Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 88 | NA | NA | 1.06724 | NA |
2 | 90 | NA | NA | 1.07048 | NA |
3 | 82 | NA | NA | 1.08021 | NA |
4 | 75 | NA | NA | 1.03632 | NA |
5 | 79 | NA | NA | 1.00838 | NA |
6 | 70 | NA | NA | 0.925103 | NA |
7 | 71 | 74.8192 | 83.5 | 0.896038 | 0.948954 |
8 | 75 | 75.8808 | 84.4167 | 0.898884 | 0.988393 |
9 | 89 | 86.7725 | 85.5 | 1.01488 | 1.02567 |
10 | 92 | 89.4989 | 87.2083 | 1.02627 | 1.02795 |
11 | 94 | 88.6669 | 89.0417 | 0.995792 | 1.06015 |
12 | 90 | 89.0121 | 90.7917 | 0.9804 | 1.0111 |
13 | 102 | 98.8085 | 92.5833 | 1.06724 | 1.0323 |
14 | 98 | 100.848 | 94.2083 | 1.07048 | 0.971755 |
15 | 100 | 103.295 | 95.625 | 1.08021 | 0.968101 |
16 | 98 | 100.567 | 97.0417 | 1.03632 | 0.974479 |
17 | 100 | 99.1573 | 98.3333 | 1.00838 | 1.0085 |
18 | 91 | 92.2019 | 99.6667 | 0.925103 | 0.986964 |
19 | 93 | 90.5745 | 101.083 | 0.896038 | 1.02678 |
20 | 92 | 92.2479 | 102.625 | 0.898884 | 0.997312 |
21 | 106 | 106.055 | 104.5 | 1.01488 | 0.999479 |
22 | 109 | 109.126 | 106.333 | 1.02627 | 0.998843 |
23 | 108 | 107.504 | 107.958 | 0.995792 | 1.00461 |
24 | 108 | 107.517 | 109.667 | 0.9804 | 1.00449 |
25 | 118 | 118.953 | 111.458 | 1.06724 | 0.991992 |
26 | 119 | 121.277 | 113.292 | 1.07048 | 0.981226 |
27 | 124 | 124.269 | 115.042 | 1.08021 | 0.997835 |
28 | 118 | 120.732 | 116.5 | 1.03632 | 0.977374 |
29 | 119 | 118.569 | 117.583 | 1.00838 | 1.00364 |
30 | 113 | 109.702 | 118.583 | 0.925103 | 1.03007 |
31 | 114 | 107.301 | 119.75 | 0.896038 | 1.06244 |
32 | 115 | 108.69 | 120.917 | 0.898884 | 1.05805 |
33 | 125 | 123.816 | 122 | 1.01488 | 1.00956 |
34 | 125 | 126.145 | 122.917 | 1.02627 | 0.990922 |
35 | 118 | 123.105 | 123.625 | 0.995792 | 0.958533 |
36 | 122 | 121.529 | 123.958 | 0.9804 | 1.00388 |
37 | 132 | 132.071 | 123.75 | 1.06724 | 0.999464 |
38 | 133 | 131.848 | 123.167 | 1.07048 | 1.00874 |
39 | 136 | 132.326 | 122.5 | 1.08021 | 1.02777 |
40 | 128 | 126.345 | 121.917 | 1.03632 | 1.0131 |
41 | 126 | 122.476 | 121.458 | 1.00838 | 1.02877 |
42 | 114 | 111.86 | 120.917 | 0.925103 | 1.01913 |
43 | 108 | 107.749 | 120.25 | 0.896038 | 1.00233 |
44 | 107 | 107.491 | 119.583 | 0.898884 | 0.995428 |
45 | 117 | 120.517 | 118.75 | 1.01488 | 0.970814 |
46 | 119 | 120.928 | 117.833 | 1.02627 | 0.984054 |
47 | 113 | 116.3 | 116.792 | 0.995792 | 0.971624 |
48 | 114 | 113.277 | 115.542 | 0.9804 | 1.00638 |
49 | 124 | 122.021 | 114.333 | 1.06724 | 1.01622 |
50 | 125 | 121.143 | 113.167 | 1.07048 | 1.03184 |
51 | 124 | 121.163 | 112.167 | 1.08021 | 1.02341 |
52 | 118 | 115.291 | 111.25 | 1.03632 | 1.0235 |
53 | 111 | 111.258 | 110.333 | 1.00838 | 0.997682 |
54 | 99 | 101.029 | 109.208 | 0.925103 | 0.979917 |
55 | 94 | 96.4361 | 107.625 | 0.896038 | 0.974739 |
56 | 93 | 95.2817 | 106 | 0.898884 | 0.976053 |
57 | 107 | 105.971 | 104.417 | 1.01488 | 1.00971 |
58 | 107 | 105.577 | 102.875 | 1.02627 | 1.01348 |
59 | 103 | 100.948 | 101.375 | 0.995792 | 1.02032 |
60 | 97 | 98.04 | 100 | 0.9804 | 0.989392 |
61 | 103 | 105.612 | 98.9583 | 1.06724 | 0.975267 |
62 | 107 | 104.729 | 97.8333 | 1.07048 | 1.02168 |
63 | 104 | 104.195 | 96.4583 | 1.08021 | 0.998127 |
64 | 101 | 98.3644 | 94.9167 | 1.03632 | 1.02679 |
65 | 92 | 94.1995 | 93.4167 | 1.00838 | 0.976651 |
66 | 85 | 85.0709 | 91.9583 | 0.925103 | 0.999166 |
67 | 83 | NA | NA | 0.896038 | NA |
68 | 77 | NA | NA | 0.898884 | NA |
69 | 90 | NA | NA | 1.01488 | NA |
70 | 87 | NA | NA | 1.02627 | NA |
71 | 87 | NA | NA | 0.995792 | NA |
72 | 78 | NA | NA | 0.9804 | NA |