Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 250785 | NA | NA | 488.213 | NA |
2 | 250140 | NA | NA | 1851.55 | NA |
3 | 255755 | NA | NA | 1955.12 | NA |
4 | 254671 | NA | NA | -266.123 | NA |
5 | 253919 | NA | NA | 294.716 | NA |
6 | 253741 | NA | NA | 222.151 | NA |
7 | 252729 | 253778 | 254076 | -297.849 | -1049.23 |
8 | 253810 | 255411 | 254442 | 968.692 | -1600.65 |
9 | 256653 | 254104 | 254747 | -642.864 | 2548.7 |
10 | 255231 | 253677 | 254977 | -1299.28 | 1553.66 |
11 | 258405 | 255228 | 255301 | -72.1766 | 3176.51 |
12 | 251061 | 252504 | 255706 | -3202.15 | -1442.52 |
13 | 254811 | 256611 | 256122 | 488.213 | -1799.67 |
14 | 254895 | 258469 | 256617 | 1851.55 | -3573.72 |
15 | 258325 | 259091 | 257136 | 1955.12 | -766.24 |
16 | 257608 | 257340 | 257606 | -266.123 | 267.748 |
17 | 258759 | 258249 | 257954 | 294.716 | 510.367 |
18 | 258621 | 258545 | 258323 | 222.151 | 75.6409 |
19 | 257852 | 258526 | 258824 | -297.849 | -673.859 |
20 | 260560 | 260234 | 259265 | 968.692 | 326.141 |
21 | 262358 | 259085 | 259728 | -642.864 | 3273.03 |
22 | 260812 | 258873 | 260172 | -1299.28 | 1939.49 |
23 | 261165 | 260422 | 260494 | -72.1766 | 742.885 |
24 | 257164 | 257564 | 260766 | -3202.15 | -399.52 |
25 | 260720 | 261425 | 260937 | 488.213 | -705.172 |
26 | 259581 | 262810 | 260958 | 1851.55 | -3228.64 |
27 | 264743 | 262909 | 260954 | 1955.12 | 1834.05 |
28 | 261845 | 260766 | 261032 | -266.123 | 1078.79 |
29 | 262262 | 261479 | 261184 | 294.716 | 783.075 |
30 | 261631 | 261733 | 261511 | 222.151 | -102.067 |
31 | 258953 | 261684 | 261982 | -297.849 | -2730.94 |
32 | 259966 | 263528 | 262559 | 968.692 | -3561.73 |
33 | 262850 | 262308 | 262951 | -642.864 | 542.114 |
34 | 262204 | 261751 | 263050 | -1299.28 | 453.114 |
35 | 263418 | 263161 | 263233 | -72.1766 | 257.302 |
36 | 262752 | 260293 | 263496 | -3202.15 | 2458.61 |
37 | 266433 | 264580 | 264092 | 488.213 | 1852.79 |
38 | 267722 | 266811 | 264959 | 1851.55 | 911.281 |
39 | 266003 | 267545 | 265590 | 1955.12 | -1542.49 |
40 | 262971 | 265708 | 265974 | -266.123 | -2737.29 |
41 | 265521 | 266555 | 266261 | 294.716 | -1034.47 |
42 | 264676 | 266630 | 266408 | 222.151 | -1953.9 |
43 | 270223 | 266240 | 266538 | -297.849 | 3983.18 |
44 | 269508 | 267713 | 266744 | 968.692 | 1795.02 |
45 | 268457 | 266394 | 267037 | -642.864 | 2063.28 |
46 | 265814 | 266103 | 267402 | -1299.28 | -289.178 |
47 | 266680 | 267730 | 267802 | -72.1766 | -1050.12 |
48 | 263018 | 265057 | 268259 | -3202.15 | -2038.56 |
49 | 269285 | 269010 | 268521 | 488.213 | 275.412 |
50 | 269829 | 270445 | 268593 | 1851.55 | -615.678 |
51 | 270911 | 270695 | 268740 | 1955.12 | 216.343 |
52 | 266844 | 268650 | 268916 | -266.123 | -1805.67 |
53 | 271244 | 269160 | 268865 | 294.716 | 2084.08 |
54 | 269907 | 269084 | 268862 | 222.151 | 822.933 |
55 | 271296 | 268674 | 268972 | -297.849 | 2622.18 |
56 | 270157 | 269899 | 268931 | 968.692 | 257.516 |
57 | 271322 | 268307 | 268950 | -642.864 | 3015.07 |
58 | 267179 | 267779 | 269078 | -1299.28 | -599.761 |
59 | 264101 | 268941 | 269013 | -72.1766 | -4839.78 |
60 | 265518 | 265715 | 268917 | -3202.15 | -196.895 |
61 | 269419 | 269498 | 269010 | 488.213 | -79.38 |
62 | 268714 | 271025 | 269173 | 1851.55 | -2310.64 |
63 | 272482 | 271189 | 269234 | 1955.12 | 1293.26 |
64 | 268351 | 269079 | 269345 | -266.123 | -728.085 |
65 | 268175 | 270059 | 269764 | 294.716 | -1883.97 |
66 | 270674 | 270404 | 270182 | 222.151 | 269.599 |
67 | 272764 | 270228 | 270526 | -297.849 | 2535.85 |
68 | 272599 | 271898 | 270929 | 968.692 | 701.058 |
69 | 270333 | 270672 | 271315 | -642.864 | -338.844 |
70 | 270846 | 270447 | 271746 | -1299.28 | 399.114 |
71 | 270491 | 272063 | 272135 | -72.1766 | -1572.28 |
72 | 269160 | 269084 | 272286 | -3202.15 | 76.2718 |
73 | 274027 | 272711 | 272222 | 488.213 | 1316.45 |
74 | 273784 | 274047 | 272195 | 1851.55 | -262.636 |
75 | 276663 | 274357 | 272402 | 1955.12 | 2305.97 |
76 | 274525 | 272333 | 272599 | -266.123 | 2192.41 |
77 | 271344 | 273057 | 272762 | 294.716 | -1712.67 |
78 | 271115 | 273163 | 272941 | 222.151 | -2047.78 |
79 | 270798 | 272683 | 272981 | -297.849 | -1884.82 |
80 | 273911 | 273995 | 273026 | 968.692 | -84.1508 |
81 | 273985 | 272640 | 273282 | -642.864 | 1345.36 |
82 | 271917 | 272310 | 273609 | -1299.28 | -392.636 |
83 | 273338 | 274030 | 274102 | -72.1766 | -691.948 |
84 | 270601 | 271731 | 274934 | -3202.15 | -1130.39 |
85 | 273547 | 276281 | 275793 | 488.213 | -2734.25 |
86 | 275363 | 278374 | 276522 | 1851.55 | -3010.68 |
87 | 281229 | 279501 | 277546 | 1955.12 | 1727.84 |
88 | 277793 | 278443 | 278709 | -266.123 | -650.294 |
89 | 279913 | 280091 | 279796 | 294.716 | -177.8 |
90 | 282500 | 281231 | 281009 | 222.151 | 1269.14 |
91 | 280041 | 281906 | 282203 | -297.849 | -1864.57 |
92 | 282166 | 284357 | 283388 | 968.692 | -2190.53 |
93 | 290304 | 283674 | 284317 | -642.864 | 6629.99 |
94 | 283519 | 283785 | 285085 | -1299.28 | -266.386 |
95 | 287816 | 285877 | 285949 | -72.1766 | 1938.93 |
96 | 285226 | 283472 | 286674 | -3202.15 | 1754.31 |
97 | 287595 | 287801 | 287313 | 488.213 | -205.88 |
98 | 289741 | 289805 | 287953 | 1851.55 | -63.5942 |
99 | 289148 | 290392 | 288437 | 1955.12 | -1244.16 |
100 | 288301 | 289264 | 289531 | -266.123 | -963.46 |
101 | 290155 | 291618 | 291323 | 294.716 | -1463.13 |
102 | 289648 | 293471 | 293249 | 222.151 | -3822.69 |
103 | 288225 | 295423 | 295721 | -297.849 | -7197.73 |
104 | 289351 | 299620 | 298651 | 968.692 | -10268.8 |
105 | 294735 | 300829 | 301472 | -642.864 | -6093.72 |
106 | 305333 | 302940 | 304239 | -1299.28 | 2393.2 |
107 | 309030 | 306847 | 306919 | -72.1766 | 2183.09 |
108 | 310215 | 306288 | 309490 | -3202.15 | 3927.11 |
109 | 321935 | 312671 | 312183 | 488.213 | 9263.54 |
110 | 325734 | 316854 | 315002 | 1851.55 | 8880.03 |
111 | 320846 | 319667 | 317712 | 1955.12 | 1178.72 |
112 | 323023 | 319419 | 319685 | -266.123 | 3604.46 |
113 | 319753 | 321337 | 321042 | 294.716 | -1584.09 |
114 | 321753 | 322361 | 322139 | 222.151 | -608.401 |
115 | 320757 | 322555 | 322853 | -297.849 | -1798.4 |
116 | 324479 | 324427 | 323458 | 968.692 | 52.2659 |
117 | 324641 | 323664 | 324306 | -642.864 | 977.489 |
118 | 322767 | 323991 | 325290 | -1299.28 | -1223.55 |
119 | 324181 | 326355 | 326428 | -72.1766 | -2174.45 |
120 | 321389 | 324616 | 327818 | -3202.15 | -3227.31 |
121 | 327897 | 329955 | 329466 | 488.213 | -2057.67 |
122 | 334287 | 333143 | 331291 | 1851.55 | 1144.45 |
123 | 332653 | 334615 | 332659 | 1955.12 | -1961.57 |
124 | 334819 | 333434 | 333700 | -266.123 | 1384.83 |
125 | 335264 | 335211 | 334917 | 294.716 | 52.6587 |
126 | 339622 | 336587 | 336365 | 222.151 | 3035.18 |
127 | 342440 | 337542 | 337840 | -297.849 | 4897.6 |
128 | 346585 | 340069 | 339100 | 968.692 | 6516.14 |
129 | 335378 | 339641 | 340284 | -642.864 | -4262.89 |
130 | 337010 | 340121 | 341420 | -1299.28 | -3111.18 |
131 | 339130 | 342454 | 342526 | -72.1766 | -3323.57 |
132 | 341193 | 340157 | 343359 | -3202.15 | 1036.11 |
133 | 343507 | 344498 | 344010 | 488.213 | -990.713 |
134 | 348915 | 346580 | 344729 | 1851.55 | 2334.53 |
135 | 346431 | 347676 | 345721 | 1955.12 | -1245.28 |
136 | 348322 | 346848 | 347114 | -266.123 | 1473.62 |
137 | 348288 | 349105 | 348810 | 294.716 | -816.675 |
138 | 346597 | 350895 | 350673 | 222.151 | -4297.78 |
139 | 351076 | 352247 | 352545 | -297.849 | -1171.48 |
140 | 355215 | 355147 | 354178 | 968.692 | 68.3075 |
141 | 350562 | 355172 | 355815 | -642.864 | -4610.01 |
142 | 355266 | 356231 | 357530 | -1299.28 | -964.928 |
143 | 361565 | 359102 | 359174 | -72.1766 | 2462.93 |
144 | 363462 | 357907 | 361109 | -3202.15 | 5554.94 |
145 | 366183 | 363519 | 363031 | 488.213 | 2663.87 |
146 | 365423 | 366496 | 364644 | 1851.55 | -1072.8 |
147 | 369208 | 368044 | 366089 | 1955.12 | 1163.63 |
148 | 366713 | 367056 | 367322 | -266.123 | -342.71 |
149 | 369354 | 368660 | 368366 | 294.716 | 693.659 |
150 | 371970 | 369152 | 368929 | 222.151 | 2818.47 |
151 | 371824 | 368787 | 369085 | -297.849 | 3037.14 |
152 | 373187 | 370406 | 369437 | 968.692 | 2781.31 |
153 | 367270 | 369189 | 369832 | -642.864 | -1919.26 |
154 | 368140 | 368820 | 370119 | -1299.28 | -679.803 |
155 | 373742 | 370446 | 370518 | -72.1766 | 3296.3 |
156 | 364815 | 367733 | 370935 | -3202.15 | -2917.6 |
157 | 368558 | 371724 | 371236 | 488.213 | -3166.05 |
158 | 371503 | 373557 | 371705 | 1851.55 | -2053.68 |
159 | 372611 | 374190 | 372235 | 1955.12 | -1578.78 |
160 | 370197 | 372497 | 372763 | -266.123 | -2300.04 |
161 | 375441 | 373518 | 373224 | 294.716 | 1922.62 |
162 | 375888 | 373850 | 373628 | 222.151 | 2037.68 |
163 | 375132 | 373902 | 374200 | -297.849 | 1230.22 |
164 | 381142 | 375999 | 375030 | 968.692 | 5143.27 |
165 | 372024 | 375259 | 375902 | -642.864 | -3235.18 |
166 | 376070 | 375346 | 376645 | -1299.28 | 723.989 |
167 | 376864 | 377335 | 377407 | -72.1766 | -470.657 |
168 | 371401 | 374920 | 378123 | -3202.15 | -3519.39 |
169 | 375687 | 379385 | 378897 | 488.213 | -3698.13 |
170 | 384304 | 381447 | 379596 | 1851.55 | 2856.91 |
171 | 380738 | 382184 | 380229 | 1955.12 | -1446.16 |
172 | 379908 | 380447 | 380713 | -266.123 | -539.169 |
173 | 384007 | 381446 | 381151 | 294.716 | 2561.49 |
174 | 384499 | 382060 | 381838 | 222.151 | 2439.1 |
175 | 385106 | NA | NA | -297.849 | NA |
176 | 387935 | NA | NA | 968.692 | NA |
177 | 380435 | NA | NA | -642.864 | NA |
178 | 379281 | NA | NA | -1299.28 | NA |
179 | 384153 | NA | NA | -72.1766 | NA |
180 | 380599 | NA | NA | -3202.15 | NA |