| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.282609341748061 |
| beta | 0.217645846493098 |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 3 | 884 | 842 | 42 |
| 4 | 696 | 914.452959828706 | -218.452959828706 |
| 5 | 893 | 899.862711759559 | -6.86271175955858 |
| 6 | 674 | 944.647727599639 | -270.647727599639 |
| 7 | 703 | 898.237430494403 | -195.237430494403 |
| 8 | 799 | 861.129977627056 | -62.1299776270563 |
| 9 | 793 | 857.8183971715 | -64.8183971714996 |
| 10 | 799 | 849.760145689261 | -50.7601456892608 |
| 11 | 1022 | 842.552694323249 | 179.447305676751 |
| 12 | 758 | 911.441598610744 | -153.441598610744 |
| 13 | 1021 | 876.814987944052 | 144.185012055948 |
| 14 | 944 | 935.16907758004 | 8.8309224199603 |
| 15 | 915 | 955.814016035296 | -40.8140160352957 |
| 16 | 864 | 959.918412027792 | -95.9184120277922 |
| 17 | 1022 | 942.549969372047 | 79.4500306279526 |
| 18 | 891 | 979.629158883265 | -88.6291588832648 |
| 19 | 1087 | 963.756130560857 | 123.243869439143 |
| 20 | 822 | 1015.34097558866 | -193.340975588662 |
| 21 | 890 | 965.563824337268 | -75.5638243372683 |
| 22 | 1092 | 944.423759938248 | 147.576240061752 |
| 23 | 967 | 995.422392225722 | -28.4223922257216 |
| 24 | 833 | 994.933941092783 | -161.933941092783 |
| 25 | 1104 | 946.753524814848 | 157.246475185152 |
| 26 | 1063 | 998.448509918116 | 64.5514900818839 |
| 27 | 1103 | 1027.9175077256 | 75.0824922744041 |
| 28 | 1039 | 1064.98089533316 | -25.9808953331572 |
| 29 | 1185 | 1071.88477311358 | 113.11522688642 |
| 30 | 1047 | 1125.05609057938 | -78.0560905793795 |
| 31 | 1155 | 1119.39947533956 | 35.6005246604373 |
| 32 | 878 | 1148.05302506824 | -270.053025068244 |
| 33 | 879 | 1073.71540245837 | -194.715402458374 |
| 34 | 1133 | 1008.69219488675 | 124.307805113251 |
| 35 | 920 | 1041.47394364391 | -121.473943643915 |
| 36 | 943 | 997.323763811497 | -54.3237638114966 |
| 37 | 938 | 968.809465324405 | -30.8094653244051 |
| 38 | 900 | 945.045475572273 | -45.0454755722733 |
| 39 | 781 | 914.487565465771 | -133.487565465771 |
| 40 | 1040 | 850.724441337844 | 189.275558662156 |
| 41 | 792 | 889.819294167751 | -97.8192941677514 |
| 42 | 653 | 841.761717167557 | -188.761717167557 |
| 43 | 866 | 756.392464706649 | 109.607535293351 |
| 44 | 679 | 762.086972703563 | -83.0869727035628 |
| 45 | 799 | 708.213636853609 | 90.7863631463911 |
| 46 | 760 | 709.062685656513 | 50.9373143434868 |
| 47 | 699 | 701.783111511597 | -2.78311151159653 |
| 48 | 762 | 679.150457468798 | 82.8495425312021 |
| 49 | 671 | 685.814363167593 | -14.8143631675925 |
| 50 | 679 | 663.966323812538 | 15.033676187462 |
| 51 | 862 | 651.478321833436 | 210.521678166564 |
| 52 | 624 | 707.185980561351 | -83.1859805613506 |
| 53 | 516 | 674.772445556898 | -158.772445556898 |
| 54 | 650 | 611.231574867762 | 38.7684251322376 |
| 55 | 583 | 605.902196958964 | -22.9021969589642 |
| 56 | 444 | 581.735439642054 | -137.735439642054 |
| 57 | 562 | 516.643800557638 | 45.3561994423619 |
| 58 | 540 | 506.085372180206 | 33.9146278197937 |
| 59 | 524 | 494.379495121913 | 29.620504878087 |
| 60 | 674 | 483.28197901767 | 190.71802098233 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 61 | 529.442952857777 | 291.974271949479 | 766.911633766074 |
| 62 | 521.705232328574 | 270.569638484775 | 772.840826172373 |
| 63 | 513.967511799371 | 244.992910682152 | 782.94211291659 |
| 64 | 506.229791270168 | 215.278219699155 | 797.181362841181 |
| 65 | 498.492070740965 | 181.613192791756 | 815.370948690175 |
| 66 | 490.754350211762 | 144.268782181956 | 837.239918241569 |
| 67 | 483.01662968256 | 103.543853818398 | 862.489405546721 |
| 68 | 475.278909153357 | 59.7299547179738 | 890.82786358874 |
| 69 | 467.541188624154 | 13.0931932292478 | 921.98918401906 |
| 70 | 459.803468094951 | -36.1324375572057 | 955.739373747108 |
| 71 | 452.065747565748 | -87.7452873869618 | 991.876782518458 |
| 72 | 444.328027036545 | -141.573216585764 | 1030.22927065885 |
