Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.820763828405332
beta0.0187777670903829
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1387.889.1258648446212-1.32586484462119
148888.1540085373686-0.154008537368554
1586.586.42930052847530.0706994715246623
1684.184.0622500990190.0377499009809981
1784.384.22765919599950.072340804000504
1884.784.40218088943840.297819110561647
1985.785.51104072673130.188959273268722
2086.485.66102278815020.738977211849772
218685.94453202041180.0554679795881583
2286.988.431566547174-1.53156654717398
2389.187.02426228262272.07573771737729
2490.787.5747056088173.12529439118296
2589.889.9911983855068-0.191198385506823
2689.490.2467345360067-0.846734536006693
2788.688.03214626381650.567853736183466
2886.886.08359895099480.716401049005228
2986.886.9010332541665-0.101033254166524
3089.587.0601684047092.439831595291
3188.590.0708586044507-1.57085860445075
3291.288.96771414774352.23228585225648
3392.390.44640345296611.8535965470339
349294.4193124920275-2.41931249202749
3592.893.0908940218817-0.290894021881655
3692.991.92401827882830.975981721171678
3792.792.02184271743050.678157282569515
3894.292.95244451668081.24755548331916
399492.74960200940071.2503979905993
4094.391.35992721553232.94007278446774
4194.894.01088422822750.789115771772458
4294.795.5729601966893-0.872960196689263
4395.195.2673911667694-0.167391166769434
449796.18835685922710.811643140772858
4597.996.50974786599531.39025213400467
4697.399.5256619065462-2.22566190654624
4796.598.9095989009419-2.40959890094194
4898.196.27188481532881.82811518467123
4999.397.06120912289212.23879087710786
5099.999.51446797148660.385532028513452
5199.998.62323378277091.27676621722912
5299.997.50777697249352.39222302750646
5399.899.39469604745290.405303952547143
5499.5100.448929199018-0.94892919901794
5599.9100.309764941192-0.409764941191568
56100.1101.340928606559-1.24092860655878
57100.1100.110214138397-0.0102141383966767
58100.2101.367509463926-1.16750946392554
59100.6101.651338907358-1.05133890735785
60100.8100.944791874014-0.144791874013919
61100.8100.1894697048810.610530295118835
62100.5100.979181979839-0.479181979838657
6310199.51695473827941.4830452617206
64100.598.7374372840321.76256271596802
659999.7322719579555-0.732271957955518
6697.999.5715847596462-1.67158475964615
6797.698.8813694502687-1.28136945026871
6897.298.9628203855081-1.76282038550811
6996.597.458356067394-0.958356067394007
7096.397.6115965324933-1.31159653249333
7196.397.6663502017457-1.36635020174573
7296.296.7615476945839-0.561547694583851
7395.695.7264232073297-0.126423207329665
7493.595.6054516920938-2.10545169209382
7593.293.07564859898990.124351401010117
7693.691.23345253070882.36654746929122
7794.692.20959569669542.39040430330462
7896.194.33879234027211.7612076597279
7998.496.47894945957981.92105054042018
8099.699.11159830837460.48840169162537
8199.499.6426036573955-0.242603657395506
8299.7100.398641838367-0.698641838367493
83100.1101.050136921272-0.95013692127246
8499.9100.718437003811-0.818437003810772


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
8599.599467953953996.9057301385634102.293205769344
8699.275449024275495.769362956277102.781535092274
8798.953732817642494.7730002581488103.134465377136
8897.408266817984492.6721619107713102.144371725198
8996.459412203640691.202185747003101.716638660278
9096.53344269564390.748251542777102.318633848509
9197.2506214517190.9311181487811103.570124754639
9298.007378060916991.1701915008911104.844564620943
9397.966664349305990.677212490775105.256116207837
9498.790285314466491.0021677585268106.578402870406
9599.931501785713391.6293070568625108.233696514564
96100.38896234588531.0985914048751169.679333286896