Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 98.72 | NA | NA | -0.503125 | NA |
2 | 98.67 | NA | NA | -0.4225 | NA |
3 | 98.82 | NA | NA | -0.294375 | NA |
4 | 99.39 | NA | NA | -0.643021 | NA |
5 | 99.33 | NA | NA | 0.175104 | NA |
6 | 99.22 | NA | NA | 0.361979 | NA |
7 | 99.05 | 99.6207 | 99.0037 | 0.616979 | -0.570729 |
8 | 98.83 | 99.3903 | 99.0183 | 0.371979 | -0.560312 |
9 | 98.84 | 99.526 | 99.0204 | 0.505625 | -0.686042 |
10 | 98.89 | 98.4874 | 98.9771 | -0.489687 | 0.402604 |
11 | 98.8 | 98.8125 | 98.9 | -0.0875 | -0.0125 |
12 | 99.4 | 99.2331 | 98.8246 | 0.408542 | 0.166875 |
13 | 98.89 | 98.2523 | 98.7554 | -0.503125 | 0.637708 |
14 | 98.85 | 98.2679 | 98.6904 | -0.4225 | 0.582083 |
15 | 98.69 | 98.3348 | 98.6292 | -0.294375 | 0.355208 |
16 | 98.48 | 97.927 | 98.57 | -0.643021 | 0.553021 |
17 | 98.39 | 98.6989 | 98.5237 | 0.175104 | -0.308854 |
18 | 98.35 | 98.8378 | 98.4758 | 0.361979 | -0.487812 |
19 | 98.26 | 99.0761 | 98.4592 | 0.616979 | -0.816146 |
20 | 98.06 | 98.8778 | 98.5058 | 0.371979 | -0.817812 |
21 | 98.14 | 99.1094 | 98.6038 | 0.505625 | -0.969375 |
22 | 98.17 | 98.2566 | 98.7462 | -0.489687 | -0.0865625 |
23 | 98.41 | 98.825 | 98.9125 | -0.0875 | -0.415 |
24 | 98.64 | 99.4985 | 99.09 | 0.408542 | -0.858542 |
25 | 99.25 | 98.7794 | 99.2825 | -0.503125 | 0.470625 |
26 | 99.61 | 99.0742 | 99.4967 | -0.4225 | 0.535833 |
27 | 100.28 | 99.4594 | 99.7538 | -0.294375 | 0.820625 |
28 | 100.31 | 99.2553 | 99.8983 | -0.643021 | 1.05469 |
29 | 100.55 | 100.1 | 99.925 | 0.175104 | 0.449896 |
30 | 100.45 | 100.339 | 99.9775 | 0.361979 | 0.110521 |
31 | 100.78 | 100.491 | 99.8737 | 0.616979 | 0.289271 |
32 | 100.68 | 99.9736 | 99.6017 | 0.371979 | 0.706354 |
33 | 101.69 | 99.7831 | 99.2775 | 0.505625 | 1.90688 |
34 | 98.09 | 98.4282 | 98.9179 | -0.489687 | -0.338229 |
35 | 99.13 | 98.5408 | 98.6283 | -0.0875 | 0.589167 |
36 | 99.18 | 98.8444 | 98.4358 | 0.408542 | 0.335625 |
37 | 96.22 | 97.746 | 98.2492 | -0.503125 | -1.52604 |
38 | 96.11 | 97.5896 | 98.0121 | -0.4225 | -1.47958 |
39 | 96 | 97.3635 | 97.6579 | -0.294375 | -1.36354 |
40 | 95.96 | 96.6816 | 97.3246 | -0.643021 | -0.721563 |
41 | 97.95 | 97.218 | 97.0429 | 0.175104 | 0.731979 |
42 | 98.43 | 97.0853 | 96.7233 | 0.361979 | 1.34469 |
43 | 98.32 | 97.0991 | 96.4821 | 0.616979 | 1.22094 |
44 | 97.45 | 96.6549 | 96.2829 | 0.371979 | 0.795104 |
45 | 96.42 | 96.5481 | 96.0425 | 0.505625 | -0.128125 |
46 | 95.36 | 95.2145 | 95.7042 | -0.489687 | 0.145521 |
47 | 95.1 | 95.1383 | 95.2258 | -0.0875 | -0.0383333 |
48 | 95.54 | 95.0606 | 94.6521 | 0.408542 | 0.479375 |
49 | 94.07 | 93.529 | 94.0321 | -0.503125 | 0.541042 |
50 | 93.48 | 92.995 | 93.4175 | -0.4225 | 0.485 |
51 | 92.86 | 92.549 | 92.8433 | -0.294375 | 0.311042 |
52 | 90.98 | 91.7428 | 92.3858 | -0.643021 | -0.762812 |
53 | 91.45 | 92.1997 | 92.0246 | 0.175104 | -0.749688 |
54 | 91.16 | 92.0041 | 91.6421 | 0.361979 | -0.844063 |
55 | 90.71 | NA | NA | 0.616979 | NA |
56 | 90.31 | NA | NA | 0.371979 | NA |
57 | 89.78 | NA | NA | 0.505625 | NA |
58 | 91.02 | NA | NA | -0.489687 | NA |
59 | 90.77 | NA | NA | -0.0875 | NA |
60 | 90.69 | NA | NA | 0.408542 | NA |