216052.9371882089822.06281179207
78219115221602.723329897-2487.72332989724
79205790219040.301815021-13250.3018150212
80196157209385.289853287-13228.2898532873
81212446199744.78387910312701.2161208966
82177073207191.945755002-30118.9457550017
83200044186420.41714946213623.5828505385
84210509194475.42309025616033.5769097444
85210509204118.6265865836390.37341341714
86198094207406.913081404-9312.91308140414
87186615200346.65903537-13731.6590353703
88185692190374.430374377-4682.43037437674
89196157186365.6864713449791.31352865588
90186615191895.208689094-5280.20868909356
91168467187492.526031499-19025.5260314995
92155961174031.613823568-18070.6138235679
93169390161199.9933056278190.00669437283
94137813165674.246698065-27861.2466980647
95166517146390.55251670520126.447483295
96181792158730.97720127423061.0227987261
97186615173005.30098600613609.6990139945
98176059181051.157412436-4992.15741243609
99162721176838.301917157-14117.3019171573
100172263166611.9327615755651.06723842517
101176059169413.0129683036645.98703169727
102173186172869.75005418316.249945820484
103144469172155.160273686-27686.1602736865
104131144152986.848879327-21842.8488793267
105140673137669.3075054543003.69249454624
106111969138725.755155621-26756.7551556208
107141609120169.92615762821439.0738423723
108152165133375.37786035518789.6221396447
109160771144834.82828075515936.1717192446
110146419154413.841292937-7994.84129293723
111132990148222.202828948-15232.2028289476
112140673137261.1086660553411.8913339448
113144469138586.5612942345882.43870576634
114136877141540.116399166-4663.11639916626
115108173137544.100497723-29371.1004977234
11695667117265.405476146-21598.4054761456
117107146102108.9534684135037.0465315874
11875569104505.391106865-28936.3911068647
11911001984513.171642889225505.8283571108
120131144100398.633926830745.3660731997

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing \tabularnewline
t & Observed & Fitted & Residuals \tabularnewline
3 & 245973 & 245986 & -13 \tabularnewline
4 & 244036 & 245054.432938126 & -1018.43293812568 \tabularnewline
5 & 263198 & 243460.280784606 & 19737.719215394 \tabularnewline
6 & 262184 & 255544.531690452 & 6639.46830954819 \tabularnewline
7 & 247832 & 258996.972907406 & -11164.9729074061 \tabularnewline
8 & 238290 & 250716.202621043 & -12426.2026210431 \tabularnewline
9 & 239213 & 241604.275950492 & -2391.27595049213 \tabularnewline
10 & 239213 & 239105.413717691 & 107.586282308679 \tabularnewline
11 & 240240 & 238253.313589796 & 1986.68641020363 \tabularnewline
12 & 242086 & 238639.549389878 & 3446.450610122 \tabularnewline
13 & 244959 & 239987.776745544 & 4971.22325445575 \tabularnewline
14 & 244959 & 242340.836531077 & 2618.16346892339 \tabularnewline
15 & 243113 & 243143.218718409 & -30.2187184088689 \tabularnewline
16 & 238290 & 242200.30443915 & -3910.30443914956 \tabularnewline
17 & 263198 & 238700.395202413 & 24497.604797587 \tabularnewline
18 & 266994 & 253921.433361895 & 13072.5666381048 \tabularnewline
19 & 261261 & 261613.3169961 & -352.316996099544 \tabularnewline
20 & 247832 & 260458.138418795 & -12626.1384187953 \tabularnewline
21 & 253578 & 251214.453105919 & 2363.54689408126 \tabularnewline
22 & 244959 & 251849.041758567 & -6890.04175856663 \tabularnewline
23 & 248846 & 246385.471446089 & 2460.5285539107 \tabularnewline
24 & 250705 & 247083.971474155 & 3621.02852584497 \tabularnewline
25 & 252642 & 248547.246507197 & 4094.75349280285 \tabularnewline
26 & 247832 & 250322.708548188 & -2490.70854818792 \tabularnewline
27 & 248846 & 247758.31976025 & 1087.68023975004 \tabularnewline
28 & 242086 & 247552.106215127 & -5466.10621512693 \tabularnewline
29 & 263198 & 243026.916203086 & 20171.0837969139 \tabularnewline
30 & 269867 & 255396.756430779 & 14470.2435692208 \tabularnewline
31 & 264134 & 264009.715814919 & 124.284185080789 \tabularnewline
32 & 253578 & 263168.619684426 & -9590.61968442576 \tabularnewline
33 & 265057 & 255925.355665239 & 9131.64433476119 \tabularnewline
34 & 252642 & 261020.152744475 & -8378.15274447514 \tabularnewline
35 & 264134 & 254575.910209527 & 9558.08979047264 \tabularnewline
36 & 263198 & 259951.736873771 & 3246.26312622882 \tabularnewline
37 & 266071 & 261168.039724747 & 4902.96027525296 \tabularnewline
38 & 255515 & 263476.113882083 & -7961.11388208286 \tabularnewline
39 & 266994 & 257306.701942374 & 9687.298057626 \tabularnewline
40 & 266071 & 262767.677469647 & 3303.32253035333 \tabularnewline
41 & 283296 & 264021.582739518 & 19274.4172604816 \tabularnewline
42 & 279409 & 275800.515451962 & 3608.48454803752 \tabularnewline
43 & 264134 & 277255.523943926 & -13121.5239439256 \tabularnewline
44 & 256438 & 267685.37721217 & -11247.37721217 \tabularnewline
45 & 266994 & 259350.302096759 & 7643.6979032408 \tabularnewline
46 & 252642 & 263464.53539565 & -10822.5353956501 \tabularnewline
47 & 263198 & 255409.433059387 & 7788.56694061309 \tabularnewline
48 & 265057 & 259619.135743419 & 5437.86425658071 \tabularnewline
49 & 268944 & 262279.714170359 & 6664.28582964116 \tabularnewline
50 & 260338 & 265748.510251175 & -5410.51025117491 \tabularnewline
51 & 265057 & 261259.958243991 & 3797.04175600916 \tabularnewline
52 & 267930 & 262839.226833457 & 5090.77316654287 \tabularnewline
53 & 278486 & 265271.07058006 & 13214.9294199399 \tabularnewline
54 & 269867 & 273056.771965078 & -3189.77196507831 \tabularnewline
55 & 258388 & 270031.697058174 & -11643.6970581738 \tabularnewline
56 & 245973 & 261435.445277938 & -15462.4452779376 \tabularnewline
57 & 257465 & 250322.620245308 & 7142.37975469249 \tabularnewline
58 & 225875 & 254106.48249825 & -28231.4824982501 \tabularnewline
59 & 241163 & 234578.801162408 & 6584.19883759203 \tabularnewline
60 & 249769 & 237994.819534285 & 11774.1804657154 \tabularnewline
61 & 258388 & 244831.060501135 & 13556.9394988653 \tabularnewline
62 & 245973 & 252842.148155983 & -6869.14815598296 \tabularnewline
63 & 245973 & 247392.346827053 & -1419.34682705265 \tabularnewline
64 & 245973 & 245533.990512556 & 439.009487444477 \tabularnewline
65 & 252642 & 244900.299854274 & 7741.70014572563 \tabularnewline
66 & 243113 & 249079.11709741 & -5966.11709741049 \tabularnewline
67 & 230607 & 244224.417534112 & -13617.4175341119 \tabularnewline
68 & 220142 & 234327.474566187 & -14185.4745661872 \tabularnewline
69 & 227734 & 224056.179310422 & 3677.8206895779 \tabularnewline
70 & 198094 & 225556.88064967 & -27462.8806496701 \tabularnewline
71 & 216255 & 206535.71159025 & 9719.2884097496 \tabularnewline
72 & 226811 & 212017.768911833 & 14793.2310881674 \tabularnewline
73 & 228748 & 220843.578608238 & 7904.42139176244 \tabularnewline
74 & 218192 & 225129.629926994 & -6937.6299269938 \tabularnewline
75 & 219115 & 219634.698785024 & -519.698785024113 \tabularnewline
76 & 216255 & 218369.214812155 & -2114.21481215456 \tabularnewline
77 & 225875 & 216052.937188208 & 9822.06281179207 \tabularnewline
78 & 219115 & 221602.723329897 & -2487.72332989724 \tabularnewline
79 & 205790 & 219040.301815021 & -13250.3018150212 \tabularnewline
80 & 196157 & 209385.289853287 & -13228.2898532873 \tabularnewline
81 & 212446 & 199744.783879103 & 12701.2161208966 \tabularnewline
82 & 177073 & 207191.945755002 & -30118.9457550017 \tabularnewline
83 & 200044 & 186420.417149462 & 13623.5828505385 \tabularnewline
84 & 210509 & 194475.423090256 & 16033.5769097444 \tabularnewline
85 & 210509 & 204118.626586583 & 6390.37341341714 \tabularnewline
86 & 198094 & 207406.913081404 & -9312.91308140414 \tabularnewline
87 & 186615 & 200346.65903537 & -13731.6590353703 \tabularnewline
88 & 185692 & 190374.430374377 & -4682.43037437674 \tabularnewline
89 & 196157 & 186365.686471344 & 9791.31352865588 \tabularnewline
90 & 186615 & 191895.208689094 & -5280.20868909356 \tabularnewline
91 & 168467 & 187492.526031499 & -19025.5260314995 \tabularnewline
92 & 155961 & 174031.613823568 & -18070.6138235679 \tabularnewline
93 & 169390 & 161199.993305627 & 8190.00669437283 \tabularnewline
94 & 137813 & 165674.246698065 & -27861.2466980647 \tabularnewline
95 & 166517 & 146390.552516705 & 20126.447483295 \tabularnewline
96 & 181792 & 158730.977201274 & 23061.0227987261 \tabularnewline
97 & 186615 & 173005.300986006 & 13609.6990139945 \tabularnewline
98 & 176059 & 181051.157412436 & -4992.15741243609 \tabularnewline
99 & 162721 & 176838.301917157 & -14117.3019171573 \tabularnewline
100 & 172263 & 166611.932761575 & 5651.06723842517 \tabularnewline
101 & 176059 & 169413.012968303 & 6645.98703169727 \tabularnewline
102 & 173186 & 172869.75005418 & 316.249945820484 \tabularnewline
103 & 144469 & 172155.160273686 & -27686.1602736865 \tabularnewline
104 & 131144 & 152986.848879327 & -21842.8488793267 \tabularnewline
105 & 140673 & 137669.307505454 & 3003.69249454624 \tabularnewline
106 & 111969 & 138725.755155621 & -26756.7551556208 \tabularnewline
107 & 141609 & 120169.926157628 & 21439.0738423723 \tabularnewline
108 & 152165 & 133375.377860355 & 18789.6221396447 \tabularnewline
109 & 160771 & 144834.828280755 & 15936.1717192446 \tabularnewline
110 & 146419 & 154413.841292937 & -7994.84129293723 \tabularnewline
111 & 132990 & 148222.202828948 & -15232.2028289476 \tabularnewline
112 & 140673 & 137261.108666055 & 3411.8913339448 \tabularnewline
113 & 144469 & 138586.561294234 & 5882.43870576634 \tabularnewline
114 & 136877 & 141540.116399166 & -4663.11639916626 \tabularnewline
115 & 108173 & 137544.100497723 & -29371.1004977234 \tabularnewline
116 & 95667 & 117265.405476146 & -21598.4054761456 \tabularnewline
117 & 107146 & 102108.953468413 & 5037.0465315874 \tabularnewline
118 & 75569 & 104505.391106865 & -28936.3911068647 \tabularnewline
119 & 110019 & 84513.1716428892 & 25505.8283571108 \tabularnewline
120 & 131144 & 100398.6339268 & 30745.3660731997 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=307326&T=2

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]t[/C][C]Observed[/C][C]Fitted[/C][C]Residuals[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]3[/C][C]245973[/C][C]245986[/C][C]-13[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]4[/C][C]244036[/C][C]245054.432938126[/C][C]-1018.43293812568[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]5[/C][C]263198[/C][C]243460.280784606[/C][C]19737.719215394[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]6[/C][C]262184[/C][C]255544.531690452[/C][C]6639.46830954819[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]7[/C][C]247832[/C][C]258996.972907406[/C][C]-11164.9729074061[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]8[/C][C]238290[/C][C]250716.202621043[/C][C]-12426.2026210431[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]9[/C][C]239213[/C][C]241604.275950492[/C][C]-2391.27595049213[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]10[/C][C]239213[/C][C]239105.413717691[/C][C]107.586282308679[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]11[/C][C]240240[/C][C]238253.313589796[/C][C]1986.68641020363[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]12[/C][C]242086[/C][C]238639.549389878[/C][C]3446.450610122[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]13[/C][C]244959[/C][C]239987.776745544[/C][C]4971.22325445575[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]14[/C][C]244959[/C][C]242340.836531077[/C][C]2618.16346892339[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]15[/C][C]243113[/C][C]243143.218718409[/C][C]-30.2187184088689[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]16[/C][C]238290[/C][C]242200.30443915[/C][C]-3910.30443914956[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]17[/C][C]263198[/C][C]238700.395202413[/C][C]24497.604797587[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]18[/C][C]266994[/C][C]253921.433361895[/C][C]13072.5666381048[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]19[/C][C]261261[/C][C]261613.3169961[/C][C]-352.316996099544[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]20[/C][C]247832[/C][C]260458.138418795[/C][C]-12626.1384187953[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]21[/C][C]253578[/C][C]251214.453105919[/C][C]2363.54689408126[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]22[/C][C]244959[/C][C]251849.041758567[/C][C]-6890.04175856663[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]23[/C][C]248846[/C][C]246385.471446089[/C][C]2460.5285539107[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]24[/C][C]250705[/C][C]247083.971474155[/C][C]3621.02852584497[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]25[/C][C]252642[/C][C]248547.246507197[/C][C]4094.75349280285[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]26[/C][C]247832[/C][C]250322.708548188[/C][C]-2490.70854818792[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]27[/C][C]248846[/C][C]247758.31976025[/C][C]1087.68023975004[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]28[/C][C]242086[/C][C]247552.106215127[/C][C]-5466.10621512693[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]29[/C][C]263198[/C][C]243026.916203086[/C][C]20171.0837969139[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]30[/C][C]269867[/C][C]255396.756430779[/C][C]14470.2435692208[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]31[/C][C]264134[/C][C]264009.715814919[/C][C]124.284185080789[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]32[/C][C]253578[/C][C]263168.619684426[/C][C]-9590.61968442576[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]33[/C][C]265057[/C][C]255925.355665239[/C][C]9131.64433476119[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]34[/C][C]252642[/C][C]261020.152744475[/C][C]-8378.15274447514[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]35[/C][C]264134[/C][C]254575.910209527[/C][C]9558.08979047264[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]36[/C][C]263198[/C][C]259951.736873771[/C][C]3246.26312622882[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]37[/C][C]266071[/C][C]261168.039724747[/C][C]4902.96027525296[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]38[/C][C]255515[/C][C]263476.113882083[/C][C]-7961.11388208286[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]39[/C][C]266994[/C][C]257306.701942374[/C][C]9687.298057626[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]40[/C][C]266071[/C][C]262767.677469647[/C][C]3303.32253035333[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]41[/C][C]283296[/C][C]264021.582739518[/C][C]19274.4172604816[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]42[/C][C]279409[/C][C]275800.515451962[/C][C]3608.48454803752[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]43[/C][C]264134[/C][C]277255.523943926[/C][C]-13121.5239439256[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]44[/C][C]256438[/C][C]267685.37721217[/C][C]-11247.37721217[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]45[/C][C]266994[/C][C]259350.302096759[/C][C]7643.6979032408[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]46[/C][C]252642[/C][C]263464.53539565[/C][C]-10822.5353956501[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]47[/C][C]263198[/C][C]255409.433059387[/C][C]7788.56694061309[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]48[/C][C]265057[/C][C]259619.135743419[/C][C]5437.86425658071[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]49[/C][C]268944[/C][C]262279.714170359[/C][C]6664.28582964116[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]50[/C][C]260338[/C][C]265748.510251175[/C][C]-5410.51025117491[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]51[/C][C]265057[/C][C]261259.958243991[/C][C]3797.04175600916[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]52[/C][C]267930[/C][C]262839.226833457[/C][C]5090.77316654287[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]53[/C][C]278486[/C][C]265271.07058006[/C][C]13214.9294199399[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]54[/C][C]269867[/C][C]273056.771965078[/C][C]-3189.77196507831[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]55[/C][C]258388[/C][C]270031.697058174[/C][C]-11643.6970581738[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]56[/C][C]245973[/C][C]261435.445277938[/C][C]-15462.4452779376[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]57[/C][C]257465[/C][C]250322.620245308[/C][C]7142.37975469249[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]58[/C][C]225875[/C][C]254106.48249825[/C][C]-28231.4824982501[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]59[/C][C]241163[/C][C]234578.801162408[/C][C]6584.19883759203[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]60[/C][C]249769[/C][C]237994.819534285[/C][C]11774.1804657154[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]61[/C][C]258388[/C][C]244831.060501135[/C][C]13556.9394988653[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]62[/C][C]245973[/C][C]252842.148155983[/C][C]-6869.14815598296[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]63[/C][C]245973[/C][C]247392.346827053[/C][C]-1419.34682705265[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]64[/C][C]245973[/C][C]245533.990512556[/C][C]439.009487444477[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]65[/C][C]252642[/C][C]244900.299854274[/C][C]7741.70014572563[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]66[/C][C]243113[/C][C]249079.11709741[/C][C]-5966.11709741049[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]67[/C][C]230607[/C][C]244224.417534112[/C][C]-13617.4175341119[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]68[/C][C]220142[/C][C]234327.474566187[/C][C]-14185.4745661872[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]69[/C][C]227734[/C][C]224056.179310422[/C][C]3677.8206895779[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]70[/C][C]198094[/C][C]225556.88064967[/C][C]-27462.8806496701[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]71[/C][C]216255[/C][C]206535.71159025[/C][C]9719.2884097496[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]72[/C][C]226811[/C][C]212017.768911833[/C][C]14793.2310881674[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]73[/C][C]228748[/C][C]220843.578608238[/C][C]7904.42139176244[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]74[/C][C]218192[/C][C]225129.629926994[/C][C]-6937.6299269938[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]75[/C][C]219115[/C][C]219634.698785024[/C][C]-519.698785024113[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]76[/C][C]216255[/C][C]218369.214812155[/C][C]-2114.21481215456[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]77[/C][C]225875[/C][C]216052.937188208[/C][C]9822.06281179207[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]78[/C][C]219115[/C][C]221602.723329897[/C][C]-2487.72332989724[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]79[/C][C]205790[/C][C]219040.301815021[/C][C]-13250.3018150212[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]80[/C][C]196157[/C][C]209385.289853287[/C][C]-13228.2898532873[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]81[/C][C]212446[/C][C]199744.783879103[/C][C]12701.2161208966[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]82[/C][C]177073[/C][C]207191.945755002[/C][C]-30118.9457550017[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]83[/C][C]200044[/C][C]186420.417149462[/C][C]13623.5828505385[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]84[/C][C]210509[/C][C]194475.423090256[/C][C]16033.5769097444[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]85[/C][C]210509[/C][C]204118.626586583[/C][C]6390.37341341714[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]86[/C][C]198094[/C][C]207406.913081404[/C][C]-9312.91308140414[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]87[/C][C]186615[/C][C]200346.65903537[/C][C]-13731.6590353703[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]88[/C][C]185692[/C][C]190374.430374377[/C][C]-4682.43037437674[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]89[/C][C]196157[/C][C]186365.686471344[/C][C]9791.31352865588[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]90[/C][C]186615[/C][C]191895.208689094[/C][C]-5280.20868909356[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]91[/C][C]168467[/C][C]187492.526031499[/C][C]-19025.5260314995[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]92[/C][C]155961[/C][C]174031.613823568[/C][C]-18070.6138235679[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]93[/C][C]169390[/C][C]161199.993305627[/C][C]8190.00669437283[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]94[/C][C]137813[/C][C]165674.246698065[/C][C]-27861.2466980647[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]95[/C][C]166517[/C][C]146390.552516705[/C][C]20126.447483295[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]96[/C][C]181792[/C][C]158730.977201274[/C][C]23061.0227987261[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]97[/C][C]186615[/C][C]173005.300986006[/C][C]13609.6990139945[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]98[/C][C]176059[/C][C]181051.157412436[/C][C]-4992.15741243609[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]99[/C][C]162721[/C][C]176838.301917157[/C][C]-14117.3019171573[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]100[/C][C]172263[/C][C]166611.932761575[/C][C]5651.06723842517[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]101[/C][C]176059[/C][C]169413.012968303[/C][C]6645.98703169727[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]102[/C][C]173186[/C][C]172869.75005418[/C][C]316.249945820484[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]103[/C][C]144469[/C][C]172155.160273686[/C][C]-27686.1602736865[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]104[/C][C]131144[/C][C]152986.848879327[/C][C]-21842.8488793267[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]105[/C][C]140673[/C][C]137669.307505454[/C][C]3003.69249454624[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]106[/C][C]111969[/C][C]138725.755155621[/C][C]-26756.7551556208[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]107[/C][C]141609[/C][C]120169.926157628[/C][C]21439.0738423723[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]108[/C][C]152165[/C][C]133375.377860355[/C][C]18789.6221396447[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]109[/C][C]160771[/C][C]144834.828280755[/C][C]15936.1717192446[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]110[/C][C]146419[/C][C]154413.841292937[/C][C]-7994.84129293723[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]111[/C][C]132990[/C][C]148222.202828948[/C][C]-15232.2028289476[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]112[/C][C]140673[/C][C]137261.108666055[/C][C]3411.8913339448[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]113[/C][C]144469[/C][C]138586.561294234[/C][C]5882.43870576634[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]114[/C][C]136877[/C][C]141540.116399166[/C][C]-4663.11639916626[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]115[/C][C]108173[/C][C]137544.100497723[/C][C]-29371.1004977234[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]116[/C][C]95667[/C][C]117265.405476146[/C][C]-21598.4054761456[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]117[/C][C]107146[/C][C]102108.953468413[/C][C]5037.0465315874[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]118[/C][C]75569[/C][C]104505.391106865[/C][C]-28936.3911068647[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]119[/C][C]110019[/C][C]84513.1716428892[/C][C]25505.8283571108[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]120[/C][C]131144[/C][C]100398.6339268[/C][C]30745.3660731997[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=307326&T=2

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=307326&T=2

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
3245973245986-13
4244036245054.432938126-1018.43293812568
5263198243460.28078460619737.719215394
6262184255544.5316904526639.46830954819
7247832258996.972907406-11164.9729074061
8238290250716.202621043-12426.2026210431
9239213241604.275950492-2391.27595049213
10239213239105.413717691107.586282308679
11240240238253.3135897961986.68641020363
12242086238639.5493898783446.450610122
13244959239987.7767455444971.22325445575
14244959242340.8365310772618.16346892339
15243113243143.218718409-30.2187184088689
16238290242200.30443915-3910.30443914956
17263198238700.39520241324497.604797587
18266994253921.43336189513072.5666381048
19261261261613.3169961-352.316996099544
20247832260458.138418795-12626.1384187953
21253578251214.4531059192363.54689408126
22244959251849.041758567-6890.04175856663
23248846246385.4714460892460.5285539107
24250705247083.9714741553621.02852584497
25252642248547.2465071974094.75349280285
26247832250322.708548188-2490.70854818792
27248846247758.319760251087.68023975004
28242086247552.106215127-5466.10621512693
29263198243026.91620308620171.0837969139
30269867255396.75643077914470.2435692208
31264134264009.715814919124.284185080789
32253578263168.619684426-9590.61968442576
33265057255925.3556652399131.64433476119
34252642261020.152744475-8378.15274447514
35264134254575.9102095279558.08979047264
36263198259951.7368737713246.26312622882
37266071261168.0397247474902.96027525296
38255515263476.113882083-7961.11388208286
39266994257306.7019423749687.298057626
40266071262767.6774696473303.32253035333
41283296264021.58273951819274.4172604816
42279409275800.5154519623608.48454803752
43264134277255.523943926-13121.5239439256
44256438267685.37721217-11247.37721217
45266994259350.3020967597643.6979032408
46252642263464.53539565-10822.5353956501
47263198255409.4330593877788.56694061309
48265057259619.1357434195437.86425658071
49268944262279.7141703596664.28582964116
50260338265748.510251175-5410.51025117491
51265057261259.9582439913797.04175600916
52267930262839.2268334575090.77316654287
53278486265271.0705800613214.9294199399
54269867273056.771965078-3189.77196507831
55258388270031.697058174-11643.6970581738
56245973261435.445277938-15462.4452779376
57257465250322.6202453087142.37975469249
58225875254106.48249825-28231.4824982501
59241163234578.8011624086584.19883759203
60249769237994.81953428511774.1804657154
61258388244831.06050113513556.9394988653
62245973252842.148155983-6869.14815598296
63245973247392.346827053-1419.34682705265
64245973245533.990512556439.009487444477
65252642244900.2998542747741.70014572563
66243113249079.11709741-5966.11709741049
67230607244224.417534112-13617.4175341119
68220142234327.474566187-14185.4745661872
69227734224056.1793104223677.8206895779
70198094225556.88064967-27462.8806496701
71216255206535.711590259719.2884097496
72226811212017.76891183314793.2310881674
73228748220843.5786082387904.42139176244
74218192225129.629926994-6937.6299269938
75219115219634.698785024-519.698785024113
76216255218369.214812155-2114.21481215456
77225875216052.9371882089822.06281179207
78219115221602.723329897-2487.72332989724
79205790219040.301815021-13250.3018150212
80196157209385.289853287-13228.2898532873
81212446199744.78387910312701.2161208966
82177073207191.945755002-30118.9457550017
83200044186420.41714946213623.5828505385
84210509194475.42309025616033.5769097444
85210509204118.6265865836390.37341341714
86198094207406.913081404-9312.91308140414
87186615200346.65903537-13731.6590353703
88185692190374.430374377-4682.43037437674
89196157186365.6864713449791.31352865588
90186615191895.208689094-5280.20868909356
91168467187492.526031499-19025.5260314995
92155961174031.613823568-18070.6138235679
93169390161199.9933056278190.00669437283
94137813165674.246698065-27861.2466980647
95166517146390.55251670520126.447483295
96181792158730.97720127423061.0227987261
97186615173005.30098600613609.6990139945
98176059181051.157412436-4992.15741243609
99162721176838.301917157-14117.3019171573
100172263166611.9327615755651.06723842517
101176059169413.0129683036645.98703169727
102173186172869.75005418316.249945820484
103144469172155.160273686-27686.1602736865
104131144152986.848879327-21842.8488793267
105140673137669.3075054543003.69249454624
106111969138725.755155621-26756.7551556208
107141609120169.92615762821439.0738423723
108152165133375.37786035518789.6221396447
109160771144834.82828075515936.1717192446
110146419154413.841292937-7994.84129293723
111132990148222.202828948-15232.2028289476
112140673137261.1086660553411.8913339448
113144469138586.5612942345882.43870576634
114136877141540.116399166-4663.11639916626
115108173137544.100497723-29371.1004977234
11695667117265.405476146-21598.4054761456
117107146102108.9534684135037.0465315874
11875569104505.391106865-28936.3911068647
11911001984513.171642889225505.8283571108
120131144100398.633926830745.3660731997







Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
121119736.97650351994034.4208571322145439.532149907
122118813.97650351988032.1503930949149595.802613944
123117890.97650351982756.6589403563153025.294066682
124116967.97650351977963.8777116492155972.07529539
125116044.97650351973521.8160553265158568.136951712
126115121.97650351969349.5106922969160894.442314742
127114198.97650351965393.0539287302163004.899078309
128113275.97650351961614.4092575182164937.54374952
129112352.97650351957985.5507574913166720.402249547
130111429.97650351954485.1221777187168374.83082932
131110506.97650351951096.4060120366169917.546995002
132109583.97650351947806.0246269783171361.92838006

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing \tabularnewline
t & Forecast & 95% Lower Bound & 95% Upper Bound \tabularnewline
121 & 119736.976503519 & 94034.4208571322 & 145439.532149907 \tabularnewline
122 & 118813.976503519 & 88032.1503930949 & 149595.802613944 \tabularnewline
123 & 117890.976503519 & 82756.6589403563 & 153025.294066682 \tabularnewline
124 & 116967.976503519 & 77963.8777116492 & 155972.07529539 \tabularnewline
125 & 116044.976503519 & 73521.8160553265 & 158568.136951712 \tabularnewline
126 & 115121.976503519 & 69349.5106922969 & 160894.442314742 \tabularnewline
127 & 114198.976503519 & 65393.0539287302 & 163004.899078309 \tabularnewline
128 & 113275.976503519 & 61614.4092575182 & 164937.54374952 \tabularnewline
129 & 112352.976503519 & 57985.5507574913 & 166720.402249547 \tabularnewline
130 & 111429.976503519 & 54485.1221777187 & 168374.83082932 \tabularnewline
131 & 110506.976503519 & 51096.4060120366 & 169917.546995002 \tabularnewline
132 & 109583.976503519 & 47806.0246269783 & 171361.92838006 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=307326&T=3

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]t[/C][C]Forecast[/C][C]95% Lower Bound[/C][C]95% Upper Bound[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]121[/C][C]119736.976503519[/C][C]94034.4208571322[/C][C]145439.532149907[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]122[/C][C]118813.976503519[/C][C]88032.1503930949[/C][C]149595.802613944[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]123[/C][C]117890.976503519[/C][C]82756.6589403563[/C][C]153025.294066682[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]124[/C][C]116967.976503519[/C][C]77963.8777116492[/C][C]155972.07529539[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]125[/C][C]116044.976503519[/C][C]73521.8160553265[/C][C]158568.136951712[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]126[/C][C]115121.976503519[/C][C]69349.5106922969[/C][C]160894.442314742[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]127[/C][C]114198.976503519[/C][C]65393.0539287302[/C][C]163004.899078309[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]128[/C][C]113275.976503519[/C][C]61614.4092575182[/C][C]164937.54374952[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]129[/C][C]112352.976503519[/C][C]57985.5507574913[/C][C]166720.402249547[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]130[/C][C]111429.976503519[/C][C]54485.1221777187[/C][C]168374.83082932[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]131[/C][C]110506.976503519[/C][C]51096.4060120366[/C][C]169917.546995002[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]132[/C][C]109583.976503519[/C][C]47806.0246269783[/C][C]171361.92838006[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=307326&T=3

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=307326&T=3

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
121119736.97650351994034.4208571322145439.532149907
122118813.97650351988032.1503930949149595.802613944
123117890.97650351982756.6589403563153025.294066682
124116967.97650351977963.8777116492155972.07529539
125116044.97650351973521.8160553265158568.136951712
126115121.97650351969349.5106922969160894.442314742
127114198.97650351965393.0539287302163004.899078309
128113275.97650351961614.4092575182164937.54374952
129112352.97650351957985.5507574913166720.402249547
130111429.97650351954485.1221777187168374.83082932
131110506.97650351951096.4060120366169917.546995002
132109583.97650351947806.0246269783171361.92838006



Parameters (Session):
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 12 ; par2 = Double ; par3 = additive ; par4 = 12 ;
R code (references can be found in the software module):
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
par4 <- as.numeric(par4)
if (par2 == 'Single') K <- 1
if (par2 == 'Double') K <- 2
if (par2 == 'Triple') K <- par1
nx <- length(x)
nxmK <- nx - K
x <- ts(x, frequency = par1)
if (par2 == 'Single') fit <- HoltWinters(x, gamma=F, beta=F)
if (par2 == 'Double') fit <- HoltWinters(x, gamma=F)
if (par2 == 'Triple') fit <- HoltWinters(x, seasonal=par3)
fit
myresid <- x - fit$fitted[,'xhat']
bitmap(file='test1.png')
op <- par(mfrow=c(2,1))
plot(fit,ylab='Observed (black) / Fitted (red)',main='Interpolation Fit of Exponential Smoothing')
plot(myresid,ylab='Residuals',main='Interpolation Prediction Errors')
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test2.png')
p <- predict(fit, par4, prediction.interval=TRUE)
np <- length(p[,1])
plot(fit,p,ylab='Observed (black) / Fitted (red)',main='Extrapolation Fit of Exponential Smoothing')
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
acf(as.numeric(myresid),lag.max = nx/2,main='Residual ACF')
spectrum(myresid,main='Residals Periodogram')
cpgram(myresid,main='Residal Cumulative Periodogram')
qqnorm(myresid,main='Residual Normal QQ Plot')
qqline(myresid)
par(op)
dev.off()
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing',2,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'alpha',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$alpha)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'beta',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$beta)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'gamma',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$gamma)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'t',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Observed',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Fitted',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Residuals',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:nxmK) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i+K,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i+K])
a<-table.element(a,fit$fitted[i,'xhat'])
a<-table.element(a,myresid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'t',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Forecast',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'95% Lower Bound',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'95% Upper Bound',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:np) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,nx+i,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'fit'])
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'lwr'])
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'upr'])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')