Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.0488170816392544
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
394.3493.910.430000000000007
494.394.08099134510490.21900865489512
594.494.05168270849060.348317291509417
694.5494.16868654214660.371313457853418
794.0994.3268129815324-0.236812981532367
895.8793.86525246287972.00474753712034
998.4695.74311838706542.71688161293463
1098.798.46574861856820.234251381431832
1198.7598.71718408737960.0328159126203502
1298.7298.7687860644651-0.048786064465105
1398.7298.7364044711732-0.0164044711732458
1498.6798.7356036527647-0.0656036527647359
1598.8298.68240107389190.137598926108112
1699.3998.83911825190120.550881748098831
1799.3399.4360106911717-0.10601069117169
1899.2299.3708355586061-0.150835558606133
1999.0599.2534722068276-0.203472206827556
2098.8399.0735392874955-0.243539287495537
2198.8498.8416504102155-0.00165041021548973
2298.8998.85156984200530.0384301579947248
2398.898.9034458901655-0.103445890165517
2499.498.80839596370010.591604036299955
2598.8999.4372763462382-0.54727634623822
2698.8598.9005599121647-0.0505599121646867
2798.6998.8580917248049-0.168091724804853
2898.4898.6898859773522-0.209885977352172
2998.3998.4696399564608-0.0796399564608379
3098.3598.3757521662045-0.0257521662045548
3198.2698.3344950206045-0.0744950206045445
3298.0698.240858391102-0.180858391101978
3398.1498.03202941225840.10797058774159
3498.1798.11730022125480.0526997787451648
3598.4198.14987287065620.260127129343786
3698.6498.4025715179660.237428482034034
3799.2598.64416208355690.605837916443093
3899.6199.28373732258410.32626267741594
39100.2899.65966451434330.620335485656682
40100.31100.35994748239-0.0499474823903512
41100.55100.3875091920650.162490807935171
42100.45100.635441519101-0.185441519101417
43100.78100.5263888053240.253611194675855
44100.68100.868769363719-0.18876936371926
45101.69100.759554194280.930445805720396
4698.09101.814975843138-3.72497584313834
4799.1398.03313339329961.09686660670039
4899.1899.12667921998630.0533207800137347
4996.2299.1792821848573-2.95928218485729
5096.1196.07481866484550.0351813351544905
519695.96653611495590.0334638850440854
5295.9695.85816972416410.101830275835908
5397.9595.82314078105292.1268592189471
5498.4397.91696784117950.51303215882055
5598.3298.4220125739602-0.102012573960167
5697.4598.3070326178089-0.857032617808898
5796.4297.3951947865378-0.975194786537841
5895.3696.3175886230292-0.957588623029238
5995.195.210841941042-0.110841941042011
6095.5494.94543096095710.594569039042909
6194.0795.4144560862762-1.34445608627624
6293.4893.8788236637521-0.398823663752083
6392.8693.269354256399-0.409354256399041
6490.9892.629370776245-1.64937077624502
6591.4590.66885330840770.781146691592326
6691.1691.1769866102234-0.016986610223384
6790.7190.8861573734853-0.176157373485324
6890.3190.4275578846025-0.117557884602519
6989.7890.0218190517526-0.241819051752557
7091.0289.48001415136121.53998584863878
7190.7790.7951917662575-0.025191766257521
7290.6990.54396197774750.146038022252512


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
7390.471091127802288.723888993746192.2182932618584
7490.252182255604587.720235406463992.784129104745
7590.033273383406786.857006935820593.2095398309929
7689.814364511208986.059233848766893.569495173651
7789.595455639011185.298675683984393.8922355940379
7889.376546766813384.561242673302894.1918508603239
7989.157637894615683.838797533936994.4764782552943
8088.938729022417883.126191221479994.7512668233556
8188.7198201502282.419954903644195.0196853967959
8288.500911278022281.717642744886695.2841798111579
8388.282002405824581.017469716974695.5465350946743
8488.063093533626780.318097626175995.8080894410775