| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 1 |
| beta | 0 |
| gamma | 0.468873000282372 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 0.8766 | 0.853247676282052 | 0.0233523237179483 |
| 14 | 0.9188 | 0.910075422494172 | 0.00872457750582767 |
| 15 | 0.9838 | 0.970621255827506 | 0.0131787441724941 |
| 16 | 0.9994 | 0.985746255827506 | 0.0136537441724943 |
| 17 | 1.0731 | 1.05922958916084 | 0.013870410839161 |
| 18 | 1.1372 | 1.12042542249417 | 0.0167745775058277 |
| 19 | 1.1248 | 1.05716292249417 | 0.0676370775058277 |
| 20 | 1.189 | 1.11765042249417 | 0.0713495775058277 |
| 21 | 1.2497 | 1.26614208916084 | -0.0164420891608392 |
| 22 | 1.2046 | 1.21709625582751 | -0.0124962558275059 |
| 23 | 1.222 | 1.23418792249417 | -0.0121879224941721 |
| 24 | 1.2977 | 1.22927958916084 | 0.0684204108391611 |
| 25 | 1.3113 | 1.27453792249417 | 0.0367620775058271 |
| 26 | 1.2594 | 1.34477542249417 | -0.0853754224941718 |
| 27 | 1.2199 | 1.31122125582751 | -0.0913212558275061 |
| 28 | 1.1884 | 1.22184625582751 | -0.0334462558275055 |
| 29 | 1.2023 | 1.24822958916084 | -0.0459295891608391 |
| 30 | 1.2582 | 1.24962542249417 | 0.00857457750582769 |
| 31 | 1.2743 | 1.17816292249417 | 0.0961370775058277 |
| 32 | 1.2887 | 1.26715042249417 | 0.0215495775058276 |
| 33 | 1.3106 | 1.36584208916084 | -0.0552420891608392 |
| 34 | 1.3481 | 1.27799625582751 | 0.0701037441724943 |
| 35 | 1.3738 | 1.37768792249417 | -0.00388792249417236 |
| 36 | 1.4486 | 1.38107958916084 | 0.0675204108391612 |
| 37 | 1.4976 | 1.42543792249417 | 0.0721620775058271 |
| 38 | 1.5622 | 1.53107542249417 | 0.031124577505828 |
| 39 | 1.505 | 1.61402125582751 | -0.109021255827506 |
| 40 | 1.318 | 1.50694625582751 | -0.188946255827505 |
| 41 | 1.3029 | 1.37782958916084 | -0.0749295891608392 |
| 42 | 1.3632 | 1.35022542249417 | 0.0129745775058276 |
| 43 | 1.4303 | 1.28316292249417 | 0.147137077505828 |
| 44 | 1.4779 | 1.42315042249417 | 0.0547495775058278 |
| 45 | 1.3829 | 1.55504208916084 | -0.172142089160839 |
| 46 | 1.2708 | 1.35029625582751 | -0.0794962558275059 |
| 47 | 1.291 | 1.30038792249417 | -0.0093879224941722 |
| 48 | 1.3583 | 1.29827958916084 | 0.0600204108391611 |
| 49 | 1.368 | 1.33513792249417 | 0.0328620775058273 |
| 50 | 1.4391 | 1.40147542249417 | 0.0376245775058279 |
| 51 | 1.4127 | 1.49092125582751 | -0.0782212558275059 |
| 52 | 1.3482 | 1.41464625582751 | -0.0664462558275054 |
| 53 | 1.3108 | 1.40802958916084 | -0.0972295891608392 |
| 54 | 1.2814 | 1.35812542249417 | -0.0767254224941722 |
| 55 | 1.2502 | 1.20136292249417 | 0.0488370775058276 |
| 56 | 1.2967 | 1.24305042249417 | 0.0536495775058277 |
| 57 | 1.3206 | 1.37384208916084 | -0.0532420891608392 |
| 58 | 1.3062 | 1.28799625582751 | 0.0182037441724943 |
| 59 | 1.3242 | 1.33578792249417 | -0.0115879224941722 |
| 60 | 1.361 | 1.33147958916084 | 0.0295204108391609 |
| 61 | 1.3696 | 1.33783792249417 | 0.0317620775058272 |
| 62 | 1.3711 | 1.40307542249417 | -0.031975422494172 |
| 63 | 1.3256 | 1.42292125582751 | -0.0973212558275061 |
| 64 | 1.2498 | 1.32754625582751 | -0.0777462558275053 |
| 65 | 1.1261 | 1.30962958916084 | -0.183529589160839 |
| 66 | 1.1053 | 1.17342542249417 | -0.0681254224941725 |
| 67 | 1.1117 | 1.02526292249417 | 0.0864370775058276 |
| 68 | 1.0953 | 1.10455042249417 | -0.00925042249417229 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 69 | 1.17244208916084 | 1.03284361928772 | 1.31204055903396 |
| 70 | 1.13983834498835 | 0.942416295607242 | 1.33726039436945 |
| 71 | 1.16942626748252 | 0.927634625003394 | 1.41121790996164 |
| 72 | 1.17670585664336 | 0.897508916897109 | 1.4559027963896 |
| 73 | 1.15354377913753 | 0.841392110946268 | 1.46569544732879 |
| 74 | 1.1870192016317 | 0.845074181569258 | 1.52896422169414 |
| 75 | 1.23884045745921 | 0.86949762276978 | 1.60818329214864 |
| 76 | 1.24078671328671 | 0.845942614524506 | 1.63563081204892 |
| 77 | 1.30061630244755 | 0.881820892828181 | 1.71941171206692 |
| 78 | 1.34794172494172 | 0.906492602268257 | 1.78939084761519 |
| 79 | 1.2679046474359 | 0.804908901559013 | 1.73090039331278 |
| 80 | 1.26075506993007 | 0.777171784971822 | 1.74433835488832 |
