Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 2341 | NA | NA | 1.00353 | NA |
2 | 2115 | NA | NA | 0.927095 | NA |
3 | 2402 | NA | NA | 0.985446 | NA |
4 | 2180 | NA | NA | 0.954293 | NA |
5 | 2453 | NA | NA | 0.986477 | NA |
6 | 2507 | NA | NA | 0.978548 | NA |
7 | 2679 | 2599.72 | 2470.58 | 1.05227 | 1.0305 |
8 | 2622 | 2646.41 | 2492.38 | 1.0618 | 0.990775 |
9 | 2618 | 2638.96 | 2512.92 | 1.05016 | 0.992056 |
10 | 2648 | 2622.34 | 2533.71 | 1.03498 | 1.00978 |
11 | 2523 | 2493.4 | 2553.21 | 0.976575 | 1.01187 |
12 | 2473 | 2532.33 | 2560.96 | 0.988821 | 0.976571 |
13 | 2513 | 2574.69 | 2565.62 | 1.00353 | 0.976041 |
14 | 2466 | 2390.9 | 2578.92 | 0.927095 | 1.03141 |
15 | 2544 | 2562.53 | 2600.38 | 0.985446 | 0.992769 |
16 | 2537 | 2502.08 | 2621.92 | 0.954293 | 1.01396 |
17 | 2564 | 2608.37 | 2644.12 | 0.986477 | 0.98299 |
18 | 2582 | 2611.34 | 2668.58 | 0.978548 | 0.988766 |
19 | 2716 | 2841.39 | 2700.25 | 1.05227 | 0.955871 |
20 | 2904 | 2899.83 | 2731.04 | 1.0618 | 1.00144 |
21 | 2851 | 2901.98 | 2763.37 | 1.05016 | 0.982431 |
22 | 2932 | 2899.59 | 2801.58 | 1.03498 | 1.01118 |
23 | 2772 | 2777.5 | 2844.12 | 0.976575 | 0.998019 |
24 | 2811 | 2852.13 | 2884.38 | 0.988821 | 0.985579 |
25 | 2935 | 2935.29 | 2924.96 | 1.00353 | 0.999902 |
26 | 2783 | 2746.6 | 2962.58 | 0.927095 | 1.01325 |
27 | 3003 | 2949.56 | 2993.12 | 0.985446 | 1.01812 |
28 | 2995 | 2884.03 | 3022.17 | 0.954293 | 1.03848 |
29 | 3127 | 2996.92 | 3038 | 0.986477 | 1.04341 |
30 | 2985 | 2991.13 | 3056.71 | 0.978548 | 0.997949 |
31 | 3287 | 3251.2 | 3089.71 | 1.05227 | 1.01101 |
32 | 3236 | 3310.75 | 3118.04 | 1.0618 | 0.977422 |
33 | 3252 | 3299.82 | 3142.21 | 1.05016 | 0.985508 |
34 | 3228 | 3277.27 | 3166.5 | 1.03498 | 0.984967 |
35 | 2856 | 3110.51 | 3185.12 | 0.976575 | 0.918176 |
36 | 3176 | 3167.81 | 3203.62 | 0.988821 | 1.00259 |
37 | 3362 | 3238.48 | 3227.08 | 1.00353 | 1.03814 |
38 | 3036 | 3022.02 | 3259.67 | 0.927095 | 1.00463 |
39 | 3330 | 3258.3 | 3306.42 | 0.985446 | 1.02201 |
40 | 3251 | 3201.69 | 3355.04 | 0.954293 | 1.0154 |
41 | 3318 | 3354.35 | 3400.33 | 0.986477 | 0.989163 |
42 | 3238 | 3364.9 | 3438.67 | 0.978548 | 0.962287 |
43 | 3597 | 3639.05 | 3458.29 | 1.05227 | 0.988444 |
44 | 3708 | 3696.05 | 3480.92 | 1.0618 | 1.00323 |
45 | 3902 | 3695.6 | 3519.08 | 1.05016 | 1.05585 |
46 | 3745 | 3682.68 | 3558.21 | 1.03498 | 1.01692 |
47 | 3426 | 3501.1 | 3585.08 | 0.976575 | 0.978548 |
48 | 3526 | 3576.98 | 3617.42 | 0.988821 | 0.985749 |
49 | 3483 | 3670.96 | 3658.04 | 1.00353 | 0.948798 |
50 | 3458 | 3423.3 | 3692.5 | 0.927095 | 1.01014 |
51 | 3824 | 3661.88 | 3715.96 | 0.985446 | 1.04427 |
52 | 3696 | 3558.24 | 3728.67 | 0.954293 | 1.03872 |
53 | 3518 | 3698.96 | 3749.67 | 0.986477 | 0.951078 |
54 | 3814 | 3700.34 | 3781.46 | 0.978548 | 1.03072 |
55 | 3996 | 4027.6 | 3827.54 | 1.05227 | 0.992154 |
56 | 4136 | 4123.12 | 3883.12 | 1.0618 | 1.00312 |
57 | 4037 | 4123.19 | 3926.25 | 1.05016 | 0.979097 |
58 | 3915 | 4093.78 | 3955.42 | 1.03498 | 0.956328 |
59 | 3760 | 3904.96 | 3998.62 | 0.976575 | 0.962878 |
60 | 3955 | 3992.24 | 4037.37 | 0.988821 | 0.990672 |
61 | 4160 | 4077.56 | 4063.21 | 1.00353 | 1.02022 |
62 | 4115 | 3802.29 | 4101.29 | 0.927095 | 1.08224 |
63 | 4202 | 4081.14 | 4141.42 | 0.985446 | 1.02961 |
64 | 4018 | 3988.63 | 4179.67 | 0.954293 | 1.00736 |
65 | 4233 | 4168.28 | 4225.42 | 0.986477 | 1.01553 |
66 | 4029 | 4181.7 | 4273.38 | 0.978548 | 0.963484 |
67 | 4401 | 4539.31 | 4313.83 | 1.05227 | 0.96953 |
68 | 4645 | 4602.52 | 4334.62 | 1.0618 | 1.00923 |
69 | 4491 | 4559.53 | 4341.75 | 1.05016 | 0.98497 |
70 | 4379 | 4507 | 4354.67 | 1.03498 | 0.9716 |
71 | 4394 | 4276.51 | 4379.08 | 0.976575 | 1.02747 |
72 | 4472 | 4367.83 | 4417.21 | 0.988821 | 1.02385 |
73 | 4614 | 4475.96 | 4460.21 | 1.00353 | 1.03084 |
74 | 4160 | 4160.07 | 4487.21 | 0.927095 | 0.999983 |
75 | 4328 | 4435.7 | 4501.21 | 0.985446 | 0.97572 |
76 | 4202 | 4325.05 | 4532.21 | 0.954293 | 0.971549 |
77 | 4635 | 4505.69 | 4567.46 | 0.986477 | 1.0287 |
78 | 4542 | 4487.95 | 4586.33 | 0.978548 | 1.01204 |
79 | 4920 | 4843.72 | 4603.12 | 1.05227 | 1.01575 |
80 | 4774 | 4908.59 | 4622.88 | 1.0618 | 0.972581 |
81 | 4698 | 4884.86 | 4651.54 | 1.05016 | 0.961747 |
82 | 4916 | 4844.36 | 4680.62 | 1.03498 | 1.01479 |
83 | 4703 | 4582.13 | 4692.04 | 0.976575 | 1.02638 |
84 | 4616 | 4645.97 | 4698.5 | 0.988821 | 0.993548 |
85 | 4873 | 4732.28 | 4715.62 | 1.00353 | 1.02974 |
86 | 4375 | 4399.07 | 4745 | 0.927095 | 0.994529 |
87 | 4801 | 4712.2 | 4781.79 | 0.985446 | 1.01884 |
88 | 4427 | 4596.35 | 4816.5 | 0.954293 | 0.963155 |
89 | 4684 | 4771.34 | 4836.75 | 0.986477 | 0.981694 |
90 | 4648 | 4755.5 | 4859.75 | 0.978548 | 0.977395 |
91 | 5225 | 5147.26 | 4891.58 | 1.05227 | 1.0151 |
92 | 5174 | 5221.82 | 4917.88 | 1.0618 | 0.990842 |
93 | 5181 | 5186.26 | 4938.54 | 1.05016 | 0.998987 |
94 | 5266 | 5144.33 | 4970.46 | 1.03498 | 1.02365 |
95 | 4839 | 4887.43 | 5004.67 | 0.976575 | 0.99009 |
96 | 5032 | 4972.04 | 5028.25 | 0.988821 | 1.01206 |
97 | 5221 | 5064.32 | 5046.5 | 1.00353 | 1.03094 |
98 | 4658 | 4694.89 | 5064.08 | 0.927095 | 0.992143 |
99 | 5014 | 5010.83 | 5084.83 | 0.985446 | 1.00063 |
100 | 4980 | 4867.77 | 5100.92 | 0.954293 | 1.02306 |
101 | 4952 | 5045.34 | 5114.5 | 0.986477 | 0.9815 |
102 | 4946 | 5010.61 | 5120.46 | 0.978548 | 0.987105 |
103 | 5365 | 5388.76 | 5121.08 | 1.05227 | 0.995592 |
104 | 5456 | 5445.06 | 5128.12 | 1.0618 | 1.00201 |
105 | 5397 | 5396.9 | 5139.13 | 1.05016 | 1.00002 |
106 | 5436 | 5324.16 | 5144.21 | 1.03498 | 1.02101 |
107 | 4995 | 5023.63 | 5144.12 | 0.976575 | 0.994302 |
108 | 5019 | 5099.72 | 5157.37 | 0.988821 | 0.984172 |
109 | 5249 | 5199.26 | 5180.96 | 1.00353 | 1.00957 |
110 | 4799 | 4817.26 | 5196.08 | 0.927095 | 0.996208 |
111 | 5137 | 5125.47 | 5201.17 | 0.985446 | 1.00225 |
112 | 4979 | 4961.17 | 5198.79 | 0.954293 | 1.00359 |
113 | 4951 | 5136.46 | 5206.88 | 0.986477 | 0.963893 |
114 | 5265 | 5122.7 | 5235 | 0.978548 | 1.02778 |
115 | 5612 | 5529.01 | 5254.38 | 1.05227 | 1.01501 |
116 | 5572 | 5590.57 | 5265.17 | 1.0618 | 0.996678 |
117 | 5403 | 5545.41 | 5280.54 | 1.05016 | 0.974319 |
118 | 5373 | 5487.38 | 5301.92 | 1.03498 | 0.979155 |
119 | 5252 | 5210.4 | 5335.38 | 0.976575 | 1.00798 |
120 | 5437 | 5299.54 | 5359.46 | 0.988821 | 1.02594 |
121 | 5296 | 5388.55 | 5369.58 | 1.00353 | 0.982825 |
122 | 5011 | 4995.04 | 5387.83 | 0.927095 | 1.0032 |
123 | 5294 | 5335.74 | 5414.54 | 0.985446 | 0.992177 |
124 | 5335 | 5189.6 | 5438.17 | 0.954293 | 1.02802 |
125 | 5398 | 5380.25 | 5454 | 0.986477 | 1.0033 |
126 | 5396 | 5344.3 | 5461.46 | 0.978548 | 1.00967 |
127 | 5724 | 5765.91 | 5479.5 | 1.05227 | 0.992732 |
128 | 5898 | 5844.48 | 5504.29 | 1.0618 | 1.00916 |
129 | 5718 | 5802.92 | 5525.75 | 1.05016 | 0.985366 |
130 | 5625 | 5725.56 | 5532.04 | 1.03498 | 0.982437 |
131 | 5380 | 5405.34 | 5535 | 0.976575 | 0.995311 |
132 | 5488 | 5487.83 | 5549.87 | 0.988821 | 1.00003 |
133 | 5678 | 5578.97 | 5559.33 | 1.00353 | 1.01775 |
134 | 5224 | 5164.85 | 5571 | 0.927095 | 1.01145 |
135 | 5596 | 5516.41 | 5597.88 | 0.985446 | 1.01443 |
136 | 5184 | 5379.55 | 5637.21 | 0.954293 | 0.96365 |
137 | 5620 | 5598.79 | 5675.54 | 0.986477 | 1.00379 |
138 | 5531 | 5581.72 | 5704.08 | 0.978548 | 0.990914 |
139 | 5816 | 6019.55 | 5720.54 | 1.05227 | 0.966186 |
140 | 6086 | 6083.52 | 5729.42 | 1.0618 | 1.00041 |
141 | 6175 | 6032.33 | 5744.21 | 1.05016 | 1.02365 |
142 | 6112 | 5974.9 | 5772.96 | 1.03498 | 1.02295 |
143 | 5813 | 5663.36 | 5799.21 | 0.976575 | 1.02642 |
144 | 5740 | 5750.86 | 5815.88 | 0.988821 | 0.998112 |
145 | 5821 | 5866.27 | 5845.62 | 1.00353 | 0.992283 |
146 | 5294 | 5452.56 | 5881.33 | 0.927095 | 0.970921 |
147 | 5881 | 5819.1 | 5905.04 | 0.985446 | 1.01064 |
148 | 5589 | 5655.58 | 5926.46 | 0.954293 | 0.988228 |
149 | 5845 | 5859.43 | 5939.75 | 0.986477 | 0.997538 |
150 | 5706 | 5824.97 | 5952.67 | 0.978548 | 0.979576 |
151 | 6355 | 6287.39 | 5975.08 | 1.05227 | 1.01075 |
152 | 6404 | 6378.96 | 6007.67 | 1.0618 | 1.00392 |
153 | 6426 | 6336.49 | 6033.83 | 1.05016 | 1.01413 |
154 | 6375 | 6266.85 | 6055.04 | 1.03498 | 1.01726 |
155 | 5869 | 5945.31 | 6087.92 | 0.976575 | 0.987165 |
156 | 5994 | 6057.43 | 6125.92 | 0.988821 | 0.989528 |
157 | 6105 | 6191.2 | 6169.42 | 1.00353 | 0.986076 |
158 | 5792 | 5756.41 | 6209.08 | 0.927095 | 1.00618 |
159 | 6011 | 6154.89 | 6245.79 | 0.985446 | 0.976621 |
160 | 5968 | 5987.83 | 6274.62 | 0.954293 | 0.996688 |
161 | 6255 | 6211.97 | 6297.12 | 0.986477 | 1.00693 |
162 | 6208 | 6191.84 | 6327.58 | 0.978548 | 1.00261 |
163 | 6897 | 6695.8 | 6363.21 | 1.05227 | 1.03005 |
164 | 6814 | 6778.29 | 6383.75 | 1.0618 | 1.00527 |
165 | 6897 | 6729.95 | 6408.5 | 1.05016 | 1.02482 |
166 | 6596 | 6675.8 | 6450.17 | 1.03498 | 0.988046 |
167 | 6188 | 6331.5 | 6483.37 | 0.976575 | 0.977335 |
168 | 6406 | 6442.95 | 6515.79 | 0.988821 | 0.994265 |
169 | 6548 | 6569.87 | 6546.75 | 1.00353 | 0.996671 |
170 | 5842 | 6093.41 | 6572.58 | 0.927095 | 0.95874 |
171 | 6555 | 6499.51 | 6595.5 | 0.985446 | 1.00854 |
172 | 6424 | 6310.66 | 6612.92 | 0.954293 | 1.01796 |
173 | 6596 | 6547.62 | 6637.37 | 0.986477 | 1.00739 |
174 | 6645 | 6519.04 | 6661.96 | 0.978548 | 1.01932 |
175 | 7203 | 6999.52 | 6651.83 | 1.05227 | 1.02907 |
176 | 7128 | 7033.83 | 6624.42 | 1.0618 | 1.01339 |
177 | 7133 | 6925.41 | 6594.62 | 1.05016 | 1.02998 |
178 | 6778 | 6785.38 | 6556.04 | 1.03498 | 0.998912 |
179 | 6593 | 6366.17 | 6518.88 | 0.976575 | 1.03563 |
180 | 6591 | 6413.33 | 6485.83 | 0.988821 | 1.0277 |
181 | 6120 | 6468.72 | 6445.96 | 1.00353 | 0.946091 |
182 | 5612 | 5933.41 | 6400 | 0.927095 | 0.94583 |
183 | 6070 | 6269.82 | 6362.42 | 0.985446 | 0.96813 |
184 | 5983 | 6047.08 | 6336.71 | 0.954293 | 0.989404 |
185 | 6145 | 6238.32 | 6323.83 | 0.986477 | 0.985041 |
186 | 6303 | 6180.55 | 6316.04 | 0.978548 | 1.01981 |
187 | 6588 | 6653.36 | 6322.87 | 1.05227 | 0.990176 |
188 | 6640 | 6734.76 | 6342.75 | 1.0618 | 0.98593 |
189 | 6719 | 6666.85 | 6348.42 | 1.05016 | 1.00782 |
190 | 6575 | 6561.91 | 6340.12 | 1.03498 | 1.00199 |
191 | 6487 | 6192.87 | 6341.42 | 0.976575 | 1.04749 |
192 | 6510 | 6277.65 | 6348.62 | 0.988821 | 1.03701 |
193 | 6365 | 6373.09 | 6350.67 | 1.00353 | 0.99873 |
194 | 5844 | 5894.28 | 6357.79 | 0.927095 | 0.99147 |
195 | 5974 | 6264.07 | 6356.58 | 0.985446 | 0.953693 |
196 | 5880 | 6050.3 | 6340.08 | 0.954293 | 0.971853 |
197 | 6279 | 6227.01 | 6312.38 | 0.986477 | 1.00835 |
198 | 6342 | 6145.08 | 6279.79 | 0.978548 | 1.03205 |
199 | 6598 | 6585.05 | 6257.96 | 1.05227 | 1.00197 |
200 | 6801 | 6636.81 | 6250.5 | 1.0618 | 1.02474 |
201 | 6529 | 6574.78 | 6260.75 | 1.05016 | 0.993036 |
202 | 6369 | 6490.19 | 6270.83 | 1.03498 | 0.981326 |
203 | 6028 | 6132.12 | 6279.21 | 0.976575 | 0.98302 |
204 | 6187 | 6205.06 | 6275.21 | 0.988821 | 0.99709 |
205 | 6164 | 6281.44 | 6259.33 | 1.00353 | 0.981304 |
206 | 5866 | 5794.31 | 6249.96 | 0.927095 | 1.01237 |
207 | 6198 | 6154.97 | 6245.88 | 0.985446 | 1.00699 |
208 | 5898 | 5967.11 | 6252.92 | 0.954293 | 0.988418 |
209 | 6462 | 6181.76 | 6266.5 | 0.986477 | 1.04533 |
210 | 6063 | 6128.93 | 6263.29 | 0.978548 | 0.989243 |
211 | 6496 | 6583.87 | 6256.83 | 1.05227 | 0.986654 |
212 | 6678 | 6635.57 | 6249.33 | 1.0618 | 1.00639 |
213 | 6554 | 6535.97 | 6223.79 | 1.05016 | 1.00276 |
214 | 6513 | 6421.54 | 6204.5 | 1.03498 | 1.01424 |
215 | 6210 | 6038.25 | 6183.08 | 0.976575 | 1.02844 |
216 | 5928 | 6098.26 | 6167.21 | 0.988821 | 0.97208 |
217 | 6268 | 6202.08 | 6180.25 | 1.00353 | 1.01063 |
218 | 5582 | 5743.7 | 6195.38 | 0.927095 | 0.971847 |
219 | 5869 | 6106.52 | 6196.71 | 0.985446 | 0.961103 |
220 | 5764 | 5899.36 | 6181.92 | 0.954293 | 0.977055 |
221 | 6082 | 6076.37 | 6159.67 | 0.986477 | 1.00093 |
222 | 6062 | 6026.92 | 6159.04 | 0.978548 | 1.00582 |
223 | 6810 | NA | NA | 1.05227 | NA |
224 | 6727 | NA | NA | 1.0618 | NA |
225 | 6537 | NA | NA | 1.05016 | NA |
226 | 6175 | NA | NA | 1.03498 | NA |
227 | 6014 | NA | NA | 0.976575 | NA |
228 | 6109 | NA | NA | 0.988821 | NA |