Free Statistics

of Irreproducible Research!

Author's title

Author*Unverified author*
R Software Modulerwasp_exponentialsmoothing.wasp
Title produced by softwareExponential Smoothing
Date of computationSat, 29 Apr 2017 13:37:55 +0100
Cite this page as followsStatistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2017/Apr/29/t1493470054vqs1np4rcl9dja4.htm/, Retrieved Mon, 13 May 2024 07:51:26 +0200
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=, Retrieved Mon, 13 May 2024 07:51:26 +0200
QR Codes:

Original text written by user:
IsPrivate?No (this computation is public)
User-defined keywords
Estimated Impact0
Dataseries X:
100.18
99.73
99.69
99.45
99.47
99.56
99.54
99.87
99.73
99.86
99.91
99.91
99.91
99.87
99.77
100.14
100.04
100.11
100.13
100.22
100.59
100.25
99.94
99.85
99.85
99.85
100.15
100.34
100.72
100.61
100.61
100.52
100.64
100.57
100.16
100.2
100.2
99.99
99.69
99.85
99.54
99.67
99.72
99.74
99.97
100.29
100.57
100.77
100.3
100.32
100.32
100.37
100.47
100.68
100.7
100.62
100.52
100.62
100.52
100.57
100.59
100.59
100.56
100.44
100.39
100.51
100.4
100.45
100.42
100.38
100.25
100.34




Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time2 seconds
R Server'Gertrude Mary Cox' @ cox.wessa.net

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input & view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Output & view raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time & 2 seconds \tabularnewline
R Server & 'Gertrude Mary Cox' @ cox.wessa.net \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Input[/C][C]view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Output[/C][C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Computing time[/C][C]2 seconds[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]R Server[/C][C]'Gertrude Mary Cox' @ cox.wessa.net[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=&T=0

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time2 seconds
R Server'Gertrude Mary Cox' @ cox.wessa.net







Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.974487445048262
beta0.322684263837289
gammaFALSE

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing \tabularnewline
Parameter & Value \tabularnewline
alpha & 0.974487445048262 \tabularnewline
beta & 0.322684263837289 \tabularnewline
gamma & FALSE \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=&T=1

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Parameter[/C][C]Value[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]alpha[/C][C]0.974487445048262[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]beta[/C][C]0.322684263837289[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]gamma[/C][C]FALSE[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=&T=1

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=&T=1

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.974487445048262
beta0.322684263837289
gammaFALSE







Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
399.6999.280.409999999999997
499.4599.35846507563770.0915349243623496
599.4799.15537325179730.314626748202699
699.5699.26861654530090.29138345469913
799.5499.45083558238290.0891644176170843
899.8799.46403261506880.405967384931174
999.7399.913607322203-0.183607322203002
1099.8699.73091323299920.129086767000842
1199.9199.8935271694350.0164728305649788
1299.9199.951580149303-0.0415801493030159
1399.9199.9399862778536-0.0299862778535953
1499.8799.9302612506096-0.0602612506095568
1599.7799.8720843859712-0.102084385971253
16100.1499.74105078578280.398949214217154
17100.04100.223718422612-0.183718422612174
18100.11100.0808131806780.0291868193219784
19100.13100.15455927081-0.0245592708098883
20100.22100.1682077648630.0517922351366167
21100.59100.2725460025630.317453997436616
22100.25100.735592261681-0.485592261681091
2399.94100.263384680311-0.323384680310667
2499.8599.847557467360.00244253264000349
2599.8599.75001284138170.0999871586183332
2699.8599.77896536713840.0710346328615685
27100.1599.80204098563870.347959014361294
28100.34100.2043922629430.135607737057384
29100.72100.442451978680.2775480213202
30100.61100.906106184228-0.296106184227696
31100.61100.71763045676-0.107630456760418
32100.52100.678977372437-0.158977372436837
33100.64100.5402966482740.099703351726248
34100.57100.685048936893-0.115048936893089
35100.16100.584350475325-0.424350475325369
36100.2100.0488037923760.151196207624366
37100.2100.1216640401710.0783359598294169
3899.99100.148155771985-0.158155771985463
3999.6999.8944569188292-0.204456918829237
4099.8599.53134634063050.318653659369488
4199.5499.7782016584961-0.238201658496109
4299.6799.40750552873340.262494471266578
4399.7299.60727334069250.112726659307455
4499.7499.69654139707440.0434586029255826
4599.9799.73197423651250.238025763487499
46100.29100.0318579523010.258142047698911
47100.57100.4325179567110.137482043289168
48100.77100.758827772710.0111722272897907
49100.3100.965563385409-0.665563385408959
50100.32100.3035410594370.0164589405628419
51100.32100.3113164702580.00868352974185882
52100.37100.3142453920980.0557546079024718
53100.47100.3805766234260.0894233765744161
54100.68100.5078369856060.172163014394414
55100.7100.769863049591-0.0698630495906372
56100.62100.774069193678-0.154069193677884
57100.52100.647770177853-0.127770177853236
58100.62100.5069216649770.113078335023232
59100.52100.636334685955-0.116334685955309
60100.57100.5056059510670.0643940489328969
61100.59100.5712439215540.0187560784463869
62100.59100.598306144733-0.00830614473343871
63100.56100.596384689327-0.03638468932742
64100.44100.555659815004-0.11565981500415
65100.39100.401312893173-0.0113128931726578
66100.51100.3450933773830.164906622616712
67100.4100.512452745651-0.11245274565124
68100.45100.3741679275590.0758320724413295
69100.42100.443209829724-0.0232098297241237
70100.38100.408438269801-0.0284382698008159
71100.25100.359629196567-0.109629196566615
72100.34100.197227490320.142772509679688

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing \tabularnewline
t & Observed & Fitted & Residuals \tabularnewline
3 & 99.69 & 99.28 & 0.409999999999997 \tabularnewline
4 & 99.45 & 99.3584650756377 & 0.0915349243623496 \tabularnewline
5 & 99.47 & 99.1553732517973 & 0.314626748202699 \tabularnewline
6 & 99.56 & 99.2686165453009 & 0.29138345469913 \tabularnewline
7 & 99.54 & 99.4508355823829 & 0.0891644176170843 \tabularnewline
8 & 99.87 & 99.4640326150688 & 0.405967384931174 \tabularnewline
9 & 99.73 & 99.913607322203 & -0.183607322203002 \tabularnewline
10 & 99.86 & 99.7309132329992 & 0.129086767000842 \tabularnewline
11 & 99.91 & 99.893527169435 & 0.0164728305649788 \tabularnewline
12 & 99.91 & 99.951580149303 & -0.0415801493030159 \tabularnewline
13 & 99.91 & 99.9399862778536 & -0.0299862778535953 \tabularnewline
14 & 99.87 & 99.9302612506096 & -0.0602612506095568 \tabularnewline
15 & 99.77 & 99.8720843859712 & -0.102084385971253 \tabularnewline
16 & 100.14 & 99.7410507857828 & 0.398949214217154 \tabularnewline
17 & 100.04 & 100.223718422612 & -0.183718422612174 \tabularnewline
18 & 100.11 & 100.080813180678 & 0.0291868193219784 \tabularnewline
19 & 100.13 & 100.15455927081 & -0.0245592708098883 \tabularnewline
20 & 100.22 & 100.168207764863 & 0.0517922351366167 \tabularnewline
21 & 100.59 & 100.272546002563 & 0.317453997436616 \tabularnewline
22 & 100.25 & 100.735592261681 & -0.485592261681091 \tabularnewline
23 & 99.94 & 100.263384680311 & -0.323384680310667 \tabularnewline
24 & 99.85 & 99.84755746736 & 0.00244253264000349 \tabularnewline
25 & 99.85 & 99.7500128413817 & 0.0999871586183332 \tabularnewline
26 & 99.85 & 99.7789653671384 & 0.0710346328615685 \tabularnewline
27 & 100.15 & 99.8020409856387 & 0.347959014361294 \tabularnewline
28 & 100.34 & 100.204392262943 & 0.135607737057384 \tabularnewline
29 & 100.72 & 100.44245197868 & 0.2775480213202 \tabularnewline
30 & 100.61 & 100.906106184228 & -0.296106184227696 \tabularnewline
31 & 100.61 & 100.71763045676 & -0.107630456760418 \tabularnewline
32 & 100.52 & 100.678977372437 & -0.158977372436837 \tabularnewline
33 & 100.64 & 100.540296648274 & 0.099703351726248 \tabularnewline
34 & 100.57 & 100.685048936893 & -0.115048936893089 \tabularnewline
35 & 100.16 & 100.584350475325 & -0.424350475325369 \tabularnewline
36 & 100.2 & 100.048803792376 & 0.151196207624366 \tabularnewline
37 & 100.2 & 100.121664040171 & 0.0783359598294169 \tabularnewline
38 & 99.99 & 100.148155771985 & -0.158155771985463 \tabularnewline
39 & 99.69 & 99.8944569188292 & -0.204456918829237 \tabularnewline
40 & 99.85 & 99.5313463406305 & 0.318653659369488 \tabularnewline
41 & 99.54 & 99.7782016584961 & -0.238201658496109 \tabularnewline
42 & 99.67 & 99.4075055287334 & 0.262494471266578 \tabularnewline
43 & 99.72 & 99.6072733406925 & 0.112726659307455 \tabularnewline
44 & 99.74 & 99.6965413970744 & 0.0434586029255826 \tabularnewline
45 & 99.97 & 99.7319742365125 & 0.238025763487499 \tabularnewline
46 & 100.29 & 100.031857952301 & 0.258142047698911 \tabularnewline
47 & 100.57 & 100.432517956711 & 0.137482043289168 \tabularnewline
48 & 100.77 & 100.75882777271 & 0.0111722272897907 \tabularnewline
49 & 100.3 & 100.965563385409 & -0.665563385408959 \tabularnewline
50 & 100.32 & 100.303541059437 & 0.0164589405628419 \tabularnewline
51 & 100.32 & 100.311316470258 & 0.00868352974185882 \tabularnewline
52 & 100.37 & 100.314245392098 & 0.0557546079024718 \tabularnewline
53 & 100.47 & 100.380576623426 & 0.0894233765744161 \tabularnewline
54 & 100.68 & 100.507836985606 & 0.172163014394414 \tabularnewline
55 & 100.7 & 100.769863049591 & -0.0698630495906372 \tabularnewline
56 & 100.62 & 100.774069193678 & -0.154069193677884 \tabularnewline
57 & 100.52 & 100.647770177853 & -0.127770177853236 \tabularnewline
58 & 100.62 & 100.506921664977 & 0.113078335023232 \tabularnewline
59 & 100.52 & 100.636334685955 & -0.116334685955309 \tabularnewline
60 & 100.57 & 100.505605951067 & 0.0643940489328969 \tabularnewline
61 & 100.59 & 100.571243921554 & 0.0187560784463869 \tabularnewline
62 & 100.59 & 100.598306144733 & -0.00830614473343871 \tabularnewline
63 & 100.56 & 100.596384689327 & -0.03638468932742 \tabularnewline
64 & 100.44 & 100.555659815004 & -0.11565981500415 \tabularnewline
65 & 100.39 & 100.401312893173 & -0.0113128931726578 \tabularnewline
66 & 100.51 & 100.345093377383 & 0.164906622616712 \tabularnewline
67 & 100.4 & 100.512452745651 & -0.11245274565124 \tabularnewline
68 & 100.45 & 100.374167927559 & 0.0758320724413295 \tabularnewline
69 & 100.42 & 100.443209829724 & -0.0232098297241237 \tabularnewline
70 & 100.38 & 100.408438269801 & -0.0284382698008159 \tabularnewline
71 & 100.25 & 100.359629196567 & -0.109629196566615 \tabularnewline
72 & 100.34 & 100.19722749032 & 0.142772509679688 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=&T=2

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]t[/C][C]Observed[/C][C]Fitted[/C][C]Residuals[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]3[/C][C]99.69[/C][C]99.28[/C][C]0.409999999999997[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]4[/C][C]99.45[/C][C]99.3584650756377[/C][C]0.0915349243623496[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]5[/C][C]99.47[/C][C]99.1553732517973[/C][C]0.314626748202699[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]6[/C][C]99.56[/C][C]99.2686165453009[/C][C]0.29138345469913[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]7[/C][C]99.54[/C][C]99.4508355823829[/C][C]0.0891644176170843[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]8[/C][C]99.87[/C][C]99.4640326150688[/C][C]0.405967384931174[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]9[/C][C]99.73[/C][C]99.913607322203[/C][C]-0.183607322203002[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]10[/C][C]99.86[/C][C]99.7309132329992[/C][C]0.129086767000842[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]11[/C][C]99.91[/C][C]99.893527169435[/C][C]0.0164728305649788[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]12[/C][C]99.91[/C][C]99.951580149303[/C][C]-0.0415801493030159[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]13[/C][C]99.91[/C][C]99.9399862778536[/C][C]-0.0299862778535953[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]14[/C][C]99.87[/C][C]99.9302612506096[/C][C]-0.0602612506095568[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]15[/C][C]99.77[/C][C]99.8720843859712[/C][C]-0.102084385971253[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]16[/C][C]100.14[/C][C]99.7410507857828[/C][C]0.398949214217154[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]17[/C][C]100.04[/C][C]100.223718422612[/C][C]-0.183718422612174[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]18[/C][C]100.11[/C][C]100.080813180678[/C][C]0.0291868193219784[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]19[/C][C]100.13[/C][C]100.15455927081[/C][C]-0.0245592708098883[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]20[/C][C]100.22[/C][C]100.168207764863[/C][C]0.0517922351366167[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]21[/C][C]100.59[/C][C]100.272546002563[/C][C]0.317453997436616[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]22[/C][C]100.25[/C][C]100.735592261681[/C][C]-0.485592261681091[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]23[/C][C]99.94[/C][C]100.263384680311[/C][C]-0.323384680310667[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]24[/C][C]99.85[/C][C]99.84755746736[/C][C]0.00244253264000349[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]25[/C][C]99.85[/C][C]99.7500128413817[/C][C]0.0999871586183332[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]26[/C][C]99.85[/C][C]99.7789653671384[/C][C]0.0710346328615685[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]27[/C][C]100.15[/C][C]99.8020409856387[/C][C]0.347959014361294[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]28[/C][C]100.34[/C][C]100.204392262943[/C][C]0.135607737057384[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]29[/C][C]100.72[/C][C]100.44245197868[/C][C]0.2775480213202[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]30[/C][C]100.61[/C][C]100.906106184228[/C][C]-0.296106184227696[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]31[/C][C]100.61[/C][C]100.71763045676[/C][C]-0.107630456760418[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]32[/C][C]100.52[/C][C]100.678977372437[/C][C]-0.158977372436837[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]33[/C][C]100.64[/C][C]100.540296648274[/C][C]0.099703351726248[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]34[/C][C]100.57[/C][C]100.685048936893[/C][C]-0.115048936893089[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]35[/C][C]100.16[/C][C]100.584350475325[/C][C]-0.424350475325369[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]36[/C][C]100.2[/C][C]100.048803792376[/C][C]0.151196207624366[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]37[/C][C]100.2[/C][C]100.121664040171[/C][C]0.0783359598294169[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]38[/C][C]99.99[/C][C]100.148155771985[/C][C]-0.158155771985463[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]39[/C][C]99.69[/C][C]99.8944569188292[/C][C]-0.204456918829237[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]40[/C][C]99.85[/C][C]99.5313463406305[/C][C]0.318653659369488[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]41[/C][C]99.54[/C][C]99.7782016584961[/C][C]-0.238201658496109[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]42[/C][C]99.67[/C][C]99.4075055287334[/C][C]0.262494471266578[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]43[/C][C]99.72[/C][C]99.6072733406925[/C][C]0.112726659307455[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]44[/C][C]99.74[/C][C]99.6965413970744[/C][C]0.0434586029255826[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]45[/C][C]99.97[/C][C]99.7319742365125[/C][C]0.238025763487499[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]46[/C][C]100.29[/C][C]100.031857952301[/C][C]0.258142047698911[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]47[/C][C]100.57[/C][C]100.432517956711[/C][C]0.137482043289168[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]48[/C][C]100.77[/C][C]100.75882777271[/C][C]0.0111722272897907[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]49[/C][C]100.3[/C][C]100.965563385409[/C][C]-0.665563385408959[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]50[/C][C]100.32[/C][C]100.303541059437[/C][C]0.0164589405628419[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]51[/C][C]100.32[/C][C]100.311316470258[/C][C]0.00868352974185882[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]52[/C][C]100.37[/C][C]100.314245392098[/C][C]0.0557546079024718[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]53[/C][C]100.47[/C][C]100.380576623426[/C][C]0.0894233765744161[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]54[/C][C]100.68[/C][C]100.507836985606[/C][C]0.172163014394414[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]55[/C][C]100.7[/C][C]100.769863049591[/C][C]-0.0698630495906372[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]56[/C][C]100.62[/C][C]100.774069193678[/C][C]-0.154069193677884[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]57[/C][C]100.52[/C][C]100.647770177853[/C][C]-0.127770177853236[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]58[/C][C]100.62[/C][C]100.506921664977[/C][C]0.113078335023232[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]59[/C][C]100.52[/C][C]100.636334685955[/C][C]-0.116334685955309[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]60[/C][C]100.57[/C][C]100.505605951067[/C][C]0.0643940489328969[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]61[/C][C]100.59[/C][C]100.571243921554[/C][C]0.0187560784463869[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]62[/C][C]100.59[/C][C]100.598306144733[/C][C]-0.00830614473343871[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]63[/C][C]100.56[/C][C]100.596384689327[/C][C]-0.03638468932742[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]64[/C][C]100.44[/C][C]100.555659815004[/C][C]-0.11565981500415[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]65[/C][C]100.39[/C][C]100.401312893173[/C][C]-0.0113128931726578[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]66[/C][C]100.51[/C][C]100.345093377383[/C][C]0.164906622616712[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]67[/C][C]100.4[/C][C]100.512452745651[/C][C]-0.11245274565124[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]68[/C][C]100.45[/C][C]100.374167927559[/C][C]0.0758320724413295[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]69[/C][C]100.42[/C][C]100.443209829724[/C][C]-0.0232098297241237[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]70[/C][C]100.38[/C][C]100.408438269801[/C][C]-0.0284382698008159[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]71[/C][C]100.25[/C][C]100.359629196567[/C][C]-0.109629196566615[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]72[/C][C]100.34[/C][C]100.19722749032[/C][C]0.142772509679688[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=&T=2

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=&T=2

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
399.6999.280.409999999999997
499.4599.35846507563770.0915349243623496
599.4799.15537325179730.314626748202699
699.5699.26861654530090.29138345469913
799.5499.45083558238290.0891644176170843
899.8799.46403261506880.405967384931174
999.7399.913607322203-0.183607322203002
1099.8699.73091323299920.129086767000842
1199.9199.8935271694350.0164728305649788
1299.9199.951580149303-0.0415801493030159
1399.9199.9399862778536-0.0299862778535953
1499.8799.9302612506096-0.0602612506095568
1599.7799.8720843859712-0.102084385971253
16100.1499.74105078578280.398949214217154
17100.04100.223718422612-0.183718422612174
18100.11100.0808131806780.0291868193219784
19100.13100.15455927081-0.0245592708098883
20100.22100.1682077648630.0517922351366167
21100.59100.2725460025630.317453997436616
22100.25100.735592261681-0.485592261681091
2399.94100.263384680311-0.323384680310667
2499.8599.847557467360.00244253264000349
2599.8599.75001284138170.0999871586183332
2699.8599.77896536713840.0710346328615685
27100.1599.80204098563870.347959014361294
28100.34100.2043922629430.135607737057384
29100.72100.442451978680.2775480213202
30100.61100.906106184228-0.296106184227696
31100.61100.71763045676-0.107630456760418
32100.52100.678977372437-0.158977372436837
33100.64100.5402966482740.099703351726248
34100.57100.685048936893-0.115048936893089
35100.16100.584350475325-0.424350475325369
36100.2100.0488037923760.151196207624366
37100.2100.1216640401710.0783359598294169
3899.99100.148155771985-0.158155771985463
3999.6999.8944569188292-0.204456918829237
4099.8599.53134634063050.318653659369488
4199.5499.7782016584961-0.238201658496109
4299.6799.40750552873340.262494471266578
4399.7299.60727334069250.112726659307455
4499.7499.69654139707440.0434586029255826
4599.9799.73197423651250.238025763487499
46100.29100.0318579523010.258142047698911
47100.57100.4325179567110.137482043289168
48100.77100.758827772710.0111722272897907
49100.3100.965563385409-0.665563385408959
50100.32100.3035410594370.0164589405628419
51100.32100.3113164702580.00868352974185882
52100.37100.3142453920980.0557546079024718
53100.47100.3805766234260.0894233765744161
54100.68100.5078369856060.172163014394414
55100.7100.769863049591-0.0698630495906372
56100.62100.774069193678-0.154069193677884
57100.52100.647770177853-0.127770177853236
58100.62100.5069216649770.113078335023232
59100.52100.636334685955-0.116334685955309
60100.57100.5056059510670.0643940489328969
61100.59100.5712439215540.0187560784463869
62100.59100.598306144733-0.00830614473343871
63100.56100.596384689327-0.03638468932742
64100.44100.555659815004-0.11565981500415
65100.39100.401312893173-0.0113128931726578
66100.51100.3450933773830.164906622616712
67100.4100.512452745651-0.11245274565124
68100.45100.3741679275590.0758320724413295
69100.42100.443209829724-0.0232098297241237
70100.38100.408438269801-0.0284382698008159
71100.25100.359629196567-0.109629196566615
72100.34100.197227490320.142772509679688







Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
73100.32568314541499.9235880141735100.727778276655
74100.31500878232799.6590433154857100.970974249169
75100.3043344192499.3845795431169101.224089295363
76100.29366005615399.0933978281231101.493922284183
77100.28298569306698.7842176151388101.781753770993
78100.27231132997998.4571110808706102.087511579087
79100.26163696689298.1125576521713102.410716281613
80100.25096260380597.7511527055764102.750772502034
81100.24028824071897.3735045499937103.107071931442
82100.22961387763196.9801964816352103.479031273627
83100.21893951454496.5717738361918103.866105192896
84100.20826515145796.1487411828951104.267789120019

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing \tabularnewline
t & Forecast & 95% Lower Bound & 95% Upper Bound \tabularnewline
73 & 100.325683145414 & 99.9235880141735 & 100.727778276655 \tabularnewline
74 & 100.315008782327 & 99.6590433154857 & 100.970974249169 \tabularnewline
75 & 100.30433441924 & 99.3845795431169 & 101.224089295363 \tabularnewline
76 & 100.293660056153 & 99.0933978281231 & 101.493922284183 \tabularnewline
77 & 100.282985693066 & 98.7842176151388 & 101.781753770993 \tabularnewline
78 & 100.272311329979 & 98.4571110808706 & 102.087511579087 \tabularnewline
79 & 100.261636966892 & 98.1125576521713 & 102.410716281613 \tabularnewline
80 & 100.250962603805 & 97.7511527055764 & 102.750772502034 \tabularnewline
81 & 100.240288240718 & 97.3735045499937 & 103.107071931442 \tabularnewline
82 & 100.229613877631 & 96.9801964816352 & 103.479031273627 \tabularnewline
83 & 100.218939514544 & 96.5717738361918 & 103.866105192896 \tabularnewline
84 & 100.208265151457 & 96.1487411828951 & 104.267789120019 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=&T=3

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]t[/C][C]Forecast[/C][C]95% Lower Bound[/C][C]95% Upper Bound[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]73[/C][C]100.325683145414[/C][C]99.9235880141735[/C][C]100.727778276655[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]74[/C][C]100.315008782327[/C][C]99.6590433154857[/C][C]100.970974249169[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]75[/C][C]100.30433441924[/C][C]99.3845795431169[/C][C]101.224089295363[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]76[/C][C]100.293660056153[/C][C]99.0933978281231[/C][C]101.493922284183[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]77[/C][C]100.282985693066[/C][C]98.7842176151388[/C][C]101.781753770993[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]78[/C][C]100.272311329979[/C][C]98.4571110808706[/C][C]102.087511579087[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]79[/C][C]100.261636966892[/C][C]98.1125576521713[/C][C]102.410716281613[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]80[/C][C]100.250962603805[/C][C]97.7511527055764[/C][C]102.750772502034[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]81[/C][C]100.240288240718[/C][C]97.3735045499937[/C][C]103.107071931442[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]82[/C][C]100.229613877631[/C][C]96.9801964816352[/C][C]103.479031273627[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]83[/C][C]100.218939514544[/C][C]96.5717738361918[/C][C]103.866105192896[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]84[/C][C]100.208265151457[/C][C]96.1487411828951[/C][C]104.267789120019[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=&T=3

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=&T=3

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
73100.32568314541499.9235880141735100.727778276655
74100.31500878232799.6590433154857100.970974249169
75100.3043344192499.3845795431169101.224089295363
76100.29366005615399.0933978281231101.493922284183
77100.28298569306698.7842176151388101.781753770993
78100.27231132997998.4571110808706102.087511579087
79100.26163696689298.1125576521713102.410716281613
80100.25096260380597.7511527055764102.750772502034
81100.24028824071897.3735045499937103.107071931442
82100.22961387763196.9801964816352103.479031273627
83100.21893951454496.5717738361918103.866105192896
84100.20826515145796.1487411828951104.267789120019



Parameters (Session):
par1 = 12 ; par2 = Double ; par3 = multiplicative ;
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 12 ; par2 = Double ; par3 = multiplicative ;
R code (references can be found in the software module):
par3 <- 'multiplicative'
par2 <- 'Triple'
par1 <- '12'
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
if (par2 == 'Single') K <- 1
if (par2 == 'Double') K <- 2
if (par2 == 'Triple') K <- par1
nx <- length(x)
nxmK <- nx - K
x <- ts(x, frequency = par1)
if (par2 == 'Single') fit <- HoltWinters(x, gamma=F, beta=F)
if (par2 == 'Double') fit <- HoltWinters(x, gamma=F)
if (par2 == 'Triple') fit <- HoltWinters(x, seasonal=par3)
fit
myresid <- x - fit$fitted[,'xhat']
bitmap(file='test1.png')
op <- par(mfrow=c(2,1))
plot(fit,ylab='Observed (black) / Fitted (red)',main='Interpolation Fit of Exponential Smoothing')
plot(myresid,ylab='Residuals',main='Interpolation Prediction Errors')
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test2.png')
p <- predict(fit, par1, prediction.interval=TRUE)
np <- length(p[,1])
plot(fit,p,ylab='Observed (black) / Fitted (red)',main='Extrapolation Fit of Exponential Smoothing')
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
acf(as.numeric(myresid),lag.max = nx/2,main='Residual ACF')
spectrum(myresid,main='Residals Periodogram')
cpgram(myresid,main='Residal Cumulative Periodogram')
qqnorm(myresid,main='Residual Normal QQ Plot')
qqline(myresid)
par(op)
dev.off()
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing',2,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'alpha',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$alpha)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'beta',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$beta)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'gamma',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$gamma)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'t',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Observed',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Fitted',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Residuals',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:nxmK) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i+K,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i+K])
a<-table.element(a,fit$fitted[i,'xhat'])
a<-table.element(a,myresid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'t',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Forecast',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'95% Lower Bound',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'95% Upper Bound',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:np) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,nx+i,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'fit'])
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'lwr'])
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'upr'])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')