Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.848082601775169
beta0.0746158879217505
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1393.7591.53105769230772.21894230769226
1494.193.86365769063620.236342309363778
1594.9695.0548049685703-0.0948049685703012
1695.2195.3974460350161-0.187446035016151
1795.3395.5659081579091-0.235908157909137
1895.4395.6700086930242-0.240008693024237
1995.4494.90461044749150.535389552508448
2095.6495.8690269812821-0.229026981282075
2195.896.2589955582746-0.458995558274594
2295.8796.9390530136154-1.06905301361542
2395.9896.3740812138023-0.394081213802295
2496.0796.1841036229279-0.114103622927914
2596.2397.4660289042405-1.23602890424051
2696.3296.3466317165677-0.0266317165677208
2796.5597.0271023763242-0.477102376324183
2896.7396.7699120368107-0.0399120368107333
2996.6196.8039311169582-0.193931116958197
3096.6496.6934632128488-0.0534632128488397
3196.8695.96632661222610.893673387773873
3297.0296.90340080435020.116599195649755
3397.2297.3583556182423-0.138355618242272
3498.198.04475703951190.0552429604880729
3598.4698.43406014686260.0259398531374018
3698.698.56764679138110.0323532086189289
3798.7899.7374256548839-0.957425654883906
3899.1398.98975170633540.140248293664641
3999.4899.70559250499-0.225592504990004
4099.6299.7063122210881-0.0863122210880647
4199.6899.65283780103980.0271621989602409
4299.9599.74046155830610.209538441693866
43100.1299.38614822098290.733851779017087
44100.25100.0654054244090.184594575591106
45100.47100.539372668924-0.0693726689235774
46100.7101.318132396729-0.618132396729422
47100.88101.09373851591-0.213738515909895
48100.95100.971698042695-0.0216980426948936
49100.92101.888517600623-0.968517600622704
50101.12101.240735883099-0.12073588309913
51101.19101.60569111408-0.415691114079621
52101.28101.38034923688-0.100349236880348
53101.28101.2453193694710.0346806305291523
54101.3101.2806116345220.019388365477738
55101.3100.7462409965820.553759003417952
56101.36101.0794799282780.280520071721952
57101.45101.492445084622-0.0424450846221447
58101.58102.108606677883-0.528606677883033
59101.73101.925168894215-0.195168894214916
60101.84101.7528228032440.0871771967561443
61102.01102.529800386465-0.519800386465121
62102.14102.331416938069-0.191416938069338
63102.16102.527203450665-0.367203450664974
64102.32102.329540841137-0.00954084113679698
65102.41102.2364355816930.173564418307009
66102.4102.3403764377030.0596235622969346
67102.43101.8770416959750.552958304025097
68102.42102.123774081050.296225918950299
69102.3102.457671199971-0.157671199971389
70102.65102.851639699376-0.201639699375889
71102.72102.966227109382-0.246227109381948
72102.86102.7603169191360.0996830808637839


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
73103.423325648816102.459055174694104.387596122937
74103.716191797904102.4115432585105.020840337309
75104.060252377321102.452344014484105.668160740157
76104.264222314882102.370271742375106.158172887389
77104.243507616207102.07219626982106.414818962593
78104.208440943017101.763967865454106.65291402058
79103.791212653477101.075137818137106.507287488816
80103.516723190262100.528934482244106.50451189828
81103.498430671187100.237701928585106.759159413789
82103.997404573819100.461740425956107.533068721683
83104.266952131301100.453812321007108.080091941594
84104.328720633584100.235171877307108.422269389861