Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.832646637647366
beta0.0234863353593083
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1387.889.1063568376068-1.30635683760684
148888.1304306447819-0.130430644781939
1586.586.41858476456130.081415235438655
1684.184.05555711907950.0444428809204709
1784.384.22094701715370.0790529828463349
1884.784.39170084598320.308299154016822
1985.785.49686477062850.203135229371512
2086.485.66010344929180.739896550708238
218685.95141058646040.0485894135396308
2286.988.4638866993533-1.56388669935329
2389.187.0031569146322.09684308536804
2490.787.59402695859783.10597304140217
2589.890.06726230223-0.267262302229994
2689.490.2461431241284-0.846143124128389
2788.688.05263167310310.547368326896944
2886.886.15931984690370.640680153096298
2986.886.9265457217242-0.126545721724213
3089.587.06004184705872.43995815294134
3188.590.0597795181783-1.55977951817829
3291.288.94774131629042.25225868370957
3392.390.51497394800941.7850260519906
349294.3697471527765-2.3697471527765
3592.893.0012088113275-0.201208811327504
3692.991.9531076786230.946892321377049
3792.792.12745957064260.572540429357417
3894.292.9885348179431.21146518205704
399492.86154420196491.13845579803512
4094.391.60762598863332.69237401136668
4194.894.12652314782450.673476852175469
4294.795.5430466498953-0.8430466498953
4395.195.2630082354153-0.163008235415319
449796.10243573406530.897564265934676
4597.996.58749288203891.31250711796109
4697.399.4682682453502-2.16826824535022
4796.598.7491016322559-2.24910163225586
4898.196.26661860388661.83338139611344
4999.397.21244020568152.08755979431848
5099.999.56753149228110.332468507718943
5199.998.80485343931861.09514656068143
5299.997.88250497968262.01749502031745
5399.899.5959769842240.204023015775988
5499.5100.453015262766-0.953015262766115
5599.9100.278267283566-0.378267283565563
56100.1101.194789582706-1.09478958270614
57100.1100.130239118523-0.0302391185228288
58100.2101.324080420369-1.12408042036873
59100.6101.494864035168-0.894864035167629
60100.8100.883721359778-0.0837213597781243
61100.8100.2988426041730.501157395826837
62100.5101.03130863956-0.531308639559811
6310199.65216211686051.34783788313948
64100.599.07463186983291.42536813016712
659999.9600587635619-0.960058763561932
6697.999.5999074355224-1.69990743552235
6797.698.8305555385099-1.2305555385099
6897.298.8319506094569-1.63195060945694
6996.597.4022264362377-0.902226436237697
7096.397.5738354989316-1.2738354989316
7196.397.5422406895367-1.24224068953667
7296.296.6547647359477-0.454764735947705
7395.695.7287246012602-0.128724601260245
7493.595.6215222035061-2.1215222035061
7593.293.05926062165370.140739378346268
7693.691.29250244103592.30749755896404
7794.692.33335661923142.26664338076861
7896.194.41932701280981.68067298719023
7998.496.49269686554081.90730313445918
8099.699.05035319822140.549646801778636
8199.499.6126220934628-0.212622093462755
8299.7100.363095169805-0.663095169804507
83100.1100.924119568794-0.824119568793861
8499.9100.603555039011-0.703555039010794


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
8599.60703663975797.0238255061132102.190247773401
8699.358144516053195.9641461644197102.752142867686
8799.067075995191294.9939397202633103.140212270119
8897.669111286951192.9902517500195102.347970823883
8996.860038670133991.6228456182101102.097231722058
9096.994546265485791.2321737940025102.756918736969
9197.707484095387891.4443325905204103.970635600255
9298.41357103248991.6682255426576105.15891652232
9398.343609809284291.1305731804761105.556646438092
9499.152891477444291.4836799428362106.822103012052
95100.2092169385792.0930901446545108.325343732486
96100.58127108178992.0257391274789109.136803036098