Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.553887318200034
beta0
gamma0.971049904474777


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1394.3692.75130608974371.60869391025635
1494.7293.9776719564560.74232804354402
1595.5795.21250209000830.357497909991707
1695.8795.70667969292480.163320307075253
1795.9395.8224714507740.107528549226018
1896.0996.00694419482380.0830558051762438
1995.8295.8832784629695-0.0632784629694783
2096.0695.27356003577120.786439964228791
2197.0997.6769898694389-0.586989869438924
2297.6797.62136100246720.0486389975328336
2398.5398.1265489039930.403451096007046
2498.1298.3203460605409-0.200346060540852
2598.8498.76325676098080.0767432390192226
2698.9898.76578689785440.214213102145635
27100.0499.54139334290170.498606657098321
2899.47100.02961200481-0.559612004809651
2999.8499.72081186329020.119188136709838
3099.5299.9011411691093-0.381141169109327
3199.8199.45697095501840.353029044981639
3299.5599.44593602575190.104063974248135
33100.21100.876439838793-0.666439838793423
34101.44101.0521575900010.387842409999081
35101101.898929736829-0.898929736829089
36101.32101.1097911409780.210208859021776
37101.84101.900137445692-0.0601374456924759
38101.81101.886402732568-0.0764027325680274
39101.83102.624239379672-0.794239379671922
40102.18101.9379491512820.242050848718492
41101.97102.367234542289-0.397234542288643
42101.8102.04478238234-0.244782382340333
43101.69101.994180402267-0.30418040226705
44101.91101.5112744044610.398725595539318
45102.27102.77120709073-0.501207090730347
46102.73103.49515778677-0.765157786769947
47102.61103.145871041831-0.535871041831072
48102.89103.038302316147-0.148302316147436
49102.93103.512960436302-0.582960436302074
50103.01103.202594614525-0.192594614524566
51102.54103.56510888371-1.02510888371043
52103.08103.199861484559-0.119861484559053
53103.72103.1517512775090.568248722490708
54103.83103.4301099754070.399890024592992
55103.69103.710852781674-0.020852781674165
56103.57103.689375605242-0.119375605242013
57103.95104.272489857664-0.322489857664138
58104.52104.981086934264-0.461086934263662
59104.58104.899547663647-0.319547663647455
60104.75105.079691585432-0.329691585432073
61108.4105.2655876017123.13441239828815
62107.23107.1833330172280.0466669827723223
63107.76107.3177280033690.442271996631092
64107.25108.157395335273-0.907395335272966
65108.1107.9711678589060.128832141094279
66108.49107.9332066881210.556793311878806
67107.19108.118591429091-0.928591429090758
68106.83107.551649469309-0.721649469308815
69107.24107.713183244017-0.473183244016653
70108.49108.278273233350.21172676664952
71109.3108.6307114224230.669288577576836
72109.15109.354164874645-0.204164874645258


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
73111.110230342922109.836389082937112.384071602906
74109.954260339703108.498069127485111.410451551921
75110.23418224894108.616061691798111.852302806081
76110.244207977748108.478950084876112.00946587062
77111.009466605837109.108425649084112.910507562589
78111.085538730974109.057786771253113.113290690695
79110.319057498326108.172059757048112.466055239605
80110.356097331168108.096137023561112.616057638774
81111.024978586733108.657439382652113.392517790814
82112.148860199719109.678422349102114.619298050336
83112.58224033142110.013021682752115.151458980088
84112.556605321795109.892265674609115.220944968981