Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.999933893038648 |
beta | FALSE |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
2 | 7.4324 | 7.4361 | -0.00369999999999937 |
3 | 7.4367 | 7.43240024459576 | 0.00429975540424277 |
4 | 7.4368 | 7.43669971575624 | 0.000100284243764293 |
5 | 7.4456 | 7.43679999337051 | 0.00880000662948621 |
6 | 7.4564 | 7.4455994182583 | 0.010800581741699 |
7 | 7.4597 | 7.45639928600636 | 0.00330071399363874 |
8 | 7.4537 | 7.45969978179983 | -0.00599978179982674 |
9 | 7.4639 | 7.45370039662734 | 0.0101996033726559 |
10 | 7.4593 | 7.46389932573521 | -0.0045993257352146 |
11 | 7.4438 | 7.45930030404745 | -0.015500304047448 |
12 | 7.4415 | 7.443801024678 | -0.00230102467800108 |
13 | 7.4317 | 7.44150015211375 | -0.00980015211374852 |
14 | 7.4343 | 7.43170064785828 | 0.00259935214172291 |
15 | 7.4281 | 7.43429982816473 | -0.0061998281647293 |
16 | 7.4281 | 7.4281004098518 | -4.09851801386196e-07 |
17 | 7.4305 | 7.42810000002709 | 0.00239999997290674 |
18 | 7.425 | 7.43049984134329 | -0.00549984134329495 |
19 | 7.4309 | 7.4250003635778 | 0.00589963642220148 |
20 | 7.4361 | 7.43089960999296 | 0.00520039000703676 |
21 | 7.4495 | 7.43609965621802 | 0.0134003437819814 |
22 | 7.4393 | 7.44949911414399 | -0.0101991141439903 |
23 | 7.4367 | 7.43930067423245 | -0.00260067423244514 |
24 | 7.4343 | 7.43670017192267 | -0.0024001719226705 |
25 | 7.4433 | 7.43430015866807 | 0.00899984133192699 |
26 | 7.4463 | 7.44329940504784 | 0.0030005949521632 |
27 | 7.4588 | 7.44629980163979 | 0.0125001983602147 |
28 | 7.4586 | 7.45879917364987 | -0.000199173649870765 |
29 | 7.4621 | 7.45860001316676 | 0.00349998683323616 |
30 | 7.4581 | 7.46209976862651 | -0.00399976862650675 |
31 | 7.4604 | 7.45810026441255 | 0.00229973558745034 |
32 | 7.4557 | 7.46039984797147 | -0.00469984797146772 |
33 | 7.4524 | 7.45570031069267 | -0.00330031069266834 |
34 | 7.45 | 7.45240021817351 | -0.00240021817351099 |
35 | 7.4446 | 7.45000015867113 | -0.00540015867112942 |
36 | 7.4557 | 7.44460035698808 | 0.011099643011919 |
37 | 7.4534 | 7.45569926623633 | -0.00229926623632881 |
38 | 7.4599 | 7.4534001519975 | 0.00649984800249559 |
39 | 7.4592 | 7.4598995703148 | -0.000699570314798947 |
40 | 7.4512 | 7.45920004624647 | -0.00800004624646711 |
41 | 7.4514 | 7.45120052885875 | 0.000199471141251628 |
42 | 7.4471 | 7.45139998681357 | -0.00429998681356913 |
43 | 7.4442 | 7.44710028425906 | -0.00290028425906197 |
44 | 7.4424 | 7.44420019172898 | -0.00180019172897961 |
45 | 7.4426 | 7.44240011900521 | 0.000199880994793844 |
46 | 7.4416 | 7.44259998678647 | -0.000999986786474061 |
47 | 7.4498 | 7.44160006610609 | 0.00819993389391183 |
48 | 7.4547 | 7.44979945792729 | 0.00490054207271307 |
49 | 7.455 | 7.45469967604005 | 0.000300323959945281 |
50 | 7.4573 | 7.4549999801465 | 0.00230001985350459 |
51 | 7.4506 | 7.45729984795268 | -0.00669984795267631 |
52 | 7.4398 | 7.45060044290659 | -0.0108004429065893 |
53 | 7.435 | 7.43980071398446 | -0.00480071398446213 |
54 | 7.4349 | 7.43500031736061 | -0.000100317360614 |
55 | 7.4457 | 7.43490000663168 | 0.0107999933683249 |
56 | 7.459 | 7.44569928604526 | 0.0133007139547434 |
57 | 7.4589 | 7.45899912073022 | -9.9120730216562e-05 |
58 | 7.4555 | 7.45890000655257 | -0.00340000655257011 |
59 | 7.458 | 7.4555002247641 | 0.00249977523589884 |
60 | 7.4593 | 7.45799983474746 | 0.00130016525254462 |
61 | 7.4625 | 7.45929991405003 | 0.00320008594997478 |
62 | 7.4628 | 7.46249978845204 | 0.000300211547957119 |
63 | 7.4522 | 7.46279998015393 | -0.010599980153926 |
64 | 7.4423 | 7.45220070073248 | -0.00990070073247828 |
65 | 7.4501 | 7.44230065450524 | 0.00779934549475847 |
66 | 7.4623 | 7.45009948440897 | 0.0122005155910312 |
67 | 7.4617 | 7.46229919346099 | -0.000599193460987024 |
68 | 7.4605 | 7.46170003961086 | -0.00120003961085935 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
69 | 7.46050007933097 | 7.44770923896468 | 7.47329091969726 |
70 | 7.46050007933097 | 7.44241169730468 | 7.47858846135727 |
71 | 7.46050007933097 | 7.43834667030703 | 7.48265348835492 |
72 | 7.46050007933097 | 7.43491966693329 | 7.48608049172865 |
73 | 7.46050007933097 | 7.43190040336273 | 7.48909975529922 |
74 | 7.46050007933097 | 7.4291707730421 | 7.49182938561984 |
75 | 7.46050007933097 | 7.42666061421116 | 7.49433954445078 |
76 | 7.46050007933097 | 7.42432421214512 | 7.49667594651682 |
77 | 7.46050007933097 | 7.42212981306005 | 7.49887034560189 |
78 | 7.46050007933097 | 7.42005429709408 | 7.50094586156787 |
79 | 7.46050007933097 | 7.41808021054514 | 7.50291994811681 |
80 | 7.46050007933097 | 7.41619399357675 | 7.5048061650852 |