Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.958205043210276
beta0.0373725776280312
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1393.0192.11878472222220.891215277777789
1493.2193.18642800662970.0235719933703393
1593.5893.55061858058940.0293814194105977
1694.0794.01351127524590.0564887247541037
1794.5794.49940122128560.0705987787144409
1895.0394.96258967627570.0674103237243173
1995.2195.2405536079047-0.0305536079047073
2095.8995.58688719672960.303112803270395
2196.4396.05254627252970.377453727470339
2296.3596.34795603838460.00204396161541354
2396.7196.57663613546980.133363864530182
2496.3296.6605067981235-0.340506798123556
2597.2396.61703342254110.612966577458948
2697.8897.42853898930560.451461010694359
2798.298.265045445335-0.0650454453350306
2898.5698.6972769716971-0.137276971697091
2999.3199.04983669598640.260163304013631
3099.6999.7530693084297-0.0630693084297036
3199.7799.9557757819209-0.185775781920952
32101.06100.2156248577410.844375142258585
33101.77101.2707188208750.49928117912502
34101.91101.7392242522750.170775747725315
35102.52102.2131651145490.306834885450897
36102.09102.527755887568-0.437755887567874
37102.22102.511770482203-0.291770482202779
38102.74102.4980253070370.241974692963424
39103.56103.1531347123920.406865287607644
40104.4104.0923551328410.307644867158785
41104.76104.961605684069-0.201605684069406
42104.86105.266076687229-0.406076687229202
43104.84105.179917208286-0.339917208285883
44104.96105.37453636912-0.414536369120185
45104.83105.203243482626-0.373243482626435
46104.58104.785047584322-0.205047584322031
47104.8104.854186835933-0.0541868359330095
48104.17104.728423849609-0.558423849609341
49104.63104.5352932709520.0947067290478998
50105.32104.8603983658750.459601634125463
51106.16105.6849419493950.47505805060527
52107.22106.6418114796370.578188520362957
53107.51107.715155921035-0.205155921035001
54107.87107.973693778444-0.103693778443926
55107.79108.156887337282-0.366887337282336
56108.04108.298422140637-0.258422140637421
57107.74108.259912333341-0.519912333341395
58107.71107.6844228482190.0255771517811638
59111.19107.9653274172433.22467258275704
60110.82111.062201709469-0.242201709468659


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
61111.312590658519110.177132029354112.448049287685
62111.672022864703110.07103945119113.273006278215
63112.150186047897110.167644995067114.132727100726
64112.732516984662110.409902851325115.055131118
65113.274747242335110.636820640737115.912673843934
66113.797102718342110.860074158441116.734131278243
67114.135364925398110.910417927764117.360311923031
68114.712833686893111.207922476973118.217744896814
69115.000117919724111.220990795145118.779245044302
70115.053329745524111.004158528245119.102500962802
71115.550236262696111.234026529011119.866445996381
72115.403641775496110.822512516776119.984771034216