Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 2341 | NA | NA | 13.9541 | NA |
2 | 2115 | NA | NA | -386.111 | NA |
3 | 2402 | NA | NA | -87.2404 | NA |
4 | 2180 | NA | NA | -244.532 | NA |
5 | 2453 | NA | NA | -63.3329 | NA |
6 | 2507 | NA | NA | -99.7751 | NA |
7 | 2679 | 2735.14 | 2470.58 | 264.561 | -56.1439 |
8 | 2622 | 2806.54 | 2492.38 | 314.167 | -184.542 |
9 | 2618 | 2772.42 | 2512.92 | 259.505 | -154.422 |
10 | 2648 | 2710.22 | 2533.71 | 176.517 | -62.2249 |
11 | 2523 | 2452.31 | 2553.21 | -100.902 | 70.6941 |
12 | 2473 | 2514.15 | 2560.96 | -46.8098 | -41.1485 |
13 | 2513 | 2579.58 | 2565.62 | 13.9541 | -66.5791 |
14 | 2466 | 2192.81 | 2578.92 | -386.111 | 273.194 |
15 | 2544 | 2513.13 | 2600.38 | -87.2404 | 30.8654 |
16 | 2537 | 2377.38 | 2621.92 | -244.532 | 159.615 |
17 | 2564 | 2580.79 | 2644.12 | -63.3329 | -16.7921 |
18 | 2582 | 2568.81 | 2668.58 | -99.7751 | 13.1917 |
19 | 2716 | 2964.81 | 2700.25 | 264.561 | -248.811 |
20 | 2904 | 3045.21 | 2731.04 | 314.167 | -141.209 |
21 | 2851 | 3022.88 | 2763.37 | 259.505 | -171.88 |
22 | 2932 | 2978.1 | 2801.58 | 176.517 | -46.0999 |
23 | 2772 | 2743.22 | 2844.12 | -100.902 | 28.7774 |
24 | 2811 | 2837.57 | 2884.38 | -46.8098 | -26.5652 |
25 | 2935 | 2938.91 | 2924.96 | 13.9541 | -3.91242 |
26 | 2783 | 2576.47 | 2962.58 | -386.111 | 206.527 |
27 | 3003 | 2905.88 | 2993.12 | -87.2404 | 97.1154 |
28 | 2995 | 2777.63 | 3022.17 | -244.532 | 217.365 |
29 | 3127 | 2974.67 | 3038 | -63.3329 | 152.333 |
30 | 2985 | 2956.93 | 3056.71 | -99.7751 | 28.0667 |
31 | 3287 | 3354.27 | 3089.71 | 264.561 | -67.2689 |
32 | 3236 | 3432.21 | 3118.04 | 314.167 | -196.209 |
33 | 3252 | 3401.71 | 3142.21 | 259.505 | -149.713 |
34 | 3228 | 3343.02 | 3166.5 | 176.517 | -115.017 |
35 | 2856 | 3084.22 | 3185.12 | -100.902 | -228.223 |
36 | 3176 | 3156.82 | 3203.62 | -46.8098 | 19.1848 |
37 | 3362 | 3241.04 | 3227.08 | 13.9541 | 120.963 |
38 | 3036 | 2873.56 | 3259.67 | -386.111 | 162.444 |
39 | 3330 | 3219.18 | 3306.42 | -87.2404 | 110.824 |
40 | 3251 | 3110.51 | 3355.04 | -244.532 | 140.49 |
41 | 3318 | 3337 | 3400.33 | -63.3329 | -19.0004 |
42 | 3238 | 3338.89 | 3438.67 | -99.7751 | -100.892 |
43 | 3597 | 3722.85 | 3458.29 | 264.561 | -125.852 |
44 | 3708 | 3795.08 | 3480.92 | 314.167 | -87.0837 |
45 | 3902 | 3778.59 | 3519.08 | 259.505 | 123.412 |
46 | 3745 | 3734.72 | 3558.21 | 176.517 | 10.2751 |
47 | 3426 | 3484.18 | 3585.08 | -100.902 | -58.1809 |
48 | 3526 | 3570.61 | 3617.42 | -46.8098 | -44.6069 |
49 | 3483 | 3672 | 3658.04 | 13.9541 | -188.996 |
50 | 3458 | 3306.39 | 3692.5 | -386.111 | 151.611 |
51 | 3824 | 3628.72 | 3715.96 | -87.2404 | 195.282 |
52 | 3696 | 3484.13 | 3728.67 | -244.532 | 211.865 |
53 | 3518 | 3686.33 | 3749.67 | -63.3329 | -168.334 |
54 | 3814 | 3681.68 | 3781.46 | -99.7751 | 132.317 |
55 | 3996 | 4092.1 | 3827.54 | 264.561 | -96.1022 |
56 | 4136 | 4197.29 | 3883.12 | 314.167 | -61.2921 |
57 | 4037 | 4185.76 | 3926.25 | 259.505 | -148.755 |
58 | 3915 | 4131.93 | 3955.42 | 176.517 | -216.933 |
59 | 3760 | 3897.72 | 3998.62 | -100.902 | -137.723 |
60 | 3955 | 3990.57 | 4037.37 | -46.8098 | -35.5652 |
61 | 4160 | 4077.16 | 4063.21 | 13.9541 | 82.8376 |
62 | 4115 | 3715.18 | 4101.29 | -386.111 | 399.819 |
63 | 4202 | 4054.18 | 4141.42 | -87.2404 | 147.824 |
64 | 4018 | 3935.13 | 4179.67 | -244.532 | 82.8654 |
65 | 4233 | 4162.08 | 4225.42 | -63.3329 | 70.9163 |
66 | 4029 | 4173.6 | 4273.38 | -99.7751 | -144.6 |
67 | 4401 | 4578.39 | 4313.83 | 264.561 | -177.394 |
68 | 4645 | 4648.79 | 4334.62 | 314.167 | -3.79205 |
69 | 4491 | 4601.26 | 4341.75 | 259.505 | -110.255 |
70 | 4379 | 4531.18 | 4354.67 | 176.517 | -152.183 |
71 | 4394 | 4278.18 | 4379.08 | -100.902 | 115.819 |
72 | 4472 | 4370.4 | 4417.21 | -46.8098 | 101.601 |
73 | 4614 | 4474.16 | 4460.21 | 13.9541 | 139.838 |
74 | 4160 | 4101.1 | 4487.21 | -386.111 | 58.9024 |
75 | 4328 | 4413.97 | 4501.21 | -87.2404 | -85.968 |
76 | 4202 | 4287.68 | 4532.21 | -244.532 | -85.6763 |
77 | 4635 | 4504.13 | 4567.46 | -63.3329 | 130.875 |
78 | 4542 | 4486.56 | 4586.33 | -99.7751 | 55.4417 |
79 | 4920 | 4867.69 | 4603.12 | 264.561 | 52.3144 |
80 | 4774 | 4937.04 | 4622.88 | 314.167 | -163.042 |
81 | 4698 | 4911.05 | 4651.54 | 259.505 | -213.047 |
82 | 4916 | 4857.14 | 4680.62 | 176.517 | 58.8584 |
83 | 4703 | 4591.14 | 4692.04 | -100.902 | 111.861 |
84 | 4616 | 4651.69 | 4698.5 | -46.8098 | -35.6902 |
85 | 4873 | 4729.58 | 4715.62 | 13.9541 | 143.421 |
86 | 4375 | 4358.89 | 4745 | -386.111 | 16.1107 |
87 | 4801 | 4694.55 | 4781.79 | -87.2404 | 106.449 |
88 | 4427 | 4571.97 | 4816.5 | -244.532 | -144.968 |
89 | 4684 | 4773.42 | 4836.75 | -63.3329 | -89.4171 |
90 | 4648 | 4759.97 | 4859.75 | -99.7751 | -111.975 |
91 | 5225 | 5156.14 | 4891.58 | 264.561 | 68.8561 |
92 | 5174 | 5232.04 | 4917.88 | 314.167 | -58.0421 |
93 | 5181 | 5198.05 | 4938.54 | 259.505 | -17.0467 |
94 | 5266 | 5146.97 | 4970.46 | 176.517 | 119.025 |
95 | 4839 | 4903.76 | 5004.67 | -100.902 | -64.7643 |
96 | 5032 | 4981.44 | 5028.25 | -46.8098 | 50.5598 |
97 | 5221 | 5060.45 | 5046.5 | 13.9541 | 160.546 |
98 | 4658 | 4677.97 | 5064.08 | -386.111 | -19.9726 |
99 | 5014 | 4997.59 | 5084.83 | -87.2404 | 16.407 |
100 | 4980 | 4856.38 | 5100.92 | -244.532 | 123.615 |
101 | 4952 | 5051.17 | 5114.5 | -63.3329 | -99.1671 |
102 | 4946 | 5020.68 | 5120.46 | -99.7751 | -74.6833 |
103 | 5365 | 5385.64 | 5121.08 | 264.561 | -20.6439 |
104 | 5456 | 5442.29 | 5128.12 | 314.167 | 13.7079 |
105 | 5397 | 5398.63 | 5139.13 | 259.505 | -1.63002 |
106 | 5436 | 5320.72 | 5144.21 | 176.517 | 115.275 |
107 | 4995 | 5043.22 | 5144.12 | -100.902 | -48.2226 |
108 | 5019 | 5110.57 | 5157.37 | -46.8098 | -91.5652 |
109 | 5249 | 5194.91 | 5180.96 | 13.9541 | 54.0876 |
110 | 4799 | 4809.97 | 5196.08 | -386.111 | -10.9726 |
111 | 5137 | 5113.93 | 5201.17 | -87.2404 | 23.0737 |
112 | 4979 | 4954.26 | 5198.79 | -244.532 | 24.7404 |
113 | 4951 | 5143.54 | 5206.88 | -63.3329 | -192.542 |
114 | 5265 | 5135.22 | 5235 | -99.7751 | 129.775 |
115 | 5612 | 5518.94 | 5254.38 | 264.561 | 93.0644 |
116 | 5572 | 5579.33 | 5265.17 | 314.167 | -7.33372 |
117 | 5403 | 5540.05 | 5280.54 | 259.505 | -137.047 |
118 | 5373 | 5478.43 | 5301.92 | 176.517 | -105.433 |
119 | 5252 | 5234.47 | 5335.38 | -100.902 | 17.5274 |
120 | 5437 | 5312.65 | 5359.46 | -46.8098 | 124.351 |
121 | 5296 | 5383.54 | 5369.58 | 13.9541 | -87.5374 |
122 | 5011 | 5001.72 | 5387.83 | -386.111 | 9.27739 |
123 | 5294 | 5327.3 | 5414.54 | -87.2404 | -33.3013 |
124 | 5335 | 5193.63 | 5438.17 | -244.532 | 141.365 |
125 | 5398 | 5390.67 | 5454 | -63.3329 | 7.33295 |
126 | 5396 | 5361.68 | 5461.46 | -99.7751 | 34.3167 |
127 | 5724 | 5744.06 | 5479.5 | 264.561 | -20.0606 |
128 | 5898 | 5818.46 | 5504.29 | 314.167 | 79.5413 |
129 | 5718 | 5785.26 | 5525.75 | 259.505 | -67.255 |
130 | 5625 | 5708.56 | 5532.04 | 176.517 | -83.5583 |
131 | 5380 | 5434.1 | 5535 | -100.902 | -54.0976 |
132 | 5488 | 5503.07 | 5549.87 | -46.8098 | -15.0652 |
133 | 5678 | 5573.29 | 5559.33 | 13.9541 | 104.713 |
134 | 5224 | 5184.89 | 5571 | -386.111 | 39.1107 |
135 | 5596 | 5510.63 | 5597.88 | -87.2404 | 85.3654 |
136 | 5184 | 5392.68 | 5637.21 | -244.532 | -208.676 |
137 | 5620 | 5612.21 | 5675.54 | -63.3329 | 7.79128 |
138 | 5531 | 5604.31 | 5704.08 | -99.7751 | -73.3083 |
139 | 5816 | 5985.1 | 5720.54 | 264.561 | -169.102 |
140 | 6086 | 6043.58 | 5729.42 | 314.167 | 42.4163 |
141 | 6175 | 6003.71 | 5744.21 | 259.505 | 171.287 |
142 | 6112 | 5949.47 | 5772.96 | 176.517 | 162.525 |
143 | 5813 | 5698.31 | 5799.21 | -100.902 | 114.694 |
144 | 5740 | 5769.07 | 5815.88 | -46.8098 | -29.0652 |
145 | 5821 | 5859.58 | 5845.62 | 13.9541 | -38.5791 |
146 | 5294 | 5495.22 | 5881.33 | -386.111 | -201.223 |
147 | 5881 | 5817.8 | 5905.04 | -87.2404 | 63.1987 |
148 | 5589 | 5681.93 | 5926.46 | -244.532 | -92.9263 |
149 | 5845 | 5876.42 | 5939.75 | -63.3329 | -31.4171 |
150 | 5706 | 5852.89 | 5952.67 | -99.7751 | -146.892 |
151 | 6355 | 6239.64 | 5975.08 | 264.561 | 115.356 |
152 | 6404 | 6321.83 | 6007.67 | 314.167 | 82.1663 |
153 | 6426 | 6293.34 | 6033.83 | 259.505 | 132.662 |
154 | 6375 | 6231.56 | 6055.04 | 176.517 | 143.442 |
155 | 5869 | 5987.01 | 6087.92 | -100.902 | -118.014 |
156 | 5994 | 6079.11 | 6125.92 | -46.8098 | -85.1069 |
157 | 6105 | 6183.37 | 6169.42 | 13.9541 | -78.3708 |
158 | 5792 | 5822.97 | 6209.08 | -386.111 | -30.9726 |
159 | 6011 | 6158.55 | 6245.79 | -87.2404 | -147.551 |
160 | 5968 | 6030.09 | 6274.62 | -244.532 | -62.093 |
161 | 6255 | 6233.79 | 6297.12 | -63.3329 | 21.2079 |
162 | 6208 | 6227.81 | 6327.58 | -99.7751 | -19.8083 |
163 | 6897 | 6627.77 | 6363.21 | 264.561 | 269.231 |
164 | 6814 | 6697.92 | 6383.75 | 314.167 | 116.083 |
165 | 6897 | 6668.01 | 6408.5 | 259.505 | 228.995 |
166 | 6596 | 6626.68 | 6450.17 | 176.517 | -30.6833 |
167 | 6188 | 6382.47 | 6483.37 | -100.902 | -194.473 |
168 | 6406 | 6468.98 | 6515.79 | -46.8098 | -62.9819 |
169 | 6548 | 6560.7 | 6546.75 | 13.9541 | -12.7041 |
170 | 5842 | 6186.47 | 6572.58 | -386.111 | -344.473 |
171 | 6555 | 6508.26 | 6595.5 | -87.2404 | 46.7404 |
172 | 6424 | 6368.38 | 6612.92 | -244.532 | 55.6154 |
173 | 6596 | 6574.04 | 6637.37 | -63.3329 | 21.9579 |
174 | 6645 | 6562.18 | 6661.96 | -99.7751 | 82.8167 |
175 | 7203 | 6916.39 | 6651.83 | 264.561 | 286.606 |
176 | 7128 | 6938.58 | 6624.42 | 314.167 | 189.416 |
177 | 7133 | 6854.13 | 6594.62 | 259.505 | 278.87 |
178 | 6778 | 6732.56 | 6556.04 | 176.517 | 45.4417 |
179 | 6593 | 6417.97 | 6518.88 | -100.902 | 175.027 |
180 | 6591 | 6439.02 | 6485.83 | -46.8098 | 151.976 |
181 | 6120 | 6459.91 | 6445.96 | 13.9541 | -339.912 |
182 | 5612 | 6013.89 | 6400 | -386.111 | -401.889 |
183 | 6070 | 6275.18 | 6362.42 | -87.2404 | -205.176 |
184 | 5983 | 6092.18 | 6336.71 | -244.532 | -109.176 |
185 | 6145 | 6260.5 | 6323.83 | -63.3329 | -115.5 |
186 | 6303 | 6216.27 | 6316.04 | -99.7751 | 86.7334 |
187 | 6588 | 6587.44 | 6322.87 | 264.561 | 0.564429 |
188 | 6640 | 6656.92 | 6342.75 | 314.167 | -16.9171 |
189 | 6719 | 6607.92 | 6348.42 | 259.505 | 111.078 |
190 | 6575 | 6516.64 | 6340.12 | 176.517 | 58.3584 |
191 | 6487 | 6240.51 | 6341.42 | -100.902 | 246.486 |
192 | 6510 | 6301.82 | 6348.62 | -46.8098 | 208.185 |
193 | 6365 | 6364.62 | 6350.67 | 13.9541 | 0.379244 |
194 | 5844 | 5971.68 | 6357.79 | -386.111 | -127.681 |
195 | 5974 | 6269.34 | 6356.58 | -87.2404 | -295.343 |
196 | 5880 | 6095.55 | 6340.08 | -244.532 | -215.551 |
197 | 6279 | 6249.04 | 6312.38 | -63.3329 | 29.9579 |
198 | 6342 | 6180.02 | 6279.79 | -99.7751 | 161.983 |
199 | 6598 | 6522.52 | 6257.96 | 264.561 | 75.4811 |
200 | 6801 | 6564.67 | 6250.5 | 314.167 | 236.333 |
201 | 6529 | 6520.26 | 6260.75 | 259.505 | 8.74498 |
202 | 6369 | 6447.35 | 6270.83 | 176.517 | -78.3499 |
203 | 6028 | 6178.31 | 6279.21 | -100.902 | -150.306 |
204 | 6187 | 6228.4 | 6275.21 | -46.8098 | -41.3985 |
205 | 6164 | 6273.29 | 6259.33 | 13.9541 | -109.287 |
206 | 5866 | 5863.85 | 6249.96 | -386.111 | 2.15239 |
207 | 6198 | 6158.63 | 6245.88 | -87.2404 | 39.3654 |
208 | 5898 | 6008.38 | 6252.92 | -244.532 | -110.385 |
209 | 6462 | 6203.17 | 6266.5 | -63.3329 | 258.833 |
210 | 6063 | 6163.52 | 6263.29 | -99.7751 | -100.517 |
211 | 6496 | 6521.39 | 6256.83 | 264.561 | -25.3939 |
212 | 6678 | 6563.5 | 6249.33 | 314.167 | 114.5 |
213 | 6554 | 6483.3 | 6223.79 | 259.505 | 70.7033 |
214 | 6513 | 6381.02 | 6204.5 | 176.517 | 131.983 |
215 | 6210 | 6082.18 | 6183.08 | -100.902 | 127.819 |
216 | 5928 | 6120.4 | 6167.21 | -46.8098 | -192.399 |
217 | 6268 | 6194.2 | 6180.25 | 13.9541 | 73.7959 |
218 | 5582 | 5809.26 | 6195.38 | -386.111 | -227.264 |
219 | 5869 | 6109.47 | 6196.71 | -87.2404 | -240.468 |
220 | 5764 | 5937.38 | 6181.92 | -244.532 | -173.385 |
221 | 6082 | 6096.33 | 6159.67 | -63.3329 | -14.3337 |
222 | 6062 | 6059.27 | 6159.04 | -99.7751 | 2.73341 |
223 | 6810 | NA | NA | 264.561 | NA |
224 | 6727 | NA | NA | 314.167 | NA |
225 | 6537 | NA | NA | 259.505 | NA |
226 | 6175 | NA | NA | 176.517 | NA |
227 | 6014 | NA | NA | -100.902 | NA |
228 | 6109 | NA | NA | -46.8098 | NA |