Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.0892728687927934
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
389.3491.65-2.31
489.1590.1337796730887-0.983779673088648
588.8289.855954839412-1.035954839412
688.8289.4334721789579-0.613472178957906
791.9789.37870575761782.59129424238225
893.0192.76003802852150.249961971478527
993.2493.8223528508045-0.582352850804469
1093.294.0003645411635-0.800364541163475
1193.1993.8889137024938-0.698913702493797
1292.293.8165196712336-1.61651967123358
1393.3992.68220832272260.707791677277427
1494.7593.93539491626080.81460508373921
1594.2595.3681170490194-1.11811704901939
1694.3794.7682995324073-0.398299532407293
1794.0294.8527421905105-0.832742190510473
1892.7794.4284009061988-1.65840090619881
1992.6493.0303506996939-0.390350699693869
2093.1992.86550297289690.324497027103078
2192.7493.4444717534211-0.704471753421146
2292.5292.9315815390097-0.411581539009745
2392.2592.6748384742802-0.424838474280193
2491.692.3669119249077-0.76691192490766
2593.7391.64844749725972.08155250274027
2696.2193.96427366072222.24572633927781
2796.3696.644756093553-0.284756093553042
2895.6996.7693351001753-1.07933510017534
2995.0796.0029797593939-0.93297975939393
3095.595.29968997974720.200310020252786
3195.2295.7475722299031-0.527572229903129
3297.4195.42047434344431.98952565655573
3398.3197.78808500634190.521914993658143
3498.5498.7346778550917-0.194677855091697
3598.4598.9472984044772-0.497298404477235
3698.0398.8129031492635-0.782903149263475
37101.4598.32301113914183.12698886085819
38102.44102.0221664054340.417833594566261
39102.42103.049467609099-0.629467609098668
40100.98102.973273229822-1.99327322982229
41100.69101.355328010308-0.665328010308187
42100.28101.00593227014-0.725932270139765
4398.06100.531126213835-2.47112621383512
4497.3798.090521687577-0.720521687576991
4597.2597.3361986494996-0.0861986494995648
4698.9397.20850344877271.72149655122733
47100.0499.04218638451760.997813615482357
48100.09100.241264068492-0.151264068492253
49100.79100.2777602911530.512239708847318
5099.76101.023489399471-1.26348939947107
5199.6399.880694076091-0.250694076091008
5299.2699.728313896729-0.468313896728986
5399.6999.31650617167250.373493828327526
5499.1799.7798490372037-0.609849037203674
5598.7999.205406064122-0.415406064121967
5697.9798.7883215730639-0.818321573063898
5798.197.89526765864140.20473234135855
5897.9198.0435447020892-0.133544702089182
5997.1697.8416227834216-0.681622783421602
6096.897.030772362111-0.230772362111026
6197.4696.65017065130730.809829348692716
6296.5997.3824664404977-0.792466440497677
6396.3596.4417206879324-0.091720687932451
6496.1296.1935325189931-0.073532518993062
6596.1695.9569680600730.203031939927001
6695.9596.0150933038068-0.0650933038068331
6796.0695.79928223783680.260717762163196
6895.8995.9325572604103-0.0425572604103479
6995.995.75875805168560.141241948314445
7095.8295.78136712560550.0386328743945086
7195.5495.7048159931324-0.164815993132365
7295.5195.41010239660250.0998976033974799


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
7395.389020542243393.380529705729497.3975113787573
7495.268041084486792.298111700703898.2379704682696
7595.1470616267391.349215529996998.9449077234631
7695.026082168973490.453577560841999.5985867771048
7794.905102711216789.5818264214704100.228379000963
7894.7841232534688.7197724363629100.848474070557
7994.663143795703487.8595168820256101.466770709381
8094.542164337946786.996269085451102.088059590442
8194.421184880190186.1269556551349102.715414105245
8294.300205422433485.2495287256077103.350882119259
8394.179225964676784.3625887848001103.995863144553
8494.058246506920183.465164393958104.651328619882