Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 94.65 | NA | NA | 0.338964 | NA |
2 | 94.16 | NA | NA | 1.11056 | NA |
3 | 93.91 | NA | NA | 0.329728 | NA |
4 | 93.21 | NA | NA | -0.0148553 | NA |
5 | 92.81 | NA | NA | -0.271175 | NA |
6 | 93.55 | NA | NA | -0.0962442 | NA |
7 | 93.03 | 93.3783 | 93.4162 | -0.0379803 | -0.34827 |
8 | 93.25 | 92.937 | 93.4062 | -0.4693 | 0.31305 |
9 | 94.24 | 93.5004 | 93.4979 | 0.00243634 | 0.739647 |
10 | 93.23 | 92.6464 | 93.6421 | -0.995689 | 0.583605 |
11 | 93.52 | 94.0465 | 93.8237 | 0.222784 | -0.526534 |
12 | 92.05 | 93.8791 | 93.9983 | -0.11923 | -1.8291 |
13 | 93.42 | 94.5044 | 94.1654 | 0.338964 | -1.08438 |
14 | 95.15 | 95.4335 | 94.3229 | 1.11056 | -0.283478 |
15 | 95.12 | 94.7706 | 94.4408 | 0.329728 | 0.349439 |
16 | 95.46 | 94.4893 | 94.5042 | -0.0148553 | 0.970689 |
17 | 94.92 | 94.3176 | 94.5887 | -0.271175 | 0.602425 |
18 | 95.63 | 94.6721 | 94.7683 | -0.0962442 | 0.957911 |
19 | 94.96 | 94.9141 | 94.9521 | -0.0379803 | 0.045897 |
20 | 95.1 | 94.6128 | 95.0821 | -0.4693 | 0.487216 |
21 | 95.22 | 95.1408 | 95.1383 | 0.00243634 | 0.0792303 |
22 | 93.77 | 94.0701 | 95.0658 | -0.995689 | -0.300145 |
23 | 95.01 | 95.2199 | 94.9971 | 0.222784 | -0.209867 |
24 | 94.87 | 94.9008 | 95.02 | -0.11923 | -0.0307697 |
25 | 95.01 | 95.4502 | 95.1112 | 0.338964 | -0.440214 |
26 | 96.68 | 96.3526 | 95.2421 | 1.11056 | 0.327355 |
27 | 94.94 | 95.7318 | 95.4021 | 0.329728 | -0.791811 |
28 | 93.9 | 95.591 | 95.6058 | -0.0148553 | -1.69098 |
29 | 94.83 | 95.5976 | 95.8687 | -0.271175 | -0.767575 |
30 | 96.27 | 96.11 | 96.2062 | -0.0962442 | 0.159994 |
31 | 96.51 | 96.5283 | 96.5662 | -0.0379803 | -0.0182697 |
32 | 96.69 | 96.3982 | 96.8675 | -0.4693 | 0.2918 |
33 | 97.47 | 97.1233 | 97.1208 | 0.00243634 | 0.34673 |
34 | 96.41 | 96.4447 | 97.4404 | -0.995689 | -0.034728 |
35 | 98.68 | 98.0124 | 97.7896 | 0.222784 | 0.667633 |
36 | 99.3 | 97.9054 | 98.0246 | -0.11923 | 1.39465 |
37 | 99.22 | 98.551 | 98.2121 | 0.338964 | 0.668953 |
38 | 99.7 | 99.4972 | 98.3867 | 1.11056 | 0.202772 |
39 | 98 | 98.8751 | 98.5454 | 0.329728 | -0.875145 |
40 | 98.51 | 98.7418 | 98.7567 | -0.0148553 | -0.231811 |
41 | 98.6 | 98.713 | 98.9842 | -0.271175 | -0.112992 |
42 | 98.14 | 99.0717 | 99.1679 | -0.0962442 | -0.931672 |
43 | 99.14 | 99.3054 | 99.3433 | -0.0379803 | -0.165353 |
44 | 98.25 | 99.117 | 99.5862 | -0.4693 | -0.86695 |
45 | 99.72 | 99.9091 | 99.9067 | 0.00243634 | -0.189103 |
46 | 99.23 | 99.1526 | 100.148 | -0.995689 | 0.0773553 |
47 | 101.32 | 100.441 | 100.218 | 0.222784 | 0.878883 |
48 | 101.07 | 100.162 | 100.281 | -0.11923 | 0.908397 |
49 | 101.66 | 100.699 | 100.36 | 0.338964 | 0.960619 |
50 | 103.09 | 101.548 | 100.438 | 1.11056 | 1.54152 |
51 | 102.3 | 100.789 | 100.46 | 0.329728 | 1.51069 |
52 | 100.01 | 100.361 | 100.376 | -0.0148553 | -0.350978 |
53 | 98.78 | 99.9709 | 100.242 | -0.271175 | -1.19091 |
54 | 99.46 | 99.9842 | 100.08 | -0.0962442 | -0.524172 |
55 | 99.73 | 99.8883 | 99.9262 | -0.0379803 | -0.15827 |
56 | 99.52 | 99.2665 | 99.7358 | -0.4693 | 0.253466 |
57 | 98.97 | 99.5079 | 99.5054 | 0.00243634 | -0.537853 |
58 | 97.97 | 98.4418 | 99.4375 | -0.995689 | -0.471811 |
59 | 99.37 | 99.817 | 99.5942 | 0.222784 | -0.44695 |
60 | 99.14 | 99.642 | 99.7613 | -0.11923 | -0.50202 |
61 | 99.89 | 100.22 | 99.8813 | 0.338964 | -0.330214 |
62 | 100.29 | 101.07 | 99.9592 | 1.11056 | -0.779728 |
63 | 99.57 | 100.37 | 100.04 | 0.329728 | -0.799728 |
64 | 101.11 | 100.191 | 100.206 | -0.0148553 | 0.919022 |
65 | 101.44 | 100.108 | 100.379 | -0.271175 | 1.33201 |
66 | 100.81 | 100.448 | 100.545 | -0.0962442 | 0.361661 |
67 | 101.26 | 100.69 | 100.727 | -0.0379803 | 0.57048 |
68 | 99.86 | 100.412 | 100.882 | -0.4693 | -0.552367 |
69 | 100.57 | 101.082 | 101.08 | 0.00243634 | -0.512436 |
70 | 100.35 | 100.278 | 101.274 | -0.995689 | 0.0719387 |
71 | 101.15 | 101.587 | 101.364 | 0.222784 | -0.43695 |
72 | 101.33 | 101.345 | 101.464 | -0.11923 | -0.0149363 |
73 | 102.09 | 101.939 | 101.6 | 0.338964 | 0.151453 |
74 | 101.79 | 102.872 | 101.762 | 1.11056 | -1.08223 |
75 | 102.83 | 102.297 | 101.967 | 0.329728 | 0.532772 |
76 | 102.5 | 102.19 | 102.205 | -0.0148553 | 0.310272 |
77 | 102.22 | 102.157 | 102.428 | -0.271175 | 0.0632581 |
78 | 102.43 | 102.528 | 102.624 | -0.0962442 | -0.0975058 |
79 | 102.89 | NA | NA | -0.0379803 | NA |
80 | 102.12 | NA | NA | -0.4693 | NA |
81 | 103.25 | NA | NA | 0.00243634 | NA |
82 | 103.36 | NA | NA | -0.995689 | NA |
83 | 103.5 | NA | NA | 0.222784 | NA |
84 | 103.68 | NA | NA | -0.11923 | NA |