Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 103.71 | NA | NA | -0.37875 | NA |
2 | 103.07 | NA | NA | -0.171333 | NA |
3 | 103.93 | NA | NA | -0.21525 | NA |
4 | 102.9 | NA | NA | -0.043 | NA |
5 | 101.54 | NA | NA | -0.02075 | NA |
6 | 102.13 | NA | NA | 0.13475 | NA |
7 | 101.08 | 101.356 | 101.51 | -0.153917 | -0.275667 |
8 | 101.33 | 101.433 | 101.133 | 0.299417 | -0.10275 |
9 | 101.24 | 101.239 | 100.709 | 0.529833 | 0.001 |
10 | 100.58 | 100.586 | 100.258 | 0.328 | -0.0055 |
11 | 99.87 | 99.8644 | 99.8887 | -0.0243333 | 0.00558333 |
12 | 99.1 | 99.2366 | 99.5212 | -0.284667 | -0.136583 |
13 | 98.98 | 98.7833 | 99.1621 | -0.37875 | 0.196667 |
14 | 98.77 | 98.6712 | 98.8425 | -0.171333 | 0.0988333 |
15 | 98.05 | 98.3268 | 98.5421 | -0.21525 | -0.276833 |
16 | 97.94 | 98.2491 | 98.2921 | -0.043 | -0.309083 |
17 | 97.65 | 98.0597 | 98.0804 | -0.02075 | -0.409667 |
18 | 97.2 | 98.0752 | 97.9404 | 0.13475 | -0.875167 |
19 | 97.39 | 97.6944 | 97.8483 | -0.153917 | -0.304417 |
20 | 97.35 | 98.1111 | 97.8117 | 0.299417 | -0.761083 |
21 | 98.01 | 98.3869 | 97.8571 | 0.529833 | -0.376917 |
22 | 97.81 | 98.2063 | 97.8783 | 0.328 | -0.396333 |
23 | 97.56 | 97.8465 | 97.8708 | -0.0243333 | -0.2865 |
24 | 98.05 | 97.6274 | 97.9121 | -0.284667 | 0.422583 |
25 | 97.82 | 97.61 | 97.9888 | -0.37875 | 0.21 |
26 | 99.05 | 97.9682 | 98.1396 | -0.171333 | 1.08175 |
27 | 98.86 | 98.0977 | 98.3129 | -0.21525 | 0.762333 |
28 | 97.64 | 98.3749 | 98.4179 | -0.043 | -0.734917 |
29 | 97.77 | 98.4984 | 98.5192 | -0.02075 | -0.728417 |
30 | 98.07 | 98.736 | 98.6012 | 0.13475 | -0.666 |
31 | 98.36 | 98.5111 | 98.665 | -0.153917 | -0.151083 |
32 | 100 | 99.029 | 98.7296 | 0.299417 | 0.971 |
33 | 99.52 | 99.3036 | 98.7737 | 0.529833 | 0.216417 |
34 | 98.82 | 99.2151 | 98.8871 | 0.328 | -0.395083 |
35 | 98.98 | 99.029 | 99.0533 | -0.0243333 | -0.049 |
36 | 98.6 | 98.9174 | 99.2021 | -0.284667 | -0.317417 |
37 | 98.8 | 98.9362 | 99.315 | -0.37875 | -0.13625 |
38 | 99.62 | 99.1608 | 99.3321 | -0.171333 | 0.45925 |
39 | 99.35 | 99.1431 | 99.3583 | -0.21525 | 0.206917 |
40 | 99.87 | 99.4466 | 99.4896 | -0.043 | 0.423417 |
41 | 99.53 | 99.6559 | 99.6767 | -0.02075 | -0.125917 |
42 | 99.88 | 100.025 | 99.89 | 0.13475 | -0.14475 |
43 | 99.26 | 99.9665 | 100.12 | -0.153917 | -0.7065 |
44 | 99.51 | 100.677 | 100.378 | 0.299417 | -1.16733 |
45 | 100.64 | 101.232 | 100.702 | 0.529833 | -0.5915 |
46 | 100.85 | 101.479 | 101.151 | 0.328 | -0.628833 |
47 | 101.44 | 101.699 | 101.723 | -0.0243333 | -0.258583 |
48 | 101.26 | 102.107 | 102.391 | -0.284667 | -0.846583 |
49 | 101.67 | 102.753 | 103.132 | -0.37875 | -1.08333 |
50 | 102.93 | 103.736 | 103.908 | -0.171333 | -0.806167 |
51 | 103.81 | 104.445 | 104.66 | -0.21525 | -0.635167 |
52 | 106.19 | 105.356 | 105.399 | -0.043 | 0.833833 |
53 | 106.94 | 106.07 | 106.091 | -0.02075 | 0.869917 |
54 | 108.51 | 106.86 | 106.725 | 0.13475 | 1.64983 |
55 | 108.41 | 107.194 | 107.348 | -0.153917 | 1.216 |
56 | 108.97 | 108.131 | 107.832 | 0.299417 | 0.8385 |
57 | 109.25 | 108.721 | 108.191 | 0.529833 | 0.529333 |
58 | 109.97 | 108.766 | 108.438 | 0.328 | 1.20408 |
59 | 108.92 | 108.553 | 108.578 | -0.0243333 | 0.366833 |
60 | 109.01 | 108.354 | 108.638 | -0.284667 | 0.656333 |
61 | 108.86 | 108.269 | 108.648 | -0.37875 | 0.59125 |
62 | 107.36 | 108.415 | 108.587 | -0.171333 | -1.05533 |
63 | 107.99 | 108.269 | 108.484 | -0.21525 | -0.278917 |
64 | 107.94 | 108.375 | 108.418 | -0.043 | -0.434917 |
65 | 108.54 | 108.368 | 108.388 | -0.02075 | 0.172417 |
66 | 108.37 | 108.556 | 108.421 | 0.13475 | -0.185583 |
67 | 108.77 | NA | NA | -0.153917 | NA |
68 | 107.15 | NA | NA | 0.299417 | NA |
69 | 108.61 | NA | NA | 0.529833 | NA |
70 | 109.02 | NA | NA | 0.328 | NA |
71 | 109.16 | NA | NA | -0.0243333 | NA |
72 | 109.55 | NA | NA | -0.284667 | NA |