Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.889472739292855
beta0
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1399.3698.66841340831280.691586591687184
1499.5899.49640205994120.0835979400588229
1599.7799.7728461515372-0.00284615153718448
1699.7799.7928133308214-0.0228133308214353
17100.03100.059239049778-0.0292390497776438
18100.2100.227047142364-0.0270471423641823
19100.2499.94190037622690.298099623773098
20100.1100.419482135146-0.319482135145776
21100.03100.184623549256-0.154623549256357
22100.18100.341646644197-0.16164664419729
23100.29100.2641599877140.0258400122861389
24100.41100.3559491771630.0540508228369987
25100.6100.4019795164370.198020483562885
26100.75100.724236605520.0257633944801938
27100.79100.940699388648-0.150699388648064
28100.44100.826059136724-0.386059136724214
29100.29100.769962360798-0.479962360797728
30100.34100.537381187755-0.197381187754829
31100.46100.1360428179970.323957182003156
32100.12100.56833469334-0.448334693339973
33100.06100.237036577793-0.17703657779326
34100.28100.373415079674-0.0934150796737185
35100.28100.377319450506-0.0973194505056938
36100.4100.3626766020470.0373233979532728
37100.61100.4097155336110.200284466388766
38100.89100.7149440554470.175055944552938
39100.73101.04475399319-0.314753993189541
40101.12100.7580602996450.361939700354782
41101.16101.357771494658-0.197771494658056
42101.33101.408448463789-0.078448463789087
43101.37101.1676894375860.202310562413729
44101.61101.4058067989130.204193201087193
45101.85101.6847480844620.165251915537837
46102.27102.138307661070.131692338929938
47102.28102.341616802276-0.0616168022764043
48102.23102.373228796341-0.143228796341376
49102.42102.2762834486960.143716551303655
50102.53102.528706710550.001293289449535
51103.47102.6499534055780.820046594421825
52103.53103.4463035538620.0836964461380774
53103.77103.7392340579870.0307659420133319
54103.74104.009816642358-0.269816642357625
55103.93103.6239144375020.306085562498438
56103.97103.9533228530310.0166771469694282
57103.68104.060847260529-0.38084726052908
58103.86104.028559789978-0.168559789977635
59103.97103.9427867837780.0272132162217957
60104.05104.0439005778460.00609942215366743


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
61104.110696705569103.606666517023104.614726894115
62104.219596172098103.545022162154104.894170182042
63104.431261593241103.620793863526105.241729322956
64104.415691908925103.490247738639105.341136079211
65104.62923842788103.600114675249105.658362180511
66104.840024271688103.716590687681105.963457855695
67104.755685432591103.547913751499105.963457113682
68104.780211035808103.492761967502106.067660104113
69104.828381980538103.46575378891106.191010172166
70105.160765227094103.7235635244106.597966929787
71105.246307215713103.741062658035106.751551773392
72105.320497679244100.331962354945110.309033003542