Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 109.12 | NA | NA | 0.986063 | NA |
2 | 109.12 | NA | NA | 0.980665 | NA |
3 | 109.73 | NA | NA | 0.983461 | NA |
4 | 112.59 | NA | NA | 0.996482 | NA |
5 | 112.59 | NA | NA | 1.01524 | NA |
6 | 112.29 | NA | NA | 1.00491 | NA |
7 | 113.8 | 114.686 | 111.741 | 1.02635 | 0.992275 |
8 | 114.16 | 115.016 | 111.897 | 1.02787 | 0.992558 |
9 | 112.29 | 111.864 | 112.069 | 0.998175 | 1.00381 |
10 | 112.29 | 112.945 | 112.232 | 1.00635 | 0.994202 |
11 | 110.99 | 111.579 | 112.371 | 0.992946 | 0.994725 |
12 | 110.99 | 110.447 | 112.53 | 0.981487 | 1.00492 |
13 | 110.99 | 111.119 | 112.69 | 0.986063 | 0.998838 |
14 | 110.99 | 110.63 | 112.811 | 0.980665 | 1.00325 |
15 | 111.98 | 111.093 | 112.961 | 0.983461 | 1.00799 |
16 | 114.26 | 112.835 | 113.233 | 0.996482 | 1.01263 |
17 | 114.26 | 115.339 | 113.608 | 1.01524 | 0.990645 |
18 | 114.44 | 114.542 | 113.983 | 1.00491 | 0.999108 |
19 | 115.47 | 117.345 | 114.332 | 1.02635 | 0.984021 |
20 | 115.41 | 117.878 | 114.681 | 1.02787 | 0.979066 |
21 | 114.63 | 114.779 | 114.989 | 0.998175 | 0.998699 |
22 | 116.48 | 115.943 | 115.211 | 1.00635 | 1.00464 |
23 | 115.8 | 114.823 | 115.639 | 0.992946 | 1.00851 |
24 | 115.18 | 114.16 | 116.313 | 0.981487 | 1.00894 |
25 | 115.18 | 115.335 | 116.965 | 0.986063 | 0.998657 |
26 | 115.18 | 115.329 | 117.602 | 0.980665 | 0.998711 |
27 | 115.18 | 116.319 | 118.275 | 0.983461 | 0.990209 |
28 | 116.38 | 118.485 | 118.903 | 0.996482 | 0.982237 |
29 | 122.41 | 121.247 | 119.427 | 1.01524 | 1.00959 |
30 | 122.47 | 120.528 | 119.94 | 1.00491 | 1.01611 |
31 | 123.09 | 123.643 | 120.468 | 1.02635 | 0.995528 |
32 | 123.09 | 124.369 | 120.997 | 1.02787 | 0.989715 |
33 | 123.09 | 121.303 | 121.525 | 0.998175 | 1.01473 |
34 | 123.09 | 122.913 | 122.137 | 1.00635 | 1.00144 |
35 | 121.77 | 121.738 | 122.602 | 0.992946 | 1.00027 |
36 | 121.52 | 120.536 | 122.81 | 0.981487 | 1.00816 |
37 | 121.52 | 121.427 | 123.143 | 0.986063 | 1.00077 |
38 | 121.52 | 121.256 | 123.647 | 0.980665 | 1.00217 |
39 | 121.52 | 122.025 | 124.077 | 0.983461 | 0.995859 |
40 | 124.73 | 124.018 | 124.455 | 0.996482 | 1.00574 |
41 | 125.23 | 126.68 | 124.779 | 1.01524 | 0.988553 |
42 | 124.62 | 125.494 | 124.881 | 1.00491 | 0.993036 |
43 | 128.94 | 128.13 | 124.84 | 1.02635 | 1.00632 |
44 | 129.34 | 128.184 | 124.708 | 1.02787 | 1.00902 |
45 | 127.17 | 124.277 | 124.505 | 0.998175 | 1.02328 |
46 | 128.08 | 124.99 | 124.201 | 1.00635 | 1.02472 |
47 | 124.54 | 123.135 | 124.01 | 0.992946 | 1.01141 |
48 | 121.21 | 121.708 | 124.003 | 0.981487 | 0.995911 |
49 | 120.85 | 122.19 | 123.917 | 0.986063 | 0.989036 |
50 | 119.02 | 121.368 | 123.761 | 0.980665 | 0.980654 |
51 | 119.13 | 121.439 | 123.481 | 0.983461 | 0.98099 |
52 | 119.84 | 122.746 | 123.18 | 0.996482 | 0.976323 |
53 | 125.53 | 124.984 | 123.108 | 1.01524 | 1.00437 |
54 | 124.16 | 124.006 | 123.4 | 1.00491 | 1.00124 |
55 | 127.32 | 127.253 | 123.986 | 1.02635 | 1.00053 |
56 | 127.22 | 128.209 | 124.732 | 1.02787 | 0.992289 |
57 | 122.57 | 125.363 | 125.592 | 0.998175 | 0.977721 |
58 | 125.45 | 127.277 | 126.474 | 1.00635 | 0.985645 |
59 | 125.45 | 126.25 | 127.147 | 0.992946 | 0.993665 |
60 | 127.32 | 125.346 | 127.71 | 0.981487 | 1.01575 |
61 | 128.79 | 126.65 | 128.44 | 0.986063 | 1.0169 |
62 | 128.99 | 126.85 | 129.351 | 0.980665 | 1.01687 |
63 | 129.8 | 127.948 | 130.1 | 0.983461 | 1.01447 |
64 | 130.33 | 130.1 | 130.559 | 0.996482 | 1.00177 |
65 | 131.19 | 132.957 | 130.962 | 1.01524 | 0.986709 |
66 | 132.02 | 131.71 | 131.067 | 1.00491 | 1.00236 |
67 | 136.97 | 134.503 | 131.049 | 1.02635 | 1.01834 |
68 | 139.45 | 134.817 | 131.161 | 1.02787 | 1.03437 |
69 | 128.31 | 131.092 | 131.331 | 0.998175 | 0.978781 |
70 | 130.73 | 132.537 | 131.7 | 1.00635 | 0.986367 |
71 | 129.83 | 131.348 | 132.281 | 0.992946 | 0.988442 |
72 | 125.46 | 130.235 | 132.692 | 0.981487 | 0.963334 |
73 | 130.23 | 131.173 | 133.027 | 0.986063 | 0.992813 |
74 | 130.23 | 130.838 | 133.418 | 0.980665 | 0.995354 |
75 | 132.65 | 131.663 | 133.878 | 0.983461 | 1.00749 |
76 | 136.34 | 133.889 | 134.362 | 0.996482 | 1.01831 |
77 | 139.12 | 136.775 | 134.722 | 1.01524 | 1.01714 |
78 | 133.94 | 135.958 | 135.294 | 1.00491 | 0.985161 |
79 | 143.09 | NA | NA | 1.02635 | NA |
80 | 142.71 | NA | NA | 1.02787 | NA |
81 | 136.09 | NA | NA | 0.998175 | NA |
82 | 134.57 | NA | NA | 1.00635 | NA |
83 | 134.65 | NA | NA | 0.992946 | NA |
84 | 134.35 | NA | NA | 0.981487 | NA |