Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 94.47 | NA | NA | -0.405174 | NA |
2 | 94.19 | NA | NA | -0.416674 | NA |
3 | 94.34 | NA | NA | -0.312007 | NA |
4 | 94.3 | NA | NA | -0.481674 | NA |
5 | 94.4 | NA | NA | 0.158826 | NA |
6 | 94.54 | NA | NA | 0.280243 | NA |
7 | 94.09 | 96.1156 | 96.0796 | 0.0359931 | -2.02558 |
8 | 95.87 | 96.5666 | 96.4433 | 0.123243 | -0.696576 |
9 | 98.46 | 97.4902 | 96.8167 | 0.673493 | 0.96984 |
10 | 98.7 | 97.0609 | 97.2154 | -0.154507 | 1.63909 |
11 | 98.75 | 97.7267 | 97.6329 | 0.0937431 | 1.02334 |
12 | 98.72 | 98.4378 | 98.0333 | 0.404493 | 0.282174 |
13 | 98.72 | 98.0298 | 98.435 | -0.405174 | 0.690174 |
14 | 98.67 | 98.3483 | 98.765 | -0.416674 | 0.321674 |
15 | 98.82 | 98.5922 | 98.9042 | -0.312007 | 0.22784 |
16 | 99.39 | 98.4462 | 98.9279 | -0.481674 | 0.943757 |
17 | 99.33 | 99.0967 | 98.9379 | 0.158826 | 0.233257 |
18 | 99.22 | 99.2486 | 98.9683 | 0.280243 | -0.0285764 |
19 | 99.05 | 99.0397 | 99.0037 | 0.0359931 | 0.0102569 |
20 | 98.83 | 99.1416 | 99.0183 | 0.123243 | -0.311576 |
21 | 98.84 | 99.6939 | 99.0204 | 0.673493 | -0.85391 |
22 | 98.89 | 98.8226 | 98.9771 | -0.154507 | 0.0674236 |
23 | 98.8 | 98.9937 | 98.9 | 0.0937431 | -0.193743 |
24 | 99.4 | 99.2291 | 98.8246 | 0.404493 | 0.170924 |
25 | 98.89 | 98.3502 | 98.7554 | -0.405174 | 0.539757 |
26 | 98.85 | 98.2737 | 98.6904 | -0.416674 | 0.576257 |
27 | 98.69 | 98.3172 | 98.6292 | -0.312007 | 0.37284 |
28 | 98.48 | 98.0883 | 98.57 | -0.481674 | 0.391674 |
29 | 98.39 | 98.6826 | 98.5237 | 0.158826 | -0.292576 |
30 | 98.35 | 98.7561 | 98.4758 | 0.280243 | -0.406076 |
31 | 98.26 | 98.4952 | 98.4592 | 0.0359931 | -0.23516 |
32 | 98.06 | 98.6291 | 98.5058 | 0.123243 | -0.569076 |
33 | 98.14 | 99.2772 | 98.6038 | 0.673493 | -1.13724 |
34 | 98.17 | 98.5917 | 98.7462 | -0.154507 | -0.421743 |
35 | 98.41 | 99.0062 | 98.9125 | 0.0937431 | -0.596243 |
36 | 98.64 | 99.4945 | 99.09 | 0.404493 | -0.854493 |
37 | 99.25 | 98.8773 | 99.2825 | -0.405174 | 0.372674 |
38 | 99.61 | 99.08 | 99.4967 | -0.416674 | 0.530007 |
39 | 100.28 | 99.4417 | 99.7538 | -0.312007 | 0.838257 |
40 | 100.31 | 99.4167 | 99.8983 | -0.481674 | 0.89334 |
41 | 100.55 | 100.084 | 99.925 | 0.158826 | 0.466174 |
42 | 100.45 | 100.258 | 99.9775 | 0.280243 | 0.192257 |
43 | 100.78 | 99.9097 | 99.8737 | 0.0359931 | 0.870257 |
44 | 100.68 | 99.7249 | 99.6017 | 0.123243 | 0.95509 |
45 | 101.69 | 99.951 | 99.2775 | 0.673493 | 1.73901 |
46 | 98.09 | 98.7634 | 98.9179 | -0.154507 | -0.67341 |
47 | 99.13 | 98.7221 | 98.6283 | 0.0937431 | 0.407924 |
48 | 99.18 | 98.8403 | 98.4358 | 0.404493 | 0.339674 |
49 | 96.22 | 97.844 | 98.2492 | -0.405174 | -1.62399 |
50 | 96.11 | 97.5954 | 98.0121 | -0.416674 | -1.48541 |
51 | 96 | 97.3459 | 97.6579 | -0.312007 | -1.34591 |
52 | 95.96 | 96.8429 | 97.3246 | -0.481674 | -0.88291 |
53 | 97.95 | 97.2017 | 97.0429 | 0.158826 | 0.748257 |
54 | 98.43 | 97.0036 | 96.7233 | 0.280243 | 1.42642 |
55 | 98.32 | 96.5181 | 96.4821 | 0.0359931 | 1.80192 |
56 | 97.45 | 96.4062 | 96.2829 | 0.123243 | 1.04384 |
57 | 96.42 | 96.716 | 96.0425 | 0.673493 | -0.295993 |
58 | 95.36 | 95.5497 | 95.7042 | -0.154507 | -0.18966 |
59 | 95.1 | 95.3196 | 95.2258 | 0.0937431 | -0.219576 |
60 | 95.54 | 95.0566 | 94.6521 | 0.404493 | 0.483424 |
61 | 94.07 | 93.6269 | 94.0321 | -0.405174 | 0.44309 |
62 | 93.48 | 93.0008 | 93.4175 | -0.416674 | 0.479174 |
63 | 92.86 | 92.5313 | 92.8433 | -0.312007 | 0.328674 |
64 | 90.98 | 91.9042 | 92.3858 | -0.481674 | -0.92416 |
65 | 91.45 | 92.1834 | 92.0246 | 0.158826 | -0.73341 |
66 | 91.16 | 91.9223 | 91.6421 | 0.280243 | -0.762326 |
67 | 90.71 | NA | NA | 0.0359931 | NA |
68 | 90.31 | NA | NA | 0.123243 | NA |
69 | 89.78 | NA | NA | 0.673493 | NA |
70 | 91.02 | NA | NA | -0.154507 | NA |
71 | 90.77 | NA | NA | 0.0937431 | NA |
72 | 90.69 | NA | NA | 0.404493 | NA |