Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 99.13 | NA | NA | 0.989076 | NA |
2 | 100.46 | NA | NA | 1.01034 | NA |
3 | 101.83 | NA | NA | 0.997069 | NA |
4 | 100.82 | NA | NA | 1.0086 | NA |
5 | 100.99 | NA | NA | 1.00178 | NA |
6 | 99.11 | NA | NA | 1.00249 | NA |
7 | 98.99 | 99.3844 | 100.222 | 0.991642 | 0.996031 |
8 | 99.8 | 100.213 | 100.098 | 1.00115 | 0.99588 |
9 | 100.3 | 98.8798 | 99.9213 | 0.989577 | 1.01436 |
10 | 101.56 | 99.8848 | 99.7058 | 1.0018 | 1.01677 |
11 | 98.83 | 99.3122 | 99.4696 | 0.998418 | 0.995144 |
12 | 101.29 | 100.116 | 99.3154 | 1.00806 | 1.01173 |
13 | 98.24 | 98.1131 | 99.1967 | 0.989076 | 1.00129 |
14 | 98.37 | 100.132 | 99.1067 | 1.01034 | 0.982406 |
15 | 99.68 | 98.7488 | 99.0392 | 0.997069 | 1.00943 |
16 | 97.8 | 99.8066 | 98.9554 | 1.0086 | 0.979895 |
17 | 98.34 | 99.0862 | 98.91 | 1.00178 | 0.99247 |
18 | 98.06 | 99.1314 | 98.885 | 1.00249 | 0.989192 |
19 | 97.19 | 98.0622 | 98.8888 | 0.991642 | 0.991105 |
20 | 99.44 | 99.1295 | 99.0158 | 1.00115 | 1.00313 |
21 | 99.04 | 98.0787 | 99.1117 | 0.989577 | 1.0098 |
22 | 100.81 | 99.4336 | 99.2554 | 1.0018 | 1.01384 |
23 | 98.49 | 99.3521 | 99.5096 | 0.998418 | 0.991322 |
24 | 101.03 | 100.565 | 99.7608 | 1.00806 | 1.00463 |
25 | 98.59 | 98.9538 | 100.047 | 0.989076 | 0.996324 |
26 | 101.07 | 101.236 | 100.2 | 1.01034 | 0.998357 |
27 | 99.28 | 99.8789 | 100.172 | 0.997069 | 0.994004 |
28 | 101.65 | 100.846 | 99.9858 | 1.0086 | 1.00797 |
29 | 100.59 | 99.9957 | 99.8179 | 1.00178 | 1.00594 |
30 | 101.84 | 100.013 | 99.7646 | 1.00249 | 1.01827 |
31 | 100.27 | 98.9241 | 99.7579 | 0.991642 | 1.0136 |
32 | 100.04 | 99.8441 | 99.7296 | 1.00115 | 1.00196 |
33 | 97.78 | 98.7491 | 99.7892 | 0.989577 | 0.990186 |
34 | 97.59 | 100.038 | 99.8588 | 1.0018 | 0.975529 |
35 | 97.68 | 99.6729 | 99.8308 | 0.998418 | 0.980006 |
36 | 100.56 | 100.583 | 99.7788 | 1.00806 | 0.999774 |
37 | 98.9 | 98.6233 | 99.7125 | 0.989076 | 1.00281 |
38 | 100.08 | 100.723 | 99.6917 | 1.01034 | 0.993619 |
39 | 101.7 | 99.3861 | 99.6783 | 0.997069 | 1.02328 |
40 | 100.9 | 100.555 | 99.6979 | 1.0086 | 1.00343 |
41 | 100.67 | 100.069 | 99.8912 | 1.00178 | 1.006 |
42 | 100.51 | 100.28 | 100.031 | 1.00249 | 1.00229 |
43 | 100.01 | 99.2109 | 100.047 | 0.991642 | 1.00805 |
44 | 99.8 | 100.282 | 100.167 | 1.00115 | 0.995192 |
45 | 97.7 | 99.053 | 100.096 | 0.989577 | 0.986341 |
46 | 98.14 | 100.089 | 99.91 | 1.0018 | 0.980524 |
47 | 101.77 | 99.6384 | 99.7962 | 0.998418 | 1.02139 |
48 | 99.82 | 100.439 | 99.6358 | 1.00806 | 0.993841 |
49 | 100.03 | 98.3566 | 99.4429 | 0.989076 | 1.01701 |
50 | 101.83 | 100.358 | 99.3304 | 1.01034 | 1.01467 |
51 | 98.25 | 99.0426 | 99.3337 | 0.997069 | 0.991998 |
52 | 99.88 | 100.307 | 99.4517 | 1.0086 | 0.995742 |
53 | 98.96 | 99.6772 | 99.5 | 1.00178 | 0.992805 |
54 | 98.37 | 99.669 | 99.4212 | 1.00249 | 0.986967 |
55 | 97.52 | 98.4411 | 99.2708 | 0.991642 | 0.990643 |
56 | 99.59 | 99.2651 | 99.1512 | 1.00115 | 1.00327 |
57 | 97.99 | 98.1129 | 99.1463 | 0.989577 | 0.998748 |
58 | 100.68 | 99.4102 | 99.2321 | 1.0018 | 1.01277 |
59 | 100.39 | 99.2415 | 99.3988 | 0.998418 | 1.01157 |
60 | 99.31 | 100.367 | 99.565 | 1.00806 | 0.989466 |
61 | 96.93 | 98.7065 | 99.7967 | 0.989076 | 0.982002 |
62 | 102.06 | 101.011 | 99.9767 | 1.01034 | 1.01039 |
63 | 97.9 | 99.824 | 100.117 | 0.997069 | 0.980726 |
64 | 102.29 | 101.037 | 100.175 | 1.0086 | 1.0124 |
65 | 100.55 | 100.328 | 100.149 | 1.00178 | 1.00222 |
66 | 100.77 | 100.496 | 100.247 | 1.00249 | 1.00272 |
67 | 100.68 | NA | NA | 0.991642 | NA |
68 | 100.75 | NA | NA | 1.00115 | NA |
69 | 100.21 | NA | NA | 0.989577 | NA |
70 | 99.85 | NA | NA | 1.0018 | NA |
71 | 100.59 | NA | NA | 0.998418 | NA |
72 | 101.45 | NA | NA | 1.00806 | NA |