Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.912480497339331
beta0
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
398.8298.620.199999999999989
499.3998.75249609946790.637503900532138
599.3399.28420597568120.0457940243187949
699.2299.2759921297668-0.0559921297667927
799.0599.1749004033501-0.124900403350111
898.8399.0109312211833-0.180931221183315
998.8498.79583501049370.0441649895062568
1098.8998.78613470208340.103865297916599
1198.898.8309097607826-0.0309097607826487
1299.498.75270520689110.647294793108941
1398.8999.2933490816323-0.403349081632285
1498.8598.8753009110231-0.0253009110231091
1598.6998.8022143231496-0.112214323149601
1698.4898.6498209417535-0.169820941753457
1798.3998.4448626443636-0.054862644363638
1898.3598.34480155134940.00519844865063135
1998.2698.2995450343595-0.0395450343594774
2098.0698.2134609617399-0.153460961739853
2198.1498.02343082704930.11656917295069
2298.1798.07979792395780.0902020760422033
2398.4198.11210555916580.29789444083417
2498.6498.33392842669280.306071573307179
2599.2598.56321276812560.686787231874419
2699.6199.13989272303260.470107276967354
27100.2899.51885644492270.761143555077339
28100.31100.1633850946060.146614905393733
29100.55100.2471683363970.302831663602703
30100.45100.473496323412-0.0234963234115924
31100.78100.4020563865390.377943613460658
32100.68100.696922562916-0.016922562916136
33101.69100.631481054291.05851894570982
3498.09101.547358948315-3.45735894831458
3599.1398.34258633567590.787413664324077
3699.1899.01108594771010.168914052289864
3796.2299.1152167261512-2.8952167261512
3896.1196.4233879279676-0.313387927967611
399696.0874275555956-0.0874275555955819
4095.9695.95765161618460.00234838381541635
4197.9595.90979447061642.04020552938358
4298.4397.72144222674280.708557773257198
4398.3298.31798737607820.00201262392180013
4497.4598.2698238561553-0.819823856155324
4596.4297.4717505761601-1.05175057616006
4695.3696.4620486873486-1.1020486873486
4795.195.4064507530246-0.306450753024606
4895.5495.07682041749470.463179582505319
4994.0795.4494627532966-1.37946275329658
5093.4894.1407298941074-0.660729894107433
5192.8693.4878267517253-0.627826751725323
5290.9892.8649470850681-1.88494708506806
5391.4591.09496963142680.355030368573154
5491.1691.3689279187131-0.208927918713059
5590.7191.1282852675377-0.418285267537698
5690.3190.6966081185852-0.386608118585187
5789.7890.2938357502632-0.513835750263169
5891.0289.77497064931231.24502935068769
5990.7790.8610356504299-0.0910356504298733
6090.6990.72796739485-0.0379673948500141


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
6190.643322887514688.978095483540892.3085502914883
6290.593322887514688.33903260894792.8476131660822
6390.543322887514687.824744764093593.2619010109357
6490.493322887514687.378919354533893.6077264204954
6590.443322887514686.978016015195493.9086297598338
6690.393322887514686.609516064691694.1771297103376
6790.343322887514686.26581918726694.4208265877632
6890.293322887514685.941900272019794.6447455030095
6990.243322887514685.634231748066494.8524140269628
7090.193322887514685.340224548840795.0464212261885
7190.143322887514685.057911808954895.2287339660744
7290.093322887514684.785757702701795.4008880723275