Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.0594162856861059
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
3100.2799.970.299999999999997
4100.1899.98782488570580.192175114294173
5100.1699.90924321719850.250756782801488
6100.1899.90414225384320.275857746156845
7100.1899.94053269649750.239467303502465
8100.5999.95476095421490.63523904578507
9100.69100.4025044988380.287495501161729
10101.06100.5195864136690.540413586331255
11101.15100.9216957817030.22830421829714
12101.16101.0252607703610.134739229639436
13101.16101.0432664749220.116733525078061
14100.81101.050202347397-0.240202347397116
15100.94100.6859304161020.2540695838983
16101.13100.8310262870830.298973712917245
17101.29101.0387901946220.25120980537794
18101.34101.2137161481860.126283851814435
19101.35101.2712194656030.078780534397481
20101.7101.2859003123410.414099687659231
21102.05101.6605045776850.389495422314724
22102.48102.0336469489710.446353051029064
23102.66102.4901675893680.169832410632239
24102.72102.6802584003970.0397415996033601
25102.73102.742619698632-0.0126196986322924
26102.18102.751869883013-0.571869883013079
27102.22102.1678914986690.0521085013312899
28102.37102.210987592270.159012407729534
29102.53102.3704355189160.159564481084232
30102.61102.5399162477090.0700837522907705
31102.62102.624080363957-0.00408036395728573
32103102.6338379238870.366162076113298
33103.17103.0355939144080.134406085591536
34103.52103.2135798247880.306420175212068
35103.69103.5817861734580.108213826541686
36103.73103.758215837091-0.0282158370912953
3799.57103.796539356854-4.22653935685382
3899.0999.3854140869634-0.295414086963405
3999.1498.88786167917670.252138320823306
4099.3698.95284280167920.407157198320846
4199.699.19703457009370.40296542990626
4299.6599.46097727919870.189022720801347
4399.899.5222083071790.277791692821026
44100.1599.68871365776080.461286342239163
45100.45100.0661215788540.383878421145567
46100.89100.3889302087940.501069791206049
47101.13100.8587019146570.271298085343076
48101.17101.1148214392020.0551785607982538
49101.21101.1580999443340.0519000556660956
50101.1101.201183652868-0.101183652868471
51101.17101.0851716960430.0848283039571243
52101.11101.160211878785-0.0502118787850634
53101.2101.097228475450.102771524549667
54101.15101.193334777713-0.043334777713369
55100.92101.140759986181-0.22075998618061
56101.1100.8976432477740.202356752226351
57101.22101.0896665343740.130333465625569
58101.25101.2174104648030.0325895351974879
59101.39101.2493468139360.14065318606383
60101.43101.3977039038220.0322960961780012
61101.95101.4396228178990.510377182100925
62101.92101.989947534358-0.0699475343584481
63102.05101.9557915116740.0942084883260321
64102.07102.09138903013-0.0213890301304076
65102.1102.110118173406-0.0101181734056155
66102.16102.1395169891240.0204830108760632
67101.63102.20073401355-0.570734013549853
68101.43101.63682311835-0.206823118349988
69101.4101.424534456864-0.0245344568636341
70101.6101.3930767105650.206923289434528
71101.72101.6053713238460.114628676154396
72101.73101.732182134016-0.00218213401582545
73102.67101.7420524797180.92794752028226
74102.59102.737187674685-0.147187674684531
75102.69102.6484423297560.0415576702439893
76102.93102.7509115321640.179088467836337
77103.02103.0015523037320.018447696268268
78103.06103.092648397323-0.0326483973234417
79102.47103.130708550821-0.660708550820885
80102.4102.50145170281-0.101451702810053
81102.42102.425423819453-0.00542381945255954
82102.51102.4451015562460.0648984437535489
83102.61102.5389575807210.0710424192788963
84102.78102.6431786574010.136821342599191


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
85102.821308073381101.761642679007103.880973467755
86102.862616146761101.318860457986104.406371835536
87102.903924220142100.95743997747104.850408462814
88102.945232293523100.632727837252105.257736749793
89102.986540366903100.328018642764105.645062091042
90103.027848440284100.035038411145106.020658469422
91103.06915651366499.7490469567597106.389266070569
92103.11046458704599.4670715493768106.753857624713
93103.15177266042699.1871293961523107.116415924699
94103.19308073380698.9078379286549107.478323538958
95103.23438880718798.6282005612954107.840577053079
96103.27569688056898.3474804428888108.203913318246