Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 214320 | NA | NA | 4984 | NA |
2 | 212588 | NA | NA | 2204.5 | NA |
3 | 205816 | NA | NA | -3106.76 | NA |
4 | 202196 | NA | NA | -8000.76 | NA |
5 | 195722 | NA | NA | -14036.4 | NA |
6 | 198563 | NA | NA | -13401.4 | NA |
7 | 229139 | 222208 | 207774 | 14434.4 | 6931.01 |
8 | 229527 | 224451 | 206718 | 17733.3 | 5075.9 |
9 | 211868 | 213260 | 205583 | 7676.94 | -1391.69 |
10 | 203555 | 204341 | 204437 | -96.1542 | -785.721 |
11 | 195770 | 197641 | 203284 | -5643.04 | -1870.63 |
12 | 199834 | 199312 | 202060 | -2748.75 | 522.463 |
13 | 203089 | 205641 | 200657 | 4984 | -2552.46 |
14 | 198480 | 201375 | 199170 | 2204.5 | -2894.83 |
15 | 192684 | 194822 | 197928 | -3106.76 | -2137.74 |
16 | 187827 | 188940 | 196940 | -8000.76 | -1112.61 |
17 | 182414 | 182015 | 196052 | -14036.4 | 398.904 |
18 | 182510 | 181934 | 195335 | -13401.4 | 576.229 |
19 | 211524 | 209463 | 195029 | 14434.4 | 2060.8 |
20 | 211451 | 212926 | 195193 | 17733.3 | -1475.01 |
21 | 200140 | 203150 | 195473 | 7676.94 | -3010.19 |
22 | 191568 | 195663 | 195759 | -96.1542 | -4095.01 |
23 | 186424 | 190507 | 196150 | -5643.04 | -4082.8 |
24 | 191987 | 193931 | 196680 | -2748.75 | -1944.08 |
25 | 203583 | 202072 | 197088 | 4984 | 1510.54 |
26 | 201920 | 199950 | 197746 | 2204.5 | 1970 |
27 | 195978 | 195845 | 198952 | -3106.76 | 132.763 |
28 | 191395 | 192410 | 200411 | -8000.76 | -1015.4 |
29 | 188222 | 188030 | 202067 | -14036.4 | 191.613 |
30 | 189422 | 190284 | 203685 | -13401.4 | -861.646 |
31 | 214419 | 219355 | 204920 | 14434.4 | -4935.78 |
32 | 224325 | 223690 | 205956 | 17733.3 | 635.279 |
33 | 216222 | 214841 | 207164 | 7676.94 | 1381.19 |
34 | 210506 | 208505 | 208602 | -96.1542 | 2000.61 |
35 | 207221 | 204461 | 210104 | -5643.04 | 2760.41 |
36 | 210027 | 208807 | 211555 | -2748.75 | 1220.34 |
37 | 215191 | 218170 | 213186 | 4984 | -2979.05 |
38 | 215177 | 216996 | 214791 | 2204.5 | -1818.87 |
39 | 211701 | 213244 | 216351 | -3106.76 | -1542.78 |
40 | 210176 | 209978 | 217979 | -8000.76 | 198.138 |
41 | 205491 | 205477 | 219513 | -14036.4 | 13.9458 |
42 | 206996 | 207685 | 221087 | -13401.4 | -689.354 |
43 | 235980 | 237368 | 222934 | 14434.4 | -1388.03 |
44 | 241292 | 242574 | 224841 | 17733.3 | -1282.14 |
45 | 236675 | 234184 | 226507 | 7676.94 | 2490.9 |
46 | 229127 | 227812 | 227908 | -96.1542 | 1315.32 |
47 | 225436 | 223387 | 229030 | -5643.04 | 2048.95 |
48 | 229570 | 227319 | 230068 | -2748.75 | 2251.17 |
49 | 239973 | 235971 | 230987 | 4984 | 4001.75 |
50 | 236168 | 233888 | 231684 | 2204.5 | 2279.96 |
51 | 230703 | 229103 | 232210 | -3106.76 | 1600.05 |
52 | 224790 | 224703 | 232704 | -8000.76 | 87.1375 |
53 | 217811 | 219119 | 233155 | -14036.4 | -1307.72 |
54 | 219576 | 219942 | 233343 | -13401.4 | -366.021 |
55 | 245472 | 247766 | 233332 | 14434.4 | -2294.2 |
56 | 248511 | 251091 | 233358 | 17733.3 | -2580.22 |
57 | 242084 | 241180 | 233503 | 7676.94 | 903.604 |
58 | 235572 | 233633 | 233730 | -96.1542 | 1938.61 |
59 | 229827 | 228309 | 233952 | -5643.04 | 1517.87 |
60 | 229697 | 231373 | 234122 | -2748.75 | -1676.08 |
61 | 239567 | 239174 | 234190 | 4984 | 393.038 |
62 | 237201 | 236363 | 234159 | 2204.5 | 837.546 |
63 | 233164 | 230842 | 233949 | -3106.76 | 2321.51 |
64 | 227755 | 225538 | 233539 | -8000.76 | 2216.55 |
65 | 220189 | 219112 | 233148 | -14036.4 | 1077.07 |
66 | 221270 | 219555 | 232957 | -13401.4 | 1714.6 |
67 | 245413 | NA | NA | 14434.4 | NA |
68 | 247826 | NA | NA | 17733.3 | NA |
69 | 237736 | NA | NA | 7676.94 | NA |
70 | 230079 | NA | NA | -96.1542 | NA |
71 | 225939 | NA | NA | -5643.04 | NA |
72 | 228987 | NA | NA | -2748.75 | NA |