| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.999933893038648 |
| beta | FALSE |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 2 | 93 | 93.41 | -0.409999999999997 |
| 3 | 96.61 | 93.0000271038542 | 3.60997289614583 |
| 4 | 99.69 | 96.6097613556613 | 3.08023864433872 |
| 5 | 101.05 | 99.689796374783 | 1.36020362521701 |
| 6 | 98 | 101.049910081072 | -3.04991008107152 |
| 7 | 97.32 | 98.0002016202879 | -0.68020162028786 |
| 8 | 97.83 | 97.3200449660622 | 0.509955033937786 |
| 9 | 99.57 | 97.8299662884223 | 1.74003371157771 |
| 10 | 97.63 | 99.5698849716587 | -1.93988497165869 |
| 11 | 96.68 | 97.6301282399008 | -0.950128239900835 |
| 12 | 96.28 | 96.6800628100908 | -0.40006281009083 |
| 13 | 99.81 | 96.2800264469367 | 3.52997355306327 |
| 14 | 101.43 | 99.8097666441748 | 1.62023335582525 |
| 15 | 105.59 | 101.429892891296 | 4.16010710870383 |
| 16 | 108.86 | 105.58972498796 | 3.27027501203986 |
| 17 | 104.01 | 108.859783812056 | -4.84978381205616 |
| 18 | 101.95 | 104.010320604471 | -2.06032060447103 |
| 19 | 101.52 | 101.950136201535 | -0.43013620153458 |
| 20 | 105.61 | 101.520028434997 | 4.08997156500276 |
| 21 | 108.43 | 105.609729624408 | 2.82027037559219 |
| 22 | 105.54 | 108.429813560495 | -2.88981356049527 |
| 23 | 100.11 | 105.540191036793 | -5.43019103679336 |
| 24 | 99.93 | 100.110358973429 | -0.180358973428994 |
| 25 | 99.88 | 99.9300119229837 | -0.0500119229836997 |
| 26 | 102.71 | 99.8800033061363 | 2.82999669386373 |
| 27 | 101.89 | 102.709812917518 | -0.819812917517922 |
| 28 | 101.93 | 101.890054195341 | 0.0399458046591548 |
| 29 | 99.49 | 101.929997359304 | -2.43999735930426 |
| 30 | 99.87 | 99.4901613008111 | 0.37983869918888 |
| 31 | 100.33 | 99.8699748900178 | 0.460025109982212 |
| 32 | 101.5 | 100.329969589138 | 1.17003041086218 |
| 33 | 102.29 | 101.499922652845 | 0.790077347155162 |
| 34 | 97.04 | 102.289947770387 | -5.24994777038735 |
| 35 | 95.71 | 97.0403470580944 | -1.33034705809438 |
| 36 | 97.37 | 95.7100879452016 | 1.65991205479845 |
| 37 | 96.51 | 97.369890268258 | -0.859890268257956 |
| 38 | 96.33 | 96.5100568447327 | -0.180056844732732 |
| 39 | 96.88 | 96.3300119030109 | 0.549988096989125 |
| 40 | 97.59 | 96.8799636419581 | 0.710036358041876 |
| 41 | 98.96 | 97.5899530616539 | 1.37004693834608 |
| 42 | 99.93 | 98.95990943036 | 0.970090569640021 |
| 43 | 101.34 | 99.9299358702602 | 1.41006412973979 |
| 44 | 98.04 | 101.339906784945 | -3.29990678494507 |
| 45 | 98.56 | 98.0402181468103 | 0.519781853189698 |
| 46 | 96.73 | 98.5599656388011 | -1.82996563880111 |
| 47 | 92.36 | 96.7301209734678 | -4.37012097346776 |
| 48 | 87.88 | 92.3602888954183 | -4.4802888954183 |
| 49 | 79.84 | 87.8802961782849 | -8.04029617828485 |
| 50 | 82.91 | 79.8405315195487 | 3.06946848045128 |
| 51 | 87.78 | 82.9097970867658 | 4.87020291323421 |
| 52 | 89.36 | 87.7796780456842 | 1.58032195431575 |
| 53 | 91.86 | 89.3598955297176 | 2.50010447028235 |
| 54 | 92.48 | 91.8598347256904 | 0.620165274309599 |
| 55 | 93.4 | 92.4799590027582 | 0.920040997241813 |
| 56 | 89.97 | 93.3999391788854 | -3.42993917888536 |
| 57 | 83.96 | 89.9702267428567 | -6.01022674285673 |
| 58 | 82.76 | 83.960397317827 | -1.20039731782698 |
| 59 | 82.97 | 82.7600793546191 | 0.209920645380905 |
| 60 | 81.07 | 82.969986122784 | -1.89998612278401 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 61 | 81.0701256023092 | 75.6515038137727 | 86.4887473908457 |
| 62 | 81.0701256023092 | 73.4072904671494 | 88.732960737469 |
| 63 | 81.0701256023092 | 71.6852109766945 | 90.4550402279239 |
| 64 | 81.0701256023092 | 70.2334193337277 | 91.9068318708907 |
