Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 83.8 | NA | NA | 0.558694 | NA |
2 | 86.62 | NA | NA | 0.467111 | NA |
3 | 83.98 | NA | NA | 0.0789444 | NA |
4 | 82.59 | NA | NA | -0.562556 | NA |
5 | 82.3 | NA | NA | -0.765389 | NA |
6 | 81.64 | NA | NA | -1.08389 | NA |
7 | 81.66 | 83.5109 | 84.1288 | -0.617806 | -1.85094 |
8 | 81.63 | 84.3569 | 84.3308 | 0.0261111 | -2.72694 |
9 | 85.54 | 85.2455 | 84.5454 | 0.700111 | 0.294472 |
10 | 85.62 | 85.5669 | 84.9271 | 0.639861 | 0.0530556 |
11 | 85.89 | 85.9 | 85.3908 | 0.509194 | -0.0100278 |
12 | 86.38 | 85.9613 | 85.9117 | 0.0496111 | 0.418722 |
13 | 87.59 | 87.2674 | 86.7087 | 0.558694 | 0.322556 |
14 | 87.68 | 88.4313 | 87.9642 | 0.467111 | -0.751278 |
15 | 88.07 | 89.3885 | 89.3096 | 0.0789444 | -1.31853 |
16 | 87.66 | 90.0524 | 90.615 | -0.562556 | -2.39244 |
17 | 88.36 | 91.2446 | 92.01 | -0.765389 | -2.88461 |
18 | 88.08 | 92.329 | 93.4129 | -1.08389 | -4.24903 |
19 | 94.35 | 94.1226 | 94.7404 | -0.617806 | 0.227389 |
20 | 99.07 | 96.0182 | 95.9921 | 0.0261111 | 3.05181 |
21 | 100.39 | 97.8747 | 97.1746 | 0.700111 | 2.51531 |
22 | 102.1 | 98.9249 | 98.285 | 0.639861 | 3.17514 |
23 | 102.89 | 99.8484 | 99.3392 | 0.509194 | 3.04164 |
24 | 103.05 | 100.401 | 100.351 | 0.0496111 | 2.64914 |
25 | 102.78 | 101.653 | 101.094 | 0.558694 | 1.12714 |
26 | 102.53 | 101.846 | 101.379 | 0.467111 | 0.684139 |
27 | 101.6 | 101.491 | 101.412 | 0.0789444 | 0.108972 |
28 | 100.78 | 100.735 | 101.298 | -0.562556 | 0.0450556 |
29 | 100.54 | 100.307 | 101.072 | -0.765389 | 0.233306 |
30 | 100.19 | 99.7169 | 100.801 | -1.08389 | 0.473056 |
31 | 100.07 | 99.9934 | 100.611 | -0.617806 | 0.0765556 |
32 | 100.18 | 100.594 | 100.567 | 0.0261111 | -0.413611 |
33 | 100.08 | 101.279 | 100.579 | 0.700111 | -1.19886 |
34 | 99.66 | 101.223 | 100.583 | 0.639861 | -1.56278 |
35 | 99.92 | 101.07 | 100.561 | 0.509194 | -1.15044 |
36 | 99.51 | 100.59 | 100.54 | 0.0496111 | -1.07961 |
37 | 101.77 | 101.054 | 100.495 | 0.558694 | 0.715889 |
38 | 102.49 | 100.88 | 100.413 | 0.467111 | 1.60997 |
39 | 101.91 | 100.392 | 100.313 | 0.0789444 | 1.51814 |
40 | 100.57 | 99.682 | 100.245 | -0.562556 | 0.887972 |
41 | 100.23 | 99.4254 | 100.191 | -0.765389 | 0.804556 |
42 | 99.99 | 98.9919 | 100.076 | -1.08389 | 0.998056 |
43 | 99.2 | 99.2626 | 99.8804 | -0.617806 | -0.0626111 |
44 | 99.07 | 99.6311 | 99.605 | 0.0261111 | -0.561111 |
45 | 98.79 | 100.057 | 99.3571 | 0.700111 | -1.26719 |
46 | 99.31 | 99.8886 | 99.2488 | 0.639861 | -0.578611 |
47 | 98.98 | 99.7379 | 99.2287 | 0.509194 | -0.757944 |
48 | 97.69 | 99.2804 | 99.2308 | 0.0496111 | -1.59044 |
49 | 98.9 | 99.8224 | 99.2637 | 0.558694 | -0.922444 |
50 | 98.75 | 99.7709 | 99.3038 | 0.467111 | -1.02086 |
51 | 99.7 | 99.3989 | 99.32 | 0.0789444 | 0.301056 |
52 | 100.18 | 98.6974 | 99.26 | -0.562556 | 1.48256 |
53 | 100.14 | 98.3621 | 99.1275 | -0.765389 | 1.77789 |
54 | 100.13 | 97.9578 | 99.0417 | -1.08389 | 2.17222 |
55 | 99.85 | 98.3168 | 98.9346 | -0.617806 | 1.53322 |
56 | 99.38 | 98.8065 | 98.7804 | 0.0261111 | 0.573472 |
57 | 98.87 | 99.2901 | 98.59 | 0.700111 | -0.420111 |
58 | 97.79 | 98.9532 | 98.3133 | 0.639861 | -1.16319 |
59 | 97.32 | 98.5196 | 98.0104 | 0.509194 | -1.19961 |
60 | 97.29 | 97.7642 | 97.7146 | 0.0496111 | -0.474194 |
61 | 96.73 | 98.0495 | 97.4908 | 0.558694 | -1.31953 |
62 | 97.22 | 97.8184 | 97.3512 | 0.467111 | -0.598361 |
63 | 96.66 | 97.346 | 97.2671 | 0.0789444 | -0.686028 |
64 | 96.58 | 96.6795 | 97.2421 | -0.562556 | -0.0995278 |
65 | 96.47 | 96.4775 | 97.2429 | -0.765389 | -0.00752778 |
66 | 96.7 | 96.1707 | 97.2546 | -1.08389 | 0.529306 |
67 | 97.91 | NA | NA | -0.617806 | NA |
68 | 97.97 | NA | NA | 0.0261111 | NA |
69 | 98.26 | NA | NA | 0.700111 | NA |
70 | 97.8 | NA | NA | 0.639861 | NA |
71 | 97.33 | NA | NA | 0.509194 | NA |
72 | 97.56 | NA | NA | 0.0496111 | NA |