Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 87.5 | NA | NA | 0.72772 | NA |
2 | 87.3 | NA | NA | 0.479109 | NA |
3 | 87.8 | NA | NA | -0.0764468 | NA |
4 | 88.1 | NA | NA | -0.900752 | NA |
5 | 88 | NA | NA | -1.032 | NA |
6 | 87.8 | NA | NA | -0.675752 | NA |
7 | 87 | 87.1201 | 87.8458 | -0.725752 | -0.120081 |
8 | 87.2 | 87.9458 | 87.8875 | 0.0582755 | -0.745775 |
9 | 87 | 87.9569 | 87.8625 | 0.0943866 | -0.956887 |
10 | 89.4 | 88.0437 | 87.6417 | 0.402025 | 1.35631 |
11 | 89.1 | 88.0222 | 87.3208 | 0.701331 | 1.07784 |
12 | 87.8 | 87.9854 | 87.0375 | 0.947859 | -0.185359 |
13 | 87.8 | 87.5819 | 86.8542 | 0.72772 | 0.218113 |
14 | 88 | 87.2458 | 86.7667 | 0.479109 | 0.754225 |
15 | 86.5 | 86.6152 | 86.6917 | -0.0764468 | -0.11522 |
16 | 84.1 | 85.6451 | 86.5458 | -0.900752 | -1.54508 |
17 | 84.3 | 85.4097 | 86.4417 | -1.032 | -1.10966 |
18 | 84.7 | 85.8867 | 86.5625 | -0.675752 | -1.18675 |
19 | 85.7 | 86.0409 | 86.7667 | -0.725752 | -0.340914 |
20 | 86.4 | 86.9666 | 86.9083 | 0.0582755 | -0.566609 |
21 | 86 | 87.1486 | 87.0542 | 0.0943866 | -1.14855 |
22 | 86.9 | 87.6562 | 87.2542 | 0.402025 | -0.756192 |
23 | 89.1 | 88.1722 | 87.4708 | 0.701331 | 0.927836 |
24 | 90.7 | 88.7229 | 87.775 | 0.947859 | 1.97714 |
25 | 89.8 | 88.8194 | 88.0917 | 0.72772 | 0.980613 |
26 | 89.4 | 88.8874 | 88.4083 | 0.479109 | 0.512558 |
27 | 88.6 | 88.7944 | 88.8708 | -0.0764468 | -0.194387 |
28 | 86.8 | 88.4451 | 89.3458 | -0.900752 | -1.64508 |
29 | 86.8 | 88.6805 | 89.7125 | -1.032 | -1.8805 |
30 | 89.5 | 89.2826 | 89.9583 | -0.675752 | 0.217419 |
31 | 88.5 | 89.4451 | 90.1708 | -0.725752 | -0.945081 |
32 | 91.2 | 90.5499 | 90.4917 | 0.0582755 | 0.650058 |
33 | 92.3 | 91.0111 | 90.9167 | 0.0943866 | 1.28895 |
34 | 92 | 91.8562 | 91.4542 | 0.402025 | 0.143808 |
35 | 92.8 | 92.8013 | 92.1 | 0.701331 | -0.00133102 |
36 | 92.9 | 93.5979 | 92.65 | 0.947859 | -0.697859 |
37 | 92.7 | 93.8694 | 93.1417 | 0.72772 | -1.16939 |
38 | 94.2 | 94.1374 | 93.6583 | 0.479109 | 0.0625579 |
39 | 94 | 94.0569 | 94.1333 | -0.0764468 | -0.0568866 |
40 | 94.3 | 93.6867 | 94.5875 | -0.900752 | 0.613252 |
41 | 94.8 | 93.9305 | 94.9625 | -1.032 | 0.869502 |
42 | 94.7 | 94.6576 | 95.3333 | -0.675752 | 0.042419 |
43 | 95.1 | 95.0992 | 95.825 | -0.725752 | 0.000752315 |
44 | 97 | 96.3958 | 96.3375 | 0.0582755 | 0.604225 |
45 | 97.9 | 96.9152 | 96.8208 | 0.0943866 | 0.98478 |
46 | 97.3 | 97.702 | 97.3 | 0.402025 | -0.402025 |
47 | 96.5 | 98.443 | 97.7417 | 0.701331 | -1.943 |
48 | 98.1 | 99.0979 | 98.15 | 0.947859 | -0.997859 |
49 | 99.3 | 99.2777 | 98.55 | 0.72772 | 0.0222801 |
50 | 99.9 | 99.3583 | 98.8792 | 0.479109 | 0.541725 |
51 | 99.9 | 99.0236 | 99.1 | -0.0764468 | 0.876447 |
52 | 99.9 | 98.4117 | 99.3125 | -0.900752 | 1.48825 |
53 | 99.8 | 98.5722 | 99.6042 | -1.032 | 1.22784 |
54 | 99.5 | 99.2117 | 99.8875 | -0.675752 | 0.288252 |
55 | 99.9 | 99.3367 | 100.063 | -0.725752 | 0.563252 |
56 | 100.1 | 100.208 | 100.15 | 0.0582755 | -0.108275 |
57 | 100.1 | 100.315 | 100.221 | 0.0943866 | -0.21522 |
58 | 100.2 | 100.694 | 100.292 | 0.402025 | -0.493692 |
59 | 100.6 | 100.985 | 100.283 | 0.701331 | -0.384664 |
60 | 100.8 | 101.131 | 100.183 | 0.947859 | -0.331192 |
61 | 100.8 | 100.749 | 100.021 | 0.72772 | 0.0514468 |
62 | 100.5 | 100.283 | 99.8042 | 0.479109 | 0.216725 |
63 | 101 | 99.4569 | 99.5333 | -0.0764468 | 1.54311 |
64 | 100.5 | 98.3201 | 99.2208 | -0.900752 | 2.17992 |
65 | 99 | 97.8472 | 98.8792 | -1.032 | 1.15284 |
66 | 97.9 | 97.8326 | 98.5083 | -0.675752 | 0.067419 |
67 | 97.6 | 97.3742 | 98.1 | -0.725752 | 0.225752 |
68 | 97.2 | 97.6499 | 97.5917 | 0.0582755 | -0.449942 |
69 | 96.5 | 97.0694 | 96.975 | 0.0943866 | -0.569387 |
70 | 96.3 | 96.7645 | 96.3625 | 0.402025 | -0.464525 |
71 | 96.3 | 96.593 | 95.8917 | 0.701331 | -0.292998 |
72 | 96.2 | 96.5812 | 95.6333 | 0.947859 | -0.381192 |
73 | 95.6 | 96.3194 | 95.5917 | 0.72772 | -0.719387 |
74 | 93.5 | 96.2041 | 95.725 | 0.479109 | -2.70411 |
75 | 93.2 | 95.8694 | 95.9458 | -0.0764468 | -2.66939 |
76 | 93.6 | 95.3076 | 96.2083 | -0.900752 | -1.70758 |
77 | 94.6 | 95.4763 | 96.5083 | -1.032 | -0.876331 |
78 | 96.1 | 96.1451 | 96.8208 | -0.675752 | -0.045081 |
79 | 98.4 | NA | NA | -0.725752 | NA |
80 | 99.6 | NA | NA | 0.0582755 | NA |
81 | 99.4 | NA | NA | 0.0943866 | NA |
82 | 99.7 | NA | NA | 0.402025 | NA |
83 | 100.1 | NA | NA | 0.701331 | NA |
84 | 99.9 | NA | NA | 0.947859 | NA |