Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.99994924009082
betaFALSE
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
2103.07103.71-0.640000000000001
3103.93103.0700324863420.859967513658134
4102.9103.929956348127-1.02995634812712
5101.54102.900052280491-1.36005228049068
6102.13101.540069036130.589930963869747
7101.08102.129970055158-1.04997005515784
8101.33101.0800532963850.249946703615365
9101.24101.329987312728-0.0899873127280273
10100.58101.240004567748-0.660004567747819
1199.87100.580033501772-0.710033501771917
1299.199.8700360412361-0.770036041236068
1398.9899.1000390869595-0.120039086959508
1498.7798.9800060931732-0.210006093173163
1598.0598.7700106598902-0.720010659890221
1697.9498.0500365476757-0.110036547675705
1797.6597.9400055854452-0.290005585445158
1897.297.6500147206572-0.45001472065718
1997.3997.20002284270640.18997715729364
2097.3597.3899903567767-0.0399903567767552
2198.0197.35000202990690.65999797009313
2297.8198.009966498563-0.199966498562972
2397.5697.8100101502813-0.250010150281312
2498.0597.56001269049250.48998730950747
2597.8298.0499751282887-0.229975128288672
2699.0597.82001167351661.22998832648338
2798.8699.0499375659042-0.189937565904245
2897.6498.8600096412136-1.22000964121359
2997.7797.64006192757860.12993807242141
3098.0797.76999340435520.30000659564476
3198.3698.06998477169240.290015228307567
3210098.35998527885331.64001472114666
3399.5299.9999167530017-0.479916753001703
3498.8299.5200243605308-0.70002436053079
3598.9898.8200355331730.159964466827049
3698.698.9799918802182-0.379991880218213
3798.898.60001928835330.199980711646674
3899.6298.79998984899720.820010151002762
3999.3599.6199583763592-0.269958376359213
4099.8799.35001370306270.519986296937347
4199.5399.8699736055428-0.339973605542795
4299.8899.53001725702930.349982742970653
4399.2699.8799822349077-0.619982234907738
4499.5199.26003147024190.249968529758064
45100.6499.50998731162011.13001268837986
46100.85100.6399426406590.210057359341434
47101.44100.8499893375080.590010662492489
48101.26101.439970051112-0.179970051112349
49101.67101.2600091352630.409990864736542
50102.93101.6699791889011.26002081109905
51103.81102.9299360414580.880063958541925
52106.19103.8099553280332.3800446719666
53106.94106.1898791891490.750120810851399
54108.51106.9399619239361.57003807606424
55108.41108.50992030501-0.09992030500986
56108.97108.4100050719460.559994928054394
57109.25108.9699715747080.28002842529169
58109.97109.2499857857830.720014214217429
59108.92109.969963452144-1.04996345214387
60109.01108.9200532960490.0899467039505311
61108.86109.009995434313-0.149995434313482
62107.36108.860007613755-1.50000761375463
63107.99107.360076140250.629923859749752
64107.94107.989968025122-0.0499680251220838
65108.54107.9400025363720.599997463627588
66108.37108.539969544183-0.169969544183246
67108.77108.3700086276390.399991372361356
68107.15108.769979696474-1.61997969647425
69108.61107.1500822300221.45991776997774
70109.02108.6099258947070.410074105293418
71109.16109.0199791846760.140020815324348
72109.55109.1599928925560.390007107443864


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
73109.549980203275108.064729577892111.035230828657
74109.549980203275107.449571934278111.650388472271
75109.549980203275106.977537711646112.122422694903
76109.549980203275106.579592038572112.520368367977
77109.549980203275106.228993704465112.870966702084
78109.549980203275105.912027921902113.187932484647
79109.549980203275105.62054738443113.479413022119
80109.549980203275105.349243630472113.750716776077
81109.549980203275105.094429369724114.005531036825
82109.549980203275104.85341989741114.246540509139
83109.549980203275104.624188471696114.475771934853
84109.549980203275104.405160511667114.694799894883