Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 250785 | NA | NA | 1.00184 | NA |
2 | 250140 | NA | NA | 1.00567 | NA |
3 | 255755 | NA | NA | 1.00686 | NA |
4 | 254671 | NA | NA | 0.999112 | NA |
5 | 253919 | NA | NA | 1.0008 | NA |
6 | 253741 | NA | NA | 1.00045 | NA |
7 | 252729 | 253767 | 254076 | 0.998784 | 0.995909 |
8 | 253810 | 255116 | 254442 | 1.00265 | 0.99488 |
9 | 256653 | 254467 | 254747 | 0.998902 | 1.00859 |
10 | 255231 | 253938 | 254977 | 0.995925 | 1.00509 |
11 | 258405 | 255222 | 255301 | 0.999691 | 1.01247 |
12 | 251061 | 252973 | 255706 | 0.989313 | 0.992442 |
13 | 254811 | 256593 | 256122 | 1.00184 | 0.993053 |
14 | 254895 | 258073 | 256617 | 1.00567 | 0.987685 |
15 | 258325 | 258899 | 257136 | 1.00686 | 0.997783 |
16 | 257608 | 257378 | 257606 | 0.999112 | 1.00089 |
17 | 258759 | 258162 | 257954 | 1.0008 | 1.00231 |
18 | 258621 | 258439 | 258323 | 1.00045 | 1.0007 |
19 | 257852 | 258509 | 258824 | 0.998784 | 0.997459 |
20 | 260560 | 259952 | 259265 | 1.00265 | 1.00234 |
21 | 262358 | 259443 | 259728 | 0.998902 | 1.01124 |
22 | 260812 | 259112 | 260172 | 0.995925 | 1.00656 |
23 | 261165 | 260414 | 260494 | 0.999691 | 1.00288 |
24 | 257164 | 257979 | 260766 | 0.989313 | 0.996841 |
25 | 260720 | 261417 | 260937 | 1.00184 | 0.997334 |
26 | 259581 | 262439 | 260958 | 1.00567 | 0.989111 |
27 | 264743 | 262743 | 260954 | 1.00686 | 1.00761 |
28 | 261845 | 260801 | 261032 | 0.999112 | 1.004 |
29 | 262262 | 261394 | 261184 | 1.0008 | 1.00332 |
30 | 261631 | 261628 | 261511 | 1.00045 | 1.00001 |
31 | 258953 | 261663 | 261982 | 0.998784 | 0.989642 |
32 | 259966 | 263255 | 262559 | 1.00265 | 0.987507 |
33 | 262850 | 262662 | 262951 | 0.998902 | 1.00072 |
34 | 262204 | 261978 | 263050 | 0.995925 | 1.00086 |
35 | 263418 | 263152 | 263233 | 0.999691 | 1.00101 |
36 | 262752 | 260680 | 263496 | 0.989313 | 1.00795 |
37 | 266433 | 264578 | 264092 | 1.00184 | 1.00701 |
38 | 267722 | 266463 | 264959 | 1.00567 | 1.00473 |
39 | 266003 | 267411 | 265590 | 1.00686 | 0.994734 |
40 | 262971 | 265738 | 265974 | 0.999112 | 0.989586 |
41 | 265521 | 266475 | 266261 | 1.0008 | 0.99642 |
42 | 264676 | 266527 | 266408 | 1.00045 | 0.993055 |
43 | 270223 | 266214 | 266538 | 0.998784 | 1.01506 |
44 | 269508 | 267451 | 266744 | 1.00265 | 1.00769 |
45 | 268457 | 266743 | 267037 | 0.998902 | 1.00642 |
46 | 265814 | 266313 | 267402 | 0.995925 | 0.998127 |
47 | 266680 | 267720 | 267802 | 0.999691 | 0.996117 |
48 | 263018 | 265392 | 268259 | 0.989313 | 0.991056 |
49 | 269285 | 269015 | 268521 | 1.00184 | 1.001 |
50 | 269829 | 270117 | 268593 | 1.00567 | 0.998933 |
51 | 270911 | 270582 | 268740 | 1.00686 | 1.00122 |
52 | 266844 | 268677 | 268916 | 0.999112 | 0.993178 |
53 | 271244 | 269082 | 268865 | 1.0008 | 1.00804 |
54 | 269907 | 268982 | 268862 | 1.00045 | 1.00344 |
55 | 271296 | 268645 | 268972 | 0.998784 | 1.00987 |
56 | 270157 | 269644 | 268931 | 1.00265 | 1.0019 |
57 | 271322 | 268654 | 268950 | 0.998902 | 1.00993 |
58 | 267179 | 267982 | 269078 | 0.995925 | 0.997005 |
59 | 264101 | 268930 | 269013 | 0.999691 | 0.982044 |
60 | 265518 | 266043 | 268917 | 0.989313 | 0.998026 |
61 | 269419 | 269505 | 269010 | 1.00184 | 0.999681 |
62 | 268714 | 270700 | 269173 | 1.00567 | 0.992662 |
63 | 272482 | 271079 | 269234 | 1.00686 | 1.00517 |
64 | 268351 | 269106 | 269345 | 0.999112 | 0.997194 |
65 | 268175 | 269981 | 269764 | 1.0008 | 0.993309 |
66 | 270674 | 270303 | 270182 | 1.00045 | 1.00137 |
67 | 272764 | 270197 | 270526 | 0.998784 | 1.0095 |
68 | 272599 | 271647 | 270929 | 1.00265 | 1.0035 |
69 | 270333 | 271017 | 271315 | 0.998902 | 0.997477 |
70 | 270846 | 270639 | 271746 | 0.995925 | 1.00077 |
71 | 270491 | 272051 | 272135 | 0.999691 | 0.994264 |
72 | 269160 | 269376 | 272286 | 0.989313 | 0.999198 |
73 | 274027 | 272723 | 272222 | 1.00184 | 1.00478 |
74 | 273784 | 273740 | 272195 | 1.00567 | 1.00016 |
75 | 276663 | 274270 | 272402 | 1.00686 | 1.00873 |
76 | 274525 | 272357 | 272599 | 0.999112 | 1.00796 |
77 | 271344 | 272981 | 272762 | 1.0008 | 0.994001 |
78 | 271115 | 273063 | 272941 | 1.00045 | 0.992866 |
79 | 270798 | 272649 | 272981 | 0.998784 | 0.993212 |
80 | 273911 | 273750 | 273026 | 1.00265 | 1.00059 |
81 | 273985 | 272982 | 273282 | 0.998902 | 1.00367 |
82 | 271917 | 272494 | 273609 | 0.995925 | 0.997882 |
83 | 273338 | 274017 | 274102 | 0.999691 | 0.99752 |
84 | 270601 | 271995 | 274934 | 0.989313 | 0.994874 |
85 | 273547 | 276300 | 275793 | 1.00184 | 0.990035 |
86 | 275363 | 278091 | 276522 | 1.00567 | 0.99019 |
87 | 281229 | 279449 | 277546 | 1.00686 | 1.00637 |
88 | 277793 | 278462 | 278709 | 0.999112 | 0.997598 |
89 | 279913 | 280021 | 279796 | 1.0008 | 0.999613 |
90 | 282500 | 281135 | 281009 | 1.00045 | 1.00486 |
91 | 280041 | 281860 | 282203 | 0.998784 | 0.993546 |
92 | 282166 | 284139 | 283388 | 1.00265 | 0.993057 |
93 | 290304 | 284005 | 284317 | 0.998902 | 1.02218 |
94 | 283519 | 283923 | 285085 | 0.995925 | 0.998577 |
95 | 287816 | 285861 | 285949 | 0.999691 | 1.00684 |
96 | 285226 | 283610 | 286674 | 0.989313 | 1.0057 |
97 | 287595 | 287841 | 287313 | 1.00184 | 0.999145 |
98 | 289741 | 289587 | 287953 | 1.00567 | 1.00053 |
99 | 289148 | 290415 | 288437 | 1.00686 | 0.995639 |
100 | 288301 | 289274 | 289531 | 0.999112 | 0.996638 |
101 | 290155 | 291558 | 291323 | 1.0008 | 0.995188 |
102 | 289648 | 293380 | 293249 | 1.00045 | 0.98728 |
103 | 288225 | 295361 | 295721 | 0.998784 | 0.97584 |
104 | 289351 | 299443 | 298651 | 1.00265 | 0.966299 |
105 | 294735 | 301141 | 301472 | 0.998902 | 0.978729 |
106 | 305333 | 302999 | 304239 | 0.995925 | 1.0077 |
107 | 309030 | 306824 | 306919 | 0.999691 | 1.00719 |
108 | 310215 | 306182 | 309490 | 0.989313 | 1.01317 |
109 | 321935 | 312757 | 312183 | 1.00184 | 1.02934 |
110 | 325734 | 316790 | 315002 | 1.00567 | 1.02823 |
111 | 320846 | 319890 | 317712 | 1.00686 | 1.00299 |
112 | 323023 | 319401 | 319685 | 0.999112 | 1.01134 |
113 | 319753 | 321301 | 321042 | 1.0008 | 0.995183 |
114 | 321753 | 322284 | 322139 | 1.00045 | 0.998354 |
115 | 320757 | 322461 | 322853 | 0.998784 | 0.994717 |
116 | 324479 | 324315 | 323458 | 1.00265 | 1.0005 |
117 | 324641 | 323950 | 324306 | 0.998902 | 1.00213 |
118 | 322767 | 323964 | 325290 | 0.995925 | 0.996304 |
119 | 324181 | 326327 | 326428 | 0.999691 | 0.993424 |
120 | 321389 | 324315 | 327818 | 0.989313 | 0.990978 |
121 | 327897 | 330072 | 329466 | 1.00184 | 0.993409 |
122 | 334287 | 333171 | 331291 | 1.00567 | 1.00335 |
123 | 332653 | 334940 | 332659 | 1.00686 | 0.993171 |
124 | 334819 | 333404 | 333700 | 0.999112 | 1.00424 |
125 | 335264 | 335186 | 334917 | 1.0008 | 1.00023 |
126 | 339622 | 336515 | 336365 | 1.00045 | 1.00923 |
127 | 342440 | 337429 | 337840 | 0.998784 | 1.01485 |
128 | 346585 | 339999 | 339100 | 1.00265 | 1.01937 |
129 | 335378 | 339910 | 340284 | 0.998902 | 0.986667 |
130 | 337010 | 340029 | 341420 | 0.995925 | 0.99112 |
131 | 339130 | 342420 | 342526 | 0.999691 | 0.990392 |
132 | 341193 | 339690 | 343359 | 0.989313 | 1.00443 |
133 | 343507 | 344642 | 344010 | 1.00184 | 0.996706 |
134 | 348915 | 346685 | 344729 | 1.00567 | 1.00643 |
135 | 346431 | 348091 | 345721 | 1.00686 | 0.99523 |
136 | 348322 | 346806 | 347114 | 0.999112 | 1.00437 |
137 | 348288 | 349091 | 348810 | 1.0008 | 0.997701 |
138 | 346597 | 350830 | 350673 | 1.00045 | 0.987935 |
139 | 351076 | 352117 | 352545 | 0.998784 | 0.997045 |
140 | 355215 | 355117 | 354178 | 1.00265 | 1.00028 |
141 | 350562 | 355424 | 355815 | 0.998902 | 0.98632 |
142 | 355266 | 356073 | 357530 | 0.995925 | 0.997732 |
143 | 361565 | 359063 | 359174 | 0.999691 | 1.00697 |
144 | 363462 | 357250 | 361109 | 0.989313 | 1.01739 |
145 | 366183 | 363699 | 363031 | 1.00184 | 1.00683 |
146 | 365423 | 366713 | 364644 | 1.00567 | 0.996482 |
147 | 369208 | 368599 | 366089 | 1.00686 | 1.00165 |
148 | 366713 | 366996 | 367322 | 0.999112 | 0.99923 |
149 | 369354 | 368662 | 368366 | 1.0008 | 1.00188 |
150 | 371970 | 369095 | 368929 | 1.00045 | 1.00779 |
151 | 371824 | 368636 | 369085 | 0.998784 | 1.00865 |
152 | 373187 | 370416 | 369437 | 1.00265 | 1.00748 |
153 | 367270 | 369426 | 369832 | 0.998902 | 0.994164 |
154 | 368140 | 368611 | 370119 | 0.995925 | 0.998722 |
155 | 373742 | 370403 | 370518 | 0.999691 | 1.00901 |
156 | 364815 | 366971 | 370935 | 0.989313 | 0.994126 |
157 | 368558 | 371919 | 371236 | 1.00184 | 0.990964 |
158 | 371503 | 373814 | 371705 | 1.00567 | 0.993817 |
159 | 372611 | 374787 | 372235 | 1.00686 | 0.994195 |
160 | 370197 | 372432 | 372763 | 0.999112 | 0.993998 |
161 | 375441 | 373524 | 373224 | 1.0008 | 1.00513 |
162 | 375888 | 373796 | 373628 | 1.00045 | 1.0056 |
163 | 375132 | 373745 | 374200 | 0.998784 | 1.00371 |
164 | 381142 | 376024 | 375030 | 1.00265 | 1.01361 |
165 | 372024 | 375489 | 375902 | 0.998902 | 0.990771 |
166 | 376070 | 375111 | 376645 | 0.995925 | 1.00256 |
167 | 376864 | 377290 | 377407 | 0.999691 | 0.99887 |
168 | 371401 | 374081 | 378123 | 0.989313 | 0.992834 |
169 | 375687 | 379594 | 378897 | 1.00184 | 0.989708 |
170 | 384304 | 381749 | 379596 | 1.00567 | 1.00669 |
171 | 380738 | 382836 | 380229 | 1.00686 | 0.99452 |
172 | 379908 | 380375 | 380713 | 0.999112 | 0.998772 |
173 | 384007 | 381458 | 381151 | 1.0008 | 1.00668 |
174 | 384499 | 382009 | 381838 | 1.00045 | 1.00652 |
175 | 385106 | NA | NA | 0.998784 | NA |
176 | 387935 | NA | NA | 1.00265 | NA |
177 | 380435 | NA | NA | 0.998902 | NA |
178 | 379281 | NA | NA | 0.995925 | NA |
179 | 384153 | NA | NA | 0.999691 | NA |
180 | 380599 | NA | NA | 0.989313 | NA |