Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.772125155625731
betaFALSE
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
294.1694.65-0.490000000000009
393.9194.2716586737434-0.361658673743392
493.2193.9924129139959-0.782412913995884
592.8193.3882922210132-0.578292221013228
693.5592.94177824986620.608221750133751
793.0393.4114015633432-0.381401563343218
893.2593.11691182189090.133088178109062
994.2493.21967255212531.02032744787465
1093.2394.0074930416048-0.777493041604757
1193.5293.40717110585780.112828894142226
1292.0593.4942891333064-1.44428913330641
1393.4292.37911716148361.04088283851637
1495.1593.18280898516121.96719101483878
1595.1294.70172665363920.418273346360849
1695.4695.02468602629210.435313973707864
1794.9295.3608028959874-0.44080289598736
1895.6395.02044789132280.60955210867715
1994.9695.4910984080972-0.531098408097193
2095.195.08102396709260.0189760329074318
2195.2295.09567583945440.124324160545626
2293.7795.1916696512637-1.42166965126371
2395.0194.09396275053330.916037249466669
2494.8794.80125815433680.0687418456632543
2595.0194.85433546261750.155664537382521
2696.6894.97452796776941.70547203223065
2794.9496.2913658260708-1.35136582607079
2893.995.2479422773086-1.34794227730858
2994.8394.20716213666720.622837863332805
3096.2794.68807091882261.58192908117736
3196.5195.90951815681560.600481843184426
3296.6996.37316529343480.316834706565231
3397.4796.61780134054910.85219865945092
3496.4197.2758053631017-0.865805363101671
3598.6896.60729526237522.07270473762482
3699.398.20768273047991.09231726952005
3799.2299.05108837220080.168911627799218
3899.799.18150928910230.518490710897751
399899.5818490099447-1.58184900994468
4098.5198.36046359696470.14953640303527
4198.698.47592441543010.124075584569937
4298.1498.5717262954755-0.431726295475471
4399.1498.23837956239380.90162043760624
4498.2598.9345433830958-0.684543383095814
4599.7298.40599021689041.31400978310961
4699.2399.4205702251676-0.190570225167619
47101.3299.27342616040242.04657383959756
48101.07100.8536373048010.21636269519874
49101.66101.0206963845030.639303615496814
50103.09101.5143187881111.57568121188925
51102.3102.730941889057-0.43094188905728
52100.01102.398200815903-2.38820081590328
5398.78100.554210889258-1.77421088925847
5499.4699.18429803027690.275701969723087
5599.7399.39717445655570.332825543444343
5699.5299.6541574310838-0.134157431083835
5798.9799.5505711037299-0.580571103729881
5897.9799.1022975499106-1.13229754991065
5999.3798.22802212797131.14197787202875
6099.1499.10977197013260.0302280298674162
6199.8999.13311179239820.756888207601776
62100.2999.7175242174840.57247578251598
6399.57100.159547170151-0.58954717015115
64101.1199.70434296964951.40565703035053
65101.44100.7896861229650.650313877034719
66100.81101.291809826476-0.48180982647628
67101.26100.9197923392260.340207660773729
6899.86101.182475232246-1.32247523224625
69100.57100.1613588377370.408641162263052
70100.35100.476880958744-0.12688095874438
71101.15100.3789129787280.771087021272081
72101.33100.9742886650290.355711334971389
73102.09101.2489423349010.841057665098759
74101.79101.898344115456-0.108344115455836
75102.83101.8146888984481.01531110155163
76102.5102.598636140742-0.0986361407424567
77102.22102.522476695221-0.302476695221372
78102.43102.288926829850.141073170149596
79102.89102.3978529733070.492147026693218
80102.12102.777852072883-0.657852072883031
81103.25102.269907938730.980092061270483
82103.36103.0266616740660.333338325934463
83103.5103.2840405808540.215959419146287
84103.68103.4507882809710.229211719029124


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
85103.627768415197101.874310728523105.381226101872
86103.627768415197101.412451572735105.84308525766
87103.627768415197101.031493474819106.224043355576
88103.627768415197100.699687402046106.555849428349
89103.627768415197100.401830834723106.853705995672
90103.627768415197100.129241850105107.12629498029
91103.62776841519799.876408264506107.379128565889
92103.62776841519799.6395710988984107.615965731497
93103.62776841519799.4160309248884107.839505905507
94103.62776841519799.2037716316527108.051765198742
95103.62776841519799.0012403006872108.254296529708
96103.62776841519798.8072106416723108.448326188723